EURUSD: Breaking important support levels!Hello everyone, EURUSD today continued its downtrend, extending for the third day in a row, surpassing many support levels despite the appearance of a double top pattern. The support level at 1,072 could not stop the exchange rate from falling deeply.
The current outlook remains skewed in favor of sellers, as candlestick patterns closed below support and a slight rise in the US dollar further exacerbated the pressure on the pair. Increasing speculation that the Fed may cut interest rates in September is also adding to the burden on EURUSD.
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XAUUSD - Is the 2400 USD target possible?Hello dear friends! Yesterday, gold faced some challenges in the context of a stronger US dollar. However, it still remains a focal point of interest for international investors.
After dropping to $2,330 per ounce, gold quickly rebounded within just 20 minutes, climbing back to around its previous price of $2,345 per ounce and stabilizing at around $2,331 at the time of writing.
Investors seem unsurprised by the much stronger US dollar and the possibility of a delay by the Fed. Gold continues to be a safe haven amidst high inflation and the instability and turmoil of the global economy.
It seems that the demand for gold will likely continue to rise unless inflation exceeds expectations. A more stable report could push the price of gold up to $2,400.
Prices rebounded after a series of quiet trading daysThe Japanese Yen has depreciated against the US Dollar this Wednesday, as the US released inflation data that was higher than expected. This development has pushed back the Fed's interest rate cut talks from June to September.
Furthermore, upon reviewing the latest FOMC minutes, it appears that US officials are wary of the inflationary pressures that are looming, which could mean keeping interest rates high for a longer period. On the other hand, the Bank of Japan is showing calmness by tightening its grip, keeping the Yen under pressure and helping USDJPY rise.
Keep an eye on the 153.00 level; it currently serves as a gatekeeper to the highest level in decades at 153.45. If we surpass this level, it could signal a green light for bullish speculators to push this currency pair higher, extending the upward trend we witnessed last month.
Update the latest gold price todayGold prices plummeted, dropping 20 USD after just 30 seconds after the US inflation announcement, exceeding market expectations. Inflation in March increased by 0.4%, exceeding the forecast of 0.3%, putting the Federal Reserve (Fed) in a difficult position in making future monetary policy decisions.
Inflation increased 0.4% in March, pushing the annual interest rate to 3.5%, signaling persistent high inflation. This situation may force the Fed to delay cutting interest rates to prevent the US economy from falling into recession, aiming for recovery in a challenging global economic context.
Previously, there were strong signals that the Fed might delay raising interest rates at its May meeting, with just over a 50% chance of a rate hike at its June 12 meeting. The consequences are for gold prices. fell as the US dollar soared, benefiting from yesterday's developments.
EURUSD: Stable waiting for new news!Hello traders! The EURUSD exchange rate is currently performing well, not deviating too far from yesterday's attractive position. It seems like we are all in this stable meditation garden, and it may stick with us until the end of the day and beyond. The Bollinger Bands range is back in action, stretching between the resistance level at 1.088 and the support level at 1.081.
At the time of writing my thoughts, the price is at 1.0850, experiencing a 0.06% decline for the day. Let me tell you, a cautious atmosphere is gradually emerging as we approach the release of the US CPI index and the FOMC minutes, both scheduled for Wednesday this week. What is your strategy as we wait for the unveiling of these economic dramas?
The rising momentum shows no signs of cooling down!Gold is heading towards its eighth consecutive record-breaking day, showing no signs of slowing down to provide better entry points for the upward trend. The precious metal has few indications that the price increase will be threatened, and the CPI index will be the focus of today's trading.
Looking back at recent days, even the NFP couldn't weaken gold, so it's exactly what was observed last week, with the weaker US dollar truly adding more appeal to gold.
Market sentiment The buyer/seller ratio is indicating dominance in buyer changes, providing a trading signal contrary to popular belief that gold may decrease in value.
Technical outlook On the H4 timeframe, the upward trend is still present, but the momentum is slowing down with shorter candles and a short-term consolidation pattern. In the event that gold continues to rise, the price target of 2370-2380 USD will be of interest today, where there are many short-term sell contracts waiting to be matched.
USDJPY: Silent for weeks!What are people's thoughts on the USDJPY breaking through the 152.00 resistance level?
This currency pair has been hovering just below this resistance level for quite some time now, seemingly trapped in an endless sideways movement.
But just because it hasn't broken out yet doesn't mean it won't. We may just need a little more time for the market to make a decision, especially with news that could potentially cause this currency pair to move in unpredictable ways, solely based on technical analysis.
However, if you're paying attention to it, consider trying to signal a sell when it reaches the resistance level I've marked on the chart, in order to achieve short-term profit targets.
Update the latest gold informationHello gold enthusiasts! 🌟 As the US Dollar Index cools, gold's glowing appeal persists, with today's trading keeping the precious metal at an impressive $2,345—a gain of 0.26% on the day.
However, with a series of consecutive price increases, gold faces a wave of profit-taking. Even so, the metal's shine has not dimmed, fueled by three powerful undercurrents fueling its record rise:
🔹 Geopolitical currents: Ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza stir volatile waters, with the potential for spillover to other countries keeping investors and governments on high alert. In these turbulent waters, gold emerges as a sturdy lifeboat for those seeking shelter from the storm.
🔹 Central bank gold rush: World Gold Council reports show notable gains, with global central bank gold reserves increasing by 19 tonnes in February.
🔹 Inflation prevention: As the wave of inflation increases, gold's reputation as a bulwark is reinforced, against the erosion of currency value.
In terms of news: This week's economic calendar tends to be brighter, all attention is focused on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for March, predicted on Wednesday (April 10). ), followed by the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and weekly unemployment claims on Thursday (April 11).
Gold prices today continue to remain stable at a high levelThe price of gold today continues to rise, with gold reaching $2,352.5 in the early hours of the Asian session. However, it later retreated and stabilized around $2,345.
The metal's upward momentum is driven by safe-haven buying amid concerns over conflicts. Meanwhile, the market is awaiting the minutes of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting and inflation data, which will be released later in the day, to find further clues about the future interest rate trajectory in the United States. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March is expected to increase by 3.4% compared to the same period last year. The core CPI is up 3.7% annually.
As a result, CPI data could create volatility in the gold market, and technical buying momentum will continue unless the CPI data is much hotter than expected. A lower inflation report could push gold to touch $2,400 per ounce and vice versa.
GBP/USD maintains a slight decline below 1.2700On this eventful Wednesday, the story of GBPUSD continues its recovery streak, gracefully dancing along the 34 and 89 EMA lines. The upward momentum has prominently returned as it approaches the Fibonacci level of 0.618, currently hovering around the 1.267 mark. Short-term wisdom primarily leans towards buying strategies, aiming for a swift victory at the peak of 1.270 before grappling with the decision to push towards the resistance level of 1.279 once again!
Meanwhile, all eyes in the market are glued to the upcoming release of the US Consumer Price Index on Wednesday, eagerly anticipating whether it will reflect price pressures surpassing the Fed's target rate. Truly, it is a suspenseful moment as we await signals of whether economic trends will change in favor of us or not.
Gold and its upcoming direction!The relentless surge of gold to a new record high in the opening session of April is being driven by predictions of US interest rate cuts and its appeal as a safe haven asset, currently holding steady at around $2,255.
The real driving force behind gold's upward trajectory is the growing belief among investors that the US Federal Reserve will loosen monetary policies. Market watchers are eagerly anticipating an early rate cut by the Fed, possibly in May or June.
The recent increase in this precious metal is also fueled by strong buying pressure from central banks worldwide, as they diversify their reserves amid geopolitical risks, domestic inflation, and a weakening US dollar.
The consensus is clear: gold thrives in favorable conditions and is poised to continue breaking new records in the near future.
Latest gold update: Continue to conquer new recordsDear friend,
Today, gold ended the trading session with a significant price increase. The precious metal reached a high of around $2330 after touching $2270, gaining $60 in just one day.
You may be wondering why gold is rising so strongly.
In terms of international market information:
Despite better-than-expected US employment data, the global gold price continues to skyrocket, setting new records in weekend trading sessions and marking the third consecutive week of gains.
Recently, considering the strength of the economy and inflation data, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated the view that the US central bank has time to consider when to cut interest rates for the first time. According to CME FedWatch, traders are currently pricing in a 59% chance of a rate cut in June.
Conclusion: Currently, I am very optimistic about the possibility of gold prices reaching $2400 per ounce. In the context of central banks continuing to buy gold to diversify foreign exchange reserves, higher US bond yields or a stronger US dollar will not be obstacles for gold.
With the current trend, it is possible for prices to continue rising next week. There is evidence that once it reaches the level
Strong upward trend continues for XAUUSD!Hello everyone, today the price of precious metals has reached a new record high due to the buying activity of central banks in Asia.
A new published report reveals that the People's Bank of China has added 160,000 ounces of gold to its reserves in March. Turkey, India, Kazakhstan, and some Eastern European countries have also been purchasing gold this year, leading to a continued rise in prices.
Despite expectations of changing interest rates, the recent increase in demand for gold will continue until the end of this year due to hidden supply pressures caused by concerns about economic downturn and ongoing conflicts. The new recovery of gold has only just begun, and it won't be long before Western retail investors jump into the market and drive this precious metal to reach new record levels.
GBPUSD: buyHello everyone! Just as we predicted, GBPUSD has increased after successfully testing the support level at 1.257. Currently, it is trading around the 1.265 level, with strong upward momentum and aiming to immediately conquer the resistance level at 1.266.
The US dollar has slightly depreciated as moderate risk appetite has prolonged the recovery process of this currency pair from its lows after the NFP. Positive market sentiment is putting pressure on the US dollar and supporting GBPUSD. However, it is important to monitor this currency pair, especially with the upcoming release of the US Consumer Price Index on Wednesday, as this index could provide new impetus for the movement of this currency pair.
EURUSD: Buying strategy is still supportedThe EUR/USD pair experienced a modest increase, reaching around 1.0860 in the early Asian trading session on Tuesday. The decline in the US Dollar (USD) has provided some support for this currency pair, with growing optimism fueled by various technical indicators.
The upward momentum is being observed and strengthened as a new level of support forms, aligning with the EMA 34 and 89. As long as buyers maintain this support level, the scenario of price increase remains entirely reasonable.
EURUSD: The movement trend is not clear!EUR/USD appears to have made a breakthrough above 1.0800 at the beginning of Monday, breaking free from a three-week downtrend. However, the short-term technical outlook paints a picture of indecisiveness in this currency pair. On one hand, strong NFP data from the US continues to bolster the US Dollar, while optimistic industrial production figures from Germany and investor confidence from EU Sentix have not had a significant impact on the Euro.
If this pair surpasses the level of 1.0870, it could establish a strong foundation for a bullish recovery in EUR/USD. Conversely, the EMA 34 and 89 indicators currently lean towards a slight downtrend, indicating a lack of momentum for any significant price movements in either direction. Therefore, the support level at 1.0800 is still being monitored for potential retesting.
Where will gold prices go this week?Hello everyone, following last week's upward trend, gold has once again started the second trading session with strong price increases.
In the early trading hours, gold briefly reached $2354 but quickly retreated and is currently at $2337, marking a 0.31% increase for the day.
In light of escalating tensions, gold's traditional headwinds have failed to impede its upward momentum in the past week. The precious metal has shown steady growth, ending the week with a 5% increase.
Looking at gold's recent fluctuations, it is no longer heavily reliant on the direction of the US dollar. Gold is now establishing itself as a global currency and overshadowing traditional pressures, pushing it to new record levels.
EURUSD bullish outlook?Hello everyone! After a long period of decline, EURUSD ended the week with gains and is currently trading at 1.0836.
It can be observed across most time frames that the EU has achieved significant milestones, indicating a very positive price outlook. With EU continuing to trade steadily at these high levels, there is a possibility that the price level of 1.082 will be retested in the near future, forming a trend line and using it as a strong support for further price increase. The expected price levels are currently 1.087 and then 1.093
GBP/USD Analysis: Heading for a CorrectionCurrent Context
GBP/USD ended its four-day winning streak, posting a decline following a correction on Thursday. Currently, the pair is steady on the downside, trading at around 1,262. Of note is the formation of a short-term top on the one-hour chart, representing a downtrend according to the Elliott Wave Principle.
Technical Analysis
Monitoring technical and selling trends is considered the priority option in the short term. Both technical indicators and wave analysis signal that investors should be bearish. The defensive target and stop loss are set at 1,257, marking a key support level that, if broken, could lead to an increase in selling pressure.
Short-Term Trends and Impact
In the short term, GBP/USD appears to be correcting after a bullish period. This decline can be considered a necessary technical correction before determining the next trend. If the 1.257 level holds, GBP/USD could find stability and start a new rally. However, if this support is broken, further declines are likely.
Conclude
Overall, GBP/USD is in a short-term correction phase with a selling bias favored. Investors need to closely monitor the 1,257 support level to assess the potential for further downside. Any news that affects USD or GBP needs to be closely observed to capture suitable trading opportunities, especially in a volatile market context.
EURUSD: The downtrend line has not been broken yetRecent Summary:
EUR/USD showed resilience on Thursday but soon encountered strong resistance at the descending trendline, leading to a fresh downward correction. The important support level at 1,076 is currently a solid fulcrum for this currency's recovery hopes.
Market Assessment:
The support level at 1,076 is showing significant resistance, laying the groundwork for EUR/USD's potential upside, as long as this level is not broken. The important event at the end of the day, related to USD, may be a turning point, affecting the current dynamics of this currency pair.
Recovery Potential:
If the end-of-day news tilts in USD's favor, EUR/USD may have to look for upside opportunities from alternative factors. However, if USD fails to receive support from the news, EUR/USD has a solid chance to recover and even rally from current support levels.
Conclude:
With an important event coming up and strong support at 1,076, EUR/USD is in a state of balance between recovery and downside risks.
XAUUSDThe departure from the upward trend channel has led this product into a significant price decline. It is currently trading below the resistance levels of 2285 and 2290. A strong downward trend was established after taking profits at the $2305 mark, with stable trading activity observed on the 1-hour chart.
Given these observations, it wouldn't be surprising to anticipate further price drops after testing the aforementioned resistance levels (as illustrated on the 2-hour chart), with an expected decrease to $2.248.
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XAUUSD: Setting new highs!Today's gold price gently adjusted, from $2,300 to $2,272, reflecting volatility but not eclipsing the long-term growth trend. In the face of inflationary pressure and positive economic data, the Fed may continue its strict monetary policy. However, policy flexibility is still the driving force behind gold prices, along with pressure from the national debt, creating a solid foundation for price increases. Gold, therefore, is still an attractive investment channel, resistant to inflation and instability.
From a technical perspective: price is still well supported by EMA 34.89. It is expected that the price will recover after the correction and retest the EMA 34.89.