BSE - Swing Trade* **Timeframe:** Weekly
* **CMP:** ₹2,231
* **Indicators used:**
* **MACD:** Histogram turning toward zero (early bullish momentum)
* **Parabolic SAR:** Dots above price → just flipped below (bullish reversal start)
* **RSI:** Rising from oversold zone (~35–40), showing strength buildup
* **Volume:** Increasing green candle volume — confirmation of accumulation phase
---
### 📈 **Technical Setup**
| Parameter | Observation | Interpretation |
| ----------------- | ------------------------------------------ | --------------------------------------------- |
| **Trend** | Reversal from major support (~₹2,000 zone) | Base formation visible |
| **MACD** | Converging lines, red bars shrinking | Momentum shifting to bulls |
| **RSI** | Bounced from 35 → heading to 50 | Strength returning |
| **Parabolic SAR** | Flipped below price | First buy signal confirmation |
| **Target Level** | ₹3,571 | Long-term swing target (as per chart marking) |
| **Stoploss** | ₹1,950 (weekly close basis) | Below recent swing low |
| **Risk–Reward** | ~1:3 | Attractive for positional trade |
---
### 🎯 **Trade Plan**
#### 🔹 Entry:
* **Aggressive entry:** Current levels (₹2,230–₹2,250)
* **Conservative entry:** On weekly close above ₹2,400 (confirmation breakout)
#### 🔹 Target Zones:
1. ₹2,750 — First resistance zone (trendline + Fib retracement)
2. ₹3,100 — Mid-term swing target
3. ₹3,570 — Long-term positional target
#### 🔹 Stoploss:
* ₹1,950 (weekly close basis)
* Trail stop to ₹2,250 once price sustains above ₹2,750
---
### 💹 **Additional Confirmation**
* Watch for **MACD line crossover** in next 1–2 candles — that will confirm continuation.
* RSI breaking above 50 will add momentum.
* Volume spike + SAR continuation indicates start of new leg up.
---
### 🧭 **Summary**
> “BSE Ltd. is showing early signs of trend reversal from weekly support with improving momentum and SAR flip. Accumulate near ₹2,200–2,250 zone for targets up to ₹3,570 with stop below ₹1,950.”
Community ideas
The chart point towards a bearish short-term outlookOn October 8th is a large red (bearish) candle, indicating significant selling pressure during the day. The price has dropped sharply from the previous day's high, suggesting a rejection from a resistance level.
A rising wedge is typically a bearish reversal pattern. The price appears to have broken down below the lower support trendline of this wedge, which is a strong bearish signal.
The price is currently trading inside the Kumo (the cloud), which indicates a state of consolidation or equilibrium. A definitive break above or below the cloud would signal a clearer trend.
Currently at $2.939. The price is below the Tenkan-Sen, a short-term bearish sign.
Currently at $3.0214. The price is well below the Kijun-Sen, which acts as a medium-term resistance and reinforces the bearish outlook.
The price was rejected near the upper Bollinger Band a couple of days ago and is now moving decisively downwards towards the middle band (20-period Simple Moving Average), which is at $2.9083. The price has already broken below this middle band, suggesting further potential downside towards the lower band around $2.7412.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(08/10/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open flat near the 56,200 level after a strong rally in the previous sessions. The index has been consolidating within a narrow range, suggesting a pause before the next directional move.
On the upside, a sustained move above 56,450–56,500 could trigger a bullish breakout, leading to an upside toward 56,650, 56,850, and 56,950+. A breakout above 56,950 will further strengthen the bullish momentum and may push the index toward new short-term highs.
On the downside, immediate support lies around 56,050–55,950. A breakdown below this zone may lead to mild selling pressure, dragging the index toward 55,750, 55,650, and 55,550-.
Overall, the sentiment remains cautiously positive. Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown from the current consolidation zone before initiating fresh positions, while maintaining strict stop-loss levels.
Triangle Breakout Alert: Aluminium Bulls Waking Up?CMP: $2743
Aluminium is breaking out of a symmetrical triangle on weekly timeframe after months of consolidation.
📍 Breakout Zone: $2736 – $2799
📉 Support Levels: $2633 / $2543 – $2481
📈 Resistance Zones: $3170 – $3229, then $3388
🎯 Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Target: ~$3378 (+23% from CMP), which aligns closely with the major resistance zone between $3229 – $3388 .
A weekly close above $2736 – $2799 could support further upside momentum.
If price pulls back within the triangle , dips toward the support zone around $2633 - $2481 may be worth watching for possible reactions.
👀 Watch for price action in the coming weeks, could confirm or invalidate the breakout.
#Commodities | #Aluminium | #BaseMetals | #Breakout | #ChartPattern | #SymmetricalTriangle | #TechnicalAnalysis | #PriceAction
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
JINDALSTEEL: Classic Breakout & Retest Setup!1. Price is rejecting from the 17years ath level acting as very strong support.
2. EMAs are also supporting the strength.
3. Overall RRR looks decent enough.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Views are personal. Please, do your due diligence before investing.⚠️
💬 What are your thoughts on this share it in the comments below. ✌️
🔥 Happy Trading!✅🚀
Federal Bank: Wave 4 Triangle Near Completion, Wave 5 AheadAfter a clean five-wave impulse from the 2020 low near ₹35.70 to the 2024 peak at ₹220, Federal Bank appears to be transitioning into a larger corrective phase.
Weekly Outlook
The broader structure suggests the start of a 5-3-5 zigzag correction , marked as A–B–C .
Wave A is still unfolding — only Wave 4 of A appears complete, with Wave 5 expected next to finish the first leg of the correction.
Once Wave 5 concludes, price could rebound toward the lower channel trendline to form Wave B, a counter-trend rally within the broader correction.
Thereafter, a deeper Wave C decline may follow, potentially stretching into the ₹149–₹128 zone, which aligns with the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement range of the 2020–2024 advance.
This developing structure reflects a natural pause after a long impulse cycle, with the market now transitioning into a corrective rhythm.
Daily Chart Details
Zooming in, the internal structure of Wave A shows a clear five-wave drop, with Wave (4) evolving as a contracting triangle pattern.
The MA50 has started curling toward the MA200, hinting at a possible bearish crossover — a classical confirmation of trend transition.
If price breaks below the triangle base, Wave (5) could extend toward ₹186–₹178, derived from Wave 1 projected from Wave 4’s end.
The targets will be adjusted once the final (e)-wave of the triangle is confirmed, as a minor uptick remains possible.
A sustained move above ₹206.39 would invalidate the immediate bearish setup and delay the decline.
Conclusion:
Federal Bank’s structure aligns with a typical post-impulse correction, and the interplay between Elliott Wave and moving averages provides a clear framework to track this phase.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY50 LONG SETUPNifty just broke through the 25,080 structure high with a strong impulsive move, marking a Bullish BOS after weeks of chop.
Before that breakout, price swept liquidity below 24,950 — taking out equal lows — then reversed sharply.
This created a textbook bullish order block at 25,045–25,070, which is perfectly aligned with the breakout point and option data support near 25,000.
A controlled pullback into this zone offers a high-probability continuation trade targeting clean liquidity pockets above.
🟢 Entry Zone: 25,045 – 25,070 (1H bullish OB retest)
🛑 Stop-Loss: 24,985
🎯 Target 1: 25,250
🎯 Target 2: 25,380
📈 R:R: ≈ 1:3 to TP1 / 1:4.5+ to TP2
Banknifty long setupBank Nifty just printed a clean Break of Structure above 56,150 after sweeping out liquidity near 55,700–55,800.
The breakout was impulsive, leaving behind a neat bullish order block at 55,950–56,050.
Institutional players often reload at this kind of OB zone before the next leg higher.
The 1H structure + OB + sweep combo makes this a high-probability intraday continuation play.
Trade Plan
🟢 Entry Zone: 55,950 – 56,050 (OB retest)
🛑 Stop-Loss: 55,720 (below OB & swept lows)
🎯 Target 1: 56,550 (previous high / intraday liquidity pocket)
🎯 Target 2: 56,900 (imbalance fill + next liquidity magnet)
📈 R:R: ≈ 1:3.5 to TP1 / 1:5+ to TP2
Execution Notes
Wait for a controlled retrace into the OB zone — no chasing on gap-ups.
Ideal entry is with confirmation wick / rejection inside OB on 5m–15m.
Trail SL to breakeven after TP1 to lock in risk-free runners.
Usha Martin Ltd (USHAMART)Usha Martin Ltd (NSE: USHAMART) is an established Indian company primarily engaged in manufacturing steel wires, strands, wire ropes, cords, and related accessories, with additional involvement in optical fiber cables and other telecom products. Founded in 1960 and headquartered in Kolkata, it serves key sectors like infrastructure, automotive, mining, elevators, and offshore oil & gas. As of October 2025, the stock trades around ₹450–₹462, with a market cap of approximately ₹13,800–14,000 crore. While stock investing involves risks and isn't a recommendation, here are substantiated reasons why analysts and investors might view it as a compelling buy, based on recent financials, market trends, and technical signals.
Strong Financials: ₹403 Cr profit in FY25, 23% EPS growth, low debt (0.05 D/E), 14.8% ROE.
Technical Breakout: Bullish patterns, support at ₹425–₹440, targets ₹500–₹590.
Growth Drivers: Infrastructure, auto, EV, and telecom demand; export growth.
Risks: Commodity volatility, modest sales growth (10% 5Y).
Century Extrusions (D) - Breakout or Fakeout?Century Extrusions has shown a significant sign of life after a prolonged period of sideways movement. However, a critical bearish indicator is flashing a warning sign, placing the stock at a crucial crossroads.
The Bullish Catalyst: A Powerful Surge
After a lackluster uptrend, the stock entered a consolidation phase in December 2023 , trading within a defined range. Today's session broke this monotony with authority:
- Massive Price Gain: The stock surged by +17.03% in a single session.
- Volume Spike: This price surge was backed by a significant spike in trading volume, indicating strong buyer participation.
- Resistance Retest: This move represents a serious attempt to break out of a persistent resistance trendline that has capped previous rallies.
Supporting this bullish action, key indicators are aligned positively across Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes, with short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) in a positive crossover and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showing rising momentum.
If the stock can successfully breach and sustain above the immediate resistance, the path could be clear for a move towards the ₹44 level.
The Bearish Warning: Waning Momentum
Despite the powerful price action, a significant red flag exists. A bearish divergence is clearly visible across the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes. This occurs when the price charts higher peaks while the RSI indicator forms lower peaks, suggesting that the underlying momentum is fading despite the price surge.
This divergence is a potent warning sign that the current breakout attempt may lack the strength to continue. If this signal proves true and the breakout fails, the stock could reverse course and decline towards the support level of ₹23 .
Conclusion and Outlook
The situation is a classic standoff between price action and momentum. The breakout is visually impressive, but the underlying bearish divergence cannot be ignored.
The price action over the next few trading sessions is critical for confirmation. A decisive close above the resistance would validate the bullish breakout, while failure to hold today's gains could confirm the bearish divergence, leading to a potential downturn. Prudent analysis requires waiting for the market to reveal its true direction.
Is the stock Expanding ?BSE CMP 2231
Expansion and contraction
Elliott - here we only take the 50% mark of each swing. The first swing is iii of 3. All the 50% mark now has to be above the 50% mark of this wave for the stock to be expanding. If it is below this mark then the swings are contracting. Now see both the 50% mark in this counter is above the one marked in bold. But what is striking is that the distance has increased significantly in the biggest swing. This is telling us that the stock is expanding and this dip is an opportunity.
Geometry - the stock is now at an imp resistance zone of 2250. the green lines have been found from the current mkt geometry. So all we need is a weekly close above 2250.
Goodluck swing500% big volume after price fall and quickly recover , now look like maybe sustain and move upside,
Here i just look
Huge volume
But price move , after profit booking, then fast way recovery.
And some News for affect in short to midium term
Sbi mutual fund bought that time , and some defences news
SELL ENTRY - EURNZD🔻 SELL ENTRY - EURNZD 🔻
Price has tapped into a major supply zone after a clear bearish structure.
Expecting rejection from this premium area for a continuation to the downside.
📊 Timeframe: 15 Min
📈 Setup Type: Supply Zone / Trend Continuation
🎯 Direction: SELL
⚙️ Confirmation: Bearish engulfing or rejection wick near zone
💬 “Trade what you see, not what you feel.”
SELL ENTRY - AUDJPY🔻 SELL ENTRY - AUDJPY 🔻
Price has tapped into a premium supply zone on the 15-min timeframe after a strong bullish push.
Now expecting rejection and possible continuation to the downside.
📊 Timeframe: 15 Min
📈 Setup Type: Supply Zone / Lower High Formation
🎯 Direction: SELL
⚙️ Confirmation: Bearish candle formation or liquidity sweep
💬 “Patience before precision. Wait for confirmation before execution.”
Demand Zone - TATACHEM | Swing Trading | Time Based Trading |🛒 Trade Snapshot: TATACHEM
Buy Date: 01-Oct-2025
Quantity: 922 shares
Entry Reason: Demand zone
Chart Context: Price reacted near historical support
Setup Type: Swing entry with zone validation
Confirmation: Volume support and price structure alignment
Exit Plan : I will exit this stock before Oct 15, 2025.
#TimeBasedTrading
#SwingTrading
Demand Zone APOLLOHOSP | Swing Trading | Time Based Exit 🛒 Trade Snapshot: APOLLOHOSP
- Bought Date: 01-Oct-2025
- Quantity: 7 shares
- Buy Price: ₹7409.50
- Entry Reason: Demand zone validation
- Setup Type: Precision entry near institutional support
- Chart Context: Price held firm at a key demand area
- Confirmation: Tight spread and zone reaction
- Next Watch Level: Breakout above recent consolidation
Exit : I will exit this trade anytime before 14 days.
#TimeBasedTrading
#SwingTrading
SELL ENTRY - AUDCAD🔻 SELL ENTRY - AUDCAD 🔻
Price reached a premium supply zone after a strong impulsive drop.
Now retesting the zone for potential continuation to the downside.
📊 Timeframe: 15 Min
📈 Setup Type: Supply Zone / Break of Structure
🎯 Direction: SELL
💰 Risk-to-Reward: High Probability Setup
⚙️ Confirmation: Bearish rejection from supply
💬 "Trade smart. Risk small. Let the market do the work."
DIVISLAB - Bullish Momentum + RSI & MACD Breakout📈 Divis Laboratories Ltd | Bullish Momentum + RSI & MACD Breakout 🚀
🔹 Entry Zone: ₹6,100 – ₹6,120
🔹 Stop Loss: ₹5,739.80 (Risk ~₹380 pts)
🔹 Supports: 5,917.33 / 5,730.17 / 5,628.83
🔹 Resistances: 6,205.83 / 6,307.17 / 6,494.33
________________________________________
🔑 Key Highlights
✅ Strong Bullish Candle – powerful reversal from key support zone
✅ RSI Breakout – momentum confirmation after prolonged base
✅ MACD Crossover – positive trend shift visible
✅ Bullish SuperTrend + VWAP Alignment – institutional momentum confirmation
✅ BB Squeeze-Off → volatility expansion expected
________________________________________
🎯 STWP Trade View
📊 Momentum suggests a short-term bullish rally is in play.
A close above ₹6,200 may open further upside toward ₹6,307 – ₹6,494.
⚠️ Supports at ₹5,917 & ₹5,730 act as crucial protection zones.
Volume spike confirms fresh long build-up — a classic “Buy Today, Sell Tomorrow” setup.
________________________________________
💡 Learning Note
This setup beautifully showcases how combining RSI Breakout + MACD Crossover + VWAP alignment strengthens a momentum-based reversal.
When such signals converge near Fibonacci supports, they offer high-probability swing setups with strong follow-through potential.
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⚠️ Disclosure & Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully
The information shared here is purely for learning and awareness purposes.
It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be treated as investment advice.
I am not a SEBI-registered investment adviser — all observations are based on personal chart study and publicly available data.
Trading involves risk — markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can exceed invested amounts.
Past setups or patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.
If you’re a beginner, treat this content as a learning reference and start with paper trades.
If you’re experienced, align setups with your own risk and position sizing strategy.
Always consult a SEBI-registered advisor before executing any trades.
By engaging with this content, you accept full responsibility for your actions.
________________________________________
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Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 07th October 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 56500 – 56600 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 57000– 57100 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 55700 - 55600 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 55200 - 55100 range.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 07th October 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 13075 – 13100 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 13200 – 13225 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 12850 – 12825 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 12725 – 12700 range.