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In the next few days, That one guy will manage your portfolio.A day to remember with a 500 point gap down and VIX on the peak. A bloodbath on expiry day The nifty opened near 16500. On the downside, we know 16850 bounced back multiple times. Think about the option seller who entered into a safe position even below that. such a massive premium spike. A day to remember with a 500 point gap down and VIX on the peak. A bloodbath on expiry day The nifty opened near 16500. On the downside, we know 16850 bounced back multiple times. Think about the option seller who entered into a safe position even below that. such a massive premium spike. The nifty is nearly 5% down. While looking at the portfolio, it hurt, but it ended this week and this month on a high. Today's profit was nearly 1%, and this week's ending at nearly 1.5%. I am carrying over my position from Friday. I already booked profit on those positions, and on Tuesday I have 17550CE and 15850PE. But my PE fully melted on Wednesday. I was concerned about my CE 17550 because of the gap up opening and initial 5 minute candle movement. I closed all my positions and booked some losses in CE 17550 at that time. i did not enter in to new position because i was sitting on nearly 0.8% profit Then the Vix fell, the premium melted too fast, and it was a consolidation day. My plan was to take another 0.8+ profit the next day. So I did not enter into any position. Luckily, the trading plan saved me otherwise, I might have ended with a huge loss today. At the initial time, there was a huge premium spike. I entered in at 16000 PE and 16900 CE. It gave a good profit for the day. I left before 2PM. In the coming days, I am looking at the downside of 16170–15950, which is above 16700. Let's see how it's going to end. I hope everyone had a good day.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
Budget week, NIFTY weekly expiry Feb. 3,Where can we expect the budget week NIFTY expiry? Looking at the chart, the day started with a 200 point gap up, and 17600 acted as resistance. The nifty was down till 17250, then started a recovery, and ended the day below 17600. It is like we are all expected to be highly volatile on budget day. If I look at the chart, 17400 was tested multiple times, and the gap up helped to stay above. If there is any gap open for tomorrow, 17700 and 18000 are the first levels to watch. On the downside, 17400 will act as a support, and if there is a sharp move, we can roll up to 17600. There is also an observation. in nifty are multiple resistance zones there, but the bank nifty is now at a good level at 38800. It was tested multiple times. If any violation above occurs, we might see a break from the rage. That will also help nifty as well. Let's see how it is going to perform NIFTY after this budget announcement. Coming to my position, I entered on Monday evening, Put side 16150 good premium. I'm not confident about selling CE because I was expecting a rally after crossing 17400, so I keep holding on to my PE side. Today, after the gap up opening, PE showed some good profit, and at about 10AM, I sold 18550CE. This position was already near 1%, and the vix crash helped. My plan is to squeeze everything from the position. I will only adjust my position on Thursday. I think it's a super safe position now.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
After consolidation, there's a crazy move today! 3rd expiry Crazy movement will happen right after a consolidation in the way the market behaves. But this kind of movement is the nightmare of an option seller like me. The movement is led by the globe clue. Let's see how the 18000-19950 range acts above 18350. We know the import level to watch. Looking at the chart, there is a gap it filled now and will try to bounce back if that is being strong enough. 18000 will not be B.K this week. Let's see how it is going to end up this week. I am coming to my weekly option selling position. I have a deep pain in 17950 PE. I keep holding it and on the CE side, I have made profit of 18650 and 18600. currently holding 18500CE. I hope I can exit with 1% this week if the nifty won't B.K. 18000. If that happens, I will exit with a 1% loss.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
Be cautious as year-end,month-expiry&weekly expiry are coming..I hope the year ends on a high. We saw a lot of volatile expiries at NIFTY50. But this is going to be the last one of the year and the month we can expect volatility again. Looking at the chart, we can see that the all-time high for the Nifty50 was set on October 19th, and a clear downward trend was created when the price touched the trend line. There was clear rejection, and the price came down, creating a channel. Now the price is nearing the trend line. Let's see if it going to reject or if trends reverse from here. The Nifty50 is trading at 17230. 17200 and 17300 are expected to act as resistance. In terms of price action, this is also an important level; if it is broken with strength, we may see an upside moment. As long as the price does not exceed the 16800 to 17300 range, we will consider selling options with a good premium at those levels. Currently, I have 16800PE and 17500CE. Let's see how this week ends; if the 17300 level breaks, I'll keep my put side up and hope the 17500 level doesn't break; if it does, I hope I will be able to manage the position exit with profit.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
Consolidating Expiry! Option sellers adore consolidation.Still, there is intraday volatility. The market teaches us to adjust our positions based on intraday volatility, What we've seen in the last few expiries *It is good to see the nifty close above 17050. But looking at the chart, the weakness is still there. I will make a decision after watching the 17150 to 17300 range, because the 17200–17250 range acts as a support many times keep an eye on it. NIFTY opened with a gap up, but still, resistance is respecting what we can see. My weekly option selling - 17200 CE, 17150 CE, and 16850 PE, at last, 17000 PE made a good profit this week. We have one more expiry left. Let's see how December is going to end. I hope everyone is having a great year-end.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
Might expect a tricky weekly expiry? NIFTY50On Tuesday, we experienced high intraday movement, both high and low. It is good to see 17200–17250 acting as a support, but the 17350–17380 level is resistant twice. Movement frequently kills SL, and we frequently see a bounce back from the 17000–17150 level last week as well. Let's see if it continues again. At the same time, there is price action indicating trend continuation. In my opinion, if any of the indices break down below the lower support level, or if there is rejection near the 17450-17500 level, this is quick action to enter into a weekly option selling position. Let's see if we can get a good premium above 17600 and below 17000 for a safe expiry.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
Nifty: The 2-3-5 Rule works it's magicNifty This is not a fresh recommendation - In our earlier post we had warned about trouble times for Nifty based on the chart set up - we had also highlighted the possibility of Nifty breaking Support line based on the 2-3-5 Rule ( in the 5th attempt, the chances of breaking the support line is higher) Well, 2-3-5 Rule works its magic... As it was the 5th attempt at the support line, we went with the rule and were aggressive on the shorts. Note Technical Analysis is one thing and trading is another. Although I was aggressive on the shorts, in the trade we had, there was still margin for being wrong We had 18400 Call short position at 120 which was squared off earlier around 27 and shifted our call short position to 18200 Call short around 70 Along with that we had bought 17900 Put Long at 150 (this cost was taken care of and covered with the premium we had received on overall Call Short position. We had received 163 points from the Call Short position. So even if Nifty expiry would have happened at 18200 we would have still made 13 points on the overall Nifty trade ) Partial profit booking for 17900 Put was done on Friday around 254 and today we have booked full profits at 336. CMP for the 17900 Put is 380. I could have waited and earned more but that's fine with me. I had an initial target of 330 when I entered the trade at 150 and I am more than happy to get what I have got. 18200 Call option Short sold at 70 CMP 4. Overall a good day to begin the week with.... Enjoy & Happy trading....!!! 🙂 Trust you have found the analysis helpful. Trade responsibly Disclaimer - The view expressed here is my personal view - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
NSE:NIFTY
by indiamarketoutlook
5
Nifty 28 Oct 2021 - Analysis - Nifty went for Side ways for whole trading hours apart from last one hour.. There is no trend today in last one hour it went down.. still i feel that it is very narrow range.. So more chances of SL hit.. on both side.. - As per my yesterday Analysis it went up from 320 till highest 342.. but it reversed from there and on lower side from 18220 till 18180.. in last one hour .. Ok Lets see tmrw Analysis -- BUY CE if nifty cross 18244 and move upward if sustain after 18250 then go for target of 18330-18340 BUY PE if nifty comes down from 18340 then first target will be around 245 and go down more another target will be 18140. BUY CE if nifty take support from 18245 and move up then target will be around 18330-18340 BE CAREFUL tomorrow is Weekly Expiry
NSE:NIFTY
by ipoinvest11
BHEL Chart set up and viewBHEL CMP 53.95 Observations - stock has done a 76.4% retracement - 200 day EMA around 53 - stock near trendline (which may act as support) given the set up one may consider to accumulate stock from medium to long term perspective ( at cmp and on further dips ) momentum / short term players may consider buying if closing is above 57 for target of 62 / 65 ______________________________________________________________________________________ F&O strategy Suggested : Bull Put Spread strategy One may consider Sell 50 Put option around 1.25 and Buy 45 Put option around 0.30 Lot size 10500 Net receivables Rs 9975/- per strategy lot (yield potential 14.5% approximately) Loss in strategy if BHEL closes below 49.05 on 30 September Take care & safe trading....!!!! Disclaimer - The view expressed here is my personal view - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
NSE:BHELLong
by indiamarketoutlook
1
WIPRO - PRO+GOOD FOR A QUICK OPTION Take trade as per the values given in Fibonacci. always trail the stop loss. do your own analysis before taking trade Check these Upcoming ideas - STILL ACTIVE Check these successful trades & approach on HDFC , HINDUNILEVER, INFOSYS ,, MOTHERSUMI , DLF , BRITANNIA If you like my analysis do like & follow me as a token of appreciation. If you have any queries on any stock let me know. Leave a comment that is helpful or encouraging. Let's master the markets together
NSE:WIPRO
by thestockengineer
Nifty: Probable expiry range for today June 10, 2021Nifty Likely lower end of the range 15659 Likely Upper end of the range 15768 Disclaimer - The view expressed here is my personal view - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
NSE:NIFTY
by indiamarketoutlook
2
Nifty: Chart set up & potential trade strategyNifty Closing Price 14199 Observations - we see a co-relation in the 2 trending Zone between May 20 to July 20 and current trending zone from which started in late October - Now if the pattern is to continue we might be in for a range bound market till March 2021... Given the chart set up one may consider the following strategy for February series Consider to Sell Nifty 25 Feb expiry 14700 Call Option (Closing Price 240) & Sell Nifty 25 Feb expiry 13400 Put Option (Closing Price 169) Max profit potential in strategy Rs 30675/- per strategy trade till 25 Feb 2021 (20% max ROI potential till 25 Feb 2020) Risks involved in the trade - result calendar would start soon - Budget event in February The strategy provides a Risk cover for a rise in Nifty index price up to 15109 or drop in price up to 12991 till 25 Feb 2021 Take care & safe trading...!!! Disclaimer : - The view expressed here is my personal view - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
NSE:NIFTY
by indiamarketoutlook