Nifty 50 correction – where will it end?Sep 11, 2024
In our last update on Nifty 50, we predicted that the upward move of B wave should end near 78.6% Fib level, which is the max it would go.
The correction of B wave post Zig-zag A retraces anywhere between 38.2% to 78.6%. The B wave followed this rule and ended at 61.8%.
After the completion of B wave, we saw the beginning of C wave. Wave C follows the following two rules: -- Wave C is often equal to wave A in length or a Fibonacci ratio of 61.8%, 100%, or 161.8%. Also, Wave C should not be shorter than wave A.
As per the above rules and the main characteristics of a Zig-zag correction being that it fits within a channel, the downside target of C wave could be 61.8% Fib level comes to 24,772.
If C wave has to touch the bottom of the channel, it would go down by a further 50 to 60 points, so the target could be around 24,725.
Also, the C wave would be a 5-wave pattern like the A wave.
Let’s see if Nifty 50 follows the rule or not.
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Niftytrend
Nifty Intraday Levels | 11-SEP-2024#Optionbuyers
#Niftyoptionscalping
1️⃣ Zones you always Like:-
👉Green zone- Institutional support
👉Red zone - Institutional resistance
👉Gap between institutional zones is always of 100 points
👉Zone is created with the help of pivot points and Fibonacci
👉Advance version of price action
👉Trades based on Nifty future chart
2️⃣ Trade Execution:-
👉Trade based on order flow data
👉Timeframe - 1 min and 5 min
👉Risk Reward Ratio always 1:2
👉Strike price always ATM & slightly ITM
👉Maintain Position sizing according to your own method
3️⃣ House Rules in trading:-
👉Sharp at 9:15 AM
👉Priority to risk management
👉Fast execution (morning breakfast)
👉Stop-loss 10 points (strictly)
#ThankU For Checking Out Our IDEA , We Hope U Liked IT 📌
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✍️COMMENT Below your view !
#Nifty directions and levels for September 11th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 11th.
Market Overview:
Global markets are maintaining a moderately bearish trend, as indicated by the Dow Jones, while our local market has a moderately bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open neutral to slightly gap-down, as SGX Nifty is indicating a negative move of around -30 points at 8 AM.
In the previous session, Nifty had a solid pullback, but Bank Nifty behaved differently, as it didn't pull back as much. Today’s basic structure suggests a minor correction, which we can analyze in the charts.
Nifty:
In the previous session, Nifty closed more or less at the same level it opened, even though there was a long pullback. This is what we usually refer to as range-bound market movement. The market remains in a range. What about today?
> If the gap-down sustains, we can expect a 50% to 61% correction in the minor swing, potentially forming a three-wave structure.
> A solid correction is expected only if it breaks the 61% level. If it does, then the next target is 78% and 24834. On the other hand, if it doesn't break, the market will likely form a minor range between the previous day’s high and the 61% downside level.
Alternate View:
An alternate scenario suggests that if the market opens with a gap-up or if the initial movement is a solid pullback, it may reach the 78% Fibonacci level, especially if it breaks the previous day’s high.
> In this case, if it doesn't break the previous high, the market may consolidate around that level.
NIFTY elliott wave anaysisNifty is in 4th wave.. low made 24750.
one leg on upside is still pending for 5th wave.
Any dip is still buying opportunity.
important level on downside and support is near 24770
and upside immediate resistance to watch 25285
expecting to move sideways between above to level for consolidation.
Disclaimer : study is for educational purpose.. i am not SEBI registered.
Nifty 50 correction – is it over or still going on?Sep 10, 2024
After hitting a high of 25,333, Nifty began moving down.
On the hourly chart, we can see that Nifty has formed a Zig-zag correction.
The uptrend is most likely the formation of corrective B wave.
The B wave should complete around Fib level 78.6%.
After that, we should see the downtrend again in the form of C wave.
One of the main characteristics of a Zig-zag correction is that it fits within a channel. Also, the end of wave C often coincides with significant support or resistance levels.
You can also draw the channel on your own chart and mark significant support/resistance levels to understand the potential ending point for C wave.
Share the name of the stock you're interested in, and we'll be more than happy to conduct a thorough analysis for you.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 11.09.2024On Tuesday, Nifty opened with a gap up, reaching a high of 25130.50, touching the 75m supply zone mentioned in the previous post. It then fell over 100 points from the top, closing at 25041.10, gaining 104 points from the previous day's close. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend (50 SMA) is sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (30m): 24908 - 24961
Far Demand/Support Zone (75m): 24678.80 - 24745.50
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 24523 - 24636
Far Support: 24444 (61.8% FIBO retracement of the last rally)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Weekly): 23893.70 - 24367.50
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 25095.45 - 25130.50
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 25127.75 - 25198.60 (tested)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 25235.80 - 25321.65
#Nifty directions and levels for September 10th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 10th.
Market Overview:
Global markets are showing a moderately bearish trend, as indicated by the Dow Jones, and our local market reflects a similar sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a gap-up, as SGX Nifty is indicating a positive move of around +45 points at 8 AM.
Nifty and Bank Nifty are showing slightly different. Bank Nifty had a strong pullback in the previous session, but Nifty did not. Typically, when the market breaks the 38% Fibonacci level after a sharp decline, it suggests a range-bound market. So, today might see some consolidation, which we can track on the charts.
Nifty:
Current View:
> If the market sustains the gap-up, we can expect the next target to be the 61% Fibonacci level on the upside. After that, if it consolidates there or breaks it then the rally will likely continue.
> On the other hand, if it rejects this level, the market might close near today’s opening level.
Alternate View:
> Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn’t sustain or if the market rejects around the 50% resistance level, it may retrace to a minimum of 38% in the minor swing. However, the correction will only continue if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level. If that happens, we can expect the next corrective target to be 50% and 78% in the minor swing.
> on the other hand, If the rejection doesn’t break the 38% Fibonacci level, the market may consolidate between the previous high and the 38% Fibonacci level.
> In this case, if it breaks the previous high after consolidation, we can follow the pullback.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 10.09.2024On Monday, Nifty opened with a gap down, breaking below the near-demand zone but recovered to close at 24936.40. If Nifty breaks below Monday's low of 24753, we might see a decline toward 24636 or lower. On the upside, the major resistance zone is at 25128. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend (50 SMA) is sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 24523 - 24636
Far Support: 24444 (61.8% FIBO retracement level of the last rally)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Weekly): 23893.70 - 24367.50
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (5m): 25049 - 25084
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 25127.75 - 25198.60
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 25235.80 - 25321.65
Nifty Intraday Levels | 9-SEP-2024#Optionbuyers
#Niftyoptionscalping
1️⃣ Zones you always Like:-
👉Green zone- Institutional support
👉Red zone - Institutional resistance
👉Gap between institutional zones is always of 100 points
👉Zone is created with the help of pivot points and Fibonacci
👉Advance version of price action
👉Trades based on Nifty future chart
2️⃣ Trade Execution:-
👉Trade based on order flow data
👉Timeframe - 1 min and 5 min
👉Risk Reward Ratio always 1:2
👉Strike price always ATM & slightly ITM
👉Maintain Position sizing according to your own method
3️⃣ House Rules in trading:-
👉Sharp at 9:15 AM
👉Priority to risk management
👉Fast execution (morning breakfast)
👉Stop-loss 10 points (strictly)
#ThankU For Checking Out Our IDEA , We Hope U Liked IT 📌
🙏FOLLOW for more !
👍LIKE if useful !
✍️COMMENT Below your view !
#Nifty directions and levels for September 9th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 9th.
Market Overview:
Global markets are showing a bearish trend, as indicated by the Dow Jones, and our local market reflects a similar sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a gap down, as SGX Nifty is indicating a negative move of around -80 points.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced a solid correction in the previous session. Structurally, we can expect today's movement to shift from correction to consolidation, and we can check the charts to see how this is likely to unfold since both Nifty and Bank Nifty are showing the same sentiment.
Nifty:
Current View:
Gift Nifty is indicating a negative start, but when we look at the wave structure, we can see a 5th sub-wave within the 3rd wave (minor swing). Structurally, further long correction seems less probable, so if the market faces rejection around the immediate support level, we may see a bounce back of 23% to 38% in the minor swing. According to the wave structure, this bounce back could be the 4th wave. This is our first scenario.
Alternate View:
If the correction doesn't result in a pullback or if the market breaks the immediate support level decisively, the 3rd wave could extend further to levels between 24,717 and 24,672.
> In this case, we should focus on the structure, as the 5th wave is a distribution wave. If the market breaks the support level with a solid candle or consolidates around it, the correction will likely continue further. However, if the market approaches the support level gradually, it may not fall significantly.
Nifty 50 Weekly Analysis: Key Levels, Trends
As we step into this trading week, the Nifty 50 index presents a mix of both bearish and bullish sentiments, driven by recent market movements and option chain data. Here’s a comprehensive look at the possible scenarios and the trading strategies to consider.
1. Market Overview and Current Sentiment
**1-Hour Chart Analysis:**
Looking at the 1-hour chart, Nifty 50 has seen a recent pullback after touching highs around 25,333.65. The index faced strong resistance at the 25,252.25 level and has since been in a correction phase, breaking below the 25,000 mark. This downward movement suggests bearish sentiment in the short term, especially after breaking the support level at 25,018.60. The key level to watch on the downside is 24,338.60, which has acted as significant support in the past.
**15-Minute Chart Analysis:**
The 15-minute chart further confirms the short-term bearish trend. After a sharp drop below 24,900, there is some consolidation seen around the 24,850-24,880 range. However, any inability to move above the 24,988.75 level may continue to attract selling pressure.
2. Key Levels to Watch for the Week
Resistance Levels:
25,018.60: Immediate resistance level, where a breakout may indicate a reversal.
25,167.35 - 25,252.25:** Strong resistance zone; crossing above this could change the market sentiment to bullish.
- **Support Levels:**
- **24,868.50:** Short-term support; a breakdown below could accelerate selling.
- **24,338.60:** Critical support zone; breaking below this may suggest a deeper correction.
### **3. Option Chain Analysis and Sentiment**
Analyzing the option chain data, we see a higher concentration of Open Interest (OI) in the 25,000-25,200 call strikes, indicating significant resistance and bearish sentiment among the call writers. On the put side, strong support is visible at the 24,500 level with substantial put OI, suggesting that bulls may defend this level.
- **Put-Call Ratio (PCR):** The current PCR is moderately bullish but with cautious optimism. Traders should watch for any changes in OI shifts for directional clues.
### **4. Predicted Market Trend for the Week:**
- **Short-Term Bias:** Bearish, unless Nifty decisively moves above 25,018.60.
- **Long-Term Bias:** Neutral to Bullish, provided key supports hold, especially at 24,338.60.
### **5. Trading Strategies for the Week**
- **Intraday/MIS Trades:**
- **Bullish Strategy:** Buy above 25,018.60 with a target of 25,167.35 and 25,252.25. Stop Loss at 24,900.
- **Bearish Strategy:** Short below 24,850 with a target of 24,750 and 24,600. Stop Loss at 24,988.75.
Carryforward Trades:
- **Bullish Positional Trade:** Enter long positions if Nifty sustains above 25,252.25, with a target of 25,400 and 25,500.
- **Bearish Positional Trade:** Consider shorting if Nifty breaks and sustains below 24,338.60, targeting 24,000.
### **6. Sector Analysis for the Week**
- **Banks:** Showing mixed trends; Bank Nifty could remain volatile, so focus on shorting at resistance levels.
- **IT Sector:** Seems relatively stable, with some signs of consolidation. Consider buying on dips.
- **Auto and FMCG: Showing resilience; long trades are suggested if the market sentiment improves.
Conclusion
This week, Nifty 50 is at a critical juncture with the potential for both upward and downward movements. Keeping an eye on the key levels and adopting a flexible trading strategy will be essential. Stay cautious and watch for early signs of trend changes, especially in the context of global cues and market sentiment.
#Nifty Directions and levels for the 2nd Week of S
Global Market Overview
Last week, the global market had four red candles, which suggests that the negative trend might continue this week as well. But if you ask, "Will this correction go on for two or three more weeks?" my answer is no. The market structure shows that if it keeps correcting, it may find support near the previous low. If that happens, the market could start moving sideways. This is the current global market sentiment.
Our Market
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty followed the global sentiment last week. Structurally, we can expect further correction. Let’s look at the charts. However, both Nifty and Bank Nifty share the same overall structure.
Nifty
In Friday’s session, the Dow Jones closed with a solid red candle, so the first session of the week may open negatively. If this occurs, we can expect a correctional target of the 61% Fibonacci level on the downside. In the meantime, it may consolidate around the 50% level (24716).
> In this case, the 61% Fibonacci level serves as a key support zone. After the market reaches this level, we could see a bounce back of about 23% to 28% in the current swing. This is our first scenario.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 09.09.2024On Friday, Nifty opened a gap down due to negative global cues and heavy selling pressure, breaking the near-daily demand zone and entering the far-daily demand zone mentioned in the previous post. It closed at 24852.15, losing 293 points. If Nifty does not sustain above 24771, we may see a further decline towards 24523 - 24636 or even lower. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend (50 SMA) has shifted from positive to sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 24771 - 24859 (current price inside this zone)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 24523 - 24636
Far Support (61.8% FIBO Retracement Level): 24444
Far Demand/Support Zone (Weekly): 23893.70 - 24367.50
Resistance Levels:
Near minor Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 24916 - 24959
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (5m): 25049 - 25084
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 25127.75 - 25198.60
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 25235.80 - 25321.65
Nifty Rebound Ahead: Watch for a Monday Low Before the Climb!Nifty is Poised for a gap down on monday but looks like it has a strong support at 24700-650 levels, if it sustains that then should see a rebounce till 25050 levels.
100 EMA is at the current level 24850 levels as well !!
Its going to be a volatile week ahead !!
Nifty weekly analysis for 09/09/2024.The index after a long time has given some momentum on intraday basis and closed below the psycological number of 25k.
A bearish engulfing candle on the weekly time frames shows some weakness on the charts. If the market starts trading below the 24800 levels, there are chances of testing lower levels.
Hourly 200 ema is also around the support zone, while the daily candle closed below the 20 ema.
Major support levels :- 25800, 24600, 24230
Resistance levels :- 24960, 25100
The level and the pattern formed around it shows a significant bearish upcoming move in the market.
There are chance of market testing the lower levels as the market cycle seems to chance.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
06 Sep 2024 - Nifty loses 380 pts, will Bear attack start now ?Nifty Stance Neutral ➡️
Nifty has only fallen 379.95pts ~ 1.5% this week and it is pretty early to go bearish, but the structure gives a lot of hope for a bear attack. You all might agree that we are in an overvalued territory, even if we fall 20%, we might still be overvalued.
If you look at the daily candle, a strong double top is forming. For conclusive evidence, the markets have to trade below 24086, which is 3.2% lower than the current levels.
US markets fell last week and have a better-looking double top than ours. Again for conclusive evidence, we may need SPX to trade below 5137 which is like 5% below current levels.
I am maintaining a neutral stance and would like to go short if 24537 is getting taken out next week. Personally, I do not see us dropping below 24200 this week (I have short positions @ 24200 PE and may have to run for cover if we test those levels by Tuesday).
Nifty for the week 9.9.2024 to 13.09.2024Nifty broke 25000 levels and also trend line . on Monday if it breaks 24800, then the fall may be up to 24370 and can extend up to 23610, 22550. On the other hand if it breaks and closes above 24940 in one hour candle, then there may be shot rally.
Buy above 24940
sell below 24800
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This only for educational purpose.
Sideways September?
As marked on the Monthly time frame of Nifty
- During an upmove in the market when such hanging man pattern is formed,
- The following month has shown Bearish/Sideways movement in the market
- Similar "Hanging man" candle can be observed for the month of August
As of now since the commencement of September trading month we have seen a fall of 481 points / 1.9% from the ATH from 25333.65 to 24852.15
Bringing Nifty to its crucial level that acted as resistance for the month of August
- There's a possibility this level can turn into CIP and act as a support
- If this level breaks, next support can be seen at the levels of 24150 / Approximately 4.5% from ATH giving good buying opportunities in Equity as well