Nse
FEDERALBNK | NSE | INDIA | ANALYSISFEDERAL BANK has following advantage to BUY:
1. Gave break-out for the 4 year trendline.
2. The Break-Out was with good momentum.
3. The Break-Out took a retest for the conformation.
4. RSI gave a breakout for the recent forming trendline.
Advantage: Our Big Bull Rakesh Jhunjhunwala is holding this stock and he increased stake in this recently.
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
#GVKPIL long trade idea setup (20/12/23)Greetings Folks,
today I have prepared a setup of NSE:GVKPIL
on NSE
the analysis is as follows-
- the price is currently following 2 trendline as support and resistance
- as the price nears the end of trendlines we may look to buy for upside
- do not go for short selling the stock as the indices are very unpredictable at the moment
don't play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
Options Decoded: Intrinsic Value, Moneyness RevealedCracking the Code: Understanding Intrinsic Value and Moneyness in Options Trading
Welcome to the journey of unraveling the mysteries of options trading. Today, we'll demystify two crucial concepts: Intrinsic Value and Moneyness. Let's dive in.
# Moneyness in a Nutshell
In options trading, Moneyness is the magic word that describes the relationship between the option's strike price and the current price of the underlying asset. It's like deciphering the secret code to assess an option's potential profitability.
At-the-Money (ATM) Options:
An option is ATM when its strike price closely aligns with the current market price of the asset. No profits or losses just yet.
Example: If a stock is at ₹1,000, an ATM call and put option would both have a strike price of ₹1,000.
In-the-Money (ITM) Options:
ITM options have a strike price favorable for profits if exercised immediately. They come with a higher premium.
Example: With the stock at ₹1,000, a call option with a ₹950 strike is ITM, and a put option with a ₹1,050 strike is also ITM.
Out-of-the-Money (OTM) Options:
OTM options have a strike price unfavorable for immediate profits. They have a lower premium.
Example: If the stock is at ₹1,000, a call option with a ₹1,050 strike is OTM, and a put option with a ₹950 strike is OTM.
Moneyness is a dynamic concept. An option that's ATM now can become ITM or OTM as the underlying asset's price moves.
# Demystifying Intrinsic Value
Now, let's spotlight Intrinsic Value, the hidden treasure within an option. Intrinsic Value is the real, tangible value an option holds.
For Call Options:
- Intrinsic Value = Spot Price - Call Option Strike Price
Scenario 1: If Bank Nifty is at ₹40,000 and the call option strike is ₹39,000,
- Intrinsic Value = ₹1,000 (Profitable)
Scenario 2: Call option strike at ₹40,500,
- Intrinsic Value = ₹0 (Non-Negative)
Scenario 3: Call option strike at ₹41,500,
- Intrinsic Value = ₹0 (Non-Negative)
For Put Options:
- Intrinsic Value = Put Option Strike Price - Spot Price
Scenario 4: Put option strike at ₹41,000,
- Intrinsic Value = ₹1,000 (Profitable)
Scenario 5: Put option strike at ₹39,500,
- Intrinsic Value = ₹500 (Profitable)
Scenario 6: Put option strike at ₹38,000,
- Intrinsic Value = ₹0 (Non-Negative)
Remember, Intrinsic Value can't go negative. It represents the concrete worth of the option based on the current market conditions.
Mastering these concepts is like wielding a powerful sword in the options trading arena. Stay tuned for more insights into the fascinating world of financial possibilities!
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#BHEL trade idea setup (17/12/23)Greetings Folks,
today I have prepared a setup of NSE:BHEL on NSE
the analysis is as follows-
- the price was on a good trend but is now starting to change the bias
- with the recent failed breakout, its clear that price is not in full bullish mode
- we are waiting for price to decide a bias in coming days
- the price can go move sideways or give a proper light in its direction by breaking out either side
- the market is very volatile, trade with light head
don't play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
#SUZLON long trade idea setup (17/12/23)Greetings Folks,
today I have prepared a setup of NSE:SUZLON
on NSE
the analysis is as follows-
- the price is following a trendline as resistance and is now nearing to breakout from it
- the price is also making gradual higher lows indicating that price does not want to go below past swing that serves as a bullish confirmation for our trade
- wait for either breakout or retest to enter the trade
- the market is very volatile, trade with light head
don't play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
#INFIBEAM intraday long trade setup (16/12/23)Greetings Folks,
today I have prepared a setup of
NSE:INFIBEAM on NSE
the analysis is as follows-
- the price is in a uptrend momentum right now
- following a weak breakout, price is now retracing to fuel back its efficiency and momentum
- as the price has returned more than 50%, its better to let the price take stable support
- there are 2 possibilities, either the price take support at the trendline or the zone mentioned in chart
- the market is very volatile, trade with light head
don't play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
IRFC stock first profit target at 78.0 and a second target 81.90In my analysis(for 1 week), I've identified a potential trade idea for the IRFC stock. Based on my evaluation, I see two profit targets. The first target is set at 78.0, while the second target is at 81.90 . To manage risk, it's important to establish a clear stop-loss level.
**Trade Idea:** Consider a long position(1 week) on IRFC stock with a first profit target at 78.0 and a second target at 81.90 . Implement a well-defined stop-loss strategy to manage risk effectively.
1st Target--> 78.0
2nd Target --> 81.90
Thanks
Kambi
HDFC Life: Charting a Breakout Journey to New Highs!Witness the journey of HDFC Life Insurance through its complete history. Study the chart attentively, and you might glean valuable insights.
From a technical perspective , HDFC Life Insurance is signaling another breakout after a substantial consolidation phase. Anticipating a move towards, and potentially beyond, its all-time high.
Consider a swing low around 667 , set a stop-loss just below, and set your sights high. This is my analysis for you.
Stay tuned for further updates as the story unfolds. 📈✨ #HDFCLife #TechnicalAnalysis
Breakout Momentum : Prakash Pipes | Unlocking OpportunitiesPrakash Pipes Ltd , currently at CMP 448.90, has recently experienced a breakout. Historical data suggests that breakouts with significant volume tend to perform well. Today, the price has broken out with notable volume.
Key Points:
Breakout Observation: The breakout pattern, particularly when accompanied by substantial volume, has historically yielded positive results.
Entry Strategy: Monitoring closely, a long entry will be considered if the price surpasses 449. Risk management will be implemented, and a stop-loss (as indicated on the chart) will be employed.
Engage with Us: If you resonate with our analysis, consider boosting and following us for more insights.
Let's navigate the markets together! 📊🚀 #PrakashPipes #StockAnalysis
FINNIFTY | Is this the End of the current downfall?Navigating the Indian Market: A Simple Guide
Introduction:
The Indian market, including FinNifty, has been going down lately. This is a quick guide for anyone interested in trading, even if you're not a market expert.
Market Trends:
Think of the market like a rollercoaster. Recently, it's been going down, which can make people worried. But there's a line on the chart from March 2020 that's been like a safety net. If the market stays above that line, things will get better.
Short-Term Moves:
We can also pay attention and mark this week's low and until it is safe we can try to go long But be careful, and only risk a little money if you decide to jump in early.
Big Picture:
To go all-in and start making good money, we need to wait for the market to stay above 19665, marked on the chart. That would be a strong signal that the good times are back.
In these uncertain times, remember to be cautious but ready to grab opportunities. Success in trading is about finding the right balance between being careful and making your move when the time is right.
QUESS CORP LTD: Good for Long term 1 to 2 years CMP: 500.05This stock is currently trading almost 48% less than it previous high of 963.40 it reached on 17th Sep 2021. From this level it a low of 337.55 on 28th March 2023.
The Stock found strong support at these levels which happens to be the Monthly Institutional Buy zone. On 29th March 2023over 10.39 million shares were traded compared to a 30day average volume of around 556k shares. Clearly indicating value buying.
The stock has since moved in a Cup & Handle pattern and also broke out of the falling trendline and further consolidating in the 400/- to 450/- levels.
It broke out of the resistance level of 458 - 460/- range touching a high of 527.30 on 23rd Nov 2023 which was also its first Target price.
All major Indicators including MACD, RSI, Momentum and Choppiness indes in the Monthly chart are showing positive signals.
Conclusion: The ideal Entry Point will be in the 437 to 450/- range however one can start buying 460/- levels with a long term ( 1.5 to 2 Years) target of 835/-
APTECH LTD : A good Buy for Long Term CMP: 254.70The stock has retraced to 0.618 of the Fib series from its all time high of 418.35 which it reached on 30th May 2023 and has been falling continuously to touch a low of 243.90 on 9th Nov 2023. Thats a drop of over 41% from its all time high.
The stock is finding support at the current levels which happens to be the Monthly and Weekly Instutional Buy Zone and also the 0.618 Fib Retracement level.. this level is a good area for institutional investors to come in.
The average 30 day Volume is around 311 K whereas the last few days the volumes has been in the range of over 750K. This means good buying is coming in these levels.
The monthly Institutional buy zone is between 207/- and 250/-
The stock is still trading below the falling trend line and the ideal buy would be after a confirmed close above the trend line with better than average daily volumes, however since this is a good stock and it is in the important support levels, one can start buying partly ( as per your risk appetite) at these levels and accumulate if it comes lower and within the buy zone mentioned above.
Target: We are looking at a long term target (1.50 to 2 years) of Rs.525/-