NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 19 JUN 24As we discussed, NIFTY traded in a sideways-bullish zone on the upside with huge volatility in the short range.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading indecisive in a bullish zone. That may lead to a short correction in the market. The market is not going to be bearish unless EMA(13, 50) successfully crossovers. Right now, the market is very volatile. Trade it with proper risk management.
Support levels: 23526, 23474(EMA(50)), and 23379
resistance levels: 23622, 23600
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.19, which has decreased from 1.42, shows a bullish sign in the market. 23500 is max-pain. The market does not have much resistance to the upside till 24000. However, as bulls are not able to push the market to the upside, it might lead to a short correction. Also, a significant fall in PCR shows weakness in bulls. There have been lots of calls unwinding, which shows that bears also do not have strength, which might lead the market sideways.
I am expecting the market to touch an upper trendline and then a correction.
Reason:
RSI 70, having flat momentum, shows a sideways structure.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a bullish market structure.
PCR = 1.19 has decreased from 1.42 and shows signs of weakness in the bull's strength.
Price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Indecisive
Plan of action:
Case 1 : Range Bound: Sell 23600 CE & 23500 PE (Hedge it with 10/- premium options)
Case 2 : Exit opposite position on either side it breaks.
Niftytrend
Nifty on Radar, View for 18-JuneThe price has been following a trend line. As the price is at the level of all time high so the trend line is acting as a strong resistance.
For tomorrow the trend line is an important level for trade decisions.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Nifty50 (18th june) 1/2Closing below 23537 in any hourly candle could be bearish 📉 📉 to 23290
As below levels are still pending to test
If sustains above 23537 in multiple hourly 🕯 then it could move upwards to above price marked
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Nifty Expectation for Tuesday, June 18th 2024Nifty Analysis:
Previous OI PCR: 1.3
General Trend:
Nifty has spent 5 months near the middle of the channel on the monthly chart and is now looking to break out.
On the daily chart, since June 10, Nifty has been trading within a narrow 300-point range.
From June 5th to 14th, no candle on the daily chart has closed below the previous day’s low.
Over the past 4 days, the daily chart shows buyers gradually pushing the close higher each day. Despite this, Nifty hasn't managed a strong breakout.
All these indicate that while bulls remain active, they are hesitant. A strong breakout above 23,500 is needed to push Nifty toward the upper trendline of the channel.
Ichimoku Cloud:
On the Nifty hourly chart, Nifty is hovering around TS @ 23,410, with KS support around 23,360.
As per Ichimoku Nifty is bullish in Monthly, weekly and daily time frames. Neutral in hourly TF.
Key Levels for Nifty:
Resistance: 23,480 (+/- 20 points)
Support: 23,350 (+/- 20 points)
Entry and Exit Points:
Breakout with Momentum: Above 23,500 may lead to short covering by call writers @ 23,500, pushing Nifty towards 23,600 to 23,650.
Breakdown Below Support: Below 23,350 can push Nifty down to 23,300, 23,200, and then to
22,050.
Red Flags:
Although Nifty is positive on the weekly, daily, and hourly charts, it has moved above the upper Bollinger Band on the weekly chart, suggesting a likely reversal due to profit-taking. This is supported by bearish divergence on the MACD and RSI. However, the trend will only turn bearish if the weekly candle closes below the previous week's low.
With VIX falling below 13, option buyers should be careful as the momentum needed to push prices up may be missing.
Protect any future gains resulting from the upmove and stay cautious.
Disclaimer : We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
#Nifty Directions and levels for June 18th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for June 18th:
There are still no significant changes in the global and our markets. They are maintaining a moderately bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 110 points (at 8:00 AM).
Nifty and Bank Nifty have structures of consolidation. Even though they are in consolidation, the wave counts are different. Nifty is moving in the 5th diagonal, and Bank Nifty is moving in the 4th correction. We have already discussed this. Let's discuss today's direction.
If the Nifty sustains the gap-up start, then we can expect a minimum of 23606 to 23668. It's a higher degree supply zone, but it’s not a big deal today. If the market reaches there, it will likely take consolidation there, meaning the market may maintain the bullish sentiment in the upcoming session as well. On the other hand, if it rejects sharply around the supply zone, we could wait for the reversal confirmation, as usual, EMA20 or minor swing 38% Fibonacci level breakout. If it breaks, we can expect the next correctional target, a minimum of the 78% Fibonacci level. If it doesn’t break the 38%, then minor consolidation may continue.
The alternate view is if the gap-up doesn’t sustain or if it rejects around the level of 23556, then the diagonal may continue further within the channel. If you want clear levels, then use the same reversal confirmation parameters.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -18/06/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 23480 level and then possible upside rally up to 23600 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 23430 level then the downside target can go up to the 23310 level.
Nifty Support & Resistance Levels for 18.06.2024Nifty made a new All-Time High of 23,490.40 on Friday. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend is sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,334 - 23,368
Far Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,297 - 23,329
Far Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,232 - 23,268
Currently, there's no supply/resistance zone seen on the chart.
Another Flat week or a breakout is coming in Indexes ?Nifty and Bank nifty have been trading in the range for last whole week. It was due for a sideways movement after a massive movement in the Election result week.
Nifty above 23550 level will open for a new zone and head towards 23900-24200-24800, down side is majorly capped as of now till 23200-23000 level.
Bank nifty above 50500 will open doors for 51200-51800, down side again has a good support at 49600 level.
Trend is mixed but having a minor downside trend.
NIFTY LONGER TERM CONSOLIDATION ENDS.Hello Traders,
As we can see the nifty still above 50EMA & did not get so much of Force to close it below 50 EMA.
As we are going into fresh new trends, This move will be very volatile & very trending.
As we have seen from last 2 intra weeks candles range will continue to get this sort of move further.
For Positional & swing trades the Best time with great opportunities.
HAPPY TRADING
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 18 Jun 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 18 Jun 2024
Bullish-Above 23500
Invalid-Below 23450
T- 23725
Bearish-Below 23330
Invalid-Above 23380
T- 23120
NIFTY has closed on a slight positive note with 0.45% gain last week. It was totally sideways as whole week's range was less than 300 points. It has formed a Pinbar candle in daily TF on Friday which indicates a bullish start of the week on Tuesday most probably. Friday's low will be an important swing low in terms of bearish reversal on Tuesday. Between 23500 and 23330 we will maintain a non-directional approach.
Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 23500 then we will long for the target of 23725.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 23330. T- 23125.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty: Bull market aeging, could lose steam from here !!The only train you should jump off when it's going at full speed, and not when it's slowing down, is a raging bull market Train.
lndian equity markets have had a good run in 2023 and 2024 but now could lose stream for a temporary period.
In a Bull market,
Ideally a "Horse" should be used as an indicator of the rally seen in the markets as it can run long distances at a fast pace.
A "Bull", he can at best do a short sprint and needs occasional breaks/pauses to catch is breath before charging again.
Now a consensus opinion is that market will give breakout on upside but as per my limited study, now its time to book profits on portfolio, create liquidity as it can give breakout on downside as per advanced patterns, market will again give opportunity at lower levels.
A 8-10% correction will be healthy for the upcoming bull run and the Market Breadth, correction can either start from may or after election outcome but its imminent.
NIFTY WEEKLY UPDATE 14/JUNE 2024Hello Traders.
My Name is Prince & here with the NIFTY weekly update.
As am not Instrested in Trading Bank Nifty because due to its loud move. The Bank nifty has tend to Be My Enemy all Time incurring losses every time.
Am Only Trading NIFTY & some of its stocks from basket.
My basked Has total 6 no. Of shares which i can find friendly nature with me.
AS we can se that after the exit poll panic candles. On the Weekly Close Nifty sustained & closed Above the 3rd June High.
The Overall trend structure is Bullish creates a bullish view for me. Till the Low of 3rd june has Not been breaken.
NIFTY sustained above the 23000 Levels & Give the closing above it.
As Nifty was Trading in A NARROW RANGE whole week. The Next week will possibly TRENDING.
For Swing Trades Wait for the Nifty to expand its Volatility. Traders need to keep patience for the perfect entry is set up by your Stocks.
HAPPY TRADING
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow ( Monday ) 17 JunAs we discussed in the morning, NIFTY traded in a sideways-bullish zone.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading in a Bullish sideways uptrending channel. The market is continuously taking support at 50 EMA. Until Marklet is inside the channel, it's going to be sideways. The market is in the middle of the channel, which might also act as good resistance. But if it breaks 23472 to the upside, it might go till 23600. However, if it breaks the channel and 50 EMA to the downside, there is a high probability that it's going to touch 200 EMA with a sharp fall.
Support levels: 23338, 23199, and 23174
resistance levels: 23472, 23600
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.42, which has increased from 1.17, shows a bullish sign in the market. 23400 is max-pain. 23500 has significant CE writing at higher levels. On the other hand, 23300 and 23000 have heavy PE writing.
VIX has also decreased significantly, which indicates volatility is being controlled.
I am expecting the market:
Case 1 : Sideways in the up-trending channel
Case 2 : Bearish if it breaks the channel to the downside.
Reason:
RSI 40-60 shows a bullish structure.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a Bullish market structure.
PCR = 1.42 has risen from 1.12 and shows signs of bullishness.
Price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Indecisive
Case 1 : Sideways in the up-trending channel
Case 2 : Bearish if it breaks the channel to the downside.
Plan of action:
Case 1 : Sideways: Sell 23450 PE & 23450 CE (Hedge it with 10/- premium options)
Case 2 : Exit opposite position on either side it breaks.
NIFTY prediction for today 14 JunAs we discussed yesterday, Nifty spent on an up-trending channel and ended sideways.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is in the channel right now. If it breaks down to the downside, it will give a nice bearish momentum.
Support levels: 23303, 23233, and 23152
resistance levels: 23439, 23481
I am expecting the market:
Case 1: Sideways in channel.
Case 2: Bearish if it breaks the channel to the downside.
Reason:
RSI 46-60 shows a sideways structure.
Price ~ EMA(13) but greater than EMA(200), which indicates the market can correct itself till 200 EMA.
EMA Bearish crossover of EMA(13, 50).
PCR = 1.17 which shows a bullish sign in the market.
Price ~ VWAP shows an indecisive market structure.
Verdict: Sideways in channel. Bearish if it breaks the channel to the downside.
Plan of action:
Case 1 : Sideways: Sell 23350 PE & 23400 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium options)
Case 2 : Exit 23350 PE if it breaks to the downside.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -14/06/2024Nifty will be FLAT opening in today's session. After opening nifty start trading above 23440 level and then possible upside rally up to 23560 in today's session. in case nifty trades below 23380 level then the downside target can go up to the 23260 level.
#Nifty directions and levels for June 14th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for June 14th:
There are still no significant changes in the global and our markets. They are maintaining a moderately bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 6 points (at 8.00 AM).
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty still have the same range-bound sentiment, but the wave structures are a little bit different from each other. The range market has many different patterns in the wave theory, so today we can see the sentiment separately.
Nifty has closed the range-bound structure, even though it opened with a long gap-up in the previous session. As per the wave structure, the 5-wave structures are completed in the diagonal pattern, indicating a correction. In this case, if the market declines initially, we can expect a minimum of 78% retracement in the minor swing. This is the basic structure. However, there is another variation: if the market finds support around the immediate support level (61%), then the range market will likely continue.
The alternate variation also suggests a range market. Even if the initial market takes a pullback, structurally it won't be sustained. If we want to describe it, it could be a diagonal extension. We can expect the maximum pullback level of 23,516. Again, what I'm expecting here is that it won't be sustained, but if it breaks that level solidly, then we can try a breakout entry with a target of 23,572 to 23,606.
Nifty Support & Resistance Levels for 14.06.2024Nifty broke the intraday supply zone (15m) yesterday, making a new all-time high of 23,480.95, marking the Open=High for the day. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend is sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,232 - 23,268
Far Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,037 - 23,078
Far Support/Demand Zone (125m): 22,642 - 22,911
Currently, there's no supply/resistance zone seen on the chart.
BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 14 Jun 2024BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 14 Jun 2024
Bullish-Above 50300
Invalid-Below 50190
T- 51000
Bearish-Below 49750
Invalid-Above 49860
T- 49230
BANKNIFTY has closed once again on flat note with minor cut of 0.1% today. Since 7 Jun it is closing exactly near same level everyday. However we have already discussed the possibility of compressed move this week on Monday itself. We have a holiday on Monday so there will be multiple expires which may result in random moves. 50300 and 49750 is the range to look for breakout.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 50300 then we will long for the target of 51k.
For selling we need a 15 min candle close below 49750. T- 49230.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 14 Jun 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 14 Jun 2024
Bullish-Above 23500
Invalid-Below 23450
T- 23665
Bearish-Below 23350
Invalid-Above 23400
T- 23075
NIFTY has closed with a gain of 0.33% gain today. It was another sideways market, being 4th consecutive day. It is currently sideways in the plotted channel. Breakout of this is needed for a good momentum either side. We have a holiday on Monday so there can volatile moves due to multiple expiries on the same day. 23500 and 23350 will be range to look for breakout or else it will sideways again.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 23500 then we will long for the target of 23665.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 23350. T- 23210 & 23075.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
13 June 2024 - Nifty and Banknifty New ATHs almost everydayNifty Stance Bullish ⬆️
Nifty continued to make new highs every other day this week, overall it has been a steady week with very few wild swings. Just compare the swing range of the previous week vs this, and you will understand what I am talking about.
The new high is 23481 hit at the open today and then we fell almost 126pts ~ 0.54% , the beauty is that we did not go red today, even when BankNifty was toggling between red and green.
During this expiry, we managed to gain 550pts ~ 2.41%. Not only did we manage to recover from the 8.74% intraday fall on election counting day, but we also managed to close 3.77% above 31st May levels and that really sends a strong message to all investors.
The stance continues to be bullish, but it seems like Nifty is waiting for the fundamentals to catch up. At present, there are no major risks or challenges at the local level. All eyes are on global macros.
NIFTY VOLATILITY IS CONTRACTINGAs a Swing trade i am in a bullish bias right now. Because RSI is trading above > 50 levels.
NIDTY is in a very Narrow range . Candle sizes are small. More red candles in A Row.
This move suggest that there is a Chance to Enter NIFTY into the Bearish Territory.
Will buyers Hold or sellers win the Game.
There is a High probability the Range could be broken on upside because the Higher timeframe RSI in The Bullish territory.
Wait & Watch . Do not plan for Directional till the move is Confirmed with the Strong Buyers presence.
HAPPY TRADING
Nifty & Bank Nifty Analysis For 14 June 2024In this video, we'll discuss about Today's Market Movement and Tomorrow's Analysis in Nifty, Banknifty and other segments too.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting in the stock market, this analysis will help you in Learning about Market. Let's get right into it!
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Disclaimer : All views and charts shared in this video are purely for knowledge and information purposes only. Trading is Very Risky Business and it should only be done with proper Knowledge. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances.
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