Part 4 Introduction to Institutional TradingEvent-Based Trading
Events create massive volatility:
Elections
RBI meetings
Union Budget
US Fed statements
Quarterly results
Geo-political events
Traders use options to position themselves strategically for such events.
Examples:
Buying straddles on Budget Day
Selling strangles when results are over
Using spreads when expecting a one-sided breakout
Event-based trading is where options shine.
Community ideas
NIFTY Analysis for 07th JAN 2026: IntraSwing Spot levels
🚀Follow GIFTNIFTY Post for NF levels
👇🏼Screen shot of Todays (6th Jan 2026) trade
Formed Descending Triangle & Pattern Breaks last 30 mins of trade👇🏼
💥Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis.
❇️ Follow notification about periodical View
💥 Do Comment for Stock WEEKLY Level Analysis.🚀
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in AVANTIFEED
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in KIRIINDUS
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Nifty Analysis for Jan 07, 2026Wrap up:-
As updated earlier, wave c is an impulse wave with wave 1 at 26057, wave 2 at 25878, wave 3 at 26373 and wave 4 is expected to be completed in the range of 26212-26113. Thereafter, heading towards wave 5.
Now, wave 4 is completed at 26124 and heading towards final wave 5.
Buy Nifty @26124 sl 26113 (75 min. candle closing basis) for a target of 26544-26804.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
"Don't predict the market. Decode them."
Part 3 Introduction to Institutional TradingIncome Through Option Selling
Short straddles, strangles, and spreads are used to make weekly or monthly income.
This is one of the most stable use cases of options.
Option selling works because:
Time decay benefits the seller
Most price action remains range-bound
Sellers use probability-based models
Institutions have been doing this for decades. Today, retail traders also follow similar approaches on indices.
Part 1 Ride The Big Moves Example Use Cases in Different Market Conditions:
Market Condition Strategy
Trending Up Long Call, Bull Call Spread, Call Ratio
Trending Down Long Put, Bear Put Spread
Sideways Iron Condor, Short Straddle, Short Strangle
High Volatility Long Straddle/Strangle
Low Volatility Credit Spreads
Most Probable Move in SilverLong term Silver is bullish with some saturation at top.
We can expect slow time based correction or sharp price bases correction (With the help of an economic event).
Until then we can ride the sentiment, Silver has turned Bullish on smaller timeframe too, so we can buy on dip until structure turns bearish.
Keeping that in mind, I’m sharing 4 most probably path that Silver can take.
Our decision will depend on reaction of Silver at these price levels and at our points of interest.
$PEPE is currently trading inside a well-defined bullish pennantCRYPTOCAP:PEPE is currently trading inside a well-defined bullish pennant on the 1Hr timeframe. After a strong impulsive move, price has shifted into consolidation — this is healthy behavior, not weakness. Buyers are defending higher lows while sellers are getting compressed, which usually precedes an expansion.
The key area to watch is the upper pennant resistance around 0.0000071–0.0000072. A clean break and acceptance above this zone, especially with volume expansion, can unlock the next leg higher.
🎯 Upside expectations
0.0000076 → first expansion zone
0.0000080 → measured pennant move
0.0000086 – 0.0000090 → continuation target
Momentum extension can even push toward 0.000010+ if sentiment flips aggressive
As long as price holds above 0.0000066, the bullish structure remains intact.
Bank of Maharashtra trade for 18-20% upside.**Bank of Maharashtra (Weekly Chart – NSE)**
The stock has **completed its Wave-4 corrective phase** and subsequently formed a **clear Inverse Head & Shoulders (iH&S) pattern**, signalling the start of a **fresh impulsive move (Wave-5)**.
**Technical Observations**
* Wave-4 correction has ended near ₹45–46, respecting Elliott Wave rules
* iH&S neckline breakout confirms trend reversal
* Momentum indicators (RSI & MACD) support bullish continuation
* Price is holding above the breakout zone with healthy structure
**Strategy**
* **Accumulation Zone:** ₹60 – ₹65
* **Upside Target:** ₹75 – ₹80
* **Potential Upside:** ~18–20% from current levels
As long as the price sustains above the accumulation range, the structure remains constructive for further upside in the ongoing **Wave-5**.
This setup favours **accumulate-on-dips** rather than chasing extended candles.
---
Gold (XAUUSD) Rejects 4470 Resistance – Short-Term Sell SetupGold (XAUUSD) has shown a clear rejection from the 4470 resistance zone, signaling potential short-term exhaustion after the recent rally.
This area has acted as a strong supply zone, increasing the probability of profit booking / corrective pullback before any continuation to the upside.
📉 Trade Idea:
Look for sell opportunities in the 4462 – 4472 zone, aligning with the marked resistance and price rejection.
Targets and risk levels are clearly outlined on the chart.
⚠️ This is a counter-trend / pullback trade, best suited for intraday or short-term traders. Manage risk accordingly.
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan.
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
XAUUSD M30 – Pullback BUY according to OB + GAP + Fibo🔎 Market Structure (SMC)
• Price has clearly BOS increased, confirming the short-term trend is still bullish
• Currently, the price is moving on an upward trendline, the decline is just a technical pullback
• No CHoCH decrease has appeared → no reversal signal yet
🟢 Key BUY Zone (Confluence Zone)
• Bullish OB + Fibo 0.5–0.618: 4,416 – 4,397
• This is a valid demand zone because:
OB is below the price
Coincides with the Fibo retracement of the BOS move
Located above the HL structure
👉 Prioritize BUY when the price retraces to this zone and a clear price reaction appears (reject / engulf / hold bottom).
🟡 Deep BUY Zone – GAP / FVG
• FVG – GAP not yet filled: 4,348 – 4,332
• This is a deep liquidity zone, only activated when:
The OB above is breached
The price has not yet broken the large frame upward structure
👉 Used for patient BUY, no FOMO.
🎯 Targets (Liquidity above)
• TP1: 4,490
• TP2: 4,514
• TP3: 4,533 – 4,553 (Liquidity Sell $$$)
❌ Invalidation
• Price closes M30 below the entire GAP zone (4,332)
→ Upward structure is broken, canceling the entire BUY scenario
📌 Quick Summary
• Bias: Bullish – Buy the dip
• Main BUY zone: OB + Fibo 0.5–0.618
• Deep BUY: FVG / GAP
• Do not SELL against the trend when there is no CHoCH decrease
Nibe Ltd – Elliott Wave UpdateNibe Ltd – Elliott Wave Update
Nibe Ltd has reversed decisively from the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, completing a textbook ABC corrective structure. The reversal was accompanied by clear bullish divergence on RSI and MACD, confirming exhaustion of the corrective phase.
Following the reversal:
Wave 1 of the new impulsive structure is complete
Wave 2 has unfolded as a shallow, time-wise correction
Price is now trading in Wave 3, supported by expanding momentum and rising volume
As long as price holds above the recent swing low (~₹1,030), the impulsive structure remains valid. Momentum indicators continue to support further upside, suggesting the trend is in an acceleration phase rather than exhaustion.
Trend Bias: Bullish
Structure: Impulsive (Wave 3 in progress)
Minimum Target: ₹1,700
Invalidation Level: Below the Wave-2 low
Nifty Metal Index- Momentum is turning positive📊 Nifty Metal Index -Momentum is turning positive with strong follow-through.
🎯 Target: 11,600
🛑 Stop-loss: Below 10,333
If metals sustain above the breakout zone, the move can extend fast.
Keep an eye on volume confirmation.
#NiftyMetal #MetalStocks #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #IndianMarkets
Divergence Secrets Leverage: Control Big Value With Small Capital
Options are inherently leveraged instruments, meaning you control a large contract value by paying only a small premium.
Example:
Suppose Bank Nifty is at 49,500.
Buying the index in futures may require a margin of ₹1.5–2 lakh.
But buying a 49,500 CE may cost only ₹200–₹300 per lot.
This means a trader can participate in the same price move with:
10x–50x lower capital
Better capital efficiency
More flexibility in managing risk
Leverage is a double-edged sword, but when used with discipline and structure, it can generate powerful results.
Introduction to Option TradingUnderstanding the Foundation: What Makes Options Special?
Before diving into the benefits, it’s important to understand why options are structurally different from other trading instruments.
An option gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a specific price before a specific time.
Call Option: Right to buy
Put Option: Right to sell
This right without obligation is the core feature that creates asymmetric returns.
When you buy an option:
Your maximum loss is capped at the premium paid.
Your profit can be extremely large, depending on the underlying move.
This asymmetric nature—limited downside, unlimited upside (for calls)—makes options fundamentally attractive.
XAUUSD H1 - Liquidity reaction post-geopolitical spikeGold surged strongly at the start of the week as escalating geopolitical tensions boosted safe-haven demand, while expectations of further Fed rate cuts continued to support the broader bullish narrative. From a technical perspective, price is now reacting around key liquidity and Fibonacci zones rather than trending impulsively.
TECHNICAL OVERVIEW
On H1, gold experienced a sharp sell-off followed by a recovery, forming a V-shaped reaction that suggests aggressive liquidity clearing.
Price is currently trading below prior breakdown zones, indicating that supply remains active at higher levels.
The market structure favors selling on rallies in the short term, while deeper pullbacks may attract fresh buyers.
KEY LEVELS & MARKET BEHAVIOR
Upper sell zones (supply & Fibonacci confluence):
4497 – 4500 (FVG sell zone, premium area)
4431 – 4435 (Fibonacci + former support turned resistance)
These zones represent areas where sellers previously stepped in aggressively, making them important reaction levels if price rebounds.
Lower buy-side liquidity:
4345 – 4350 (Value Low / buy-side liquidity zone)
This area aligns with trendline support and prior accumulation, making it a key level to monitor for a bullish reaction if price rotates lower.
EXPECTED PRICE FLOW
Short term: price may continue to consolidate and rotate between resistance and liquidity below, with choppy price action likely.
A rejection from the upper resistance zones could lead to another leg lower toward buy-side liquidity.
If buy-side liquidity is absorbed and defended, the market may attempt another recovery move.
FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
Gold’s strength is underpinned by two major factors:
Rising geopolitical risk, which increases demand for safe-haven assets.
Dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve, as markets continue to price in additional rate cuts, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
These fundamentals support gold on higher timeframes, even as short-term technical corrections play out.
BIG PICTURE VIEW
Medium-term bias remains constructive due to macro and geopolitical support.
Short-term price action is driven by liquidity and reaction zones rather than trend continuation.
Patience is key—allow price to interact with major levels before committing to the next directional move.
Let the market show its hand at liquidity.
ShortKey Points About Strategy
1. Identify breakouts using recent pivot highs and lows.
2. For entry or exit, wait for the candle to close above or below the given level; do not wait for the target.
3. Obey the risk–reward ratio strictly.
4. Do not create positions that you cannot manage, and avoid taking multiple positions beyond your capacity.
5. You cannot predict the market in advance—news, results, or corporate actions don’t matter.
Essential Disclaimer:
For education only—this is not financial advice. Always research and consult a licensed advisor.
All trades are your responsibility; I am not liable for any outcomes.
IIFL FINANCE - BULLISH, purely based on TECHNICALS IIFL FINANCE - BULLISH, purely based on TECHNICALS
Technical Outlook
CMP : 520.9
Chart Pattern
Stock has formed a cup and handle formation and looks poised to scale greater heights.
The stock has almost neatly recovered the March'24 Gapdown zone
Once it is completely recovered, I expect that stock to move towards its ATH
On weekly charts ,
EMA21 is approching EMA 63 and with the momentum, EMA21 should cross above EMA63 making LTP>EMA9>EMA21>EMA63>EMA200 - Bullish
RSI(weekly)=72 , MACD line > MACD Signal and positive
On daily charts
LTP>EMA9>EMA21>EMA63>EMA200 - Bullish
RSI(daily) =75, overbought and MACD line has just crossed above MACD Signal
Industry Outlook
Sector/Industry - FINANCIAL SERVICE/NBFC
IIFL's Relative strength and momentum on 20 day time period is improving.
RS = 107.xx, relatively strong strength compared to Nifty 500
Momentum = 102, relatively Strong momentum compared to Nifty 500
IIFL is amongst the top performing NBFC's in the last 20 days based on normalised returns.
Its beaten the returns from the likes of BAJFINANCE, SHRIRAM FInance and Chola Finance among others
Future outlook
520>535>560>625>680>Blue Sky (NEW ATH)
Disclosure 1 - Invested
Disclosure 2 - Not SEBI Registered
Disclosure 3 - This is Not investment advice. Treat it as educational
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 06/01/2026
1. Momentum
D1 Timeframe
– D1 momentum is currently rising
– It may take another 1–2 D1 candles for momentum to enter the overbought zone
– This suggests the current bullish move still has room to extend and may last another 1–2 days before a clear reversal signal appears
H4 Timeframe
– H4 momentum is currently in the overbought zone and preparing for a bearish reversal
– In the near term, H4 is likely to form a corrective move / bearish reversal
– This downside move is expected to last at least several H4 candles once the momentum reversal is confirmed
H1 Timeframe
– H1 momentum is still rising
– However, only 1–2 more H1 candles are needed for momentum to enter the overbought zone
– Therefore, a short-term bearish reversal on H1 is highly likely
2. Elliott Wave Structure
D1 Timeframe
– The D1 structure remains within the purple wave Y
– Price is likely forming wave 1 or wave A of the bearish leg within wave Y
– The completion of wave 2 or wave B is likely to coincide with the next bearish reversal of D1 momentum
H4 Timeframe
– The structure of purple wave Y is more clearly visible on H4
– H4 momentum is currently preparing for a bearish reversal, suggesting a downside move ahead
– Confirmation requires at least one bearish H4 candle
– Once confirmed, the Sell scenario will continue to be prioritized
H1 Timeframe
– The current recovery move is forming a 3-wave ABC structure
– Price has already exceeded the Fibonacci target zone outlined in yesterday’s plan
– Price is now approaching a major liquidity zone at 4471
3. Liquidity Zones & Price Scenarios
– The major liquidity zone is highlighted by the red box on the chart
– This zone is located between 4471 – 4521
Primary Scenario
– When price first approaches the outer edge at 4471, a bearish reaction is highly likely
– This area is considered a preferred zone to look for a potential top
Bullish Continuation Scenario
– If H4 momentum reverses lower and moves into oversold territory
– While the corrective decline does not close below 4398
– Then we should prepare for another bullish continuation toward the 4471 – 4521 liquidity zone
Strong Bearish Scenario
– If price closes below the 4398 level
– Or even moves into the lower liquidity zone at 4348 – 4317
– Then the market is likely to enter a strong bearish phase toward deeper targets of wave Y
4. Trading Plan
– Sell Zone: 4470 – 4472
– Stop Loss: 4490
– TP1: 4405
– TP2: 4348
– TP3: 4072
➡️ Overall Strategy
– Continue to prioritize Sell setups around the 4471 area as planned
– Wait for additional confirmation from H4 and H1 momentum to enter trades with higher probability






















