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Niftytradesetup

03 Jun 2024 - Exit poll results takes Nifty50 to all new highsNo technical analyst could have predicted what would happen today, yes most of them would have guessed it right. The analysis that really stood out Friday was when one of the analysts posted the screenshots of Adani group stocks and mentioned - see the exit poll results before the actual exit polls. Honestly, it could have gone either way. If the exit polls predicted less than 270 seats, then we would have fallen 800pts easily. Luckily, things went up and the majority of the crowd were happy (most of them were long only). Our stance is revised to bullish, if we start falling then 23089 would be the first support.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 3 May 2024| Loksabha Trading ViewNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 3 May 2024 Bullish-Above 22660 Invalid-Below 22600 T- 22120 23417 NIFTY has closed on a bearish note last week with 1.86% last cut. Since the coming week is very due to Loksabha election results. As per the exit polls market looks all set for a fresh ATH. Directional move will be seen on Monday in the upside and there can be IV crush on Tuesday and the next day also then again a rally is very much possible. So it looks safe to sell non-directional only after news is out i.e result day. Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22660 then we will long for the target of 23120 and 23417. Chances of a big gap up is high, so one can trade on 10 o'clock range breakout for a precise entry with risk calculated with previous swing after breakout. In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout. ========== I am Not SEBI Registered This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NSE:NIFTY
by Omahto
31 May 2024 - Stance changed to neutral, all eyes on exit pollNifty was unable to break the 22519 support, the entire day we spent hovering around this support resistance level - but the sheer inability to break shows the lack of strength of the Bears. I would have maintained the bearish stance if we had at least 1 candle below this level. Currently, the next support level is at 22295 and the resistance level is at 22781. All eyes are on the exit polls now, to be frank - technical analysis won't work when there is news flow and there is no way to predict what is coming next. To be honest, I am not aware if BJP will get the number of seats they had in mind or if we have a coalition govt or not. Personally, I prefer not to predict but take some aggressive positions once a clue appears. My expectations for markets next week, post election results 1. 400+ seats - up 5%+ 2. 270 to 399 seats - down 5 to 10% 3. less than 270 seats - down 25% I am of the impression that we may have a fall after the initial surge as a few sectors are overvalued.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
1
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow | 3 June | MondayAs we discussed, Nifty had a sideways structure; it was sideways the whole day. If we look at the chart now: The market is trading in the range while taking good resistance at 200-EMA. The market is very volatile as VIX is 24.60. the market is trading in the range 22465 - 22639. If we look at the last two candles, it is a huge volume from the support zone as well as selling from the resistance zone. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.76, which has fallen from 0.53, shows a market bullish structure. 22500 is going to be MaxPain. 23000 is very Hard resistance with heavy CE writing. I am expecting: Case 1 : Sideways in the range 22465 - 22639. Case 2 : If the market breaks 22465 to the downside or if the market breaks the upside, it will be bullish. Reasons: RSI < 50 shows a weak bull strength. Price < EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a bearish market. The market has formed a lower high lower low structure in 15-min TH that indicates the market is bearish unless the market tends to form a Higher-High. PCR = 0.76 indicates neutral market behavior. Price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish market. Verdict: Sideways in range also can break to either side. Plan of action : Case 1: Sideways: Sell 22450 PE & 22650 CE (Hedge it with 40/-) Case 2: Exit the loss-making leg once it breaks the channel.
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
4
#Nifty Directions and Levels for May31st.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 31st: The global market continues to show a bearish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market also shows a bearish trend. Today, the market may open with a slight gap-down, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 25 points. Nifty and Banknifty moved in different paths in the last session. What about today? I think it may continue a little bit. OK, let's look at the Nifty chart first. Even though Nifty fell, it had a solid pullback in the last half hour, so even if the market opens with a gap-down, it may try to bounce back initially because the structures suggest that. If this happens, we can expect a range market between the 38% upside resistance and the previous low. if it happens, the second half might enter a correction phase. but This is not necessary, is our first variation. The alternate scenario suggests that if the initial market takes a solid pullback and reaches the 38% Fib level, we can try a breakout entry that may reach the 50% Fib level. If this happens, it could retrace a little bit and continue consolidating further. However, if it breaks 50% after the consolidation, we can expect a rally continuation.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
30 May 2024 - Nifty did not break the 22519 decisively, bearish Over the last 1 week, Nifty hits a new ATH of 23110 and falls 3% ~ 693pts. On a week-2-week basis, we have only fallen 395pts ~ 1.72%. What is more important is that we have started a nice reversal, what needs to be seen is if we get a stronger fall this time. On every other occasion, the dip buyers emerged and ensured our indices were continuing the one-way trip i.e. upwards. Usually, every bull run will have a healthy correction, but in our case - we never even had a decent fall.  Yesterday we went short on Nifty and stayed neutral on BankNifty. Quite happy to see those trades went quite well. Nifty went all the way down to 22417 before retracing the support level of 22519 to close above. If we closed below 22519 today - it would have given a lot of confidence to the bears. Nevertheless, our view still remains bearish for Nifty and neutral for BankNifty. The real momentum should pick up once BN also joins N50 by breaking its support of 48661.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 31 May 24As we discussed, Nifty had a bearish structure; It has fallen by 287 points. If we look at the chart now: The market is trading in the bearish zone below 200 EMA. The market has taken support from the 0.50 Fib level while making a Morningstar pattern with a very nice volume spike. Price is trading below EMAs, showing a weak bull structure. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.53, which has fallen from 0.63, shows a market bearish structure. 22500 is going to be MaxPain. There is significantly more CE writing than PE writing, which shows that, right now, big players are just pushing the market to the downside. I am expecting: Case 1: Inside the Orange trendline, the market is going to be sideways in the range 22465-22613. Case 2: If the market breaks 22465 to the downside, we might see more bearishness to lower levels of 22200. Reasons: RSI < 40 falling from the upside shows a good bearish strength. RSI showing Bullish divergence. Price < EMA(13,200), which indicates a bearish market. The market has formed a lower high lower low structure in 15-min TH that indicates the market is bearish unless the market tends to form a Higher-High. PCR = 0.53 indicates huge bearishness. Price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish market. The market is making Morningstar star, which might force the market to hold the 22465 level. Verdict: Bearish or Sideways Plan of action : Case 1: Sideways: Sell 22450 PE & 22650 CE (Hedge it with 30/-) Case 2: Bearish: 22400 CE (Hedge it with 30/- CE) if the market continues bearish momentum.
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
6
#Nifty Directions and levels for May 30th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 30th: The global market continues to show a bearish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market also shows a bearish trend. Today, the market may open with a slight gap-down, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 70 points. But, I'm not sure if this is due to global issues or contract rollover with GiftNifty. Anyway, let's look at the Nifty direction. Nifty has fallen with some minor swings. If the market opens with a gap-down, then the 38% Fibonacci level might act as a strong support. If it finds support there, then we can expect a pullback of 23 to 38% max. It could be a minor retracement, and if it gets rejected there, then the correction will likely continue. On the other hand, if the pullback structure has a solid candle formation, it might break the 38% Fibonacci level(upside). If it breaks, then we can expect 50 to 61% for the next target. If we want to state this more clearly, it may turn into a range between the upcoming low and the 61% Fibonacci level. This sentiment is also applicable for a neutral to gap-up situation because, as I mentioned, I don't know exactly why GiftNifty is showing a negative sentiment. The alternative scenario is if the gap-down sustains and breaks the immediate support with some consolidation or immediately, then the correction will likely continue.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
Bullish Flag Breakout in SJVNIntroduction: SJVN Limited, a Mini Ratna, Category-I and Schedule –‘A’ CPSE under administrative control of Ministry of Power, Govt. of India, was incorporated on May 24, 1988 as a joint venture of the Government of India (GOI) and the Government of Himachal Pradesh (GOHP). SJVN is now a listed Company having shareholders pattern of 55.00% with Govt. of India, 26.85% with Govt. of Himachal Pradesh and rest of 18.15% with Public. The present paid up capital and authorized capital of SJVN is Rs. 3,929.80 Crore and Rs. 7,000 Crore respectively. The Net Worth as on 31.03.2023 is Rs.13821.97 Crore. Analysis A Weekly Bullish Flag and Pole pattern is visible on the charts of NSE:SJVN The Flag and Pole pattern is a bullish continuation pattern and it is visible in charts after a meaningful appreciation in the price. MACD gave Positive crossover on Daily, Weekly and Monthly chart. So, expecting the momentum to continue. One can create a fresh position in the scrip near Rs.78-81 levels with the stoploss of Rs. 70 on weekly closing basis for the following targets 85.15, 89.25, 96.05, 100.15, 105.65,111.50 and 116 Risk Disclaimer: The trading ideas and analyses presented here are for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involve risk. You should carefully consider your own financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any investment decisions. The information provided in this analysis is based on my personal interpretation of market conditions and the available data at the time of writing. It is subject to change without notice, and I cannot guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information provided. Trading and investing carry the risk of substantial losses, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always be aware that markets can be unpredictable, and prices may move against your trade or investment. It is advisable to seek advice from a qualified financial professional and to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. You should only invest funds that you can afford to lose. I am not responsible for any trades or investments made based on the information presented in this analysis. By reading and using this information, you acknowledge and accept that you are solely responsible for any losses you may incur.
NSE:SJVNLong
by raigvivek
29 May 2024 - 22781 broken and we just went bearishOver the last 2 sessions, we tried to explain why we would have to go directly to bearish from bullish. One of the reasons was that we fell below the level that had 2 double tops in April & May. Secondly, there were no additional support/resistance points in between for a neutral zone. What I am not sure about is, whether we can continue the downward momentum, especially because June 4th is less than a week away. If BJP wins back the 3rd time, the markets should outperform. If they get a lower number of seats - we may lose a lot of ground. Hope my direction is right just in time, over the last 5 to 6 months, my directional strategies were just eating the dirt and bleeding RED. I am also quite aware that a move of 1000+ points could level the mounted losses. For tomorrow we wish to start with a bearish tone and go long if 22781 is breached in the 63mts TF.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 30 May As we discussed, Nifty had a bearish structure; It has fallen by 187 points. If we look at the chart now: The market is trading in the bearish zone. The market is trading near the 0.38 fib level, which might provide a good support zone. But I am expecting the market to further go down till fib 0.50 (22481) levels. All the important levels have been marked on the chart. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.65 shows a market bearish structure. As tomorrow is NIFTY expiry, 22700 is going to provide a max-pain. There is more call writing on higher levels than PE writing on lower levels. The market is likely to end near 22500. Looking at the data, NIFTY might go bearish till 200 EMA. . Reasons: RSI < 40 falling from the upside shows a good bearish strength. EMA(13) > Price > EMA(200), which indicates an indecisive or rather sideways market. The market has formed a lower high lower low structure in 15-min TH that indicates the market is bearish. PCR = 0.65 indicates bearishness. Price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish market. Verdict: Bearish Plan of action : 22700 CE (Hedge it with 10/-) if the market continues bearish momentum. Note: you can target 200 EMA targets.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by finnova_
6
Nifty monthly expiry analysis for 30/05/24.Today nifty after a gap down opening has remained in a 100 points range closing 83 points lower. The daily candle is looking bearish and chance of testing 22580 levels are high, if it starts trading below today's low of 685. Nifty is trading between the moving averages and 20 ema is around the support zone. A bullish leg is there in the market and it is the retracement or profit booking before the election results. On fib levels it can test 38.2% levels. If the levels are breached soon, 580 levels will be tested . Major support levels :- 22680, 22620 Resistance :- 22800, 22880 Tomorrow is monthly expiry and upcoming week there is election results. Bullish reversal can be a possibility in case of a gap up opening. Flat to slightly gap down opening there will negative sentiment on intraday. Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the markets.
NSE:NIFTY
by TheMamboMomentum