NIFTY analysis for tomorrow 19 Dec 24As we discussed yesterday, the market was sideways and had huge volatility.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is looking bearish but also showing good bullish pull-ups. The market is near the support zone.
Support levels: 24127, 23970
Resistance levels: 24980, 24386, 24524, 24682
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.4, which has decreased from 0.8, shows call addition at the higher level. The market has good PE writing at 24500 and 24400. Other levels, 24200, 24300, and 24300, will be showing good resistance at a higher level.
I am expecting
Case 1: Sideways in the range 24127 - 24350.
Case 2: Bearish if it breaks 24127 to the downside.
Reason:
RSI < 40 shows a good Bearish structure. (bearish)
Price < EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a good bearish structure. (Bearish)
PCR = 0.4 indicates a bearish market.
Price < VWAP shows a good bullish structure in the market.
Verdict: Bearish or Sideways
Plan of action:
In the range 24127 - 24350 Sideways. Go with an Iron condor.
Buy PUT if it breaks 24127 to the downside.
Niftytrend
NIFTY50: INSTITUTIONAL LEVELS FOR 18/12/2024Overview
This trading system combines simplicity with powerful insights for accurate entries and exits. It is structured for active traders using the 5-minute timeframe who want to make clear, confident trading decisions in fast-moving markets.
Key Strategy Guidelines
Retest Entries : Aim to enter trades on retests rather than breakouts, offering better positioning.
Multiple Confirmations : Use more than one confirmation to validate each trade, helping avoid impulsive decisions.
ATM Options Focus : Stick to at-the-money (ATM) options or above for optimal liquidity and manageable risk.
System Explanation
This setup leverages volume, historical price action, and price ranges to pinpoint high-probability entry and exit points. This methodology is designed to reduce guesswork, allowing traders to manage trades with a consistent approach.
How It Works: Entry/Exit Signals
Blue Line : Signals potential long entry.
Red Line : Indicates potential short entry.
Tip : Align these signals with additional confirmations from your trading strategy for optimal performance.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels
Stop Loss:
Long Trades : Set your stop loss at the nearest red line below the entry point, or adjust based on whether the 5-minute candle crosses the red line.
Short Trades : Use the blue line above as the stop loss.
Take Profit:
Long Entries :Target the next red line above or exit if other indicators suggest a prudent exit.
Short Entries :Target the next blue line below following similar guidelines.
Timeframe Recommendation
This system is specifically optimized for the 5-minute timeframe, making it suitable for those trading shorter intervals with precision.
Risk Disclaimer
Trading involves high risk, and rapid price changes can lead to unexpected losses. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose, and carefully assess your financial situation and risk tolerance.
Join the Community Discussion
Engage with other traders to discuss strategies, share insights, and enhance your understanding of the markets. Let’s grow together as a community of traders.
Original Content
This trading system is the product of my own expertise and rigorous testing. It’s a unique approach developed through real market experience to offer a clear edge in trading.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 18th December 2024Nifty Trading Strategy
Key Levels:
Buy Above: The high of the candle which closes above 24,425 on a one-hour chart
Sell Below: The low of the candle which closes below 24,245 on a one-hour chart
Strategy Details:
Buy Signal: Enter a buy position above the high of the candle that closes above 24,425 on a one-hour time frame.
Sell Signal: Enter a sell position below the low of the candle that closes below 24,245 on a one-hour time frame.
Gap Down Risk Strategy:
If the Market Opens Lower: Around 24,200-24,240 levels
Buy Signal: Enter a buy position with a stop-loss of 24,175
Additional Tips:
Monitoring: Continuously monitor the one-hour chart for clear buy or sell signals.
Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to manage risk and protect your capital.
Market Conditions: Stay updated on market news and events that could impact Nifty.
Disclaimer:
I am not SEBI registered. This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Please consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 18 Dec 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 18 Dec 2024
Sell_1- From 24590
Invalid-Above 24640
T- 24400
Sell_2-Below 24300
Invalid-Above 24350
T- 24000
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note with 1.35% cut today. Yesterday we discussed that index will be bearish below 24570 and exact mentioned target of 24310 was met. Now index may continue bearish move. A good short below 24300 in case of flat opening. If at all it gaps up then 24590 will be intraday resistance as per half bat.
Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes below 24300 then we will short for the target of 24k.
24590 will be pullback short level in case 24300 is safe. T- 24400.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 18.12.2024On Tuesday, Nifty opened with a gap-down, made a high of 24624.10, and dropped to a low of 24303.45, entering the 15m Demand Zone. It closed at 24336, losing 332 points over the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) has shifted from positive to sideways.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 24180.80 - 24342.50 (current price inside the zone)
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23927.15 - 24188.45 (tested)
Far Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23447.15 - 23578.60
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (125m): 24601.75 - 24698.10
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24567.65 - 25234.05 (tested)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 25739.20 - 25907.60
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 26151.40 - 26277.35
Key Insights
Current Major Resistance Zone: 24700 - 25000
Current Major Support Zone: 23900 - 24300
A breakout above resistance or a breakdown below support will likely determine the next significant move.
NIFTY OUTLOOK....Ready For All Time High Again ?NSE:NIFTY
Current Market Price 24700
Below chart was made on 21/11/2024 regarding BOTTOMING OUT of NSE:NIFTY from correction phase of more than 3000 points from All Time High (-11.47% from ATH) !
Before that on 20/09/2024 when NSE:NIFTY was continuously making Life Highs we stated that it will be TOPPED near 26200 levels, And from there we saw a decent and healthy correction of more than 10%....
================================================================
ALL UPDATED CHART OF NSE:NIFTY FROM TOP TO BOTTOM
CHART 1
CHART 2
================================================================
Beautiful Rally Captured both the sides in NSE:NIFTY !!💕💕
26200-------->23265+ (2935+ points)
23265-------->24850+(1585+ points)
================================================================
CURRENT SCENARIO of NSE:NIFTY
LTP 24700
Any dip till 24000 can be bought with a Weekly Closing Basis Stoploss of 23743
Targets🎯24905 / 25025 / 25111 / 25275 / 25490 / 25800++++
Will revisit the situation when all mentioned targets will be achieved !!
================================================================
Thanks !
Harm⭕nics4Life
05/12/2024
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies shared here are for educational purposes .. Do Consult Your Financial advisor Before Taking any Trade.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 17 Dec 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 17 Dec 2024
Bullish-Above 24860
Invalid-Below 24810
T- 25150
Bearish-Below 24570
Invalid-Above 24630
T- 24310
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note with 0.4% cut today. It has formed an inside candle in daily TF at previous swing high. In case it breaks 24800 tomorrow then a good momentum in the higher side can be seen as per compression setup. In case 24570 is broken then it can trigger a fall towards 24300.
Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24860 then we will long for the target of 25150.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 24570. T- 24310.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY Analysis for tomorrow 17 Dec 24As we discussed yesterday, the market opened at resistance and took support at 50 EMA in the sideways zone.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is in a sideways zone and expected to have a bullish bias. If liquidy grab came, it might also touch 200 EMA. But the market is not Bearish right now. It is a sideways area in the region, and it is bullish in the green region.
Support levels: 50 EMA, 24522, 24339, 200 EMA
Resistance levels: 24800, 25140
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.8, which has decreased from 1, shows call addition at the higher level. The market has good PE writing at 24500 and 24400. Other levels, 24700 and 24800, have a moderate amount of writing, showing it can be volatile in that zone. If 24800 breaks to the upside, the next good resistance level is 25000, where good CE writing has been done.
I am expecting
Case 1: Sideways in the range 24521 - 24800.
Case 2: if the market breaks 24800 to the upside, the direct target will be 25000.
Reason:
RSI = 40 - 60 shows a good sideways structure. (Sideways)
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a good bullish structure. (Bullish)
The market has shown good seeling volume in last hour. (Week Bulls)
PCR = 0.8 indicates a bullish Bias.
Price > VWAP shows a good bullish structure in the market.
Verdict: Bullish or Sideways
Plan of action:
Above 24800 Bullish go CE buying.
In the range 24522 - 24800 Sideways. Go with an Iron condor.
Nifty ABC Correction, upcoming bear moveNifty completed A Wave and has already given a retracement of 50%. It is near the next selling zone around 24800-25100. The bounce seems to be wave B, MACD line touched 0 line.
With heavyweights like RIL, ITC looking weak on weekly timeframe. View invalidated above 25150.
Target for wave C looks around 22000 with trend-based fib extension tool and considering wave C to be equal to the target of '1'. Expecting nifty to be bearish for Jan-Feb 25.
NIFTY50: INSTITUTIONAL LEVELS FOR 16/12/2024Overview
This trading system combines simplicity with powerful insights for accurate entries and exits. It is structured for active traders using the 5-minute timeframe who want to make clear, confident trading decisions in fast-moving markets.
Key Strategy Guidelines
Retest Entries : Aim to enter trades on retests rather than breakouts, offering better positioning.
Multiple Confirmations : Use more than one confirmation to validate each trade, helping avoid impulsive decisions.
ATM Options Focus : Stick to at-the-money (ATM) options or above for optimal liquidity and manageable risk.
System Explanation
This setup leverages volume, historical price action, and price ranges to pinpoint high-probability entry and exit points. This methodology is designed to reduce guesswork, allowing traders to manage trades with a consistent approach.
How It Works: Entry/Exit Signals
Blue Line : Signals potential long entry.
Red Line : Indicates potential short entry.
Tip : Align these signals with additional confirmations from your trading strategy for optimal performance.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels
Stop Loss:
Long Trades : Set your stop loss at the nearest red line below the entry point, or adjust based on whether the 5-minute candle crosses the red line.
Short Trades : Use the blue line above as the stop loss.
Take Profit:
Long Entries :Target the next red line above or exit if other indicators suggest a prudent exit.
Short Entries :Target the next blue line below following similar guidelines.
Timeframe Recommendation
This system is specifically optimized for the 5-minute timeframe, making it suitable for those trading shorter intervals with precision.
Risk Disclaimer
Trading involves high risk, and rapid price changes can lead to unexpected losses. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose, and carefully assess your financial situation and risk tolerance.
Join the Community Discussion
Engage with other traders to discuss strategies, share insights, and enhance your understanding of the markets. Let’s grow together as a community of traders.
Original Content
This trading system is the product of my own expertise and rigorous testing. It’s a unique approach developed through real market experience to offer a clear edge in trading.
#Nifty directions and levels for December 16th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for December 16th.
Market Overview:
The global market is showing moderately bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones only), while our local market displays bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a slightly gap-down start, as the Gift Nifty is indicating a negative 100 points at 8:00 AM.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty moved in two directions; however, by the end of the day, they closed with a solid rally.
What about today?
> As per yesterday's structure, if the market takes a pullback initially, we can expect further continuation with some consolidation.
> Additionally, open interest (OI) and the RSI indicator support this outlook.
> However, if we look at this from a broader perspective, it seems we are in a range-bound market.
> Therefore, until the market breaks the 38% Fibonacci level on the downside, we can consider this a bullish market. However, if it breaks below this 38% level, we should approach it as a range-bound market. This is the basic structure; let’s explain this in the chart.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty share the same structural sentiment.
Nifty Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market takes a pullback after the gap-down start, we can expect the rally to continue. However, confirmation should be considered from an effective break of the 24797 mark. This is the basic structure.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market sustains the gap-down and breaks the 24702 mark, it could reach a minimum of 23% to a maximum of 38%. Structurally, it won’t break 38%. However, if it does break, then it will reach the 50% and 78% Fibonacci levels in the recent swing. Simply put, if you find a three-wave structure while it reaches this level, we can expect a bounce back, which indicates a bullish structure. However, if it reaches the 38% level in a straight line, it will likely continue further once it breaks the 38% mark.
Nifty 50 spot 24556.00 by Hourly Chart viewNifty 50 spot 24556.00 by Hourly Chart view
- Intermediate Support Zone 24475 to 24525
- Resistance Zone 24750 to 24885 Price Band may become a Support Zone
- The Next Support Zone seen at 24300 to 24375 Price Band acting as H&S neckline
- Resistance Zone 24750 to 24885 Price Band needs to be crossed, closure sustained above it for continued upwards bullish transition
Nifty’s Fake Comeback?Nifty had an impressive bull run this year, hitting an all-time high of 26,000 in September 2024. It was all sunshine and rainbows—until it wasn’t. The index has since dropped 10% and is now crawling its way back up. But let’s not get carried away just yet.
After reaching its ATH, Nifty dropped by 10%. Now, it’s trying to recover, but the road ahead looks uncertain. A critical pattern has emerged in the charts: a head-and-shoulders pattern. Currently, Nifty has climbed back to the neckline of this pattern, a level many traders are watching closely.
The big question now is whether this rally is genuine or just a dead cat bounce . Many are skeptical about the current move, fearing that the market could head lower again.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 16 Dec 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 16 Dec 2024
Bullish-Above 24870
Invalid-Below 24820
T- 25150
2nd Buy-From 24485
Invalid-Below 24435
T- 24660
NIFTY has closed on a slight bullish note with 0.37% gain last week. Whole week was contracted and only on last day of the week there was good length move in intraday. It has formed an inside candle in weekly TF which also resembles contraction. Overall index is buy on dips till it is above 50 EMA in daily TF. 24870 is the breakout level and 24485 is strong support zone.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24870 then we will long for the target of 25150.
We will buy from 24485 in case it is tested. T- 24660.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Rebound Revival: Will Nifty's Upward Trajectory Continue?● After experiencing a notable decline from its peak, the broad index has found support around the 23,250 level.
● Since then, it has demonstrated a strong recovery and is currently trading just below the key resistance level of 25,000.
● In the near term, the range between 23,900 and 24,000 is expected to act as support.
● We can anticipate a phase of consolidation between these immediate support and resistance levels, as suggested by the open interest data.
● Additionally, the 2-hour chart reveals the formation of an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern, suggesting a bullish outlook.
● However, for a substantial upward movement, the Nifty must break through and maintain its position above 25,000.
TradingBoth index futures and stock F&Os can be easily understood by tracking Open Interest. Simply put, when Open Interest increases, it means more money is moving into the futures contract, and when open interest drops, it means money is moving out of the contract.
The 90/10 strategy, popularized by Warren Buffett, allocates 90% of your portfolio to a low-cost S&P 500 index fund and 10% to short-term government bonds. This aims for long-term growth through stocks while offering stability with bonds.21 May 2024
ntpc green great opportunity fundamental analysis NSE:NTPCGREEN
conclusion:
NTPC Green is a stock with high growth potential
With increasing investments in the renewable energy sector
and government support, this company can perform quite cmp:144.13
well in the future. Current pe: 352
Price to sales:61.9
Roe:6.20
Roce:7.60
You can see that the company's various ratios indicate that it is significantly overvalued compared to its peers in the sector
We can see that the company's P/E ratio is very high and the price-to-sales ratio is 61.9, which is abnormal
We can assume that the company has high growth potential and is backed by a strong parent company. However, the current market valuation seems to be anticipating future earnings
"Additionally, we can see that the company's ROE and ROCE are quite low. This could be due to factors like heavy capital expenditure or a debt burden. However, the situation might improve in the future, and we could see the company's ROE and ROCE grow."
"Yes, the company has high growth potential, but a valuation of 1.23 lakh crore for a company with 4000 crore rupees in revenue doesn't seem justified. However, due to its high growth potential, NTPC Green has received such a high valuation."
NIFTY analysis for tomorrow 14 Dec || BullishAs we discussed NIFTY in the last analysis, nifty is accumulating. It gave a sharp momentum to the downside and then gave a V-shaped recovery and closed at +219 Point.
If we look at the chart now:
The market took support at 200 EMA and gave V shape recovery, which indicates a good bullish setup in the market. The price is trading higher than that of EMA, showing a good bullish structure in the market. Market importance levels are as follows:
Support levels: 50 EMA, 24522, 24339, 200 EMA
Resistance levels: 24800, 25140
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.0, which has increased from 0.9, shows bulls are adding the position in the market. The market has good PE writing at 24500 and 24400. Other levels, 24600, 24700, and 24800, have a moderate amount of writing, showing it can be volatile in that zone. If 24800 breaks to the upside, the next good resistance level is 25000, where good CE writing has been done.
I am expecting
Case 1: Sideways in the range 24521 - 24800.
Case 2: if the market breaks 24800 to the upside, the direct target will be 25000.
Reason:
RSI > 60 shows a good bullish structure. (Bullish)
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a good bullish structure. (Bullish)
The market has given a good volume of buyers. (Bullish)
PCR = 1.0 indicates a bullish market.
Price > VWAP shows a good bullish structure in the market.
Verdict: Bullish or Sideways
Plan of action:
above 24800 Bullish go CE buying.
in the range 24522 - 24800 Sideways. go with Iron condor