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Brent oil buyers need successful break of $100 to keep controlBrent oil crossed a downward-sloping resistance from mid-June to refresh the monthly top on Friday. However, a sustained break of the 100-day EMA, around $99.50 by the press time, as well as the $100.00 threshold, appears necessary for the buyer’s conviction. Following that, the black gold price could quickly rise towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the June-September downturn, near $105.00. In a case where the commodity remains firmer past $105.00, it can easily challenge the July 29 swing high surrounding $111.30. Alternatively, pullback moves could aim for the previous resistance line, around $95.20 at the latest, a downside break of which could tease the sellers. In that situation, the bear could aim for the weekly support line near $91.50 before rushing toward the $90.00 round figure. It’s worth noting that the oil’s sustained trading below $90.00 won’t hesitate to revisit the multi-month low marked in September, around $83.25. Overall, Brent oil prices recently overcame one key hurdle to the north but the buyers need validation.
VELOCITY:BRENT
by MTradingGlobal
CRUCIAL NFP DATA AHEAD!!!Market are betting on fed rates in today mainly. If NFP comes stronger than expected, markets might plunge giving fed signal to raise interest as economy is healthy. However of it comes weak, markets will speculate fed might slow down rates. US Dollar Index could rebound towards the 114.80 high. During last OPEC meet on Wednesday OPEC decided in its first one-on-one meeting since 2020 to cut production by up to 2 million barrels per day from November. Oil prices have fallen to around $90 a barrel from $120 in early June, amid growing fears of the prospect of a global economic recession. However, still not knowing how long will it last and with what intensity, predictions are useless for now. On the other side US opposes such a move, as OPEC keeps oil prices high, resulting in inflationary pressures on consumers and production costs. More specifically, President Biden is disappointed by OPEC's short-sighted decision to reduce production quotas while the global economy deals with the continuing negative effects of Putin's invasion of Ukraine. At a time when maintaining global energy, supplies are of the most importance, this decision will have the most negative impact on low- and middle-income countries that are already struggling with high energy prices. At Biden's direction, the Energy Department will release another 10 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve into the market next month. As per opinion looking at the history US do not have a tendency to remain quiet after this big opposing move however based on current situation they not declare straight economic wars against each other however the COLD WAR has already been started and rumours are coming that all the upcoming moves from US are taken under the same considerations, now the Big question arises here is today's NFP will really be based on country's conditions or the it will be based on the Running conflict between other countries, Let's wait for few more hours and we have our answers, For more details and further discussion on this matter even on any other market knowledge feel free to DM us...
TVC:DXY
by FiscalAutonomy
Brent oil eyes OPEC+ verdict within 200-DMA, key support envelopWith the 200-DMA restricting the Brent oil’s rebound from an ascending support line from March, energy traders stay bearish ahead of the key OPEC+ decision. Although the cartel is more likely to stay on their previously decided path to ease supply-cut norms, the latest Omicron woes raise possibilities of a wild card move, considering the West versus Middle East tussles. Even so, the black gold needs a clear break below the stated support line of $68.15, also conquer the $68.00 threshold, to dominate further and eye September’s low near $65.10. Following that, multiple supports can test the bears around $62.00, a break of which will highlight the $60.00 round figure for the sellers. Meanwhile, a successful upside break of the 200-DMA level of $73.10 will aim for the tops marked during late July and mid-September, around $76.50-60. Following that, $78.00 and the $80.00 may entertain UK oil buyers. Adding to the upside filters is the descending trend line from November 10, near $81.20. Overall, oil has further room to the south but it all depends upon OPEC+.
TVC:UKOIL
by MTradingGlobal
WTI CRUDE OIL (WEEKLY)Chart Advise has been recommending in its advisory for a a CRUDE OIL buy and the view has been fantastic. The steady upward traction seen on the charts since the past few days once again reiterates the point that the prices always speaks ahead of the move. I have found Pitchfork to be quite an important weapon against the trend. It has helped me several times to forecast in the right direction. We had mentioned in the GAME CHANGERS(Money Control) newsletter about the CRUDEOIL reaching 3350 on MCX and on the Dollar terms around 53. The potential looks to be much more as the possibility of heading towards 56 is on the cards . The Weekly chart looks ominous and the potential is gaining momentum as the positive DI lines are beginning to head higher. The strong trended action to the upside will now be able to stretch further an reach towards the upper channel. Positive vibes continue to flow and the steady higher lows continue to indicate a run to the upside.Look to initiate long at current levels or on dips towards 50 as possibility of heading upwards is very much on the cards.
FX_IDC:USDWTILong
by Raja_Chart_Advise