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Niftytrendanalysis

#nifty directions and levels for October 10th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for October 10th. Market Overview: The global market is displaying bullish sentiment, while our local market shows a moderately bearish trend. A gap-up opening is anticipated today, with SGX Nifty indicating an increase of approximately +110 points as of 8 AM. In the last session, we saw a lot of movement due to the RBI policy. The market is still somewhat weak overall, but the Gift Nifty is showing a positive start with around +100 points gap-up. This is because of global factors, like the Dow Jones going up strongly after the FOMC minutes. Gift Nifty also reacted to this. What should we do with this sentiment? We should wait for a breakout in a certain range. If the market breaks this range, we can follow that direction because of the mixed local and global factors. I'll explain this more clearly in the charts. Nifty and Bank Nifty have similar chart patterns. Nifty Current View: The current view suggests that if the gap-up doesn't sustain or the market rejects near the immediate resistance level of 25,173, then the correction may likely continue with a minimum downside of 78%. However, one additional confirmation is needed: after rejection, the market should break the lower trendline or the previous day's closing candle. Alternate View: The alternate view suggests that if the gap-up sustains, the market may consolidate around the 25,173 level. After consolidation, if this level is broken, we can expect the pullback to continue, targeting a minimum upside level of 25,272 to 78%.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
India Inc Quarterly Earnings and Nifty Corelation We all know that our beloved NSE:NIFTY has shy of 1500 points in short time, falling from a cliff. Naturally people are eager to guess if the holy grail Bottom is there, or it will test the 4th of June Election Result Day low at least. Being a price action student, it's always good to look at the history and try to take a leaf out from it. Specifically, when I can recall what happened one year back in October 2023 where there were substantial FII selloffs before Q2 results (of FY 23-24). Of course there is a slight difference in the situation. Last year the moonsoon was not that good, this year above normal. So I took all the last 4 quarterly result and see what happened around these times in Daily timeframe. As it's evident: In 26/10/23 (Q2 results midway) there were a dip to 18850 level when RSI was at oversold region. Within next two months, the Nifty gave ~15% return. Again during 24th Jan'24 (Q3 results midway) there is a dip and then Nifty quickly recovered. Again during 19/04/24 (Q4/annual results midway), there is a dip and then again smart recovery. The things become even more interesting if we check the RSI beyond this point (last 6 months). Here are the obervations: 19th April'24, 9th May'24, 4th June'24, 5th Aug'24 - the RSI was at 40 level. Price were more or less around same/similar level. (Except Aug when Nifty was at 24000). Now the Nifty RSI was at 36. But the price is at 24800. It's indices Hidden Bullish Divergence My Expectation: There can be a little more dip (lets say another 150-250 points, at max 24550). Then Nifty starts recovering smartly and will try to reclaim the 25500 Resistance level. We shall see what will happen next. So essentially end of this week onwards expecting a 800/1000 points recovery, IMO. Seems too optimistic? May be .. lets see. Just sharing my personal views. End the day: Market is Supreme and Price Action is the King.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by pradipandsuvra
Short term trading opportunity in AISL for > 20% upsideHi, NSE:AISL has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Daily charts with very good volume. MACD is also on the bullish side on Daily time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames. In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue. Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose. Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates. Please share your feedback or any queries on the study. Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
NSE:AISL
by raigvivek
#Nifty directions and levels for October 3rd.Current View: If the market opens with a gap-down, both Nifty and Bank Nifty are expected to continue in a bearish structure, with some minor consolidation. Even if there’s a pullback, this type of correction typically won’t break the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing. This is our first scenario. Alternate View: If the market initially rejects around the immediate support level and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing, it could shift into a range-bound market. In this case, targets are expected around the 78% Fibonacci level in the minor swing.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for September 30th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 30th. Market Overview: The global market has a moderately bullish sentiment, and our local market reflects the same moderately bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a gap-down due to the SGX Nifty indicating a negative 80 points. In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty closed negatively, and the SGX Nifty also suggests that this trend may continue. Even though the overall structure indicates a negative trend, there are no key points suggesting a substantial continuation of this trend, which is why I have categorized it as a range-bound market. However, if the gap-down solidly breaks the immediate support level, then a correction is likely to continue. Let's analyze this further through the charts. Nifty Current View: The current view suggests that if the market finds support around the immediate support level (26073), we can expect a range-bound market between the previous high and the upcoming low. This is our first variation. This sentiment represents a slightly bullish bias, meaning that after this consolidation, if it breaks the previous high, the rally is likely to continue. Alternate View: The alternate view indicates that if the gap-down sustains and breaks the immediate support level, then the correction is likely to continue down to the minimum Fibonacci level of 23%
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
2
Short term trading opportunity in Proventus Agro for> 20% upsideHi, NSE:PROV has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume. MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames. In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue. Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose. Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates. Please share your feedback or any queries on the study. Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
NSE:PROVLong
by raigvivek
1
Short term trading opportunity in Tata Power for > 6% upsideHi, NSE:TATAPOWER has given a Bullish On Neck Breakout on Daily charts with very good volume. MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames. In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue. Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose. Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates. Please share your feedback or any queries on the study. Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
NSE:TATAPOWERLong
by raigvivek
2
#Nifty directions and levels for the first week of October.Good evening, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for the first week of October. Global Outlook: In the previous week, the global market closed near where it started, indicating that the market moved in a consolidation phase. What about this week? There are many major events, such as US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech, the monthly JOLTs job openings and quits, unemployment rate, non-farm payrolls, vehicle sales, and factory orders data. Therefore, this week might be a little volatile. Our Market: The weekly candle for Nifty closed with a green candle, while Bank Nifty closed with a shooting star, suggesting moderate momentum. This implies that even if the market takes a bullish or bearish bias, it won’t experience significant momentum. Let’s analyze this in the charts. Nifty Current View: If the market starts with a red candle, we can expect a 23% to 38% correction in the minor swing. Structurally, it shouldn't break the 38% Fibonacci level. In case it breaks this level, we could expect the next target to be a 50% correction on the downside. > in this variation, if it finds support around the 38% level, it could return to where it started this week. This is our first scenario. Alternate View: The alternate view suggests that if the market rejects around the immediate support level and consolidates, then the rally could continue once it breaks the previous high. If this happens, we can expect the next targets to be a minimum of 26,460 to 26,568. This is our alternate scenario.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for September 26th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 26th. Market Overview: There have been no significant changes in the global and local markets; both maintain a bullish bias. Today, the market is expected to open neutral to slightly positive, with SGX Nifty indicating a rise of around +60 points as of 8 AM. In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty continued consolidating. However, it seems a breakout may occur this session, as GIFT Nifty is suggesting a gap-up opening. If this gap-up sustains, we can expect the rally to continue. We had previously discussed that this could be a sub-wave 5th. So, if the breakout has a solid structure, the trend is likely to continue. Conversely, if the movement is gradual, the rise may be limited. We'll explain this further in the charts. Both Nifty and Bank Nifty reflect the same sentiment. Nifty Current View: The current view suggests that if the first move consolidates around the supply zone (MSZ), Nifty could reach a maximum of 26,146. Conversely, if the first move breaks the supply zone with solid momentum, the rally may continue, with some consolidation around 26,220. This is our first scenario. Alternate View: The alternate view suggests that if the market declines or faces rejection near the supply zone, the range may hold. However, the precise move is if the rejection breaks the 38% Fibonacci level of the minor swing, it could extend to a minimum of 78%, reaching 25,833.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
3
#Nifty directions and levels for September 25th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 25th. Market Overview: There have been no significant changes in the global and local markets; both have maintained a bullish bias. Today, the market is expected to open neutrally to slightly negatively, with SGX Nifty suggesting a negative move of around -20 points as of 8 AM. Both Nifty and Bank Nifty consolidated yesterday, and structurally, this could continue today as well. However, if the market sustains the gap-down and solidly breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, the correction is likely to continue. On the other hand, if it does not break that level, the range will likely persist. I believe there is no need to explain it further, as we have seen the same sentiment over the past two days. However, if you need more clarification, please take a glance at the information below. Nifty Current View: If the market declines, it could experience a correction of 23% to 38% on the downside. After that, if it finds support in that range, it will likely return to where it closed yesterday. Conversely, if it solidly breaks the 38% level, the correction may continue with a minimum decline of 50% to 78% in the minor swing. This is our first variation. Alternate Variation: An alternate view suggests a range-bound market. If the market initially takes a solid pullback, the diagonal trend is likely to continue.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
Medium term trading opportunity in MGL for > 20% upsideHi, NSE:MGL has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume. MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames. In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue. Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose. Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates. Please share your feedback or any queries on the study. Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
NSE:MGLLong
by raigvivek
medium term trading opportunity in Hubtown for huge upsideHi, NSE:HUBTOWN has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume. MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames. In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue. Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose. Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates. Please share your feedback or any queries on the study. Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
NSE:HUBTOWNLong
by raigvivek
#Nifty Directions and Levels for the Last Week of SeptemberNifty and Bank Nifty Directions and Levels for the Last Week of September Global Market Overview: In the previous week, the global market continued to rally solidly. Structurally, it indicates a bullish bias. This week, we can expect some continuation of the rally along with potential consolidation. In the meantime, there are some important events that we should pay attention to. Our Market: Our market also continued the solid rally. Structurally, it indicates a bullish bias; however, the structures differ between Nifty and Bank Nifty. If we look at the price action, both are exhibiting a strong bullish trend. However, when comparing the wave counts, Nifty is progressing through its 5th sub-wave, while Bank Nifty is currently in its 3rd sub-wave. How can we interpret this sentiment? Typically, this kind of sentiment leads to consolidation. For example, once Nifty finishes its 5th wave, it could experience a sharp correction. At that time, Bank Nifty might undergo a 4th wave, which is a consolidation wave, so we wouldn't expect much correction in that scenario. Once Bank Nifty completes its 4th wave, the 5th wave could resume a bullish bias, during this time, Nifty likely wouldn't continue its correction. On the other hand, if Bank Nifty dominates the market (meaning the 3rd wave extends further), we cannot expect a correction in Nifty. It may seem a bit complicated, but in simple terms, we can anticipate consolidation where the market could either face rejection or experience a significant breakout. #Nifty Current View: If the market breaks the previous high, we can expect the next target to be 26,034. This is a crucial level. If the market faces rejection there, we can expect a correction between 61% to 78% of the minor swing. However, confirmation of a correction will only be valid if the market breaks the 38% Fibonacci level. Until then, the market remains bullish. Alternate View: The alternate view suggests that if the market does not face rejection or consolidates instead, the rally is likely to continue to the level of 26,273.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
2
medium term trading opportunity in Shardha InfraprojectsHi, NSE:SHRADHA has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume. MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames. In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue. Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose. Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates. Please share your feedback or any queries on the study. Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
SLong
by raigvivek
medium term trading opportunity in M&M for > 25% upsideHi, NSE:M_M has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume. MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames. In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue. Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose. Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates. Please share your feedback or any queries on the study. Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
NSE:M_MLong
by raigvivek
Short term trading opportunity in Bajaj Finserv for > 15% upsideHi, NSE:BAJAJFINSV has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume. MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames. In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue. Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose. Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates . Please share your feedback or any queries on the study. Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
NSE:BAJAJFINSVLong
by raigvivek
Medium term trading opportunity in ABFRL for > 25% upsideHi, NSE:ABFRL has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume. MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames. In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue. Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose. Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates. Please share your feedback or any queries on the study. Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
NSE:ABFRLLong
by raigvivek
Medium term trading opportunity in Escorts for Very Good ReturnHi, NSE:ESCORTS has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume. MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames. In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue. Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose. Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates. Please share your feedback or any queries on the study. Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
NSE:ESCORTSLong
by raigvivek
#Nifty directions and levels for September 20th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 20th. Market Overview: Global markets are showing a bullish trend, as indicated by the Dow Jones, while our local market has a moderately bullish outlook. Today, the market is expected to open neutral to slightly gap-up, with SGX Nifty suggesting a positive move of around +30 points as of 8 AM. In the previous session, both Nifty and Banknifty experienced a solid breakout, but it didn’t sustain. Structurally, this indicates a diagonal pattern, meaning the trend is bullish, but momentum may be limited. This is one variation. On the other hand, if the market declines, it could turn into a correction. Let's look at the charts for more insight. Nifty: Current view: The current view suggests that if the market declines after some initial pullback, we can expect a correctional target at the 38% Fibonacci level on the downside. Structurally, it may not sustain there. However, if a solid pullback occurs, the market could form a range-bound structure between the previous high and the current low. This is our first variation. Alternate view: Alternatively, if the gap-up sustains, we could expect the market to reach the level of 25,561. If it consolidates or breaks this level, we might see a further move up to 25,643. On the other hand, if there is a sharp rejection at this level, it may retest the previous bottom.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
1