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Niftytrading

17 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - Bears are still fighting 🐻🐻Nifty Weekly Analysis We have fallen 201pts ~ 1.03% between the last expiry and today. If you notice the chart below, Nifty is closely following the bearish trend line and we will get a range convergence soon. If the support line of 19309 is not breaking - we will have a bullish reversal. Global macros, India inflation data and other sentiments are pointing for a bearish case though. What will Nifty do? Nifty Daily Analysis I was very much impressed with today’s price action by Nifty. If you notice the trades we had yesterday - it was much contrary to what traders were anticipating. Today we just negated those moves. You might remember the 15.00 candle that went up 45 pts yesterday - it really made no sense. I was thoroughly looking for any events to find out why we had a surge yesterday, but today’s reversal and negation brings back sanity. We had 2 legs for the fall today, the first leg a fall of 83pts till 10.00 and then the second leg of 89pts between 11.05 to 13.00. The options flow did indicate we would have a bear day today, but I seriously thought the 19309 support line may get broken. RELIANCE, ITC, HDFCBK, LT, KOTAKBK, BAJFINANCE were the main losers today and TITAN, ADANIENT, SBIN the main winners. The market depth favored the bears too with 33/50 in red. Finally this is what we have now, the pressure mounting on Nifty50 to breakout or breakdown. Technical Analysis points to a breakout and the Fundamental Analysis hinting at a breakdown due to poor macros. Today’s 99pts fall is giving some hope to the otherwise beaten bears - their first priority tomorrow would be to take out the 19309 support to gather immense downside momentum. I am changing my stance from neutral to 60% bearish & 40% neutral for tomorrow. If you have any questions - please comment below
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
Morning Mantra - 10th August 2023Dear All, So finally we have observed the impact of witnessing a closing of above 19550 for 2 consecutive days, just as it was stated. As after those 2 days, Nifty has ultimately given us a positive closing of approx 19632.55 yesterday. Altogether, the Market is currently in a very choppy mode. Where we can clearly observe the stock specific momentum, which is also due to the ongoing Result season. So, as per the current scenario, we have to keep a track on the important levels of 19300-19550-19800. Where, since Nifty is currently trading above the level of 19550, so we can expect it to move towards the level 19800 with the support of 19550 on closing basis. On the other hand, a closing below 19550, will activate the level of 19300 once again. Therefore, in the meanwhile, be stock specific and keep following the Cherry Picking strategy. Keep Trading! Keep Investing! Regards , Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
Nifty TradeSetup For 08-08-2023Nifty important intraday levels to watch for 08-08-2023 #Support: 19570 Short if candle closes below 19570 #resistance: 19620 Long if candle closes above 19620 #Targets on downside after break of support. Target 1= 19530 Target 2= 19460 #Targets on upside after break of resistance. Target 1= 19680 Target 2= 19735 Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal on either side. Please do your own research before initiating any trade. Always keep stoploss in order to protect your capital. Follow us for more such information and educational ideas. Give it a like if you appreciate the idea. Queries will be answered in comment section.
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestyourAsset
Morning Mantra - 7th of August 2023Dear All, The previous week was in a way quite terrific for us, as Nifty had somehow touched all of its important levels in a week itself, i.e. from 19800-19550-19300 approx. Now, as per the current situation, Nifty has somehow taken a beautiful support at our earlier stated support level of 19300. Which is why, we are still quite optimistic for the psychological figure of 20000 once again, in the upcoming days, with a major resistance of 19800 as of now. Furthermore, before 19800, we have to wait for the level of 19550 on closing basis, for at least 2 consecutive days, in order to get a clear cut indication regarding a further upside. Meanwhile, we have to stay a little cautious with the stop loss of 19300 in the upcoming days. Overall, it is better to be stock specific and to keep rebalancing your portfolio for now, since the Result Season is going on. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
Morning Mantra - 4th August 2023Dear All, Yesterday we had seen the effect of the crucial support level of 19550. Where below this level, Nifty took a sharp dip towards our previous support level of 19300, and from 19300 we had also observe a sharp recovery of around 100 points in Nifty, yesterday itself. Finally yesterday we did somehow witness a major impact of the shooting star formation, which was observed on a weekly chart of Nifty. So, with Nifty’s pull back around our support level, the range of 19550-19300 now becomes activated. Therefore, be cautious today and keep following the Cherry Picking strategy , for now. Moreover, if you had already been Rebalancing your Portfolio, then this is an ideal time to infuse back the capital, little by little. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTY
by alokdaiya
Nifty will break rising channel or support from the channel ?Hope all are doing great. Here’s my 1D timeframe analysis. As we can see in the chart from 18-Nov-2022 to 5-Apr-2023 around 138 days there was a good falling channel pattern. It broke and achieved 3 times the target. The next 138 days from the previous breakout is forming beautiful rising channel pattern. As per the pattern nature it might break below to the given support level 19118. Expecting to touch that support level on or before 22-Aug-2023. I also shared similar analysis for banknifty giving reference below. Always trade carefully with proper SL because it’s your hard earned money. Please note this is just my observation and purely for educational purposes only. Consult with your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by tmvinoth3
Morning Mantra - 3rd August 2023Dear All, So Finally we had witnessed a breakdown of 19550 in Nifty. But, since it is a very minute closing of below 19550, therefore we have to wait for 1 more day for Nifty to decide its move. Furthermore, on observing a hammer formation on the Day chart of Nifty, we are now expecting to witness a little selling pressure in the first half and then a little positive momentum in the later half, Today . Apart from all this, it is better to keep patience for another day and let Nifty decide its next move. In the meanwhile, we hope that you had already booked profits , as we have been repeatedly suggesting about Rebalancing your Portfolio. Also, it is a good time to keep following the Cherry Picking strategy, however, avoid going for over exposure. Keep Investing! Keep Trading! Regards , Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTY
by alokdaiya
Nifty trade Setup for 02-08-2023Nifty important intraday levels to watch for 02-07-2023 #Support: 19710 Short if candle closes below 19710 #resistance: 19765 Long if candle closes above 19765 #Targets on downside after break of support. Target 1= 19630 Target 2= 19560 #Targets on upside after break of resistance. Target 1= 19820 Target 2= 19865 Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal on either side. Please do your own research before initiating any trade. Always keep stoploss in order to protect your capital. Follow us for more such information and educational ideas. Give it a like if you appreciate the idea. Queries will be answered in comment section.
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestyourAsset
Morning Mantra - 2nd August 2023Dear All, It was indeed quite a choppy day yesterday. Where somehow the unfortunate thing is that it has been for back to back 2 days that Nifty is failing to cross over the level of 19800. Although, on the other hand, Nifty is currently above 19550 and just as we had stated earlier, it seems that Nifty is creating a platform for another new high. So, once again with the stop loss of 19550, keep rebalancing your portfolio and keep following the Cherry Picking Strategy for now for the magical and psychological figure of 20000. Happy Trading! Keep Investing! Regards , Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
Morning Mantra - 1st August 2023Dear All, Just as we had stated yesterday that after observing the formation of a Doji pattern on the Day chart, we are expecting a bounce back in Nifty. Likewise, we did experience the same yesterday itself. Another positive factor here is that we can now observe the formation of a Hammer pattern on the chart of Nifty. So it is somehow indicating a further uprise in the Market, which altogether is being expected to be witnessed today itself. So, once again we are with our words that above 19800 , we will be ready for our psychological figure of 20000. Furthermore, in the meanwhile with the stop loss of 19550, continue Rebalancing your Portfolio and keep following the Cherry Picking Strategy for now. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
Morning Mantra - 31st July 2023Dear All, Just as we had stated in the last week , about witnessing a supply pressure in Nifty as a result of observing a Shooting Star formation on the weekly chart. Likewise, the same was observed in the previous week itself. Now for this week, as per the Day chart setup, we can observe a Doji formation on the chart. Which altogether indicates that in a very short term, we can get to witness a little bounce back in Nifty. However, on the other hand, as per the Weekly chart, there’s still an indication of a little supply pressure . Although we had already stated about the necessity of witnessing either a breakout of 19800 or breakout of 19550 in Nifty. So, according to that Nifty took a beautiful support just around our stated level of 19550, as it made a low of 19563 on the last Friday. Therefore, on this positive note we are still with our words that the overall market sentiments still seem to be positive. So, with the stop loss of 19550, continue rebalancing your portfolio and keep following the Cherry picking strategy, for now. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
Morning Mantra - 28th July 2023Dear All, Just as we had stated yesterday, about our expectation of witnessing a selling pressure . Likewise the same was observed in the Market yesterday itself. Moreover, yesterday Nifty made a low of 19603, which was somehow very near to our stated support level of 19550 (with a difference of only 50 points approx). Furthermore, since today is the last trading of the week, therefore we have to be quite cautious. As once again, there’s a probability of witnessing some supply pressure in the Market. Last but not the least, as of now it will be very important for us to witness a closing of above 19550 in Nifty. Regards , Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTY
by alokdaiya
Morning Mantra - 27th July 2023Dear All, Just as we had stated yesterday about witnessing a bounce back in Nifty. Likewise the same was observed in the Market, yesterday itself. So as per the current scenario, Nifty somehow seems to be creating a platform in between the levels of 19800-19550. Therefore, in such a situation we have to be stock specific and have to keep rebalancing our portfolio. Moreover, since today is the day of weekly settlement, therefore we have also to be cautious for the day. In the meanwhile, with the stop loss of 19550 , we can continue following the Cherry Picking strategy for now. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
Morning Mantra - 26th July 2023Dear All, From back to back 2 days, we have been witnessing a supply pressure in Nifty. Where on the other hand, we have also been witnessing a stock specific momentum in the Market. Well on the day chart of Nifty, we can now observe a beautiful hammer formation . So, here we are expecting to witness a bounce back in Nifty, Today . Furthermore, it is being expected that as of now Nifty will continue to make a platform in between its range of 19800-19550. So, for now with the stop loss of 19550, continue Rebalancing your Portfolio and keep following the Cherry Picking Strategy. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
Morning Mantra - 25th July 2023Dear All, Just as we had stated yesterday about witnessing a supply pressure from the current levels as a result of the shooting star formation on the weekly chart of Nifty. Likewise the very same was observed in the Market yesterday itself. For now, the level of 19550 will remain to be the level of support for Nifty. With which, we can continue following the Cherry Picking strategy and Rebalancing of the Portfolio. Furthermore, now an either side movement of a fresh breakout of above 20000 or a breakdown of 19550 will decide the next move of Nifty. Till then, Keep Trading, Keep Investing! Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
Morning Mantra - 24th July 2023Dear All, Just as we had stated in our last Morning Mantra update on Friday, that since the Index had almost achieved its psychological target of 20000, therefore a little profit booking is expected to be witnessed at the current levels. Likewise, the very same was observed on Friday itself, since after showing a Gap Down opening, we got to see a substantial selling pressure in Nifty. Well, now we can observe the formation of a Shooting Star pattern on the weekly chart of Nifty. So, a little more supply pressure can be witnessed here from the current levels. Furthermore, the level of 19550 which earlier was a level of Resistance, will now work as a level of support for the Market. Besides, since the overall market sentiments is still positive with the stop loss of 19550 . Therefore, can keep following the Cherry picking strategy and can continue Rebalancing your Portfolio, as of now. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTY
by alokdaiya
Morning Mantra - 21st July 2023Dear All, Finally yesterday, Nifty had almost achieved its target level of 20000, as it was just missed by 10 points. As of now the concern is that we are on the top, so here once again cautiousness will be the important tool. Moreover, since today is the last trading day of the week, so it will be suggested to be stock specific and to keep rebalancing your portfolio. Furthermore, since the Market is now trading in a new territory, so it is somehow very difficult to predict the next move of Nifty. But since, the Index has almost reached its psychological target of 20000, therefore a little profit booking can be witnessed here at the current levels. So, be cautious. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya
Morning Mantra - 20th July 2023Dear All, So yesterday was altogether a roller coaster day for the Market, where Nifty opened at 19802.95, then gradually made a low of 19727.45 during the day and then finally gave us a positive closing of 19833.15 However, the formation of a Hanging Man pattern on the Day chart setup is somehow indicating that a little supply pressure can be witnessed here, once again. Moreover, since today is the day of weekly settlement, therefore being cautious here, will be a better idea as the day can be crucial today. Also, can avoid being too aggressive regarding the Market. Furthermore, with the stop loss of 19550-19300 on immediate basis, can keep following the Cherry Picking strategy as of now. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTY
by alokdaiya
Morning Mantra - 19th July 2023Dear All, On observing the yesterday’s market momentum, it seemed like it was altogether a Rest day for Nifty. As after making a high of 19819.45 and a low of 19690.20, Nifty finally made a closing in an indecisive mode , with no clear cut indication. Besides, in the midst of all this, the positive data from the FII, along with the IT sector’s positive contribution is somehow or the other providing strength to the market. So, yet again we are still with our words to continue following the Cherry picking and to keep Rebalancing the Portfolio, with an immediate stop loss of 19300. Regards, Alok Daiya SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NSE:NIFTYLong
by alokdaiya