06 Sep 2024 - Nifty loses 380 pts, will Bear attack start now ?Nifty Stance Neutral ➡️
Nifty has only fallen 379.95pts ~ 1.5% this week and it is pretty early to go bearish, but the structure gives a lot of hope for a bear attack. You all might agree that we are in an overvalued territory, even if we fall 20%, we might still be overvalued.
If you look at the daily candle, a strong double top is forming. For conclusive evidence, the markets have to trade below 24086, which is 3.2% lower than the current levels.
US markets fell last week and have a better-looking double top than ours. Again for conclusive evidence, we may need SPX to trade below 5137 which is like 5% below current levels.
I am maintaining a neutral stance and would like to go short if 24537 is getting taken out next week. Personally, I do not see us dropping below 24200 this week (I have short positions @ 24200 PE and may have to run for cover if we test those levels by Tuesday).
Niftytrend
Nifty for the week 9.9.2024 to 13.09.2024Nifty broke 25000 levels and also trend line . on Monday if it breaks 24800, then the fall may be up to 24370 and can extend up to 23610, 22550. On the other hand if it breaks and closes above 24940 in one hour candle, then there may be shot rally.
Buy above 24940
sell below 24800
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This only for educational purpose.
Sideways September?
As marked on the Monthly time frame of Nifty
- During an upmove in the market when such hanging man pattern is formed,
- The following month has shown Bearish/Sideways movement in the market
- Similar "Hanging man" candle can be observed for the month of August
As of now since the commencement of September trading month we have seen a fall of 481 points / 1.9% from the ATH from 25333.65 to 24852.15
Bringing Nifty to its crucial level that acted as resistance for the month of August
- There's a possibility this level can turn into CIP and act as a support
- If this level breaks, next support can be seen at the levels of 24150 / Approximately 4.5% from ATH giving good buying opportunities in Equity as well
Nifty50 Negative Divergence on RSI with BEARISH ENGULFING##1. Nifty50 now showing negative divergence on RSI with Bearish Engulfing on Weekly Charts.
2. Sell below 24811 with SL 25011 for Targets 24444, 24011.
3. If Nifty50 break 24011 then it may fall till 23333 levels.
I will regular update the levels for Nifty50 according with its movement. Trade with proper risk management & Happy Trading
NIFTY50 - TIME TO SELL ?Symbol - Nifty50
Nifty50 is currently trading at 24840
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting Nifty Futures at CMP 24840
I will be adding more if 25000 comes & will hold with SL 25200
Targets I'm expecting are mentioned in the chart above.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Nifty Intraday Levels | 6-SEP-2024#Optionbuyers
#Niftyoptionscalping
1️⃣ Zones you always Like:-
👉Green zone- Institutional support
👉Red zone - Institutional resistance
👉Gap between institutional zones is always of 100 points
👉Zone is created with the help of pivot points and Fibonacci
👉Advance version of price action
👉Trades based on Nifty future chart
2️⃣ Trade Execution:-
👉Trade based on order flow data
👉Timeframe - 1 min and 5 min
👉Risk Reward Ratio always 1:2
👉Strike price always ATM & slightly ITM
👉Maintain Position sizing according to your own method
3️⃣ House Rules in trading:-
👉Sharp at 9:15 AM
👉Priority to risk management
👉Fast execution (morning breakfast)
👉Stop-loss 10 points (strictly)
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#Nifty directions and levels for September 6th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 6th.
Market Overview:
The global markets are showing a moderately bearish trend, as indicated by the Dow Jones. Our local market also reflects a similar sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a gap-down, based on SGX Nifty’s negative indication of around -80 points.
Both Nifty and BankNifty have been maintaining a range-bound sentiment. Will this continue today as well? The probability is high; however, we will need to confirm by checking the charts.
Nifty:
Current view:
The market is still trading within a range, so we should wait for a proper range breakout even if it opens with a gap-down. If the market opens gap-down, we can expect immediate targets are the 78% Fibonacci level to the minor demand zone. After reaching this area, if the market consolidates or breaks solidly, the correction will likely continue toward lower levels of 24998 to 25037. That means we can expect the correction or next move only if it breaks the immediate support level. This is our first scenario.
Alternate view:
On the other hand, if the market shows a strong pullback initially or if it rejects the immediate support level, it might try to maintain the range-bound structure. In this case, we could expect a bounce back of around 38% to 61% in the minor swing.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 06.09.2024On Thursday, Nifty opened with a gap up, entering the 15m supply zone (25260 - 25285) mentioned in the previous post. It dropped nearly 150 points from the day's high to 25127.75 before closing at 25145.10. Both the weekly trend (50 SMA) and daily trend (50 SMA) remain positive.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 24964 - 25052
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 24771 - 24859
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (5m): 25235 - 25258
Nifty 50 Bearish Outlook for the Month: High Caution AdvisedDescription:
1. Monthly Chart Insights: Nifty 50 remains in bearish territory for the current month, with a notable formation of a negative candle pattern. The open = high candle is a key indication of bearish sentiment. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering above the 80 level, signifying an overbought condition. This suggests the market is trading at a premium, raising concerns for a potential downside correction.
2. Daily Chart Overview: On the daily timeframe, further bearish divergence is visible in the RSI, adding weight to the bearish outlook. The index is also trading below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) of the 25-day close, reinforcing the likelihood of continued downward momentum.
3. Global Market Cues: Globally, the market sentiment remains weak, with major indices experiencing a drag of 3% to 4%. This provides additional bearish cues for Nifty 50, aligning with the negative outlook on a macro level.
4. All-Time High Considerations: The ATH (All-Time High) of 25,333 is expected to act as a formidable resistance, with little probability of being tested in the short term. A period of consolidation or further downside is anticipated over the coming months.
Key Takeaway: Investors and traders are advised to exercise extreme caution and patience in their trading decisions, given the prevailing technical and global factors. Risk management should be a priority, as the market may experience increased volatility in the near term.
Kudos to all traders for navigating these uncertain times. Trade cautiously, trade patiently.
Nifty 50 negative divergence on RSI on weekly chart##Nifty50 showing negative divergence on RSI on weekly charts. We can see some correction or time based consolidation in Nifty50.
Nifty50 levels for selling will be below 24811 on daily basis for target of 24444 & 24011 with Stop-loss of 25025.
Trade with risk management properly. Thank you
#Nifty directions and levels for September 5th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for September 5th.
Market Overview
The global markets are maintaining bearish pressure, as indicated by the Dow Jones. Our local market has been showing a moderately bullish sentiment. However, based on a 90-point positive signal from GiftNifty, we may see the market open with a gap-up today.
Both Nifty and BankNifty have been range-bound. What about today? It’s likely that the range will continue, but let’s take a look at the charts.
Nifty
Current View
If the market opens with a gap-up, the 78% level will act as crucial resistance. If it consolidates or breaks this level, we can expect the next targets to be a minimum of 25,333 to 25,366. This is our first scenario.
Alternate Scenario
On the other hand, if the market rejects the 78% level or takes a sharp decline initially, the range-bound market is likely to continue. The expected targets would be a minimum of 38% to 61% of the minor swing.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 05.09.2024On Wednesday, Nifty opened with a gap down, breaking below the 30m demand zone and hitting a low of 25083.80. However, it recovered by the end of the day, closing at 25198.70. Both the weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) remain positive. As of now, GIFT NIFTY is trading 90 points higher, indicating the possibility of a gap-up opening today.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 24964 - 25052
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 24771 - 24859
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 25260 - 25285
#Nifty directions and levels for September 4th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for September 4th.
Market Overview
The global market experienced a significant decline in the previous session, structurally indicating a bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market has been maintaining a moderately bullish sentiment. However, today the market may open with a significant gap-down based on the GIFT Nifty's 200-point negative indication.
I have shared a basic Elliott Wave structure. If the market opens with a long gap-down, then both Nifty and Bank Nifty will react in line with one of the following two variations. Let’s take a look:
Nifty
Current View:
If the market opens with a long gap-down, Nifty may find support around the 78% Fibonacci level or a minor demand zone. If this happens, we can expect a 23% to 38% minor bounce back. This bounce back could be part of a sub-wave 4, which is a consolidation wave. Once this consolidation breaks to the downside, we can expect the 5th correctional wave. This is our basic structure.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that the market is currently in a range-bound phase, so it may try to maintain its range even if it opens with a long gap-down. If the market takes a solid pullback and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing, it will likely continue in the range-bound structure. This is our alternate variation.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 04.09.2024On Tuesday, Nifty opened with a gap up but failed to surpass the previous day's high, trading within a narrow range throughout the day and closing flat at 25279.85. The weekly trend (50 SMA) is overbought, and the daily trend (50 SMA) remains positive. Currently GIFT NIFTY is trading 200 points lower, indicating a potential gap-down opening today.
Support Levels:
Near Minor Demand/Support Zone (30m): 25117 - 25165
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 24964 - 25052
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 24771 - 24859
As of now, there's no supply zone visible on the chart.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 4 Sep 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 4 Sep 2024
Bullish-Above 25350
Invalid-Below 25300
T- 25492
Bearish-Below 25230
Invalid-Above 25280
T- 25025
NIFTY has closed on a flat note today. Nothing triggered as per trade setup so same levels are valid for tomorrow. Index was overall momentum less. This momentum less market will continue till VIX is below 15. Kindly avoid huge exposure in direction trading especially in option buying as market is dull. 25350 and 25230 are intraday levels for tomorrow.
Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 25350 then we will long for the target of 25492.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 25230. T- 25025.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.