#nifty"Good morning! As of September 15th, there is no significant difference compared to the last session. Global market sentiment remains neutral, primarily based on the performance of the Dow Jones. The market trend is moderately bullish, with a possibility that it may open with a neutral to slightly bullish gap. If the market subsequently breaks the previous high, we can anticipate a rally continuation with minor consolidation. On the other hand, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, we can expect the market to enter a correction phase."
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14 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty + Weekly Expiry AnalysisNifty Weekly Analysis
Between the last expiry and today Nifty is up an impressive 378pts ~ 1.92%. We really did pick up some directional momentum this week. Almost all the sectors were assisting Nifty hit an all time high in this historic week and conquer 20000.
Nifty Daily Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “I expect the expiry to be above 19989 if we still have the bullish sentiment. I wish to stay 50% neutral and 50% bullish for tomorrow and would like to go 100% bullish once the swing high of 20110 is taken out.” Since we hit a new ATH by 09.40 today and because it was above my bullish level of 20110 I had to go long today. I rolled up my PUT positions from 19900 to 20000 for protection.
I am quite relieved that the 20000 PE expired out of the money otherwise my bullish bias would have been proven wrong. Meanwhile the CE long option was rolled over for the next week’s expiry.
The bullish momentum lasted only till 09.45 after which we were falling quite strongly. All the 5mts candles from 09.50 to 10.15 were in red. The 20000 PE option I had taken did appreciate more than 175% but I somehow decided not to exercise.
We closed at just 0.16% gains, so quite relieved that yesterday's analysis played out okay. Regarding the option prices - the OTM premiums were not attractive for an expiry day options seller. This is the 2nd expiry we had after decoupling banknifty from nifty.
With the current VIX scenario - the only route to make money for OTM option sellers is to shuffle the positions between banknifty or nifty or finnifty depending on the abrupt jumps in premiums due to lack of liquidity. I will try to write out an article by this weekend explaining the concept with examples.
On the 1hr TF Nifty has made a healthy upward pattern and as discussed over the last 2 sessions - a consolidation at the current levels will give it some stability. Parallelly since we took the ATH - a part of it would want to break free as that is the path of least resistance. If you are a bear - the only way you could fight back in is to close Nifty below 19989 or get a quick swing below 19960.
I wish to stay with the moderately bullish stance for tomorrow as well. Since I am holding a long position my personal preference would be to close above 20167.
Nifty levels - Sep 15, 2023Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Nifty daily analysis for 15/09/23.Nifty consolidated on the weekly expiry after a movement in the opening hours. A doji candle has been formed on the ATH and after a nice upmove there will be a retracement or side ways market.
It has closed around 20100 levels and there were no opportunities in the second half of the trading session.
On the hourly charts, nifty tried to test the 20 ema but reversed before testing it. It traded in a range on 60-70 poinnts in the second half.
The markets are losing strenght as there is a RSI divergence on the daily charts and even on the hourly charts there is a bearish divergence.
Watch for a market and it would be wise to carry less quantities in bullish trades.
On 15 minute time frame, after the initial profit booking market traded around the 20 ema and expired near the previous day close.
Support :- 20060, 20020, 19950
Resistance :- 20110, 20200
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
#nifty"Good morning! As of September 14th, there is no significant difference between the last session. Global market sentiment is neutral, based on the Dow Jones alone. The market trend is moderately bullish, and there is a possibility that the market might open with a neutral to slightly bullish gap. Structurally, we are in a ranging market, so we could wait for a breakout from this range. If the range breaks, we will set our target at the next resistance level. Otherwise, the range will likely continue."
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 14/09/2023Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 20100 level and then possible upside rally up to 20220 in today's session. in case nifty trades below 20050 level then the downside target can go up to the 19930 level.
Nifty levels - Sep 14, 2023Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
#nifty"Good morning! As of September 13th, global market sentiment is neutral, based on the Dow Jones alone. The market trend is moderately bullish, and there is a possibility that the market might open with a neutral to slightly bullish gap. Structurally, we are in a ranging market, so we could wait for a breakout from this range. If the range breaks, we will set our target at the next resistance level. Otherwise, the range will likely continue."
12 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - Mid Small Caps bleedingNifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow I wish to continue with the bullish stance, although I would like to take some safety net via long PUTS as we have the CPI (Inflation) data coming up this week.”
The opening 45mts saw huge profit taking, few of the candles were deep red sending out a message that it may not just be a profit taking. I usually do not check the midcap and small cap indices as their weightage rarely moves Nifty.
But seeing the aggressive price moves, I did peep into those sub indices and this is what happened.
nifty smallcap down 4.1%
midcap 150 down 2.97%
nifty metal down 2.67%
nifty energy down 2.49%
nifty next50 down 2.3%
nifty auto down 1.86%
nifty commodities down 1.85%
Usually we do not have these high aggressive moves. I even forgot the last time Nifty moved 2% intraday. The puts that I had on Nifty did appreciate in value in the opening 30 to 40mts but the fall got arrested there. So I still have those long PUT positions active for tomorrow.
The options premiums were also a bit off today, the OTMs having an unusual surge in prices - totally irrational. By around 14.45 - the options flow suggesting further downside. Whereas by 15.20, I got conflicting signals from the PE side.
I wish to just wait and watch for tomorrow and not get into an aggressive long position until Nifty50 has consolidated at the current levels. I wish to modify my stance to neutral from bullish. If we break the 19870 levels tomorrow - I wish to go short (bearish).
Nifty daily analysis for 13/09/23.After a gap up opening, there was a profit booking and market consolidated as it has already stretched alot and it may take a halt or market may become volatile.
On the hourly charts, there was profit booking in the first hour and market remained inside the candle whole day closing almost flat.
Nifty has hit a new ATH and there should be a halt or a retracement before carrying on with the bullish momentum.
Markets can't just go up without any rest or retracement and after a movement there will be a sideway to volatile market. Watch the market to consolidate or retest the lower support levels.
On 15 minute time frame, market has near to the 20 ema and is taking resistance from the round number figure of 20k.
Support :- 19920-50, 19860
Resistance :- 20020, 20110(ATH)
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Nifty levels - Sep 13, 2023Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NIFTY 12.09.2023 LEVELS..Nifty Spot : 19936.35
Dear Followers Kindly Don't Take Any Buy or Sell Trades Today... Please Watch My Option STRIKES & Level One Week.
Draw The Lines Buy, Sl, T1 to T5 Lines In Your Broker Application
Trailing Purpose Only.
Option Strike : 19800 CE
Buy At : 106, Sl : 95, Next Sl : 63
Target : 132
Target : 159
Target : 185
Target : 212
Target : 238
Target : 264
Target : 291
Target : 317
Option Strike : 19800 PE :
Buy At : 74, Sl : 67, Next Sl : 45
Target : 93
Target : 111
Target : 130
Target : 149
Target : 167
Target : 186
Target : 204
Target : 223
Every Target Point Is An New Buy Entry. First You Conform The Trend..
Market Goes Uptrend Or Downtrend. Then Only You Entre CE or PE Strike.
If You Enter... Stop Loss is Below The Entry 15 To 25 Points.. Otherwise You Loss The Money.
Kindly Watch My Break Even Point. Every Day.
Above The Break Even Point UPTREND Starts
Below The Break Even Point DOWNTREND Starts.
Don"t Enter Blindly.
#nifty"Good morning! As of September 12th, There is no significant difference between the last session. Global market sentiment is positive, based on the Dow Jones alone. The market trend is bullish, and there is a possibility that the market might open with a gap-up. If the gap-up sustains, we can expect the rally to continue with minor corrections. On the other hand, if the gap-up doesn't hold, we can anticipate a minor correction."
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ONLY FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE.
11 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - @20000 a day to remember 🎇🎇Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: For Monday I wish to change the status from bullish to 50% bullish & 50% neutral — that’s because I would like to wait for this news flow to get priced in. The euphoria and FOMO alone should drive Nifty50 to new ATHs, however I do not wish to get into new bullish positions till then.
The 50% neutral, 50% bullish stance was taken to give some time for the traders to digest the I-CRR news. Seems like nobody was interested to wait. As soon as we opened - the intention to go up was very clear - how so? Just look at the OTM put prices. All the signs of aggressive put writing with near ATM credit and far OTM debit. Since this pattern was holding throughout the day, I personally went ahead with some long positions.
In today’s price action, there were no reversal or pullback attempts and all the sectors were in green - a rarity usually. And as per DOW theory - if all the sectors are in green - its a true indicator of trend.
On the 1hr TF - just notice the pace at which Nifty50 regained the lost points. It took 42 days and 1hr for Nifty to fall from 19991 to 19223 and just 10 days & 6 hrs to regain it. Which also indicates its a structural bull market.
For tomorrow I wish to continue with the bullish stance, although I would like to take some safety net via long PUTS as we have the CPI (Inflation) data coming up this week.
Nifty daily analysis for 12/09/23.A new ALL TIME HIGH for Nifty today.
The market were looking bullish from the very first minute and finally crossed the 20k level in the last hour of the trading session.
Nifty has travelled to 20 k levels from 19300 levels and now it can take a halt before crossing the level. It has formed a marubozu candle and has closed near the round figure level.
On the hourly charts, the market is trading above the moving averages and has closed near the day high.
While the nifty is at its ATH there is no resistance and the levels for the resistance are taken by the fibonacci levels.
Support :- 19930, 19865
Resistance :- 19200, 19310
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Nifty levels - Sep 12, 2023Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Big Bears to start Party soon Nifty almost completed double correction at 19991.
Very few will agree with the count but this is what I am expecting now.
Nifty should start travelling towards south anytime soon.
This time it will start a big bear cycle which is likely to continue for next 1 year (atleast).
No overnight longs with index is suggested.
Will update if this wave counting gets invalidated.
Let the bear party begins.
All the best.
#nifty"Good morning! As of September 11th, global market sentiment is slightly positive, based on the Dow Jones alone. The market trend is bullish, and there is a possibility that the market might open with a slight gap-up. If the gap-up sustains, we can expect the rally to continue with minor corrections. On the other hand, if the gap-up doesn't hold, we can anticipate a minor correction."