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BTCUSD Shows Stability After Drop, Buyers ReturningBTCUSD earlier saw a strong fall and then reached a clear demand area. From this zone, selling pressure started to reduce. Recent candles suggest sellers are losing control and buyers are slowly coming back into the market. Price is now holding above this support, which is a positive sign. The market is no longer forming lower lows and price behaviour looks more stable. This indicates the decline may be ending and a recovery phase could begin. Buyers are entering cautiously, which often comes before a steady upward move. As long as BTCUSD remains above the demand zone, the structure stays positive. If support holds, price can move higher step by step. The next important area to watch is around 90k, where price may react again due to past resistance. Risk stays limited below the support near 85.5k. Holding above this level keeps the outlook in favour of buyers, with improving strength visible on the chart.
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by SwingTrade_Concept
1
TCS Bullish ViewTata Consultancy Services (TCS) is a global **IT services** and consulting company and the flagship technology arm of the Tata Group. It is one of the world’s largest IT outsourcing and digital transformation companies. ## Basic overview - Full name: Tata Consultancy Services Limited (TCS), founded in 1968 as part of Tata Sons. - Nature of business: IT services, consulting, and business solutions provider serving large enterprises worldwide. - Group: Part of the Tata Group, India’s largest industrial conglomerate. ## Services and solutions - Offers application development & maintenance, consulting, cloud & infrastructure services, analytics, cybersecurity, and business process outsourcing (BPO). - Provides industry platforms and products like TCS BaNCS (banking/financial), Cognix, Quartz, MasterCraft, and others for domain‑specific solutions. ## Scale and global presence - Workforce of about 6–6.1 lakh employees (associates) across more than 46–55 countries, making it one of the largest IT employers globally. - Operates via a global network delivery model with over 200 service delivery centers and offices across North America, Europe, India, and Asia‑Pacific. ## Financial and market position - Recognised as India’s largest IT outsourcing company and a leading global IT services brand. - First listed Indian IT company to cross US$100 billion market capitalization, reflecting strong profitability and investor confidence. ## Strategic focus - Focus areas include digital transformation, cloud, AI, automation, data & analytics, cybersecurity, and industry‑specific platforms. - Positions itself as a long‑term transformation partner, building “perpetually adaptive enterprises” by rapidly applying and scaling new technologies for clients. If you want, a next step can be a short stock‑focused brief (business moat, client profile, margins, risks) specifically from an investor’s point of view.
NSE:TCSLong
by TheGoldenFarmsofEquity
TATA Investment Downside Projection Till Blue POC near 550Tata Investment Corporation Limited (TICL) is a listed investment holding company of the Tata group that primarily invests long term in equities and related securities across sectors in India. It behaves economically like a diversified holding / quasi‑mutual fund vehicle, with income mainly from dividends, interest, and profit on sale of investments. ## Basic profile - **Type**: Publicly listed, non‑banking investment company of the Tata group, originally promoted by Tata Sons in 1937 and listed in 1959. - **Business**: Long‑term investing in equity shares, debt, and equity‑related instruments of Tata group and non‑Tata companies across many industries. - **Income sources**: Dividend income, interest income, and capital gains from sale of investments. ## Portfolio and assets - TICL holds a diversified portfolio spread over dozens of companies covering sectors such as banks, FMCG, IT, auto, power, infrastructure, metals, and more. - As of 31 March 2025, total asset value is around ₹35,100 crore, reflecting the marked‑to‑market value of its investment portfolio. ## Market information - The company trades on NSE/BSE with ticker **TATAINVEST**, and is classified as a mid‑cap with market cap around ₹33,000–36,000 crore in 2025. - Recent data (July 2025) shows a share price around ₹6,620 on NSE, with a high P/E (~107x) and P/B just above 1x, implying rich earnings valuation but low premium to book. ## Recent developments - The board and shareholders have approved a **1:10 stock split**, changing face value from ₹10 to ₹1, with record date 14 October 2025. - The stock showed sharp moves in 2025, including strong rallies linked to value unlocking expectations from Tata group financial entities like Tata Capital’s IPO where TICL holds a stake. ## Strategic role in Tata group - Historically, TICL was created to provide risk capital to emerging entrepreneurs and projects, often taking minority equity stakes and supporting long‑term industrial development. - TICL co‑promoted Tata Asset Management Company (Tata Mutual Fund) and holds a strategic minority stake there, complementing its role as a long‑term **investment** platform within the group. If you share your intent (long‑term investing, listing‑play, Tata group exposure, etc.), a more tailored view on valuation, risks, and position sizing can be outlined. thanks
NSE:TATAINVESTShort
by TheGoldenFarmsofEquity
Chapter 5: Liquidity Traps vs Real Breakout Chapter 5: Liquidity Traps vs Real Breakout Chart Reference: ETHUSD (4H), — Dec structure shown in your screenshot Most traders don’t lose because they “miss breakouts.” They lose because they confuse a liquidity sweep with a breakout. On your ETH 4H chart, you can see the classic sequence: Strong displacement (big impulsive candles) Followed by tight consolidation / compression Then multiple “breakout-looking” moves And finally chop / rotation where retail gets recycled That’s the exact environment where liquidity traps thrive. 1) What a liquidity trap looks like (what hurts traders) A liquidity trap is a move that looks like direction, but is actually order-filling. Trap signature (very common on this chart) Price pushes above a recent high (or below a recent low) Traders FOMO into the “breakout” Price fails to hold Then snaps back into the range and expands the other way Trader impact: Breakout buyers get stopped Late sellers get trapped on the reversal Over-leveraged traders get liquidated Then revenge trading starts (the real damage) On your ETH 4H, after the big down move and rebound, price spends time in a range band (tight clustering of candles). That range becomes a liquidity farm: equal highs = buyside liquidity equal lows = sellside liquidity 2) What a real breakout looks like (the professional definition) A real breakout is not “price touched above the range.” A real breakout is acceptance + continuation. Real breakout criteria (non-negotiable) ✅ Displacement: a strong impulse away from the range ✅ Close / Acceptance: multiple closes holding outside the range ✅ Retest / Respect: price returns to the breakout area and holds (doesn’t re-enter deeply) ✅ Follow-through: the next leg continues without immediately collapsing If any one is missing, it’s not a breakout — it’s liquidity engineering. 3) The most common execution mistake (OB / breakout traders) “Entry on first touch.” This is the #1 reason breakout traders bleed. They remember the concept: range → breakout → run But they ignore the execution truth: first break often hunts stops real move starts after acceptance So they buy the wick, not the close. They trade the story, not the confirmation. 4) How MARAL treats this environment (execution-first) MARAL doesn’t ask: “Is there a breakout candle?” MARAL asks: “Do we have permission?” MARAL execution posture in this chart condition When ETH is in compression after displacement, MARAL will typically: classify environment as Range / Post-impulse digestion mark liquidity context as High downgrade entry permission until acceptance appears force you into WAIT until the market proves direction Because the highest-probability outcome inside a tight range is not breakout — it’s trap. 5) MARAL’s “Trap vs Breakout” Execution Protocol (simple + strict) A) If price breaks UP (buyside sweep scenario) Do NOT buy immediately. Only execute long if: Breakout candle closes above the range high Next candle holds (no immediate collapse back inside) Retest occurs and respects the breakout boundary Momentum stays supportive (no instant exhaustion) If price breaks up then returns inside → trap confirmed → no trade / or look opposite. B) If price breaks DOWN (sellside sweep scenario) Same logic: Close below range low Hold below (at least one more close) Retest fails to reclaim the range Continuation prints If price breaks down and snaps back inside → trap. 6) How this saves traders (the real benefit) This chapter is not highlighting “smart patterns.” It’s highlighting why traders get emotionally destroyed here: What traps do psychologically: They create “I was right but stopped out” They create “I missed the move, I must chase” They create revenge entries in the middle of the range They cause overtrading (signal addiction) MARAL’s job is to prevent that spiral by enforcing: permission before entry invalidations that make sense no-trade conditions when edge is low Not more trades. Better trades. Liquidity traps are not market randomness. They are selection mechanisms — they remove impatient execution. Real breakouts don’t need your belief. They show acceptance. Next Chapter (Coming Soon): Chapter 6 — Why Many ICT Traders Fail in Execution (Even With “Correct” Concepts) This upcoming chapter will focus on execution mistakes, including order-block misuse, liquidity misinterpretation, timeframe conflict, and lack of acceptance / invalidation rules. The purpose is educational only, aimed at helping traders understand why concepts that look correct on charts often fail in live execution. Note : This content is shared strictly for educational and market-structure study. It is not financial advice, not a solicitation, and not a signal service. Any examples shown are historical observations based on publicly visible price data. Trading involves risk, and all decisions remain the viewer’s responsibility. #Liquidity #MarketStructure #LiquidityTraps #PriceAction #TradingEducation #Execution #ICT #RiskManagement
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by MARAL_Execution_Workflow
HINDCOPPER: Trendline and Triangle Breakout, Chart of the MonthWhy This NSE:HINDCOPPER Chart Could Signal India's Next Major Commodity Play, even after giving such a robust run so far. Let's Understand in the "Chart of The Month" As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis: Long-Term Trend Structure: - Historical Peak and Correction: The stock witnessed a spectacular rally in early 2010, reaching an all-time high of ₹658, marking its glory days during the global commodity super-cycle. This was followed by a brutal multi-year correction that took the stock down approximately 90% to levels near ₹55 by 2013. - Extended Consolidation Phase (2013-2020): After the sharp decline, the stock entered a prolonged seven-year consolidation phase, oscillating between ₹40 and ₹90, building a massive base structure. This extended sideways movement allowed weak hands to exit and created a solid accumulation zone. - The 2020-2023 Recovery Rally: Post-COVID recovery and commodity reflation themes triggered a strong upward movement from pandemic lows around ₹30-40 to the ₹90-120 range, marking the beginning of a structural reversal. - Triangle Breakout Formation: The chart clearly displays a large ascending triangle pattern formed between 2020 and 2025, with the stock making higher lows while testing resistance near the ₹420-450 zone multiple times. The recent price action shows a decisive breakout above this multi-year resistance. Current Price Action: - Breakout and Retest: The stock has broken out from the ascending triangle pattern and is currently trading around ₹475.60 (as of December 27, 2025), showing a gain of approximately 45% from its recent breakout point. - Intraday Movement: Current session shows strong volatility with an intraday high of ₹480.85 and a low of ₹443.25, indicating active participation from both bulls and bears near record levels. - Short-Term Performance: The stock has surged over 75% in calendar year 2025 and has gained approximately 74.8% in the last six months, significantly outperforming the broader Nifty 50 index, which is up only 10.83% year-to-date. Volume Spread Analysis: - Volume Surge: The volume panel shows exceptional activity in recent sessions, with December 27 recording 494.78 million shares traded versus the 20-day average of 166.43 million shares, representing nearly 3x the normal volume. This indicates strong institutional and retail interest. - Second Best Volume in History: Recent sessions have recorded the second-highest volume in the stock's trading history, suggesting a major accumulation or distribution phase. - Volume Confirmation: The breakout from the triangle pattern is accompanied by robust volume expansion, which validates the move and reduces the probability of a false breakout. Key Technical Levels: Support Zones: - Immediate Support: ₹415-420 zone, which represents the upper boundary of the recently broken triangle pattern. This level previously acted as resistance and should now provide support on any pullback. - Secondary Support: ₹380-390 range, coinciding with the previous swing high from mid-2024. - Major Support Base: ₹300-320 zone, which served as a strong consolidation area during the triangle formation phase. This represents a critical support level for the medium-term uptrend. - Long-Term Base: ₹200-220 area, which marks the ascending trendline of the triangle pattern and would be a key level to watch in case of a deeper correction. Resistance Zones: - Immediate Resistance: ₹480-490 zone, representing the current all-time high region for this rally phase. - Psychological Barrier: ₹500 level, a round number that often acts as psychological resistance. - Historical Peak: ₹658 (all-time high from 2010), which remains the ultimate resistance target. However, adjusting for inflation and changed market conditions, this level may need to be recalculated. Base Formation: - Multi-Year Base (2020-2024): The stock carved out a large accumulation base between ₹150 and ₹450 over approximately four years, characterised by higher lows and repeated tests of the ₹400-420 resistance zone. - Base Depth and Width: The base shows a well-structured pattern with good width (4+ years) and reasonable depth, which typically precedes significant upward moves. Technical Patterns: Ascending Triangle Pattern: - Formation: Clear ascending triangle pattern visible from 2022 to 2025 with a flat top around ₹420-450 and rising bottoms connecting approximately ₹200 to ₹380. - Breakout: Decisive breakout occurred in late 2024/early 2025 with strong volume confirmation. Symmetrical Triangle: - The cyan-colored triangle marked on the chart shows a shorter-term symmetrical compression pattern forming during 2024-2025, which has also been broken to the upside. - This pattern suggests continuation of the bullish momentum with potential targets in the ₹500-550 range in the near term. Higher Highs and Higher Lows: - Since the 2020 bottom, the stock has consistently printed higher highs and higher lows, establishing a clear uptrend structure across multiple timeframes. - Each correction has found support at progressively higher levels, indicating strong underlying demand. Sectoral Backdrop: Global Copper Market Dynamics: - Supply-Demand Imbalance: The global copper market is sliding into a deficit, with the International Copper Study Group expecting a refined copper shortfall of around 150,000 tonnes in 2026, reversing previous surplus forecasts. - Production Challenges: UBS forecasts deficits of 230,000 tonnes in 2025 and more than 400,000 tonnes in 2026 as mine disruptions in Chile, Peru and Indonesia collide with rising demand. - Price Rally: International copper prices have surged approximately 36% year-to-date, reaching near-record levels above $12,000 per tonne on the LME, driven by tight supply and robust demand. Structural Demand Drivers: - AI and Data Centres: Data centres are estimated to need around 1.1 million tonnes of copper annually by 2030, close to 3% of global demand, representing a massive new source of inelastic demand. - Electric Vehicles: Copper demand from the EV sector is projected to climb from 1.7 million tonnes per annum today to 4.3 million tonnes by 2035, growing at an annual rate of 10%. - Energy Transition: The shift to renewable energy systems will require an additional 2 million tonnes of copper supply over the next decade, according to Wood Mackenzie research. - Emerging Market Growth: India and Southeast Asia are expected to add 3.3 million tonnes of demand by 2035, translating to average annual growth rates of 7.8% and 8.2% respectively. India-Specific Dynamics: - Strategic Positioning: India is expected to surpass the United States as the world's third-largest copper consumer by 2050, reflecting rapid industrialisation and infrastructure development. - Import Dependence: India currently imports a significant portion of its copper requirements, making domestic producers like Hindustan Copper strategically important. - Government Focus: Copper has been included in the US Critical Minerals list, and similar designations globally highlight its strategic importance for economic and national security. Fundamental Backdrop: Company Overview: - Monopoly Position: Hindustan Copper is the only Indian company mining copper and owns all the operating mining leases of copper ore in India, having access to about 45% of India's copper ore reserves and resources as of FY25. - Vertical Integration: The company is India's sole vertically integrated copper producer, with operations spanning mining, ore beneficiation, smelting, refining, and rod extrusion. - Government Backing: HCL is a Miniratna Category-I Central Public Sector Enterprise under the Ministry of Mines, providing it with government support and strategic importance. Production and Operations: - Production Capacity: Hindustan Copper produced approximately 537,000 tonnes of copper in the financial year 2025, outperforming private sector peers. - Resource Base: The company holds resources and reserves of 755.32 million tonnes estimated as of April 1, 2024. - Operational Units: HCL operates mines at Malanjkhand (Madhya Pradesh), Khetri (Rajasthan), and the Indian Copper Complex at Ghatsila (Jharkhand), along with smelting and refining facilities. Recent Financial Performance: - Strong Growth: Hindustan Copper reported a 39.1% quarter-on-quarter increase in consolidated revenues for Q2 FY 2025-26, with year-on-year growth of 38.5%. - Profitability: Net profit increased 38.5% QoQ and 83% YoY in Q2 FY26, demonstrating strong operational leverage. - Debt Reduction: The company has significantly reduced its debt burden, improving financial health and flexibility for expansion projects. Strategic Initiatives: - Revival of Rakha Mine: The company successfully executed a mining lease deed for the strategically important Rakha Mine in September 2024, which should boost future copper output. - International Collaboration: HCL signed an MoU with CODELCO, Chile's state-owned copper mining giant, in April 2025 to exchange expertise and enhance capabilities in mineral exploration and processing. - Expansion Plans: An MoU with NTPC Mining Ltd was signed in December 2025 to jointly pursue copper and critical minerals block auctions, indicating an aggressive expansion strategy. - State-Level Partnerships: MoU signed with Madhya Pradesh State Mining Corporation for exploration of critical minerals, including copper, in the state. Valuation Metrics: - PE Ratio: The stock trades at a trailing PE of approximately 80x, which is elevated but reflects its monopoly position and growth expectations. - Market Capitalisation: As of December 27, 2025, the company's market cap stands at approximately ₹42,992 crore. Key Developments: - LIC Stake Sale: Life Insurance Corporation of India reduced its stake from 6.086% to 4.072% through open market sales between August 2024 and December 2025, representing a booking of profits after the strong rally. Risk Factors: Technical Risks: - Overextension: The stock has rallied 75% year-to-date and is trading well above its intrinsic value estimates, suggesting vulnerability to profit-booking. - Resistance Ahead: The stock is approaching psychological resistance at ₹500 and faces uncertain price discovery beyond current levels. - Volume Concerns: Extremely high volumes could indicate climactic buying, which sometimes precedes consolidation or correction phases. Fundamental Risks: - Commodity Price Volatility: As a pure-play copper producer, the company is susceptible to international copper price fluctuations. - Production Constraints: Several of the company's smelting and refining facilities have remained suspended since 2019, limiting downstream value addition. - Operational Efficiency: The company currently sells copper concentrate rather than finished products from some facilities, reducing margins. - Execution Risk: Ambitious expansion plans through auctions and partnerships carry execution and capital deployment risks. Market Risks: - Valuation Multiple Compression: At current elevated valuations, any disappointment in earnings growth or copper prices could trigger sharp corrections. - Global Economic Slowdown: Recession fears or China slowdown could impact copper demand despite structural growth drivers. - Supply Response: Higher prices may eventually incentivise new supply additions globally, potentially easing the deficit. Bull Case: - India's Only Copper Miner: Monopoly position in copper ore mining provides strategic moat and pricing power. - Structural Demand Drivers: AI, EVs, renewable energy, and India's industrialisation create multi-year demand tailwinds. - Supply Deficit: Global copper market moving into deficit with limited near-term supply additions supporting prices. - Operational Leverage: Fixed cost base means higher copper prices flow directly to the bottom line. - Strategic Importance: Government backing and critical mineral status provide support for expansion. Bear Case: - Extreme Valuation: Trading at a 257% premium to intrinsic value leaves little room for error. - Production Limitations: Suspended facilities and the concentrate sales model limit revenue potential. - Execution Uncertainty: New projects through auctions are years away from production. - Commodity Cyclicality: Copper prices could correct sharply if macro conditions deteriorate. - Institutional Profit-Booking: LIC stake reduction signals some smart money taking profits. My 2 Cents: NSE:HINDCOPPER is at a critical juncture, benefiting from a rare combination of technical breakout, commodity super-cycle dynamics, and structural demand shifts driven by AI and electrification. But at these elevated valuations, be cautious and have disciplined risk management. Full Coverage on my Mid-Week Newsletter coming Wednesday. Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:HINDCOPPERLong
by Karanshah137
3
Nifty 50 Weekly Analysis ( Elliott Wave Structure )Elliott Wave Structure Completed & Ongoing Waves Wave (A): A corrective decline that ended near the 21,736 swing low. This level acts as a major structural base for the current bull cycle. Wave (B): The market is currently completing Wave (B). Price has rallied strongly from the swing low and is now consolidating near 26,200 – 26,300. This zone aligns with: Previous supply Prior swing highs Psychological resistance Wave (C) (Projected): Two scenarios are highlighted: Shallow Correction: A pullback toward the Demand Zone (~23,900 – 23,400). This would maintain the broader bullish structure. Deeper Correction: A decline toward the 21,736 swing low if resistance rejects strongly. Still considered corrective unless this level breaks decisively. # Key Price Zones Resistance / Supply Zone 26,200 – 26,350 Marked as a major supply zone. Multiple rejections visible. Overlapping with Wave (B) completion area. A weekly close above this zone would confirm bullish continuation. ~Disclaimer~ High Risk Investment Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors. Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading. This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by renderwithme
Time Cycles Applied to LIC (Life Insurance Corporation of India)Insurance stocks gained up to 1.5% in early trade following the approval of the Lok Sabha for the Insurance Laws Amendment Bill. Insurance stocks: Shares of Life Insurance Corporation of India, SBI Life, ICICI Lombard General Insurance, and other Indian insurance companies traded in the green in the early morning session on Wednesday, December 17, after the Lok Sabha approved the Insurance Laws Amendment Bill. Insurance Amendment Bill: Key contours & impact The Insurance Amendment Bill, introduced by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman and passed by the Lok Sabha, included: 100% foreign direct investment (FDI) in insurance, significant reduction in initial capital requirement for re-insurers, merger between insurance and non-insurance entities, increase in approval thresholds for stake sale in insurers, empowering the insurance regulator to regulate distribution commission payouts, operational flexibility for LICI, and creation of a reserve fund by LICI. Time Cycles Applied to LIC (Life Insurance Corporation of India) Chart It's Life Insurance Corporation of India (LICI, daily timeframe) as of Dec 27, 2025, shows a classic bearish downtrend with measured percentage declines and time projections, likely using time cycle analysis to forecast potential lows or reversals. Key Annotations: Percentage declines marked: -11.89%, -17.77%, -18.54%, -18.82%, -11.39%, etc., showing corrective or bear phases. Horizontal support zones (shaded gray boxes) where price consolidated before breakdowns. "40 Bars, 60d" label near a recent low → This highlights a time cycle measurement: approximately 40 trading bars (~60 calendar days) from a prior low or turning point, projecting the next cycle low. Downward-sloping dashed lines projecting future path into 2026, suggesting continued weakness toward lower levels (~500-600 zone if extended). This chart applies time cycle theory (e.g., Hurst or Gann principles): Cycles measured from low to low (or high to high). The "40 bars / 60d" indicates a short-term cycle (~2 months), common in stocks for minor lows. Projecting that after this cycle completion, price may test lower supports, potentially completing a larger bear cycle. Combine with volume/RSI for confirmation—cycles often align with oversold conditions for reversals. Time cycles (e.g., 40-60-80-100 days, or Hurst's harmonic ratios) help time entries/exits but are probabilistic. Recent real prices (~850 INR) align with chart's consolidation near supports. Fundamentals strong (large insurer), but technicals dominate short-term. For LIC, the 60-day cycle suggests watching for reversal signals soon.
NSE:LICILong
by askbiswanath2025
Copper continuously buying recommended 1254 on dec future buy onParameter Data Price Movement 🟩 Parabolic Surge (Trading > ₹1,250 with high velocity) Current Trade 🟩 Momentum Buy (Entry on micro-dips: ₹1,235 - ₹1,240) SMC Structure 🟩 Strong Imbalance (Aggressive buying leaving FVG below) Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Trap: Counter-trend shorts at ₹1,260 🟩 Liquidity: Unfilled orders at ₹1,200 Probability 🟩 High (Trend is vertical; fight it at your own risk) Risk Reward 🟩 1 : 2 Confidence 🟩 High (Panic buying visible in order flow) Max Pain 🟨 ₹1,200 (Call writers in deep trouble) DEMA Levels 🟩 Price >>> DEMA 20 (Extended deviation from average) Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,235 (Intraday Pivot) 🟩 S2: ₹1,200 (Breakout Base) Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,265 (Day High Zone) 🟥 R2: ₹1,300 (Psychological Barrier) ADX/RSI/DMI 🟥 RSI: 88.4 (Extreme Overbought - Scalp only) 🟩 ADX: 65+ (Trend strength is rare/extreme) Market Depth 🟩 Chase Mode (Bids jumping up to catch price) Volatility 🟥 Extreme (Expect ₹20-₹30 swings in minutes) Source Ledger 🟩 User Override (Price set to ₹1,254) OI (Open Interest) 🟩 Short Covering (OI dropping as shorts exit) PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟩 1.80 (Euphoric; Put premiums spiked) VWAP 🟩 ₹1,242.50 (Price holding above intraday mean) Turnover 🟩 Massive (Volume clusters at highs) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 None (Parabola invalidates geometric structures) IV/RV 🟥 Exploding (Option premiums expensive due to range) Options Skew 🟩 Call Skew (OTM Calls trading > Delta value) Vanna/Charm 🟨 Volatile (Gamma risk is high for writers) Block Trades 🟩 High Frequency (Algo execution dominating) COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Funds chasing the breakout) Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 High (Sync with Silver's vertical move) ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflow (Commodity baskets seeing heavy volume) Sentiment Index 🟩 Euphoria (Retail + Pro aligned on Longs) OFI (Order Flow) 🟩 Strong Buy (Market orders clearing the Ask) Delta 🟩 Positive (Aggressive buying delta) VWAP Bands 🟩 Upper Break (Price trading outside +3SD Band) Rotation Metrics 🟩 Alpha Leader (Currently the hottest asset) Market Phase 🟩 Blow-Off Top (Potential for sharp climax)
MCX:COPPER1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Silver comex buy recommended on 25th dec huge upmove on 26th decParameter Data Price Movement 🟩 Hyper-Bullish (Explosive move > $75.00) Current Trade 🟩 Buy on Dip (Aggressive entry: $75.20 - $75.50) SMC Structure 🟩 Impulse Wave (Series of HH-HL with no structure break) Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Trap: Trying to pick a top at $77.00 🟩 Liquidity: Unfilled orders at $74.00 Probability 🟩 Very High (Momentum + Macro alignment) Risk Reward 🟩 1 : 2 Confidence 🟩 High (Volume confirms valid breakout) Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Market moving faster than option repricing) DEMA Levels 🟩 Price >> DEMA 20/50 (Trend separation is wide) Supports 🟩 S1: $75.00 (New Support Flip) 🟩 S2: $73.80 (Previous Resistance) Resistances 🟥 R1: $78.50 (Fib Extension) 🟥 R2: $80.00 (Major Psychological) ADX/RSI/DMI 🟥 RSI: 82.5 (Extreme Overbought - Volatility warning) 🟩 ADX: 55 (Trend Strength Extreme) Market Depth 🟩 Bid Support (Algorithmic buying on minor ticks) Volatility 🟥 Extreme (Intraday swings > $2.00) Source Ledger 🟩 Friday Close Data (Dec 26 Settlement) OI (Open Interest) 🟩 Rising (New money fueling the rally) PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟩 1.45 (Puts expensive, signaling bullish hedging) VWAP 🟩 **$75.85** (Price trending above VWAP anchor) Turnover 🟩 Very High (Volume spikes on breakout candles) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 None (Vertical moves invalidate patterns) IV/RV 🟩 High (Implied Volatility rising with spot) Options Skew 🟩 Call Skew (Upside calls commanding massive premium) Vanna/Charm 🟨 Neutral (Flows dominated by Delta) Block Trades 🟩 Active (Large prints seen > $76.00) COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Managed Money extending longs) Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 High (Sync with Gold & Copper strength) ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflow (SLV ETF assets surging) Sentiment Index 🟩 Euphoria (Retail participation peaking) OFI (Order Flow) 🟩 Positive (Aggressive market buy orders) Delta 🟩 Positive (Cumulative Delta trending up) VWAP Bands 🟩 Band Walk (Price riding the +2SD band) Rotation Metrics 🟩 Leader (Outperforming Gold on relative basis) Market Phase 🟩 Expansion (Blue Sky Breakout)
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Will SOLANA potentila to $1000?Many people are emotionally attached to Solana and the $1,000 target and that may be possible long term. But markets never move straight up. Corrections are part of every cycle, and CRYPTOCAP:SOL is currently in a correction phase. If the $120 support breaks, I’m expecting SOL to drop below $100. A move under $100 could offer a strong long-term accumulation opportunity. My accumulation zone: $98 – $50 Long-term outlook: $500 – $1,000 Crypto is highly volatile and risky. Always DYOR, manage risk properly, and this is not financial advice (NFA).
Long
by CryptoPatel
Silver comex buy recommended on 25th dec huge upmove on 26th decParameter Data Price Movement 🟩 Hyper-Bullish (Explosive move > $75.00) Current Trade 🟩 Buy on Dip (Aggressive entry: $75.20 - $75.50) SMC Structure 🟩 Impulse Wave (Series of HH-HL with no structure break) Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Trap: Trying to pick a top at $77.00 🟩 Liquidity: Unfilled orders at $74.00 Probability 🟩 Very High (Momentum + Macro alignment) Risk Reward 🟩 1 : 2 Confidence 🟩 High (Volume confirms valid breakout) Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Market moving faster than option repricing) DEMA Levels 🟩 Price >> DEMA 20/50 (Trend separation is wide) Supports 🟩 S1: $75.00 (New Support Flip) 🟩 S2: $73.80 (Previous Resistance) Resistances 🟥 R1: $78.50 (Fib Extension) 🟥 R2: $80.00 (Major Psychological) ADX/RSI/DMI 🟥 RSI: 82.5 (Extreme Overbought - Volatility warning) 🟩 ADX: 55 (Trend Strength Extreme) Market Depth 🟩 Bid Support (Algorithmic buying on minor ticks) Volatility 🟥 Extreme (Intraday swings > $2.00) Source Ledger 🟩 Friday Close Data (Dec 26 Settlement) OI (Open Interest) 🟩 Rising (New money fueling the rally) PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟩 1.45 (Puts expensive, signaling bullish hedging) VWAP 🟩 **$75.85** (Price trending above VWAP anchor) Turnover 🟩 Very High (Volume spikes on breakout candles) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 None (Vertical moves invalidate patterns) IV/RV 🟩 High (Implied Volatility rising with spot) Options Skew 🟩 Call Skew (Upside calls commanding massive premium) Vanna/Charm 🟨 Neutral (Flows dominated by Delta) Block Trades 🟩 Active (Large prints seen > $76.00) COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Managed Money extending longs) Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 High (Sync with Gold & Copper strength) ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflow (SLV ETF assets surging) Sentiment Index 🟩 Euphoria (Retail participation peaking) OFI (Order Flow) 🟩 Positive (Aggressive market buy orders) Delta 🟩 Positive (Cumulative Delta trending up) VWAP Bands 🟩 Band Walk (Price riding the +2SD band) Rotation Metrics 🟩 Leader (Outperforming Gold on relative basis) Market Phase 🟩 Expansion (Blue Sky Breakout)
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Silver mcx buy recommended on 25th dec,on 26th huge upmove ,Parameter Data Price Movement 🟩 Hyper-Bullish (Record Close at ₹2,32,741) Current Trade 🟩 Buy on Dip (Entry ideal at ₹2,26,000 - ₹2,28,000) SMC Structure 🟩 Impulse Wave (Clean BOS above ₹2,20,000) Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Trap: Counter-trend shorts 🟩 Liquidity: Massive demand block at ₹2,15,000 Probability 🟩 Very High (Momentum is accelerating) Risk Reward 🟩 1 : 1.5 Confidence 🟩 High (Volume expansion confirms breakout) Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Deep ITM puts trapping sellers) DEMA Levels 🟩 Price >> DEMA 20 (Extended far above averages) Supports 🟩 S1: ₹2,26,000 (Intraday Gap) 🟩 S2: ₹2,15,000 (Breakout Base) Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹2,35,000 (Fibonacci Ext) 🟥 R2: ₹2,40,000 (Psychological) ADX/RSI/DMI 🟥 RSI: 84.1 (Extreme Overbought - High Volatility warning) 🟩 ADX: 51+ (Trend is Super-Strong) Market Depth 🟩 One-Sided (Scarcity of sellers at lower levels) Volatility 🟥 Extreme (Daily ranges exceeding ₹5,000-₹8,000) Source Ledger 🟩 Friday Close Data (Mar '26 Contract) OI (Open Interest) 🟩 Surging (Fresh longs + Short covering visible) PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟩 1.65 (Aggressive Put writing supports bullish view) VWAP 🟩 ₹2,28,500 (Price holding firmly above avg) Turnover 🟩 Very High (Record participation in silver futures) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 Invalidated (Parabolic move destroys standard harmonics) IV/RV 🟩 Spiking (Fear of missing out - FOMO pricing) Options Skew 🟩 Call Skew (Far OTM calls seeing massive premiums) Vanna/Charm 🟨 Neutral (Momentum overriding Greeks) Block Trades 🟩 Active (Industrial hedging buying noted) COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Specs increasing bets on $80 silver) Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Gold-Silver Ratio (Plummeting, favoring Silver) ETF Rotation 🟩 Strong Inflow (Silver ETFs seeing record weekly inflows) Sentiment Index 🟩 Euphorica (Caution: Late longs may face whipsaws) OFI (Order Flow) 🟩 Buying Pressure (Consistent lifting of offers) Delta 🟩 Positive (Aggressive Delta buying on lower timeframes) VWAP Bands 🟩 Upper Band Ride (Price hugging +3 Standard Deviation) Rotation Metrics 🟩 Star Performer (Best performing asset of the week) Market Phase 🟩 Melt-Up (Vertical Price Discovery)
MCX:SILVER1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Gold buy recommended on 25th dec hope got huge profit on 26 decParameter Data Price Movement 🟩 Bullish Breakout (New ATH printed at ₹1,39,216) Current Trade 🟩 Buy on Dip (Ideal entry zone: ₹1,37,400 - ₹1,37,600) SMC Structure 🟩 Strong Bullish (HH-HL formation on Daily/Weekly) Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Trap: Shorts below ₹1,39,000 🟩 Liquidity: Demand pool at ₹1,36,600 Probability 🟩 High (Trend alignment with Global Spot) Risk Reward 🟩 1 : 1.6 Confidence 🟩 High (Supported by rising volumes in Futures) Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Futures Contract - Momentum Driven) DEMA Levels 🟩 Price > DEMA 20/50 (Momentum is strong) Supports 🟩 S1: ₹1,37,200 🟩 S2: ₹1,36,600 (Breakout Base) Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹1,39,500 🟥 R2: ₹1,40,000 (Psychological Barrier) ADX/RSI/DMI 🟥 RSI: 78.4 (Overbought - Expect minor cooling) 🟩 ADX: 42 (Strong Trend) Market Depth 🟩 Positive (Buying emerging on every shallow dip) Volatility 🟨 High (India VIX and Gold IV both elevated) Source Ledger 🟩 Friday Close Data (Dec 26 Official Close: ₹1,38,097) OI (Open Interest) 🟩 Rising (Long buildup observed in Feb Series) PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟩 Bullish (Put writing aggressive at ₹1,35,000 strikes) VWAP 🟩 ₹1,38,250 (Price hovering near VWAP avg) Turnover 🟩 High (Participation increasing at highs) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 None (Impulsive wave cancels harmonic setups) IV/RV 🟩 Rising (Event risk premium being priced in) Options Skew 🟩 Call Premium (OTM Calls trading expensive) Vanna/Charm 🟨 Neutral (Early in the expiry cycle) Block Trades 🟩 Detected (HNI buying seen via ETFs/Futures) COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Commercials hedging vs Speculators long) Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Inverse USDINR (Stable Rupee + Strong Gold Global = Bullish MCX) ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflow (Gold BeES seeing consistent volume) Sentiment Index 🟩 Extreme Greed (Retail chasing the rally) OFI (Order Flow) 🟩 Buying Imbalance (Aggressive lifting of offers) Delta 🟩 Positive (Buyers controlling the narrative) VWAP Bands 🟩 Expansion (Bands widening, price at upper deviation) Rotation Metrics 🟩 Outperformer (Beating Nifty/BankNifty returns) Market Phase 🟩 Price Discovery (All-Time High Territory)
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Gold buy given on 25th hope everyone get huge profit on 26 Dec Parameter Data Price Movement 🟩 Bullish Impulse (Strong continuation above $4,500) Current Trade 🟩 Buy on Dip (Entry ideally near $4,510 - $4,515) SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish Flow (Internal BOS confirmed; demand chain holding) Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Trap: Aggressive shorts below $4,550 🟩 Liquidity: Resting orders at $4,480 Probability 🟩 High (Trend alignment with macro factors) Risk Reward 🟩 1 : 1.5 Confidence 🟩 High (Supported by rising OI and Volume) Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Futures Contract - Momentum Driven) DEMA Levels 🟩 Price > DEMA 20/50 (Trend is strictly bullish) Supports 🟩 S1: $4,500 (Psychological) 🟩 S2: $4,480 (Breakout Retest Level) Resistances 🟥 R1: $4,555 (Recent ATH) 🟥 R2: $4,600 (Fibonacci Extension) ADX/RSI/DMI 🟥 RSI: 75.2 (Overbought - Caution advised) 🟩 ADX: 40+ (Trend Strength Very High) Market Depth 🟩 Bid Side Heavy (Buyers absorbing dips actively) Volatility 🟨 Elevated (Implied Volatility rising with price) Source Ledger 🟩 Friday Close Data (Dec 26 Official Settlement) OI (Open Interest) 🟩 346,568 (Rising OI indicates new money entering) PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟩 0.92 (Bullish bias, Puts being written at support) VWAP 🟩 **$4,518.5** (Price closed comfortably above VWAP) Turnover 🟩 High (Significant volume on breakout > $4,500) Harmonic Pattern 🟨 None (Parabolic move invalidating standard patterns) IV/RV 🟩 IV Expanding (Market pricing in further range expansion) Options Skew 🟩 Call Skew (Calls trading at premium over Puts) Vanna/Charm 🟨 Neutral (Effect minimized until expiry approach) Block Trades 🟩 Active (Institutional buying noted near $4,500) COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long (Specs increasing exposure per latest report) Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Inverse USD (Weak DXY supporting Gold strength) ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflow (GLD/IAU seeing year-end allocation) Sentiment Index 🟩 Extreme Greed (Retail and Pro sentiment aligned) OFI (Order Flow) 🟩 Positive (Aggressive buying on the offer) Delta 🟩 Positive (Net Delta suggests strong buyer control) VWAP Bands 🟩 Upper Band Test (Price riding the +2 SD band) Rotation Metrics 🟩 Sector Leader (Precious Metals outperforming Equities) Market Phase 🟩 Expansion (Bullish Parabolic Run)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
$FLOW CRASH ALERT – WHAT JUST HAPPENED?AMEX:FLOW just got destroyed, dropping over 52% in 24 hours. Price action High: $0.174 Low: $0.079 Current: ~$0.10 Major Red Flags Today: 🔹 Upbit & Bithumb Suspended Deposits and Withdrawals 🔹 South Korea’s DAXA Issued a Trading Risk Warning 🔹 Flow Foundation confirmed they are investigating a potential security incident on the Flow network What On-Chain Data Shows: 🔹 Top 100 holders Reduced Holdings by ~2.79M FLOW 🔹 No Smart Money Accumulation signal 🔹 Heavy Selling by Public Wallets During Peak Hours 🔹 ~1.69M FLOW moved to Exchanges (Selling Pressure) 🔹 Late buyers Jumped in During the Crash, Not Before Market Behavior: 🔹 Panic selling dominated 🔹 Whales appear to have distributed near highs 🔹 Some wallets aggressively bought the dip amid fear 🔹 Reports of a large whale dumping on DEXs Uncertainty Remains: 🔹 Cause of the “security incident” is still unclear 🔹 CEX suspensions increase fear and volatility 🔹 Short-term sentiment remains extremely bearish This Move Was Driven by Fear, Uncertainty, and Heavy Selling Pressure. Until Clarity Comes from the Flow Foundation, Risk Remains Very high. Investors are Waiting for clear Answers from Flow Blockchain Trade Carefully. Volatility is Brutal Right Now. NFA & DYOR
Short
by CryptoPatel
XAUUSD: Buy the dip or break to 4,587? MMF strategyXAUUSD (2H) – MMF Intraday Outlook Market Context Gold remains in a bullish continuation phase after breaking out of the prior accumulation range. Current price action shows a healthy pullback / rebalancing inside an ascending channel — a typical behavior before the next expansion leg, not a reversal signal. Structure & SMC Strong bullish impulse → range formation for liquidity reset. 4,485.981 acts as a key Demand / Bullish OB, where buyers previously stepped in. Liquidity and upside objective are resting near 4,587.447. Key Levels BUY Zone (Demand / OB): 4,486 Mid-range / Pivot: ~4,533 Upside Liquidity Target: 4,587 Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY (Preferred) If price pulls back into 4,486 and shows acceptance (wick rejection / bullish close), Then look for BUY continuation: TP1: range high / intraday resistance TP2: 4,587 Invalidation: clean 2H close below 4,486 → stand aside and reassess structure. Alternative Scenario – Break & Retest BUY If price holds above balance and breaks higher with strong displacement, Then wait for a break–retest to join continuation toward 4,587. Avoid chasing price in the middle of the range. Macro Backdrop Ongoing dovish Fed expectations and softer yields continue to support gold. End-of-month liquidity can cause sharp swings → patience and level-based execution are key. Summary Short-term bias remains bullish as long as 4,486 holds. MMF focus today: buy pullbacks into demand, target 4,587 liquidity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
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