RELIANCE: Major Weekly Breakout & Long SetupTechnical Analysis
Structure Breakout: The stock has successfully broken out above a key multi-month resistance level at 1592.30 (marked by the green horizontal line). This level previously acted as a significant supply zone, forming the rim of a potential bullish consolidation pattern (resembling a Cup & Handle or Rounding Bottom).
Momentum: The recent weekly candles show strong bullish momentum, pushing through the resistance with conviction. The price is now sustaining above this breakout point, which validates the bullish thesis.
Trend Continuation: After a period of correction and consolidation, the primary uptrend seems to be resuming. The Higher High (HH) formation on the weekly chart confirms the strength of buyers.
Risk/Reward: The setup offers an excellent Risk-to-Reward ratio (approximately 1:3), making it a high-probability trade for positional traders.
Trade Setup (Long)
Entry Zone: 1592 - 1600 (On the retest or continuation above the breakout level)
Stop Loss: 1509.15 (Placed below the breakout candle and recent swing structure to invalidate the thesis)
Target: 1855.60 (Projected measured move based on the depth of the previous consolidation)
Potential R:R: ~ 1:3.1
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a SEBI registered analyst. Trading involves risk; please consult your financial advisor and conduct your own analysis before executing any trades.
Community ideas
HIND ZINC SHORT TRADE -RISKYTechnical Analysis
Parabolic Extension: The stock has seen a massive, nearly vertical rally from the ~400 levels to highs near 670 in a very short span. Such parabolic moves are rarely sustainable without a significant correction or consolidation phase.
Rejection at Highs: The price action shows a sharp pullback from the recent high of 661.55, indicating that profit booking is kicking in and buyers are exhausted at these elevated levels.
Risk/Reward Ratio: The current setup offers a favorable Risk/Reward ratio for a short position. The stop loss is tight relative to the potential downside move as the stock attempts to revert to the mean.
Volume Profile: High volume during the ascent suggests strong participation, but upcoming sessions should be watched for distribution volume (selling pressure) to confirm the top.
Trade Setup (Short)
Entry Zone: 661 (Looking for rejection near the highs)
Stop Loss: 697.40 (Strict SL above recent swing high to protect against a "blow-off top")
Target: 564.45 (Targeting the gap fill/retracement to previous structure support)
Potential R:R: ~ 1:2.6
⚠️ Disclaimer: This chart analysis is shared for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. I am not a SEBI registered research analyst. Trading in the stock market involves a high degree of risk. Please consult with a certified financial advisor and perform your own due diligence before making any trading decisions.
Nifty Rising Channel in ControlGreetings TradingView community! Sharing my market view based purely on price structure and trend behavior for Nifty. As always this is not a prediction but a technical roadmap trade responsibly, manage risk, and let price guide the decisions. Wishing everyone disciplined trades and consistent progress
Nifty price continues to trade inside a clearly defined rising channel, maintaining its broader bullish structure. The recent breakout above a long-observed horizontal resistance level is a constructive development and shifts the short-term market structure in favor of the bulls.
This previously capped zone has now turned into an important decision area. As long as price sustains above it, the market opens up space for a continuation move toward the upper boundary of the rising channel.
Markets rarely move in a straight line so If price temporarily slips below this horizontal support, it should be viewed as a healthy pullback within the trend, not a breakdown. In such a scenario the rising channel support line becomes the next high-probability demand zone, where price is expected to stabilize and attract fresh buying interest. A reaction from this region would further reinforce the strength of the underlying trend and preserve the higher-low structure.
The broader setup remains constructive as long as price respects the rising channel and no decisive breakdown occurs below channel support
The trading plan remains simple and disciplined-:
Look for long continuations on strength above support, Be patient for pullback-based long opportunities if the market offers better risk-reward near channel support and as long as price trades within this rising channel, the trend deserves respect and the bias remains upward.Upside target remains the rising channel resistance, which acts as the natural profit zone within the trend.
Regards- Amit.
A quality stock at a heavy discount TCS CMP 3250
Elliott- A very good example of how the 4th waves tend to cluster together. A strong 5th wave will emerge from here. This will the final impulse wave.
Fib- I have taken a conservative approach by taking a lower confluence as the mid point of the move. The tgts are on ur screen.
Conclusion - T3 is a good 45% from the CMP and hence a very good buy for investors.
02 Jan 2026 - Nifty on the verge of breaking out after a 2 monthNifty Stance Bullish 🐂
We may be looking at a possible breakout trade from the range 25600–26200 after almost two calendar months. Every time Nifty has been in a consolidation, we have seen a strong breakout or breakdown rally soon after. So, a consolidation phase is a low-key, no-profit period for trend followers, but this time another villain hit us hard - Low VIX.
The consolidation phase with a VIX in the single digits is damn dangerous, as option premiums get heavily skewed. What I noticed is that the theta decay was out of proportion. Even if a monthly credit spread spent a week at the same level, the loss in premium due to the time factor would be so low that a 25 to 50 points move in the opposite direction takes your position to a heavy loss.
I did not try the iron condor or fly over the last two months, so I have no clue how they would have performed, but the credit-spread that usually works like a charm with VIX > 13 was taken to the rags this time.
Everything is looking good for Nifty, but the recent news from Venezuela may not be well received, especially in segments that are impacted by crude oil.
The US has many reasons to invade other countries and to take their leaders into custody. Not a political analyst here, but there is a harmony for things right. Can the US guarantee that there would not be a riot in Venezuela after what they did?
Nifty ATH vs. Trump’s War: Monday Levels to watchNifty just hit a historic All-Time High of 26,340 on Friday. But over the weekend, Donald Trump sent shockwaves through the world—attacking Venezuela and capturing Maduro. This Monday, we aren't just trading charts; we are trading geopolitics. Is this the end of the rally or a massive 'Buy the Dip' opportunity? Let’s look at the pre-market levels.
XAUUAD GOLD Analysis on (02 Jan 2026)#XAUUSD UPDATEDE
Current price - 4375
If price stay below 4400, then next target 4350,4320 and 4280 above that 4450
Plan;If price break 4375-4385 area, and stay below 4375, we will place sell order in gold with target of 4350,4320 and 4280 & stop loss should be placed at 4450
Nifty: Acceptance at Weekly Highs — Strength Is Being TestedCurrent NSE:NIFTY structure across timeframes gives a very clear message.
This is not a fast breakout phase.
This is acceptance near the highs.
👉🏻 On the weekly chart, NIFTY has closed near the top of the range.
No long rejection wick.
No distribution-style candle.
That matters.
Weekly behaviour like this usually signals confidence, not exhaustion.
👉🏻 On the daily chart, price is holding just below the overhead resistance zone around the previous high.
The market is not backing off meaningfully.
It is spending time near resistance, which is a sign of strength.
👉🏻 The hourly chart adds more clarity.
Higher lows are intact.
Pullbacks are controlled.
Every dip is getting absorbed quickly.
💡 This combination tells us one thing.
The market is testing supply, not running away from it.
For Monday, the market’s task is straightforward — decide whether this acceptance converts into continuation.
Two scenarios have higher probability.
💡 Scenario 1:
The index opens flat to mildly positive and continues to hold above the 26250–26300 zone.
Time spent above this level, without sharp rejection, will keep the bullish structure intact and increase the probability of a clean continuation attempt.
💡 Scenario 2:
The market gives a controlled dip toward the 26050–26100 zone.
If buyers step in and price stabilizes there, it will be a healthy reset and a better risk-reward zone for selective longs.
⚠️ The risk scenario to watch:
If there is a sharp rejection from the 26350–26400 zone and NIFTY starts sustaining below 25950,
then this acceptance phase can fail and the index may rotate into a wider consolidation.
📊 Intraday bias for Monday:
Bias remains positive as long as the index holds above 26050 with acceptance.
Strength should be traded through pullbacks and confirmation, not through chasing extended candles.
This is where discipline matters.
Markets often pause near highs to test patience.
Impatient traders chase.
Experienced traders wait for structure to invite them in.
✍🏻 Sector-wise, Defence and Auto stocks continue to show relative strength and better structure compared to the broader market.
As long as the index remains stable, selective setups in this space remain in focus.
Overall market mood is strong but controlled.
This is still a continuation-preparation phase, not a runaway move.
Let price do the talking.
Your job is to listen, not predict.
That’s all for today.
Read the structure, respect the levels.
Have a focused and profitable Monday.
📊 Levels at a glance:
Support zone: 26050–26100
Immediate resistance: 26350–26400
Risk level: Below 25950
Bias: Positive, buy on dips and acceptance
Sector focus: NSE:NIFTY_IND_DEFENCE , NSE:CNXAUTO
Momentum for BTC || Bullish or Bearish🔵 LONG TERM TREND:
Overall structure is sideways after a downtrend Price is below Daily EMA 100 → long-term trend still weak. Recent candles show base formation around 88k–90k
🔵 INTRADAY VIEW (15m – Fine Tuning)
Observations Price riding EMA 100 Minor pullbacks are shallow RSI not extreme → no immediate sell pressure.
Entry Zone
89,800 – 90,500 (pullback to EMA)
Stop Loss
Below 86,500 (below recent higher low)
Targets
Target 1: 93,500
Target 2: 96,000
Disclaimer- This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice.
Chapter 10 — Exit Intelligence & Trade AgingHow MARAL manages exits when the trade is “right”… but the market is changing.
(Reference: your attached BTCUSD 1H chart, Jan 04, 2026)
10.1 The core idea
Most traders lose profits for only two reasons:
They exit too early (fear) during continuation.
They exit too late (greed) after expansion is already mature.
MARAL Exit Intelligence is designed to solve this by converting “exit emotion” into rule-based states:
Trade Age tells you where the trade is in its lifecycle
Risk State tells you how fragile the trade is right now
Exit Pressure + Obstacle Ahead tells you when the market is starting to push back
Action State tells you the next move: HOLD / REDUCE / PROTECT / EXIT
MARAL does not “predict the top.”
It detects when the trade has shifted from profit potential → risk dominance.
10.2 What MARAL watches for exits
MARAL exits are not one trigger. They are a stack of confirmation.
A) Trade Age (time + distance)
Trade age is not only “how many candles.”
It’s also: how far price has traveled relative to normal movement.
MARAL treats a trade like this:
FRESH → early delivery, best continuation odds
MATURE → mid-delivery, needs management discipline
OVEREXTENDED / LATE → high reward already captured, risk of reversal increases
STALE → market stopped paying you, exit logic becomes aggressive
✅ In your chart, Management Desk shows TRADE AGE: FRESH, but RISK STATE: OVEREXTENDED.
This is an important combination and MARAL handles it cleanly.
Meaning:
The trade may still be structurally healthy (fresh continuation context),
but price has moved far enough that risk is now elevated, so management must tighten.
B) Risk State (profit protection mode)
Risk State is the exit-intelligence backbone.
Common MARAL Risk States (conceptually):
STABLE → normal management
CAUTION → tighten SL, stop adding
OVEREXTENDED → scale out + protect aggressively
NEGATIVE / FRAGILE → exit-ready, do not negotiate
✅ In your chart: RISK STATE = OVEREXTENDED
This is MARAL’s warning that “the move has already paid; don’t let profit turn into regret.”
C) Exit Pressure (market pushback detector)
Exit Pressure rises when the market starts showing:
momentum weakening after expansion
repeated wick rejection near highs
inability to progress (stalls)
divergence behavior (internal weakness)
reaction at premium arrays / obstacles
✅ In your chart: EXIT PRESSURE = LOW and MOMENTUM HEALTH = STRONG
So MARAL does not ask you to panic-exit.
Meaning:
The market is still supporting continuation, but because Risk State is overextended, MARAL says:
“Hold — but protect.”
D) Obstacle Ahead (where exits are likely to trigger)
Obstacle Ahead flips to YES when price is approaching:
a higher timeframe premium array / resistance
a likely sell-side liquidity defense
an unfilled imbalance or supply zone that historically rejects
“stop run zones” where continuation often pauses
✅ In your chart: OBSTACLE AHEAD = NO
So MARAL is not seeing an immediate structural ceiling right in front.
10.3 Reading your attached chart using MARAL Exit Intelligence
What the boards are saying (your screenshot)
Context Board (Right):
Direction: Bullish
Structure: BULL Struct
Momentum: BULL
Trend strength: ADX 42.8 (strong)
Liquidity context: LOW
ECI Score: 58 (B)
LTF Exec: AVOID
EDC / Decision Core (Bottom center):
Setup: WAIT
Entry Permission: WAIT
Liquidity: LOW
Trade Status: VALID
Action State: HOLD
Management Desk (Bottom right):
Market Phase: CONTINUATION
Momentum Health: STRONG
Exit Pressure: LOW
Risk State: OVEREXTENDED
Trade Age: FRESH
Action State: HOLD
MARAL interpretation (clean execution meaning)
This is a textbook “do not add / do not chase” condition.
The trend is strong (ADX high, momentum strong)
Market phase is continuation
Exit pressure is low (so no forced exit)
But liquidity is low + risk is overextended
Therefore the correct action is:
✅ HOLD the position (if already in)
❌ DO NOT open new entries here
✅ Switch into protection mode (Exit Intelligence)
10.4 What MARAL would recommend here (practical playbook)
If you are already in profit (best-case)
MARAL Exit Intelligence = “Hold with protection.”
Do this in order:
Scale-out logic (profit locking)
Take partial profit at the first “overextended” warning
Keep a runner only if momentum remains strong and exit pressure stays low
A premium rule:
If RISK STATE = OVEREXTENDED, you must “pay yourself” at least once.
Move to protected SL
Tighten SL under:
the nearest clean structure low, or
last impulsive base, or
a logical “continuation invalidation” level
Never widen SL during overextended state.
Trail only after confirmation
Trailing should activate only if:
momentum stays strong AND
exit pressure remains low-to-neutral
If exit pressure starts rising → trailing becomes aggressive.
No re-entry / no pyramiding
Your own board says it: Entry Permission WAIT, LTF Exec AVOID, Liquidity LOW.
This is not a “more entries” zone. It’s a “manage the winner” zone.
If you are NOT in a trade (most important)
Your chart is clearly telling:
ECI 58 (B) + Entry Permission WAIT + Liquidity LOW + LTF Exec AVOID
That is MARAL’s way of saying:
“This is not a clean entry location.
Your job is to wait for a better execution window.”
So the correct decision is no trade until permission flips.
10.5 When MARAL would flip from HOLD → EXIT
Your chart is HOLD now, but Exit Intelligence has clear upgrade triggers.
MARAL would push toward EXIT when you see any combination like:
Exit trigger stack (high reliability)
Exit Pressure: LOW → NEUTRAL → HIGH
Momentum Health: STRONG → MIXED → WEAK
Obstacle Ahead: NO → YES
Risk State stays OVEREXTENDED while progress stalls
Trade Age shifts toward MATURE / STALE
Liquidity remains LOW and price starts “wicking” repeatedly
When 2–3 of those align, MARAL’s action state should shift:
HOLD → PROTECT → REDUCE → EXIT
10.6 Trade Aging rules (MARAL discipline)
This is how you keep winners and kill losers fast:
A) Fresh trade
Let it work
Do not micro-manage
Only adjust SL after structure confirms
B) Mature trade
Start paying yourself
Convert SL to protected
Stop re-entries unless liquidity improves
C) Overextended trade (your chart)
Mandatory profit lock
Tight management
No adding
Exit plan prepared in advance
D) Stale trade
If it doesn’t progress, it must exit
Time becomes an enemy when liquidity is low
10.7 The hidden advantage in your screenshot
Your chart shows something very “institutional”:
✅ Continuation + Strong momentum
but also
⚠️ Overextended + Low liquidity
This is exactly where most retail traders give profits back.
MARAL’s solution is precise:
It does not panic-exit (because exit pressure is low)
It does not allow greed entries (because permission is WAIT)
It converts the trade into a protected asset:
“Let it run, but don’t let it reverse.”
That is Exit Intelligence.
Exit when:
Exit Pressure rises + Momentum Health degrades
OR Obstacle Ahead becomes YES and progress stalls
OR Trade becomes stale (time without progress)
#MARAL #ExecutionIntelligence #TradingPsychology #RiskManagement #TradeManagement #SmartMoneyConcepts #ICT #PriceAction #Liquidity #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #TradingView
Canara Bank cmp 154.87 seen by the Monthly Chart view since listCanara Bank cmp 154.87 seen by the Monthly Chart view since listed
- Support Zone 129 to 142 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 155 to ATH 164.22 Price Band
- Bullish Cup and Handle Breakout done above Support Zone
- Stock Price ready for New ATH beyond current ATH 164.22 level
- Double Bullish patterns of Rounding Bottom inclusive of Cup and Handle
- Basis both Technical Chart patterns, the logical target price comes to +/- 300
Political instability can gold rebound to the previous ATH?Political instability: Venezuela’s President Maduro arrested – Can gold rebound to the previous ATH?
1️⃣ Market Context
The overall structure remains bullish.
Price is undergoing a short-term correction after a strong volatile move.
The 4300 area is acting as a key support zone.
RSI shows buy–sell convergence; bulls are gradually absorbing bears, keeping downside pressure well controlled.
2️⃣ News & Fundamental Factors
Geopolitical tension: Venezuela attacked by the U.S., President arrested and transferred to the U.S.
Expectation of a gap and bullish move in gold in the upcoming session.
Current news flow continues to support a positive outlook for gold.
3️⃣ Main Scenario
Priority scenario: Price holds above 4300 and resumes the bullish structure.
Key intraday levels to watch:
Support: 4300–431X, 4270–4275
Resistance: 4370–4375, 4402–4404
Focus on shallow pullbacks in line with the main trend.
4️⃣ Trading Strategy (Intraday / Weekly)
Trend-following remains the core approach, while being prepared for minor pullbacks to avoid missing moves.
Closely monitor price reactions at:
4300: Nearest support, currently holding well.
437X: Potential intraday reaction zone.
Always wait for price action confirmation, avoid entries in the middle of the range.
5️⃣ Extensions & Notes
If 4300 breaks decisively:
Deeper correction toward 427X, 425X
Further extension to 417X, a zone worth watching for swing opportunities.
Volatility remains high → risk management is the top priority.
✨ Wishing everyone a profitable new week.
Breakout in Nifty Auto...Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where index may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
UGRO Capital Ltd – Acending Triangle with Fundamental TailwindsTimeframe: Daily (1D)
Pattern: Ascending Triangle (Developing) – bullish continuation setup not yet confirmed.
Price Action Insight:
UGRO is forming an ascending triangle — a consolidation where higher lows push against a near‑horizontal resistance zone. A decisive breakout above the ₹189‑195 range on strong volume will signal trend continuation. Conversely, a break Trend line Breakout below key supports at ₹165 & ₹148 could trigger deeper correction.
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance Zones: ₹189–195 (primary) | ₹209 | ₹242
Support Zones: ₹165 | ₹148 | Major Base: ₹129
Recent News & Strategic Highlights
• Profectus Capital Acquisition: UGRO’s all‑cash ₹1,400 crore acquisition is expected to strengthen its lending franchise and portfolio diversity.
• Rights & Capital Raise: Up to ₹1,315 crore raised via convertible debentures and rights to support growth and reduce cost of funds. ET
• Leadership Positioning: Promotion of Anuj Pandey to CEO signals strategic continuity and risk‑focused leadership. ET
• Social Impact in MSME Lending: ~78% borrowers are first‑generation entrepreneurs gaining access to formal credit. ET
For analysis of any stock, feel free to comment the stock name below.
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market investments are subject to risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses arising from the use of this information.
SANSERA ENGG@1871Not a SEBI registered, just sharing idea. On weekly time frame SANSERA @1871 gave breakout from rounding bottom @1767 with volume. Entry can be made 1871 and @1767, SL-1700 Target 1-2600 in 2-3 month, 2-3300 in 5-6 month. It is in Bull trend RSI on DAILY, WEEKLY >70 and MONTHLY>=70.
INDIAN HOTELS (INDHOTEL) – Swing Trade SetupINDIAN HOTELS (INDHOTEL): CMP: 748.65; RSI: 51.47
✅ Trend: Strong Bullish (Weekly Golden Cross)
📐 Pattern: Flag consolidation → Breakout setup
🔔 Entry:
• Above ₹770 (weekly close / breakout confirmation)
⛔ Stop Loss:
• ₹700 (below flag support & recent swing low)
🎯 Targets:
• T1: ₹820–830 (partial profit)
• T2: ₹880–900 (flag pole projection / Wave-V zone)
📌 Risk–Reward: ~1:2.5 to 1:3
⚠️ Note:
• Enter only on breakout with volume
• Trail SL once T1 is achieved
📈 Trend is up. Consolidation is healthy. Breakout can lead to next expansion leg.
📌 Thanks a ton for checking out my idea! Hope it sparked some value for you.
🙏 Follow for more insights
👍 Boost if you found it helpful
✍️ Drop a comment with your thoughts below!
Breakout in CSB Bank Ltd...Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 1H Technical AnalysisBitcoin remains in a broader bearish structure, clearly visible through a sequence of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) on the 1-hour timeframe. This confirms that sellers have been in control for most of the recent trend.
🔻 Trend Structure
Strong downside momentum earlier, followed by sideways consolidation
Price continues to respect a descending trendline, acting as dynamic resistance
Any rally into this zone has so far faced selling pressure
🔑 Key Levels
Major Resistance: ~91,200 – 91,500
(Previous breakdown zone + trendline resistance)
Immediate Support: ~88,000
Lower Support Zone: 84,000 – 82,000
📈 Current Price Action
BTC is attempting a short-term recovery from the consolidation base
Momentum is improving, but trend reversal is not confirmed yet
A strong breakout and hold above 91,500 is required to shift bias bullish
🧠 Market Bias
Below resistance: Bearish to Neutral (sell-on-rise mindset)
Above resistance: Short-term bullish continuation possible
Patience is key until the market shows clear acceptance above resistance
⚠️ Trading Note
This is a critical decision zone. Expect volatility and fake breakouts near resistance. Always manage risk and wait for confirmation.






















