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GBP/USD: New technical and volatility forecastOn Tuesday, GBP/USD recorded a bullish rally, reaching a high of 1.2670. However, this upbeat event did not last, and the pair lost its upward momentum in the second half of the day, when it finally traded below 1.2650 light to Europe Wednesday. Despite signs of technical indicators suggesting an increasingly strong bearish trend, the price currently remains stable, mainly hovering around 1,262. It seems that the sellers are cautious and do not want to connect with the bearish trend depth below 1.2600 without large fundamental changes supporting the move. Meanwhile, the US Dollar was able to gain recovery strength against other majors in the second half of Tuesday, supported by cautious sentiment and strong February Durable Orders data. than expected, the recovery mechanism of this pair is limited. From a technical analysis perspective, the GBP/USD pair continues on a downward trajectory with a small retracement towards the 0.618 Fibonacci zone. The target has been shortened to 1,252, suggesting the possibility of a bearish trend continuing. Given the current situation, market participants need to take care of a solid base, pay attention to all small variations and be ready for strategic adjustments in accordance with market developments.
by RKarina
XAUUSD: How to trade? Buy or sell?Hello traders! Gold continues to tread water, maintaining stability around the $2077 level after touching $2200 yesterday. As the days go by, traders eagerly await the final GDP estimate from the US on Thursday, along with data on jobless claims and weekly personal spending. Additionally, the release of the US PCE Index on Friday could be a significant event risk for the week. From a technical standpoint, gold remains in a sideways trend with slight upward movement in the short and medium term. Gold trading activity is fluctuating within the range of $2150 - $2200. A decisive break above or below either of these levels could signal a stronger move is imminent. Trade wisely and enjoy!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
27 Mar ’24 — BankNifty ends flat, but no directional intent yetBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ BankNifty also started the day with a gap up and then an immediate rise to the 46920 levels. This did not sustain as we gradually fell back to 46690 levels between 10.35 and 15.07. Surprisingly we had a 284pts rally in 15 minutes right back to the 46920 zone. The final close at 46785 looked pretty decent with the major gains coming from HDFCBK, AXIS, and KOTAK. For a brief period, it was interesting to see ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank going the opposite way thanks to the year-end rebalancing. 4mts chart On the higher time frame, BN looks flat, I am totally unable to make out the next direction with the current chart pattern. What was really lacking for the last 3 months was consensus in choosing the direction, among Nifty50, BankNifty and NiftyIT. NiftyIT is so beaten that a quick recovery is ruled out. Only if BN aligns with Nifty50 we can have a breakout. 63mts chart – Algo Trading Due to a production key error, I was not able to set up the execution on AlgoTest today - hence no trades.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
USDJPY: The direction of movement is difficult to predict!"Hello dear traders! Today, it seems that USDJPY is frozen in time, hovering unchanged as it looks up at the peak around 151.700, a record high it has recently reached. Market pundits are taking a cautious stance towards USD/JPY, predicting that a Fed interest rate cut is not just a possibility but an inevitability; it's a question of 'when' rather than 'if'. Meanwhile, growing consensus suggests that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may soon start adjusting its own interest rates. It's a quiet trading day today as we await new market signals. Stay tuned and trade wisely!" Let me know if this vividly paints the current market landscape for you!
by RKarina
EURUSD: The threat is still there!Hello, dear friends! What do you think about EURUSD today? As predicted, EURUSD has faced difficulties in breaking the resistance level at 1.086 and has started to retreat. The slight increase in the US dollar has led to a defensive risk sentiment, contributing to a mild decline in EUR/USD to the area of 1.0830, amidst increasing caution ahead of the release of US PCE on March 29th. From a technical analysis perspective, the path ahead for this currency pair seems to have multiple obstacles as the downtrend line is still in play. Continued violation below the key support level at 1.080 could potentially cause the exchange rate to slide even further.
Short
by RKarina
What changes in gold prices?Hello, wonderful companions! Let's delve into the golden hue of yesterday's market session. Gold seemed to pause after reaching $2,200 once again, finding a steady rhythm around $2,178 in the early hours of Wednesday's Asian trading session. Looking at the future prospects of gold, the short-term outlook remains optimistic. Predictions are being built around the potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, boosting the rise in gold as investors eagerly await important inflation data later this week. This data will play a crucial role in determining the timing of these anticipated rate cuts. Expectations are that gold will continue to rise due to the anticipation of interest rate cuts, unless the Fed changes its stance or signals a departure from the expected rate cuts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
GBPUSD recovered againHello wonderful people! Let's dive into GBPUSD insights today. In today's North American trading session, the British Pound is making a modest comeback against the US Dollar, thanks to speculation that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in June. At this time, GBP /USD is trading at 1.2657, marking a 0.16% gain on the day. Essentially, GBP/USD is forming a 'bullish harami' pattern, hinting at potential trends ahead. To confirm a trend reversal, it needs to clear the 1.2679 mark, announcing targets at 1.2700, followed by the 1.2803 peak. Conversely, a slide below the 1.2591 support could negate this pattern, potentially extending losses. What are your views on future steps?
by RKarina
Update the latest gold price today!Let's delve into the motivation behind today's gold market! Early on Tuesday, gold slightly surpassed the crucial $2,150 mark due to predictions of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year. Comments from Fed officials, indicating a dovish stance, have put pressure on the US Dollar, thus providing significant support for gold priced in USD. Looking at the chart, it is evident that gold has experienced a slight decline after reaching a new high of $2,222, but it continues to maintain a positive trend supported by an upward trendline. The 4-hour chart of XAU/USD demonstrates that the uptrend is prevailing, sustaining gold's momentum with positive signals from the 34 and 89 EMA lines. Gold is expected to extend its upward trajectory if it successfully breaks the resistance level of $2,185, with a strong support level firmly set at $2,150. Wishing you a successful and exciting trading session!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RKarina
EURUSD: continues to recover above 1.0800Hello everyone! EUR/USD has bounced back after two consecutive losing sessions, marking a comeback from recent weeks' lows around the 1.0800 light, countering the US Dollar's bearish bias. Starting the new week on a lighter note, the Greenback's recent rally has weakened, sending the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling below 104.00, despite US interest rates being higher in many different time periods. Likewise, growing demand for riskier assets has given the Euro wings, marking EUR/USD's notable recovery from recent levels near 1.0800.
Long
by RKarina
Gold and its direction in the future!Hello astute and wealthy traders! Let's delve into today's market dynamics! Gold (XAU/USD) continues to maintain a consolidating sideways trend this Tuesday, staying within the familiar range established over the past three weeks. However, the balance seems to be leaning towards the bullish side as the Federal Reserve prepares for a less restrictive policy stance, promising favorable winds for this precious metal. Speculations are mounting that the Fed will start a rate-cutting cycle in June, coupled with a slight decrease in US Treasury yields, causing the US Dollar (USD) to enter a defensive price increase. Furthermore, political tensions arising from the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and the uncertain ceasefire in Gaza Strip indicate that the smoothest path for safe-haven gold remains upward.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
EURUSD: Continuous discounts!Hello dear traders! What do you think about EURUSD today? After a strong increase on Wednesday, EUR/USD turned bearish on Thursday, ending the day in the red. The downward trend continued into Friday, with temporary trading fluctuating around the 1.0800 level. The strength of the US dollar has truly reversed the direction of EUR/USD, aligning perfectly with our previous forecasts. Looking ahead: The currency pair is currently moving through a significant support zone as marked on the chart. There is a possibility of a recovery, aiming to retrace to the Fibonacci 0.5 - 0.618 retracement level while testing the 34 and 89 EMA. A successful breach above this level could open up further recovery phases. Conversely, breaking below the current support level would present a golden opportunity for sellers. Let's watch and see what unfolds with this currency pair!
Short
by RKarina
USDJPY- Bears continue to prevail!Hello everyone, it's RKarina here again! Currently, USD/JPY continues to consolidate below the 151.50 level in the Asian trading session on Tuesday. Concerns about the Japanese government's potential intervention to strengthen the Yen are dampening the upward momentum, coupled with the overall weakness of the US Dollar, which is limiting the strong upside potential for this currency pair. With this scenario and technical outlook, the bearish camp seems to have the upper hand at this stage. The upward trend has gradually cooled off and shifted into a sideways movement. In the short and medium term, selling remains a preferred strategy, targeting two potential price levels for a decline.
Short
by RKarina
Gold price today: The momentum of "downward" is not slowing downHello everyone, let's find out how the price of gold fared last week and strategize for the upcoming week! Last week marked a significant moment for gold as it reached an all-time high of nearly $2222 USD. Market news, particularly rumors of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year, played a crucial psychological role for investors, leading to continuous manipulation and volatility in the price of gold. Currently, the $2222 USD peak is not sustained, and the strong recovery of the US Dollar on the last trading day has exerted considerable pressure on gold. Despite a 0.7% decline in the day, gold still slightly increased compared to the previous week's closing price, stabilizing at around $2165 USD. Looking ahead: The prospects for the next week indicate that the price of gold may experience further adjustments. The immediate short-term target is to retest the EMA 89 line (support area around $2148 USD). If this support level is broken, we are likely to lean towards selling, with a high possibility that gold will touch the $212x level next week! What are your thoughts on the future price movement of gold?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
6
Analyze and evaluate the new weekly gold strategy!Hello dear friends, are you curious about the gold price trend this week? As we enter a new week, gold has been steadily increasing by $10, reaching $2175 in Asian trading session. In the short term, it seems poised for further growth, although it may encounter resistance around the $2185 level. The monetary policy decisions of the Federal Reserve in June could significantly impact the trajectory of this precious metal. Details on the Outlook: A survey on Wall Street reveals mixed expectations: 40% predict higher prices this week, 27% anticipate a decrease, and 33% expect stable trading. Meanwhile, an online poll on Main Street shows a bullish outlook, with 69% predicting price increases, 25% expecting a decrease, and 16% maintaining a neutral stance on the short-term outlook for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
3
Gold price today: Stable waiting for new news!Gold Update: In the early trading hours in Asia on Monday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) comfortably fluctuated around the $2,100 mark, receiving support from speculation that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by the end of this year. Investors are awaiting the release of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for the fourth quarter, which is expected to remain stable at 3.2% and potentially create new momentum. Currently, gold is trading around $2,168, marking a modest increase of 0.15% for the day. Following the March meeting of the Fed, where they chose to maintain the benchmark interest rate between 5.25% and 5.50% for the fifth consecutive time, Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted at a plan to cut interest rates three times in 2024, boosting investor interest in the precious metal and pushing gold prices higher. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of the Fed starting to cut interest rates in the June meeting has increased to 72% from 65% after the interest rate decision. Personal Information: After the terrorist attack in Russia, the price of gold slightly increased, returning above $2,170. The market appears stable but may face a short-term decline between $2,150 and $2,180.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RKarina
USDJPY : Price increases continue under limited regime!Hello dear friends, let's discuss and devise our strategy for the new day together! USD/JPY is witnessing a decline, fluctuating near the 151.00 level, as the Japanese Yen faces significant buying pressure amidst concerns about Japan's potential forex intervention, especially after this exchange rate reached a new high since the beginning of the year at 151.86 last Friday. Minutes from the Bank of Japan's meeting in January further weakened the USD/JPY pair. From a technical perspective, if USD/JPY continues to trade below the marked resistance level, it may still face pressure and potentially decline further.
Short
by RKarina
GBPUSD continues to bounce back!Hello dear friends! GBPUSD is showing signs of recovery this Monday, bouncing back after a significant drop at the end of last week. The recovery started when it touched the Trendline, although the overall trend is still bearish due to the momentum the US Dollar (USD) has gained from Wall Street activities, despite the declining interest rates that have reinforced the potential recovery of this currency pair. In the short term, I lean towards a buying strategy, aiming for the resistance level at 1.267. What about you? Do you think now is a good time to buy?
Long
by RKarina
EURUSD: DiscountThe EUR/USD has declined to the 1.0840 level in early Asian trading on Friday. This decline is believed to be due to the strength of the US dollar and higher US Treasury yields. Traders are eagerly awaiting Germany's IFO Business Climate Index on Friday, before Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech. From a technical analysis perspective, a pattern has formed signaling a downward trend for this currency pair. In theory, the price will break below the support level, creating a false breakout at 1.0835. EUR/USD may continue to adjust downwards within the range of 1.081 - 1.080 by the end of this trading week!
Short
by RKarina
1
EURUSD: Buy now?Hello everyone, let's find out what's happening with EURUSD today! Last Friday, EURUSD ended the week with a downward trend. But today, it has found some support at the 1.080 level, causing a slight comeback with the current price hovering around 1.082 as it aims for a recovery towards the Fibonacci target of 0.5 - 0.618. If it can maintain the 1.080 support level, EURUSD still has a chance to rise. However, we should closely monitor the Fibonacci zone of 0.5 - 0.618 as sellers may push this currency pair down once again within this range. What do you think? Do you see EURUSD shifting towards an upward trend?
Long
by RKarina
USDJPY: Sell now?Hello dear friends, are you curious about the direction of USDJPY today? At the beginning of Friday, the USDJPY pair showed a slight decline, pausing its strong upward momentum when encountering resistance near the record high level. The Japanese Yen strengthened after the release of Japan's consumer inflation data. Uncertainty about the future policy steps of the Bank of Japan could hinder further price increases. The modest decline of the US Dollar is causing some pressure, although weaknesses are somewhat contained. Looking ahead: Technical analysis charts indicate the formation of a double top pattern. In this scenario, the SELL strategy will be prioritized, targeting 150.70 and then 149.21 respectively.
Short
by RKarina
1
Gold Price Driven by Modest USD StrengthHello everyone! Let's delve into the sparkle of gold prices today! In the News: Today, gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on its recent rise from the Simple Moving Average 100-hour support level around $2166-$2165. Instead, we are witnessing a decline in Asian trading session this Friday. Despite the Federal Reserve's policy update on Wednesday, investor focus is gradually diminishing as the US dollar strengthens, thanks to optimism about US economic growth. This resurgence, coupled with increasing US Treasury yields and prevalent risk appetite, is putting downward pressure on this traditional safe haven asset. Personal observation: After reaching a peak at $2222, gold prices plummeted, retreating to the $2170 range. Economic indicators continue to reinforce the US dollar. Looking ahead: The Fed's stance on maintaining interest rates and ongoing global political tensions may boost gold's upward movement in the near future. However, we should be prepared for a continued downward trend in today's trading session. Stay tuned for a day filled with opportunities or challenges.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RKarina
GBPUSD: Price channel not broken yet!The GBP/USD has risen above the 1.2700 level, recovering from a two-week low below 1.2670 on Tuesday. Investors are cautious about taking significant positions ahead of the policy meetings of the Fed and BoE, causing this currency pair to struggle to find a clear direction. Furthermore, the widespread strength of the US dollar (USD) continues to weigh on this currency pair ahead of the policy decisions of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE). With the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond holding above 4.3% after rising over 5% last week, support for the USD remains strong. As GBP/USD is still trending downwards, further price declines may be imminent!
Short
by RKarina