#Nifty directions and levels for March 18th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for March 18th: The global market trend remains structurally moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a moderately bearish trend. It might open with a neutral to a slightly gap-down start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a -30 point.
Nifty has a range-bound structure, but the trend suggests correction. So, if the market breaks the previous low, then we can expect further correction. However, that is the final wave of correctional impulse, so if it finds support around 21867 or 50%, then we can expect a minimum of 23 to 38% pullback. On the other hand, if it consolidates or breaks the level of 50%, then the correction will continue further.
Alternatively, if the gap-down doesn't sustain or if it takes a sharp bounceback initially, then it may continue the range further, and we can expect a minimum level of 22146 to 22244.
Niftytradesetup
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 18 Mar 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 18 Mar 2024
Bullish-Above 22130
Invalid-Below 22080
T- 22345 22550
Bearish-Below 21900
Invalid-Above 21950
T- 21634 21400
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note on a bearish note with 2% cut last week. It has got rejected from from 2.618 PRZ in weekly TF which was pretty obvious. Below 21850 we will get a breakout of channel in daily TF. After a bold bearish candle on 13 Mar the next two consecutive candles were inside candles. which is a sign of compression before a big/parabolic move. Below 21900 downside move will be triggered which will be confirmed below 21850 EOD.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22130 then we will long for the target of 22345 and 22550.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 21900. T- 21634 and 21400.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Levels and zones for NIFTY 18-03-2024 ONWARDSNSE:NIFTY
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between zones.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
Nifty50 Analysis: Key Support and Potential Scenarios Ahead of EAs the Nifty50 hovers around the crucial support level of 22,850, traders brace for potential market movements amid the backdrop of upcoming election dates. Here's a breakdown of the current scenario and potential outcomes:Support Level at 22,850:The 22,850 level serves as a pivotal support zone for the Nifty50.A break below this level could signal further downside potential, with a possible decline towards the 21,200 mark.Upside Potential:Conversely, if the index manages to hold above 22,850, it may find resistance-turned-support, paving the way for a move towards 22,800.However, upside momentum could be tempered by the prevailing uncertainty surrounding the upcoming elections.Election Impact:With the announcement of election dates, the market is likely to experience heightened volatility and a sense of ambiguity.Traders should remain cautious and vigilant, as market sentiment may fluctuate in response to political developments.In conclusion, the Nifty50's trajectory hinges on its ability to hold above the critical support level of 22,850 amidst the uncertainty of impending elections. Traders should closely monitor price action and exercise caution amid the prevailing market dynamics.
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 18th MarNifty opened flat on Friday around 22075 and after forming a high around 22120 we saw a selling towards Thursday low 21930 zone but Nifty took support and again reached to 22050 levels.
For Monday, buy Nifty if sustains above 22060 for the targets of 22100 and upper marked levels. On the other side, fresh selling will be triggered if Nifty breaks 21900 on the downside, we may see 21860 and below marked levels on the chart.
Expectations: Volatile Day
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 22060
Sell Below - 21900
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India
15 Mar ’24 — Nifty falls below the support again, goes bearish ⬇Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️
Recap from yesterday: “If you look at the higher time frame, today’s price moves might be between 38.2 to 50% Fibonacci retracement levels and what might have formed could be a lower high.”
4mts chart
Nifty was not able to sustain the gains yesterday, within the opening 15 minutes itself it breached the support level of 22051 and stayed below that for the entire day. Since we broke the SR level, we had to change the stance from neutral to bearish today. Even though we went down, it was not accompanied by a huge momentum or an avalanche build-up. The reason is, the next support level of 21913 was not tested today.
The only reason we pushed through the resistance yesterday was because of NiftyIT. And today NiftyIT started with cuts of -0.9%. Do you agree with me now that the main villain is NiftyIT which is preventing Nifty50 for a smooth directional trend?
On the higher timeframe, looks like the lower high is formed perfectly. It has to be complemented with a new lower low. And when that happens the support of 21913 will have to give away and we might even have to retest the 21491 levels. After reading the “electoral bonds scam” and “small and mid cap stress tests” news, I strongly feel we might have uncertain times ahead, at least for a short while.
63mts chart
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 18 Mar 24As we have discussed in our Video, Nifty is trading at its 200 EMA in 1-H TF, which has been providing very nice support.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the support zone. Also, 22950 provided a nice bullish pullback twice today, which indicates 21950 to be a good support level for now. The market is trading in a Bearish Zone right now. So, avoid naked call buying. You will end up losing theta.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.80, which shows that the market is bullish. 22000 has heavy CE and PE writing. CE writing was significantly more than PE writing, which indicates 22000 will be providing nice resistance for now. Looking at the OI change market, it is sideways.
Looking at the FII Data, we can say the market might open a gap-down.
I am expecting the market to be sideways for 1 or 2 days.
Case 1: Sideways in the range 21950 - 22050.
Case 2: Bullish if the trendline breaks to the upside.
Reasons:
Price < EMA(13, 200) shows market is in bearish trend. Also, EMA(13) << EMA(200), which indicates the market needs some consolidation.
RSI = 48, which is 40-60, indicates the market is going to be sideways.
VWAP ≡ Price means the price is volume balanced. We can expect a move soon.
PCR = 0.80, which shows a bullish sentiment in the market. On the other hand, the 22000 level had massive CE and PE writing. 22000 is going to provide good support and resistance here.
Verdict: Sideways and Bullish.
Plan of Action:
Case 1: Sell 22000 CE & PE. Exit one leg if it breaks the zone. (hedge with 20/- PE)
Case 2: Sell 22000 PE (hedge with 20/- PE)
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 15 Mar 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 15 Mar 2024
Bullish-Above 22210
Invalid-Below 22160
T- 22450 22670
Bearish-Below 22080
Invalid-Above 22130
T- 21840 21600
NIFTY has closed on a bullish note with 0.68% gain today. It gave expected 50% retracement of the fall seen on 13 Mar. Now once again we can expect downside continuation. Key level is 21900 for the continuation of bearish impulse. 22080 is the last swing low so below that we will get a early/internal bearish price structure. Best trade will be in sell side. However if market trades above 22210 then we will see 22450 in intraday.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22210 then we will long for the target of 22450 and 22670,
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22080. T- 21840 and 21600.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty intraday levels for weekly expiry 14/03/24.
Nifty has given a break down of the parallel channel and has closed below the 22k levels after a gap up opening.
Even 20 ema, on the daily chart, is breached and closing is much below it.
Today, not the index even the stock has given bearish move. There were chance of a retest but from the morning nifty was in a bearish mood.
It can given another red candle as there is a bearish divergence in RSI and volume are high.
Either it will retest the break down channel or consolidate after a gap up or flat opening.
Major support levels :- 21920, 21770, 21580
If there is a gap down opening, there can be another selling leg from the morning.
Resistance levels :- 22110, 22250
Tomorrow is weekly expiry for nifty and can be another trending day for it.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Nifty future price action.Nifty future form evening star pattern.
Nifty next up move rally will come, when it close above 22600.
There is major resistance 22490-544.
As per chart, Nifty can short on any rise and stay short till target of 22250 and final target for down side would be 22022.
There is angular trend line support at 22022 with previous GAP.
The level 22022 would act at major support and market may reverse from this level.
Nifty 50 Price ActionA trend line support broken yesterday most probably price will retest, act as resistance and go down. 50 EMA is also on this level make it as strong resistance.
if broken market will go till 22300.
be careful, be watchful and enjoy the trading.
I am not SEBI Registered Advisors. This Idea is purely for training and educational purposes. I shall not be responsible for your profit or loss. All trading strategies should be used at your own risk.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 14 Mar 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 14 Mar 2024
Sell_1- From 22250
Invalid-Above 22300
T- 22050 21900
Sell_2- Below 21900
Invalid-Above 21950
T- 21689 21487
NIFTY has closed on a bold bearish note with 1.51% cut today. It was a good trendy day. Sell triggered below 22250 and hit both mentioned targets till 21910. Yesterday we discussed that index is in distribution phase and breakout of the parallel channel will trigger intraday momentum and will spike VIX. Trader's healthy environment is when VIX is above 15-16. Tomorrow 22250 will be an intraday CIP resistance and half bat PRZ.
Coming to Thursday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes below 21900 then we will short for the target of 21689 and 21487.
2nd short will be planned from 22250. T- 22050 21900.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty view for March endAs per the data ,we can see a RSI divergence in NIFTY in daily time frame, and its not a small rally its may come down a big move like 1500points in nifty ,as we see today in market the small cap and midcap stocks are fall drastically.
soo be caution for investing in stocks still election.
all the upcoming downside we may see in nifty as per the given target in chart.
Note : All the given ideas are only for educational purpose only kindly do the invest on yours.
#nifty #niftyview #march #stockmarket
Nifty Analysis for tomorrow Expiry | 14 March 24As we have discussed, NIFTY has been in the uptrending channel. It has been broken to the downside with huge volume power.
If we look at the chart now:
The market has broken the channel to the downside and is continuing its momentum to the downside.
Whereas 21900 is a good support zone that might provide support. If it's broken, the next support point will be 21500. as marked in the chart.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.50 shows huge bearishness in the market. 22000 is a max pain point for now. On lower levels, there are not many support levels. On higher levels, there is huge CE writing at 22000, 22100, 22200 ... etc.
I am expecting the market to fall more to 21500 levels this week.
Reasons:
RSI < 40 shows weakness in bulls.
price < EMAs shows bearish strengthen market.
PCR = 0.50 shows a bearish market.
price < VWAP indicates bearish sentiment in the market.
Verdict: Bearish
Plan of Action: Sell 21900 CE (Hedge it with 15 premium CE).
FASP levels for Nifty 13/03/2024The FASP for Nifty is listed for 13-03-2024. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities.
What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)?
It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds.
Validity of the levels: 1 Day
How to use these levels?
The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options.
Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area
Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 13 Mar 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 13 Mar 2024
Bullish-Above 22460
Invalid-Below 22410
T- 22665
Bearish-Below 22250
Invalid-Above 22300
T- 22090 21900
NIFTY has closed on an absolute flat note today. It was trading between Mars and Moon but eventually landed on Earth. Till the time index is trading between the parallel channel in daily TF momentum is going to shrink and filled with random moves. Wait for this pattern either side to get a tradable market with VIX above 15. Tomorrow 22460 and 22250 are important levels for watch out for breakout. If index trades between this range then I will not touch it as directional purpose.
Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22460 then we will long for the target of 22660.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22250. T- 22090 and 21900.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
BankNifty Taking Support From Fibb Levels BankNifty Taking Support From Fibb Levels
Today market is extremely volatile. in such a volatile and bleeding market always follow FIBB
Banknifty after a severe crashhh of Straight 700++ points, taking support from FIBB levels 0.50 - 0.618 Levels
Upcoming Positional Target 49000
which is 2000 Points from CMP 47200
as you can see clearly from charts
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 12 Mar 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 12 Mar 2024
Bullish-Above 22450
Invalid-Below 22400
T- 22655
Bearish-Below 22300
Invalid-Above 22350
T- 22090 21900
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note with 0.72% cut today. Sell triggered as per trade setup below 22430 and gave a move till 22310, targets were not achieved although it gave 100+ points gain. Tomorrow 22450 is the key level for a bullish reversal on a flat opening or opening below 22430. In case it opens gap up near 22505 then a sell off can be seen once again. Index has been trading in the parallel channel in daily TF and has been rejected from mid line of that.
Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22450 then we will long for the target of 22655.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22300. T- 22090 and 21900.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
11 Mar ’24 — Nifty above Support, BankNifty just broke oneNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “If US markets advance and take out their ATHs by then, we can expect a huge gap up in the next session. In case the Global macros weaken over the weekend — the Bull’s party could be cut short too.”
4mts chart
Nifty fell 219pts ~ 0.97% intraday and yet it has not broken the support level of 22295. If we had a close below this SR level, we would have changed the stance back to neutral, as it stands the bullish stance continues. The fall was pretty one-sided and had all the characteristics of a profit-booking. The biggest issue we have is that CE short sellers are “weak” handed and they run for cover pretty soon. And every time that happens, the markets go to a higher level just due to momentum. The best time for bears to push down the prices is now, conditions are favorable and we are heading into elections. But they need to be a bit more strong.
On the higher time frame, Nifty has made another higher high and higher low showing the strength of the bullish run. If Nifty50 has to change its character, the price has to fall below 22295 and then below 22051 wherein the higher low will get violated. If 22295 becomes a resistance from there on, then we might even see a triple top formation which should give the Bears an edge. Having said that, the dip buyers are too strong that traders like us feel pissed off. We are witnessing a market that is failing to fall. We all know what would happen if all the participants had a bullish view. Is it not far better if we have a healthy correction and then a new ATH?
63mts chart
Nifty analysis for 12/03/24.Nifty has given a nice break out of the parallel channel and now is retesting it.
On the hourly charts, the market seem to consolidate around the support levels.
If there is a gap up opening, a bullish trade can be captured in the index once it crosses 22420 levels with the targets of ATH.
Major support levels :- 22240, 22170
The market is in a bullish mode and every dip is being bought. Any bullish pattern around the support level can be bought in this scenario.
Even the seller are waiting for the market to short, but the sell off today doesn't seem to effect the bullish mode as it was slow and took time to test the lower levels.
RSI is showing some bearish divergence as the strenght also need to reset and come up for another bullish move.
Major resistance levels :-22420, 22510
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 11 Mar 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 11 Mar 2024
Bullish-Above 22530
Invalid-Below 22480
T- 22710 22850
Bearish-Below 22420
Invalid0Above 22470
T- 22200 21980
NIFTY has closed on a slight bullish note with 0.51% gain last week. Few week back in the weekend analysis it was discussed that index has been trading in a parallel channel in daily TF. Still index has maintained its pattern. This is not an clear impulse I personally feel, rather a stretch or distribution. Clear move will be seen on this pattern breakdown. Till then I have reduced my position size and have been focusing on non direction approach (strangles).
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22530 then we will long for the target of 22710 and 22850.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22420. T- 22200 and 21980.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Weekend Wrap-Up: Nifty & Bank Nifty AnalysisNifty & Bank Nifty look in strong position to march towards higher level,
Nifty is creating a Flag in a 30 min Time frame, breakout is above 22530 level
Bank Nifty has broken out of a Flag in a 30 min time frame, the flag height is 1800 points, target is 49300 level.
Both Indexes placed well !!