Nse
VEDL can break multiyear consolidation.NSE:VEDL
VEDL is consolidating for near 13 years now. For these many years consolidation means complex correction in Elliott Wave Theory. I label the counts on chart it's clear that VEDL is on last phase of WXY corrective wave. But wave Y is not yet completed I think.
I think VEDL will go near demand zone at least for completion of wave Y which is also near 200 day exponential moving average.
Wave 3 is always strongest in price movement and in volume. So, after wave Y wave 3 of Supercycle wave will start to form.
In most of cases after this many years of consolidation stock moves sharply in it's main direction and in VEDL it will be bullish.
Good For Long Term
My targets for VEDL are:-
1) 800/- which is 1.618 reverse retracement of Supercycle wave 1.
2) 1300/- which is 2.618 reverse retracement of Supercycle wave 1.
Nifty PreMarket Analysis : 16 Oct'23 NseMcxTalksStrategy : Trend Lines and Support /Resistance
Support : 19680
Resistance 19860
Entry levels:
Today Nifty might open flat with a bearish bias.
The range of trade expected to be in the range of 19680 to 19840.
Buy above 19860/or bounce from 19680 for Targets of 19900 19940
Sell if the Trendline is breached for downsides upto 19630 19560 and 19500
Important Events:
Today, we have a results announcement of the HDFC Bank. This will be
the first Quarterly results announcement of HDFC Bank after the merger of the HDFC bank with its parent HDFC arm.
The market expectation is upbeat on HDFC bank and expects a 30 plus percentage yoy.
But, there will always be a teething issues during any merger and it requires a
quarter, if not two to iron out these and to get the operations and financials optimised.
These are my Nifty Premarket analysis and refer my Trade updates in Ideas/minds.
Disclaimer: For Educational purposes. Not recommendations.
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Short Term view on NIFTYToday nifty gap down from the resistance of value area (Range) and touched control value area or small range within big range's and acted as support for price and form doji. Because of Doji market is uncertain to predict because of Island reversal too. To increase the probability of the prediction that the market or trend reversed or not yet. price must have to fill the today's gap.
Island reversals are strong reversal pattern. like on 5th Oct which gave strong support for the gap down of Israel - hamas war. Today's pattern is also Island Reversal.
For Bullish view market must have to fill the today's gap first. NSE:NIFTY
Nikkei 225 is strong. Going for all time high.TVC:NI225
Nikkei 225 index is in range. Price was rebounding and reversing on support & resistance. recently price gone outside of value area tested strong support value area (Sky color) near 30700.
After testing 30700 market was on fire to inside big value area (Range). It's sign of buying in market.
Nikkei 225 MAYBE will go more upside near 32850 or 33000 and then reverse.
Swing Buy Opportunity in Ambuja CementsRefer the chart for Entry,Target and SL.
NOTE: This trade is only for Equity Swing buy and not to be considered for options trading.
Please do follow Position Sizing and Risk Reward Ratio while planning any trades.
Note: This information is for education purpose only and please do your own research and consult your financial advisor prior to taking any action.
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WESTLIFE - 2 Possible Entries with Inverse Head and Shoulder🙌 Welcome to another educational analysis, where we'll discuss the recent breakout of WESTLIFE from an Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern. Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only, and I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
📊 Key Details 🚀
WESTLIFE broke out of the Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern on June 1st with significant volume, reaching an all-time high level. Let's discuss the two possible entries:
First entry: Above 852, which is the breakout candle's high.
Second entry: At the retest of breakout at neckline .
For both entries, ensure the Stop Loss (SL) is placed below the neckline around 800 to manage risk effectively. The first entry is more suitable for aggressive traders, while the second entry provides a safer option for both aggressive and conservative traders.
💡 Technical Terms Explained 💡
Before we proceed, let's clarify some technical terms used in this analysis:
💡 Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern: A reversal chart pattern characterized by three troughs, where the middle trough (the head) is lower than the other two (the shoulders). The neckline connects the highest points of the two shoulders.
💡 Breakout: When the price of a security moves above a certain level of resistance, indicating a potential upward trend continuation or reversal.
💡 Neckline: The resistance line connecting the highest points of the two shoulders in an Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern. It acts as a crucial level to monitor for potential breakouts or breakdowns.
Remember: Always conduct your own analysis and risk assessment before making any trading decisions.
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01 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - Neutral b/w 19563 & 19788 Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “For Monday I wish to continue my bearish stance with the first target being 19563 and second 19484. If the momentum fades and we are unable to pick a direction in the opening 2 hours — I wish to change my stance to neutral to a wait and watch mode.”
Firstly my bearish call did not work out today - that disappointed me a bit.Since the momentum has faded - it also makes sense to move to a neutral stance today. Opening was inline and the first 2 hrs of price move were in alignment to the action from friday (notice the continuous blue line drawn).
What didnt make sense was the 133pts ~ 0.68% rally from the lows to 19734 levels by 13.00. Another 60 odd points - we would have gone into the bullish zone. One major news that broke today was NSE’s plan to extend the trading hours to 6 to 9pm as a separate session - source. Looking at the time slot, I guess its to include the office goers into this betting arena.
We are already overdone with daily expiries, adding extra trading hours to bring in more participation may not work in the best interest of everyone except maybe the exchanges. Professional traders will always prefer reform stability over flexibility. If we push it too hard - these people may abandon ship and move to US markets.
NSE has already said 9 out of 10 people lose money in derivatives. 90% of full time traders are not able to go profitable - how likely is it that part time traders who jump in between 6 to 9pm expect to make money?
Trading itself is a stressful activity, its because we handle the frustration of going wrong along with losing money. 09.00 to 15.30 is usually a period where we remain absolutely focussed, distraction free & dedicated. People like me even eat lunch at the trading desk. Just imagine if we have to dedicate 18.00 to 21.00 also with a similar intensity - wont the work life balance be affected?
On the 1hr TF, Nifty will have to break down below 19563 or break out above 19788 for a trend determination. I wish to change my stance to neutral as long as we remain between these 2 orange lines. Personally I prefer if Nifty breaks down and retests the August lows by this Thursday.
Technical Analysis of Bank Nifty for Tomorrow Technical Analysis of Bank Nifty for Tomorrow (26 September 2023)
Support:
44500 (Big Support)
44700/44600
Resistance:
45000 (Big Resistance)
Overall Analysis:
The Bank Nifty index is currently in a consolidation phase, with a strong support zone at 44500 and a strong resistance zone at 45000. If the index breaks below 44500, it could fall further to 44400 or even lower. On the other hand, if the index breaks above 45000, it could rally to 45900 or even higher.
However, it is important to note that the 45000 strike price has a huge concentration of call writers. This suggests that there is strong resistance at this level. Therefore, traders should be cautious before taking any bullish bets on Bank Nifty.
Trading Strategy:
Bullish Traders: If the Bank Nifty index breaks above 45000, bullish traders can enter long positions with a stop loss below 44900.
Bearish Traders: If the Bank Nifty index breaks below 44500, bearish traders can enter short positions with a stop loss above 44700.
Overall, the Bank Nifty index is likely to remain in a consolidation phase tomorrow. Traders should be cautious before taking any bets on the index.
Disclaimer: This is just a technical analysis and should not be considered as a trading recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Technical Analysis for Nifty50 for Tomorrow**Technical Analysis for Nifty50 for Tomorrow - September 25, 2023**
**Overall Outlook**
Nifty50 is expected to open negative tomorrow, following the negative global markets. However, if the market opens above 19,700, then the 19,600 level will act as a support. On the upside, the resistance levels are 19,800 and 19,900-20,000.
**Support and Resistance Levels**
**Supports:**
* 19,600 (strong support as per OI data)
**Resistances:**
* 19,800
* 19,900-20,000
**Trading Strategy**
* **Buy:** If the market trades above 19,800 and closes with a 15-minute green candle, then a buying side movement can be expected.
* **Sell:** Wait for a breakdown of 19,600 before selling.
**Note:** Please follow price action and wait for opportunities to trade.
**Additional Comments**
* The global markets are negative due to concerns about rising interest rates and a potential recession.
* Nifty50 is a broad market index, and it is sensitive to global market trends.
* If the global markets continue to remain negative, it could weigh on Nifty50 as well.
* However, if the market opens above 19,700 tomorrow and closes with a 15-minute green candle, then it could signal a bullish reversal.
* Traders should carefully monitor the price action and wait for opportunities to trade.
**Disclaimer:** This is just a technical analysis and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 18/09/2023 (HAPPY GANESH CHATHURTHI)" HAPPY GANESH CHATHURTHI "
" MAY THIS GANESH CHATHURTHI REMOVE ALL YOUR HURDLES BRING YOU PROFITS "
BUY - 20200
SL - 20170
TARGETS - 20280,20380,20470
SELL - 20140
SL - 20170
TARGETS - 20110,20040,19950
NO TRADE ZONE - 20140 to 20200
Previous Day High - 20222
Previous Day Low - 20134
I am sharing NIFTY levels this levels acts as important support & resistance for intraday. if you want to trade with this levels wait for 15 min Candle closing above that levels. You can trade with breakout and reversal both.
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Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
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Bank of India: Target 10% with 1:1 Risk-RewardAs we can see at the chart, the price has made a significant upward movement, breaking out from a pattern called a 'symmetric triangle.' Currently, the price is trading above a specific line when we observe it on a daily basis. There are two ways we can consider entering a trade:
1.If the price comes back to the breakout level (resistance) and stays above it, we can consider entering the trade.
2. if the price doesn't retest the resistance, but instead shows a strong increase in trading volume with a noticeable large candle, that could also be a good signal to enter the trade.
We can aim for at least a 10% gain from this level while maintaining a reasonable 1:1 risk-reward ratio
It was just for demonstration purpose, Do not take it as reccomdation.