NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 14 Aug 24NIFTY has shown a full sell-off today after the Heisenberg report on the SEBI chairperson.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading near the support area of 24000. The market has been receiving good support from this zone and is expected to take it again. However, as the market has bearish sentiments right now, it might break the level and continue the bearish momentum till 23500.
Support levels: 23980, 23506
Resistance levels: 24441, 200 EMA, 24696
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.55 shows bearish market behavior. There has been a huge PE sell-off today, which shows bulls are not trusting the market anymore and come out. There is too much CE writing at higher levels than PE writing at lower levels, which shows a high chance of a bearish market in the upcoming session.
I am expecting the market to follow 3 cases which are marked on the chart.
Case 1 : If it breaks to the downside, it might take minor support at 24000, but it breaks to the downside and can give huge targets till 23500.
Case 2 : If 24000 holds, it might get stuck in a range of 24000-24200.
Case 3 : If it stays in the channel, it can become bullish and have targets of 24441.
Reason:
RSI < 40, showing the market is going to be in a bearish structure.
The Price is trading in a good support zone. It takes support and might end up sideways.
PCR = 0.53 shows that the market is huge Bearish.
Price < VWAP shows a Bearish market structure.
Verdict: Bearish or Sideways.
Plan of action:
Wait for 15 min candle. Wait for good price action on the 24000 levels, and make your positions based on cases accordingly.
Niftytrend
Nifty50 weekly expiry analysis for14/08/24.Nifty is trading in a parallel channel and is around the support trendline. From the last week sell the markets recovered and are now again around the lower levels.
Daily 20 ema has been creating a resistance for the market and a good rejection is seen from that level.
Even on the smaller time frame, market is trading below the moving averages, which signifies a bearish market.
Fibonnaci and the price action are also looking bearish on the daily charts.
Tomorrow is the weekly expiry for both the indices and a chance of seeing a follow through candle are there, if there is a flat to slight gap up opening (around 24150-180).
A huge gap up will create confusion and market may form a doji candle.
Major support levels :- 24090, 24000, 24910
Resistance levels :- 24225, 24320
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
#Nifty directions and levels for August 13th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for August 13th.
Market Overview
Both global and local markets have been trading within a minor range. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start because the SGX Nifty is indicating a negative 20-point move.
Nifty Analysis
Nifty showing a diagonal pattern. In the previous session, nifty had significant swings, but it closed near neutral by the end of the day. If we simplify it, we can say it's a range market. However, structurally, it’s a diagonal pattern, and there’s no real difference between the two because both are time adjustment patterns.
So, we should wait for a breakout from this range, whether to the upside or downside. If it breaks out, we can expect only a minor trend initially because the structure suggests there isn’t a big move ahead. But if we see a solid breakout candle, then we can expect stronger momentum. This forms our basic structure. However, if the range isn’t broken, the market will likely continue moving within it.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 13.08.2024On Monday, Nifty opened with a gap down but managed to recover over 250 points from the day's low, reaching a high of 24472.80 before closing slightly lower at 24347, down by 20 points. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend (50 SMA) is sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 24219 - 24266
Far Demand/Support Zone (15m): 24079 - 24118
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 23960 - 24077
Major Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23350 - 23667
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24686 - 24745
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24754 - 24835
Nifty Intraday Levels | 12-AUG-2024#Optionbuyers
#Niftyoptionscalping
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#Nifty directions and levels for August 12th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for August 12.
Market Overview
Both global and local markets have been trading within a minor range. Today, the market may open with a neutral start because the SGX Nifty is indicating a positive 5-point move.
Nifty and Bank Nifty share the same range-bound market sentiment. Let's take a closer look:
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty closed with consolidation after a significant gap-up. If the market breaks the previous high, then we can expect a minor rally, but not a big one. A big rally is expected only if the breakout occurs with a solid green candle and some consolidation around the immediate resistance level. However, if this doesn't happen, the market may reject at that level and continue in its current range, which is our first scenario.
Alternatively, if the market initially declines, the 38% Fibonacci level will act as a key support. If the market finds support there, the range-bound movement may continue. On the other hand, if it breaks below the 38% level, we can expect the correction to continue.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 12 Aug 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 12 Aug 2024
Bullish-Above 24420
Invalid-Below 24370
T- 24640
Bearish-Below 24300
Invalid-Above 34350
T- 24080
NIFTY has closed on with 1.42% cut last week. However it has formed a Pinbar candle in weekly TF which shows that bulls tried gripping once again after sharp drop due to global cues. Above 24420 bulls will try to take take charge however I doubt the momentum in favor. 23900 is an important market structure level in daily TF below which it will confirm a bearish trend in short term. Overall market looks sell on rise. Friday's candle is an indecision candle, high/low being trigger point.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24420. T- 24640 and 24855.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 24300. T- 24080.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this
#Nifty directions and levels for the 3rd week of August.Good evening, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for the 3rd week of August:
Global Market Overview
In the previous week, global markets experienced a consolidation after a sharp decline, which indicates that the market is structurally bearish. So, what about this week? My expectation is that the bearish sentiment might continue because the US market will release PPI and inflation data, which could be a key factor in determining the next direction.
Nifty and Bank Nifty
Last week, Nifty and Bank Nifty saw significant ups and downs, but this movement happened within a range. So, what about this week? Let's break it down.
As per the chart, both Nifty and Bank Nifty have a similar range-bound structure. However, the market closed at the top of this range by the end of the week. So, if the market starts with a bullish bias, it may reach the swing high once again. This is because, as we mentioned in the previous post, if the market breaks the 50% level in the minor swing, it will lose the strength of the current trend. If this happens, it may reach the Fibonacci levels of 61% to 78% on the upside. However, there are two variations for the bullish sentiment.
For Nifty:
1. First Variation: If the initial day's candle closes with a solid bar, then the market may continue the pullback with minor consolidation around the Fibonacci level of 61% in the upcoming sessions.
2. Second Variation: If the market faces rejection around the top of the channel or if the week starts with a negative candle, then the range-bound market may continue further.
Why did I mention the diagonal pattern? (Second Variation:)
because the previous structure also looks like an expanding diagonal, and the pullback also broke the 38% level. So, both conditions suggest a minor reversal. However, don't expect a major move because a diagonal is an accumulation pattern when it forms at the bottom of a trend, so it could take some time for the next movement.
The Bearish Variation:
The bearish variation suggests that if the market potentially breaks the channel, then it may continue the correction. There are some minor levels to watch, which is typical. If the market breaks the 38% level in the minor swing, we can expect the next target to be 78%. It may resemble a diagonal pattern, but there is a key difference:
> that, if the correction follows this variation, the decline could be sharp and fast.
> However, a diagonal typically doesn’t have much volume and usually faces rejection before the channel breakout.
Nifty at a Glance: This Week's Market MomentumNifty Outlook: A Pivotal Week Ahead
Nifty remains weak as we enter a crucial week. The index faces stiff resistance at 24,450. A close above this level could open the door to 24,725, but failure to hold it may trigger a drop. Key support lies at 24,150; breaching this could lead to a decline towards 23,850.
Adding to the bearish tone, Nifty has broken down from a Rising Wedge pattern, with a potential target around 21,300. This week is critical—watch these levels closely as the market navigates this pivotal phase.
Nifty Direction Going forward for next one monthRecently came across this great indicator (rightly got EP note), Adaptive Trend Finder (log), by @Julien_Eche:
Per the suggestion, in the Logarithmic chart of NSE:NIFTY , we applied this twice. Once with Long Term trend plotting (light purple channel) and another short term trend (light green channel).
Then just for fun, applied @LuxAlgo ECHO forecaster:
The result is surprising!
(Made sure the Adaptive Trend Finder's short term Auto selected period is set as the Evaluation Window in ECHO and Forecast window set to 20 .. next one month).
We found out that #NIFTY price action, per LuxAlgo ECHO prediction for next 20 days going to retest the Adaptive Trend Finder's short term bottom channel!!
So per this setup (two Adaptive Trend Finders and LuxAlgo ECHO forcaster in Daily timeframe on Nifty):
Nifty going to very range bound for couple of days (24500/24200).
Then it shall going to fill up the Yen Carry Trade gap and shall rise upto ~24800-ish level.
Then it shall fall back to re-test the short term Adaptive Trend Finders's bottom channel of the 24000/23900 level.
There it will exhibit some indications of taking support and bound back (how far? - yet to see).
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Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 12.08.2024On Friday, as expected, Nifty opened with a gap-up and maintained its strength throughout the day, closing at 24367 with a 250-point gain. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend (50 SMA) is sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 24079 - 24118
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23960 - 24077
Major Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23350 - 23667
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24686 - 24745
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24754 - 24835
Nifty Weekly Analysis For 12-08-24 to 16-08-24Nifty Weekly Analysis For 12-08-24 to 16-08-24
24580-24680 is the Major Resistance for Next Week.
24000-24500 is the Sideways Range for Nifty.
XABCD Activated Below 24070. Now Nifty is giveng a Pullback.
Short Confirmation is Below 23880 for the Targets of 23680/23480.
Long Level for Monday is Above 24500 for the Targets of 24600/24700.
Short Level for Monday is Below 24300 for the Targets of 24200/24080.
We can see fresh upside move ONLY above 24700.
View: Downside to Sideways.
Nifty50 (Weekly)Thers a Fib Gap pending at 25095 so there's a high possibility to fill the above gap .
If rejects from the above level then it could test below target marked on the chart .
23350--23700 imp support range
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.