Nifty levels - 21 Aug 2023Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
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#nifty"Good morning! As of August 18th, The global market sentiment is negative (based on the Dow Jones alone), while the market trend is moderately bearish. The market might start with a gap-down. After that, if the market takes a pullback around the immediate support zone, we can expect a range-bound market or a pullback continuation. If it breaks the immediate support zone, then the correction will likely continue."
Morning Mantra - 18th August 2023Dear All,
Just as we had stated in our Previous Morning Mantra update about our expectation on Nifty creating some cautiousness in the Market. Likewise the same was witnessed yesterday itself. As after a flat to negative opening, the Market showed us a further decline in its levels.
Moreover, today is the last trading day of the week. Besides, on the weekly chart, we can now observe a Doji formation.
Wherein, as per our expectation, it will somehow be better to witness the same flat closing today as well. As it can show us a positive reversal in the upcoming days.
While on the other hand, if in case Nifty gives a closing of below 19300, then we will have to work on our Portfolio as thereafter we can get to witness some further panic in the Market.
Same in the case of BankNifty, as even here we can observe a Doji formation on the Day chart. Where, on the positive side, the Index didn’t break through its support level of 43800 on closing basis, yesterday. So, the levels of 44444 and 43800 will remain to be the important levels for BankNifty, as of now.
Keep Trading!
Keep Investing!
Regards,
Alok Daiya
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
17 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - Bears are still fighting 🐻🐻Nifty Weekly Analysis
We have fallen 201pts ~ 1.03% between the last expiry and today. If you notice the chart below, Nifty is closely following the bearish trend line and we will get a range convergence soon. If the support line of 19309 is not breaking - we will have a bullish reversal. Global macros, India inflation data and other sentiments are pointing for a bearish case though. What will Nifty do?
Nifty Daily Analysis
I was very much impressed with today’s price action by Nifty. If you notice the trades we had yesterday - it was much contrary to what traders were anticipating. Today we just negated those moves.
You might remember the 15.00 candle that went up 45 pts yesterday - it really made no sense. I was thoroughly looking for any events to find out why we had a surge yesterday, but today’s reversal and negation brings back sanity.
We had 2 legs for the fall today, the first leg a fall of 83pts till 10.00 and then the second leg of 89pts between 11.05 to 13.00. The options flow did indicate we would have a bear day today, but I seriously thought the 19309 support line may get broken.
RELIANCE, ITC, HDFCBK, LT, KOTAKBK, BAJFINANCE were the main losers today and TITAN, ADANIENT, SBIN the main winners. The market depth favored the bears too with 33/50 in red.
Finally this is what we have now, the pressure mounting on Nifty50 to breakout or breakdown. Technical Analysis points to a breakout and the Fundamental Analysis hinting at a breakdown due to poor macros. Today’s 99pts fall is giving some hope to the otherwise beaten bears - their first priority tomorrow would be to take out the 19309 support to gather immense downside momentum. I am changing my stance from neutral to 60% bearish & 40% neutral for tomorrow.
If you have any questions - please comment below
NIFTY SCALPING ZONES FOR TODAYNIFYT
Timeframe: 15 -minute chart
Support Zone: 19350-19310
Resistance Zone: 19578-19617
Trade Overview:
In this trade idea, we'll focus on scalping the NIFTY using the support and resistance zones identified on the 15-minute chart. Scalping involves making multiple quick trades within short time frames to capture small price movements.
Trade Plan:
1. Entry Strategy:
Buy (Long): If the price bounces off the lower boundary of the support zone (around 19350-19310 ) with a bullish candle, consider entering a long position.
Sell (Short): If the price drops from the upper boundary of the resistance zone (around 19578-19617 ) with a bearish candle, consider entering a short position.
2. Stop-Loss:
For long positions, set the stop-loss just below the support zone or the recent swing low.
For short positions, set the stop-loss just above the resistance zone or the recent swing high.
3. Take-Profit:
Take profits for long positions at the upper boundary of the resistance zone or a predefined target level, ensuring a favorable risk-to-reward ratio (e.g., 1:1 or better).
Take profits for short positions at the lower boundary of the support zone or a predefined target level, with a similar risk-to-reward ratio.
4. Risk Management:
Since scalping involves quick trades, limit your risk to a very small percentage of your trading capital (e.g., 0.5% or less).
Given the short timeframe, be prepared to exit the trade if it's not moving in your anticipated direction.
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Note: This trade idea is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Scalping involves quick trades within a short time frame and can be risky. Always perform your own analysis and consider your risk tolerance before making trading decisions.
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Nifty levelsNifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Nifty Expiry TradeSetup for 17-08-2023nifty important levels to watch are as follows
#Support: 19360
Sell below: 19360 only on 15 minute candle closure below the level.
Target 1: 19300
Target 2: 19255
Target 3: 19200
#Resistance: 19500
Buy Above: 19500 only on 15 minute candle closure Above the level.
Target 1: 19560
Target 2: 19640
#Demand Zone: 19360-19380 may act as a immediate buying zone, and price may bounce from the region marked in green on the chart.
#Supply Zone: 19475-19490 may act as an immediate selling zone, and price may reject from the region marked in red on the chart.
#Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal on either side. Please do your own research before initiating any trade. Always keep stoploss in order to protect your capital.
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#nifty"Good morning! As of August 17th, there isn't a significant difference from the last session. The global market sentiment is negative (based on the Dow Jones alone), while the market trend is moderately bullish. The market might start with a gap-down. After that, if the market takes a pullback around the immediate support zone, we can expect a range-bound market or a pullback continuation. If it breaks the immediate support zone, then the correction will likely continue."
Morning Mantra - 17th August 2023Dear All,
Just as we had stated yesterday about the huge chance of witnessing a bounce back in Nifty, as a result of observing a bullish reversal pattern, named hammer. Likewise the very same was observed yesterday itself. As once again after taking a support at around 19300, i.e., at 19317 Nifty finally gave us a positive closing of 19465.
Well for now, we are still in between the 2 important levels of 19550 and 19300. Besides, Today is the day of weekly settlement, so it will altogether be a crucial day. Furthermore, it will somehow be better to wait and watch for a clear cut indication with an either side movement in the Market.
Consequently, the Conservative Traders can avoid Trading for Today, in order to be on a safer side. Whereas, the Aggressive Traders can take a chance of Cherry Picking with the stop loss of 19300.
On the other hand, even in BankNifty we had got to witness a positive closing of above 43800, i.e., at 43946 yesterday. However, here again we are in between the levels of 44444 and 43800. So, for clarity, it will be better to wait for a clear cut indication with an either movement in the Index.
Keep Trading!
Keep Investing!
Regards,
Alok Daiya
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
16 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - Are the bears still alive?Last session we discussed the support level of 19311, this came into play today and proved quite hard to breach. Today’s intraday low 19317 was hit in the first candle itself after a gap down opening.
The biggest negative news to start the day was the higher than expected 7.44% CPI inflation that came after market hours on 14th Aug.
Also the SPX and NDQ also closed lower than 1.16 to 1.1% - this also should have influenced the gap down today. The data that came from China - was bad and a leading indicator to what a deflationary, illiquid & rising unemployment looks like. I personally felt we might breach the support and close lower than 19146 today. But the resilience and perseverance shown by the dip buyers (bulls) were phenomenal.
We rallied back 163pts ~ 0.85% to close the day in green. Pretty much frustrating if you are a bear. This market is quite hard to crack. The rally also ensured we went above the swing high of last session showing further positiveness.
If we look at the 1hr TF - the double bottom @ 19311 stands strong, and the bearish trend line is converging. Till date the tops Nifty has made has respected the trend line - this could also mean the falling wedge pattern could hold true. If yes - its a bullish pattern and we could have a trend reversal soon.
The only way bears can regain control is to break the support of 19311 immediately, preferably tomorrow 17th Aug. Seriously I was screening the news to find out why Nifty rallied even in spite of bad news - one event I saw was the “CABINET APPROVES 63000 CR RUPEES FOR EV BUSES SCHEME” tweet. But seriously building an industry on subsidy & incentive is syphoning out tax payer money & destructive to existing industries.
I am revising my stance from bearish to neutral, will shift to bearish if 19311 breaks tomorrow for good.