29 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - 60% neutral 40% bullishNifty Analysis
Yesterday we had a neutral call on Nifty “Most importantly the 19310 support/resistance stands in between. A break in support may cause Nifty to follow the bearish channel. Whereas a breach in resistance will give Nifty breakout momentum as it exits the falling wedge. I wish to go with a neutral stance for tomorrow till we get some clarity.” You may not believe it, but today’s price action was between the 19310 horizontal support and the descending trend line.
The momentum was just not there to break the support nor break the trend line. We had 3 attempts each and all three of them failed. The open was gapup right at the trend line and we fell to the support by 10.25. From there we had a steady rise till 13.30 where we retested the trendline again but faced rejections.
The 2nd fall to the support came at 14.20 which was quick but lacking force. At 14.55, I seriously thought the support would get breached - instead we shot up to the trendline to close exactly on it.
On the 1hr TF, it seems like Nifty is coming under immense pressure to pick a direction. All clues are hinting at a bullish breakout as the support is too strong to be broken. The only reason the breakout is not happening may be because the big-bears have still not given up or booked profits. If new bears are not taking fresh shorts, then the existing short-sellers may have to run for cover as the market has a natural tendency to move up if it stays like this.
For tomorrow, I have a 60% neutral and 40% bullish view as we are right at the upper channel and above the support. If Nifty is unable to exit the channel in the first 90mts, I will look for neutral positions only. And if the lower channel is tested - I would like to convert my current positions to bearish ones.
Niftyview
Nifty levels - Aug 30, 2023Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
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nifty might break downward reasons read descriptionhi guys,
that is rising wedge where chances of breaking down are high and resistance is exactly neck line of an head and shoulder and adx shows trend strength is weak,so in my opinion this is just a pull back , i think it will break down lets see what happens
disclaimer- this is not any investment call or idea , this just my view and it can go wrong ,this is only for educational purposes trade at your own risk :)
Nifty daily analysis for 30/08/23.Nifty is not taking the benefit of the gap up opening and is coming for selling from the very first candle. Though, the market recovered after falling and closed 36 points above, still there is sideway to volatile market.
Option sellers market is on as the volatility is taking away the premiums benefitting the sellers.
On the hourly charts, it took support multiple times from the 20 ema and has closed between both the moving averages.
Nifty today has traded in a range of 50 points and has formed a box consolidation. The market is giving less intraday opportunities. It will be good to let market decide the trend and trade accordingly.
On 15 minute time frame, it has closed between both the moving averages and regained 40 points in the last two candles.
Support :- 19310, 19250
Resistance :- 19350-380, 19480
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
#nifty"Good morning! As of August 2nd, there is no significant difference compared to the last session. The global market sentiment is slightly positive (based on the Dow Jones alone). The market trend is moderately bullish, and the market might open with a slight gap-up. Therefore, we can expect a minor pullback afterward. If the market rejects the immediate resistance zone, we can anticipate a correction. Alternatively, if the market consolidates or breaks beyond it, the pullback will likely continue. On the other hand, if the gap-up doesn't sustain and breaks the 38% Fib level, then the correction will probably persist."#nifty #banknifty #finnifty
28 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - critical juncture 19310Nifty Analysis
Contrary to the expectations, today turned out to be a boring day. The open was right at the SR level of 19310, still it was gap up as our prior close was near 19250 levels. Even then the resistance breach did not come then, we had to wait till 11.15 for a 5mts candle above the SR zone.
BankNifty was looking in tremendous form today, we will discuss that separately in the analysis below. Due to this Nifty was also staying afloat, the real breach of resistance came at 12.30 only. And it looked like we may break out from the channel today.
But by 14.05 it became quite clear that we will not have a break-out today. Surprisingly Nifty gave a final close below 19310 which still gives hope to bears.
On the 1hr chart - things are still not clear. There is an overlap of 2 technical patterns.
1. Walling wedge
2. Bearish channel
Most importantly the 19310 support/resistance stands in between. A break in support may cause Nifty to follow the bearish channel. Whereas a breach in resistance will give Nifty breakout momentum as it exits the falling wedge. I wish to go with a neutral stance for tomorrow till we get some clarity.
Nifty daily analysis for 29/08/23.Nifty is still forming doji after doji. The market on the daily time frame is still below the moving average and in sideways mood.
On the hourly charts, market tested the support zone and tried to move up but took resistance from the 20 ema and gave a retracement after touch the levels. There is also an evening star pattern there.
Market slow tried to move upper but couldn't give some conviction as there was a rejection from 20 ema (60 minute) and 38.2% levels.
On 15 minute charts, nifty has closed below both the moving averages and is taking support around 19300 levels.
The market are showing some negative sentiments as it is taking resistance from the key levels.
Support :- 19250, 19180, 19000
Resistance :- 19380, 19480
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Nifty levels - Aug 29, 2023Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Nifty Trade Setup for 28-08-2023nifty important levels to watch are as follows
#Support: 19230
Sell below: 19230 only on 15 minute candle closure below the level.
Target 1: 19160
Target 2: 19075
#Resistance: 19330
Buy Above: 19330 only on 15 minute candle closure Above the level.
Target 1: 19385
Target 2: 19473
#Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal on either side. Please do your own research before initiating any trade. Always keep stoploss in order to protect your capital.
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Nifty - Analysis & Prediction - for 28 Aug 2023Nifty Heading towards 18900..?
BEARISH Trend Continues...
Yes it is, Look for SELL entry 19260/19280 for 19000 Target tomorrow.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
Happy Trading!!
Nifty weekly view for 28/08/23.Nifty on the weekly time frame has given a gravestone doji which shows some negativeity as it is sitting near the support levels of 19250 which has been tested many times. If market starts trading below the support level other supports are far enough to give a nice swing trades.
On the daily time frame, market opened gap down and has formed a doji candle closing 120 points lower. The market is looking somewhat bearish as the weekly candle is.
Market is trading below the 20 ema and has not crossed the previous swing high. The market tried to cross the moving averages by a break away gap buy couldn't sustain it and reversed falling around 200 point form day high.
On the hourly charts, it traded whole day below the moving averages and consolidated near the support zone. Market is consolidating in a range, break out or break down can give nice movement as a long consolidation is going on.
Nifty on close to close basis has been in a range of 250 points as it is respecting 19500 and 19250 levels. Bearish or bullish trend will only be decided once the market starts closing outside the range. Watch for the market close as there will be good targets to hit.
Support :- 19250, 19180, 19000
Resistance :- 19380, 19480
Supports are made near the day close as there can be a gap filling if there is a break down. Swing targets will be around 18880 as the market will retest the previous resistance zone.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
25 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - reversal in trend, below wedgeFor the last two days both my predictions have gone wrong. On 23rd Aug I recommended a long but we closed in negative territory. On 24th I recommended a neutral stance, but we went deep red today. On both the occasions, I had mentioned the rationale on why I have taken that decision and how I may react if the market makes a different move.
Today we opened gap down right at the support/resistance zone of 19310 and went down quite strongly in the first candle. From there Nifty made 2 attempts to breach this SR and go up - but failed. We woke up to bad news from the US that FED & its commitment to bring inflation to the 2% band.
What this did to our markets is bring about a reversal in trend. Just the previous day we had a breakout from a falling wedge pattern and Nifty was breaking free to take out the 19700 levels - but this cut short.
This is what I said in yesterday’s report “For tomorrow I wish to change my stance from bullish to bearish. If we trade above the trend line for more than an hour - I wish to go long. And if we fall below 19310 - I wish to go short. Till then prefer to stay neutral.” I took the short position right at the open as my short criteria met. But the position is still not so profitable as the market did not fall further. I was hoping for more than a 1%+ fall today.
I have made a modification to the 1hr TF. The newest addition is the bottom trend line which is almost parallel to the top bearish line. The reason to bring this up is to find out what will happen since the support was breached. Since Nifty was respecting the bottom trend line on 4 previous occasions, I expect it to comply going forward also.
For Monday 28th Aug I wish to change stance from neutral to bearish with a stop loss just above 19310 if it stays there more than an hour. My next strong support comes at 18880 which means the fall could be quite deep.
Nifty levels - Aug 28, 2023Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
#nifty"Good morning! As of August 25th, the global market sentiment is negative, based on the Dow Jones alone. The market trend is bearish, and the market might open with a long gap down. Therefore, we don't know where it will open. If the market finds support around the immediate support zone, we can expect a minimum pullback of 23% to 38%. On the other hand, if the decline sustains, then the correction will likely continue." #nifty
24 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty + weekly analysis - neutralNifty Weekly Analysis
Between the last expiry and today, Nifty has just gone up by 32pts ~ 0.17%. But this week has seen a wide swing of 332pts ~ 1.72% i.e from the low of the week to the high of the week. The drama mostly in today’s price action which we will be discussing shortly.
Nifty Daily Analysis
Today’s price action was action filled with drama right from the start. A mega gap up open of 94pts ~ 0.49% and then a steady climb of another 47pts to hit the HOD @ 19584. And from there a totally unexpected reversal that brought Nifty back to the falling wedge pattern.
The gap up was expected mainly because of the breakout we saw in banknifty (which had exited the falling wedge pattern) + the good handouts from the global markets. India also landed Chandraayan on the Moon which would have built the euphoric levels.
From the report yesterday, I advised to go long and personally I took the long position as soon as we opened. The further upmoves reinforced my decision. But the reversal started happening, I had to buy some PUTs to save my long CALLs. I was hoping the pullback will not close the gap - the real surprise came when it went below the falling wedge pattern - more or less negating the gap-up & breakout possibilities.
On the 1hr TF you can notice the magnitude of the gap we had and the intensity of the shorts that followed. The momentum was so deep to pierce through the bearish trendline (blue color) with so much ease. Another 60+ points fall would have forced me to go short today. For tomorrow I wish to change my stance from bullish to bearish. If we trade above the trend line for more than an hour - I wish to go long. And if we fall below 19310 - I wish to go short. Till then prefer to stay neutral.
Nifty levels - Aug 25, 2023Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!