Oiltrading
INVERTED HEAD AND SHOLDER PATTERN ANALYSIS ON HINDPETRO 17.07.22BUY : 239 TO 211
FIRST TARGET : 330
Reason For Buying This Script :
In this script it is forming inverted head & shoulder patter in monthly time frame . Now the price is in right shoulder. Once the price close above 330 in monthly time frame and the next target 489. It has good potential to go life time high. Try to accumulate in lower levels.
Note :
Above given levels are based on monthly & weekly time frame . So be patience it will take some days to achieve the target.
ALL THE BEST ..
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil prices edged higher on Thursday after dipping in early Asian trade, as concerns about global supply tightness outweighed a build in U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories. Brent crude futures for September, the more actively traded contract, rose 63 cents, or 0.6%, to $113.08 a barrel .The less liquidity traded August contract, which expires Thursday, was at $116.08, down 18 cents, or 0.2%. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures climbed 49 cents, or 0.5%, to $110.27. Crude inventories fell by 2.8 million barrels in the week to June 24, far exceeding analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 569,000-barrel drop, U.S. Energy Information Administration data showed, even as U.S. gasoline and distillate stockpiles climbed.
Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading below middle line of Bollinger band indicator. As per RSI Indicator showing weakness in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD pivot level is 109.45. As per today 1-hour chart, my view is sell on rise strategy is good for XTIUSD. Sell range of XTIUSD is 109.30 to 109.45 and there is very strong resistance zone at 110.51.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 110.51 and sustain above in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 111.51 with the stop loss of 109.
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development After hitting seven-week highs, oil prices slumped 2% on Tuesday as Reuters reported that the United States could ease some restrictions on Venezuela's government, raising hopes that the market could see some additional supplies. Prices also fell after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell warned the economy could hurt by attempts to reduce inflation. Brent crude fell $2.31, or 2%, to settle at $111.93 a barrel, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell $1.8, or 1.6%, to settle at $112.40 a barrel. Powell suggested there could be some economic pain involved in bringing inflation down. The U.S. central bank will "keep pushing" to tighten U.S. monetary policy until it is clear that inflation is declining, he said. Oil prices have generally been rising as Russian supply squeezed by bans from several countries and an economic downturn due to broad sanctions on Moscow imposed by the United States and allies.
Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading middle line of Bollinger band indicator. CCI indicator also showing weakness at upper line level, and XTIUSD is trading today near pivot level 108. As per the 1-hour chart, XTI will be test next support level 106. As per my view, sell on rise is good strategy for XTIUSD, sell range is 108 to 109, and there is very strong resistance zone at 110.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 110 and sustain in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 111.50 with the stop loss of 109.
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Fundamental Development: Oil was up on Friday morning in Asia, but ongoing COVID-19 lock downs dampened fuel demand in China ahead of a long holiday. However, supply disruption fears as Western sanctions impact crude and product exports from Russia underpinned prices. Brent oil futures rose 0.82% to $108.14 after jumping 2.1% during the previous session. With the front-month June contract expiring later in the day, the more active July contract fell 30 cents to $106.96 a barrel. WTI futures gained 0.52% to $105.91 after settling 3.3% higher on Thursday. Both Brent and WTI contracts are set to close the week and month higher, with WTI on track to post five consecutive months of gains. The increased likelihood that Germany will join other European Union member states in an embargo on Russian oil also gave the black liquid a boost.
Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is showing strong bullishness. XTIUSD is trading upper band of bollinger band also RSI indicator showing strength above 50 levels. XTIUSD is trading above yesterday resistance level 105. As per the chart buy on the dip, strategy is good for XTIUSD. As per my view, XTIUSD buy range is 104 to 103.50 and there is very strong support zone below 103.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will not sustain above support level 103 in U.S. Session and USD Core PCE Price Index m/m data, indicate negative so it will be give great opportunity to short sell with the target of 101.50 with the stop loss of 104.50.
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil prices extended gains in early Asian trade on Wednesday amid simmering geopolitical tensions as Russia cut gas supplies to Poland, while hopes of Chinese economic stimulus buoyed the demand outlook. Brent crude futures rose 44 cents, or 0.4%, to $105.43 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 12 cents, or 0.1%, to $101.82 a barrel. Crude prices settled about 3% higher on Tuesday in volatile trade as the market torn between supply and demand concerns over Russian oil and gas disruption and a worsening global economic outlook.
Short Term Technical View: As per Bollinger, band indicator XTIUSD is showing strong bullishness in 1-hour chart. It is trading above yesterday resistance level 101.75. As per the chart buy on the dip strategy is good for XTIUSD. As per my view if XTIUSD trading above 101.75 in U.S. Session and crude oil inventories data also indicate positive so it will test next resistance level 104 near term . There is very strong support zone below 100. (Note: Crude oil Inventories will release at 8 PM (IST).
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will not sustain above 101.75 in U.S. Session and Crude oil inventories data indicate negative so it will be give great opportunity to short sell with the target of 98.
MCX Crude Oil : Correction is Expected!!!Global crude oil prices have risen more than 14 percent in the past 30 days as traders see a continued rise in demand and supply fails to keep up. The 400,000 barrel per day output hike recently decided by Oil and Petroleum Exporting Countries is not expected to meaningfully bridge the gap between demand and supply.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Crude oil has touched resistance recently and today it mace bearish harami candle on the peak near to its resistance which triggers downfall in crude oil.
CONCLUSION
Short crude oil with a stop loss of yesterday’s high. Very soon correction of 500 points can be seen from current levels.
IOC Long Trade With Proper ReasoningHi
So here we are again so we will again long Indian Oil Corporation with amazing Risk Reward Ratio. And It will also provide dividend of Rs.4 with Ex date of 9th Febuary. So I will recommend buying or if you already bought it then please don't sell it. Thanks and make sure to follow and like the post.
Bye
CRUDE OIL TREND ANALYSISTECHNICAL ANALYSIS
In October 2018, Crude Oil prices touched the level of ₹ 5600 on MCX but after that they sharply fall to ₹ 3000 same year in December.
Further last year during the lockdown crude oil fell to ₹ 1100 on MCX in April 2020 and rose to ₹ 5600 this year in July 2021.
Journey from ₹ 5600 in Oct 2018 to ₹ 3000 in April 2020 and again to ₹ 5600 in July 2021 ( shown in blue colour in graph) confirm the double top pattern with a resistant of ₹ 5600.
On October 4th 2021, it gave closing at ₹ 5825 (above its major support of ₹ 5600) for the first time after Oct 2018 that confirmed the upward moment of crude oil.
CONCLUSION
We do not suggest you to make any fresh short position in crude oil at this level. However, making any long position at this level would also be very risk as the prices are not certain at this level, however levels around ₹ 6500 can be seen very soon in crude oil on mcx.
💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
54.40 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 64.83 on 02/18/2021, so more losses to support(s) 58.65 and minimum to Major Support (54.40) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 66.
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💡WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
51.60 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 51.60 on 02/01/2021, so more gains to resistance(s) 63.10, 66.50, 72.55 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 79.
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💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
54.40 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 54.40 on 02/01/2021, so more gains to resistance(s) 62.30, 66.05, 70.35 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 73.
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💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
52.45 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 57.25 on 01/13/2021, so more losses minimum to Major Support (52.45) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 61.
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💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
46.50 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 52.38 on 12/18/2020, so more losses to support(s) 48.95 and minimum to Major Support (46.50) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 64.
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💡WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
43.75 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 40.20 on 11/13/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 50.70, 54.75, 57.80 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 74.
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💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
46.50 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 42.70 on 11/13/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 54.40, 58.65, 62.30 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 68.
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WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
43.75 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
The RSI downtrend #1 is broken, so the probability of continuation of uptrend is increased.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 40.20 on 11/13/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 46.30, 48.70, 50.70 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 66.
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