Crompton Greaves Falling?Technical (upgrade)
Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals has been sliding inside a falling wedge, but price is trying to base around ₹248-252 (teal support on your chart). A daily close above ~₹260–262 (wedge top/near-term trendline) would confirm a breakout and set up a move toward ₹275 first and ₹300 next If price fails and closes back below ₹248, treat it as a false start and expect the downtrend to resume keep risk tight in that zone.
Fundamentals (quick, clean)
Latest print showed mixed trends—Q2 FY26 consolidated revenue ~₹1,915.6 cr, PAT ~₹75.4 cr, with margin pressure; the quarter also carried an exceptional ₹20.36 cr charge for the Vadodara plant restructuring. Butterfly (kitchen appliances) grew double‑digits YoY and lighting rose ~3% YoY, partly offsetting weakness in electric consumer durables. The company fully repaid its ₹300 cr NCDs in Jul‑2025 and said it is net‑cash/zero‑debt, which is a positive for flexibility. Valuation and efficiency are mid‑pack for consumer durables (P/E ~34–35; P/B ~4.3–4.9; ROE ~13–15%; ROCE ~15–19%). Net‑net: fundamentals are stable but margins need rebuilding—if your chart gets the ₹260–₹262 breakout, technicals can align with a gradual recovery story.
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Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only and should not be considered a buy/sell recommendation.
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INDUSTOWER 1 Day Time Frame 📌 Current Price (Approx)
Last traded ~₹422 – ₹423 on recent session close.
🔑 Daily Pivot Levels (1D Timeframe)
Pivot levels help estimate daily market bias (above pivot = bullish bias; below pivot = bearish).
Pivot Point (Daily): ~₹422
Resistance Levels:
• R1: ₹425
• R2: ₹431
• R3: ₹434
Support Levels:
• S1: ₹417
• S2: ₹414
• S3: ₹408
Interpretation
Staying above ₹422 pivot suggests intraday strength.
A break above ₹431–434 can open up further upside moves.
A drop below ₹417–₹414 may bring selling pressure toward ₹408.
🔥 Alternate Support/Resistance Reference (from Multiple Sources)
Supports: ₹416–₹413–₹408 zone.
Resistances: ₹425–₹430–₹433 zone.
VWAP (short-term reference) near ₹410–₹412 supports price action above it.
📈 Trading Interpretation (1-Day Bias)
Bullish intraday view (if price holds above pivot):
Above ₹422 pivot → watch ₹425–₹431–₹434 resistance targets.
Weakness/Range view:
If price trades between ₹414–₹422, expect choppy action with possible fade to support.
Bearish pressure (if break below support):
📊 Extra Notes
The stock’s 52-week range is roughly ₹312 – ₹430 — current near higher end.Below ₹414–₹408 → watch for further weakness to deeper support levels.
📊 Extra Notes
The stock’s 52-week range is roughly ₹312 – ₹430 — current near higher end.
Technical indicators (moving averages/oscillators) vary by platform, but many show neutral to buy bias on daily charts.
IndusInd Bank Ltd || 1 Day || Cup and handle IndusInd Bank Ltd — Detailed Analysis
Company Intro:
IndusInd Bank Ltd is one of India’s leading private sector banks offering retail, corporate, and digital banking services across the country. The bank has a strong footprint in consumer credit, deposits, and transaction banking, catering to millions of customers across urban and semi-urban regions.
Technical Perspective — Cup & Handle Breakout
The daily chart shows a classic Cup & Handle pattern, a bullish continuation setup formed over several months.Price has decisively broken above the key breakout level ~₹890, validating the pattern’s breakout.This breakout suggests a shift from consolidation to an upward trend re-acceleration.
Sustained trading above ₹890 keeps the structure bullish in the short to medium term.
📍 Resistance Levels (Upside):
• ₹930 — immediate minor resistance
• ₹1,030 — major resistance zone above
📍 Support Levels (Downside):
• ₹830 — key support if price retraces below ( Bearish)
• ₹710 — structural support
Trend Bias:
• Bullish above ₹890
• Neutral to Bearish below ₹830 / ₹710
Latest Update
Some macro/sector views indicate a softer Q3 earnings outlook relative to peers.
Source _Business Today
Broader corporate news includes regulatory probes related to past accounting discrepancies which the company is cooperating with.
Source _The Economic Times
👉 If you need analysis on any company or stock, comment below.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. The author is not responsible for any losses arising from the use of this information. Investors are advised to consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor before taking any trading or investment decisions.
BTCUSD 1H Showing Correction after Strong SupplyBTCUSD on the 1H chart is moving in a corrective range after facing a well-defined supply zone. The previous bullish trend, with higher highs, higher lows, and an upward trendline, weakened near 90,000–90,200 due to repeated seller activity. Breaking below the trendline confirmed a short-term structure shift. Price now forms lower highs along a descending trendline, indicating controlled selling and suggesting the market is consolidating within a broader range.
Supply: Primary resistance is 90,000–90,200. Secondary resistance at 88,800–89,200 aligns with lower highs and the descending trendline.
Demand: Near-term support is 87,200–87,000. Holding this keeps the consolidation intact. The higher-timeframe demand zone at 84,500–84,200 is the range low and prior strong buying area. Market behaviour here will guide the next direction.
Gold Update: Watching Channel Support for ContinuationGuys last trade of the year haha, let's see if we got something in this trade. Gold is trading inside a rising channel, and the overall structure remains positive. After the recent move up, price has pulled back toward the lower side of the channel, which is a normal and healthy behavior in an uptrend.
This pullback is bringing price closer to a key support area, where buyers have previously stepped in. As long as price holds above this support, the probability favors upside continuation rather than a breakdown.
This is not a breakout trade. It is a buy-on-pullback setup, where patience matters more than speed. A clear hold near support is what keeps this setup valid.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile.
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At last reversalWas beaten down for a long time even though the company is undervalued and fundamentally strong. Technicals were pushing it down but for the past few sessions had formed a stable buy at the long time support of 250s. If able to break above the resect high - forms a doble bottom and hence the end of downtrend
Risk Smart, Grow Fast: The Art of Intelligent Wealth CreationUnderstanding Risk the Right Way
Risk is often misunderstood as something to avoid. In reality, risk is unavoidable in any form of growth—whether in trading, investing, business, or personal development. The key difference between winners and losers is not the presence of risk, but how risk is managed. Smart risk-takers identify potential downsides before focusing on upside. They ask critical questions: What can go wrong? How much can I lose? Can I survive this loss? This mindset shifts risk from a threat into a calculated tool.
The Power of Risk Management
Risk management is the backbone of fast yet sustainable growth. Without it, even the best strategy eventually collapses. Smart risk management involves defining risk limits, position sizing, diversification, and exit rules. In trading and investing, this could mean risking only a small percentage of capital on each trade. In business, it might involve testing ideas on a small scale before full implementation. By controlling downside, you create the freedom to pursue opportunities aggressively without fear of ruin.
Why Smart Risk Accelerates Growth
Ironically, those who take controlled risks often grow faster than those who chase high rewards impulsively. This is because they stay in the game longer. Consistency compounds. A person who avoids catastrophic losses can benefit from compounding returns, learning cycles, and experience. Over time, small intelligent gains stack up, leading to exponential growth. Fast growth is rarely about one big win—it is about many smart decisions executed repeatedly.
The Role of Probability and Edge
Smart risk-takers think in probabilities, not certainties. They understand that no decision guarantees success. Instead, they focus on having an edge—a situation where the odds are slightly in their favor over many repetitions. In markets, this might be a tested strategy. In careers, it might be acquiring rare skills. Growth becomes fast when decisions are aligned with favorable probabilities and repeated consistently with discipline.
Emotional Control: The Hidden Advantage
One of the biggest threats to smart risk-taking is emotion. Fear leads to hesitation, while greed leads to overexposure. Emotional decisions distort risk perception and cause impulsive behavior. Those who grow fast learn to detach emotionally from outcomes and focus on processes. Losses are treated as feedback, not failure. This emotional resilience allows them to take the next opportunity confidently without being psychologically damaged by past setbacks.
Learning From Losses Without Being Destroyed by Them
Losses are inevitable when taking risks, but smart risk-takers design losses to be small and educational. Instead of asking “How do I avoid losses?”, they ask “How do I ensure losses don’t harm my long-term progress?” This shift is powerful. Each controlled loss becomes a tuition fee for experience. Over time, this learning curve accelerates growth far more than avoiding risk altogether.
Leverage: A Tool, Not a Shortcut
Leverage—whether financial, time-based, or skill-based—can accelerate growth dramatically, but it magnifies both gains and losses. Smart growth does not reject leverage; it respects it. Using leverage responsibly means ensuring that a single mistake cannot wipe out years of effort. Those who grow fast understand leverage deeply and apply it only when risk is well defined and controlled.
Diversification vs. Focus
Risk-smart growth balances diversification and focus. Diversification protects capital and reduces volatility, while focus allows for meaningful impact and higher returns. Intelligent growth strategies often start with diversification to survive and learn, then gradually increase focus as confidence, skill, and edge improve. This phased approach reduces risk while maintaining growth momentum.
Long-Term Vision With Short-Term Discipline
Growing fast does not mean thinking short term. In fact, the fastest sustainable growth often comes from a long-term vision supported by strict short-term discipline. Every decision is evaluated based on how it fits into the bigger picture. Short-term setbacks are accepted if they align with long-term goals. This clarity prevents impulsive risk-taking and keeps growth on track.
Risk Smart Is a Mindset, Not a Strategy
Ultimately, Risk Smart, Grow Fast is a mindset. It is about respecting uncertainty, preparing for downside, and acting decisively when opportunity arises. It requires humility to accept what you don’t know and confidence to act on what you do. This mindset applies beyond finance—to careers, entrepreneurship, relationships, and personal growth.
Conclusion
Fast growth is not achieved by avoiding risk or chasing reckless rewards. It is achieved by understanding risk, controlling it, and using it intentionally. When risks are smart, losses are survivable, learning accelerates, and compounding works in your favor. In a world full of noise and shortcuts, those who risk smartly stand out—not because they never fail, but because they never allow failure to stop them. That is the true formula to grow fast and grow strong.
Controlling Trading Risk FactorsA Comprehensive Guide to Long-Term Survival in Financial Markets
Trading in financial markets offers significant opportunities for wealth creation, but it also exposes participants to substantial risks. The difference between consistent traders and those who exit the markets prematurely is not superior prediction, but effective control of trading risk factors. Risk is unavoidable in trading; however, it is manageable. Controlling trading risk factors means identifying, measuring, and mitigating the elements that can negatively impact capital, performance, and psychological stability. This process forms the foundation of professional trading and long-term sustainability.
Understanding Trading Risk
Trading risk refers to the probability of financial loss arising from market uncertainty, volatility, leverage, behavioral errors, and external events. Markets are influenced by countless variables—economic data, geopolitical developments, interest rates, liquidity flows, and investor sentiment. Since traders cannot control market outcomes, the focus must shift to controlling exposure and decision-making processes. Risk control is not about avoiding losses entirely, but about ensuring losses are limited, planned, and recoverable.
Position Sizing: The First Line of Defense
One of the most critical risk factors in trading is improper position sizing. Many traders fail not because their analysis is wrong, but because they risk too much on a single trade. Position sizing determines how much capital is allocated to each trade relative to the total account size. A disciplined approach—such as risking only 1–2% of total capital per trade—ensures that no single loss can significantly damage the account. Proper position sizing smooths the equity curve and allows traders to survive inevitable losing streaks.
Stop-Loss Discipline and Risk-Reward Management
Stop-loss orders are essential tools for controlling downside risk. They define the maximum acceptable loss before entering a trade, transforming uncertainty into a quantified risk. Traders who ignore stop-losses often allow small losses to turn into catastrophic ones. Alongside stop-loss placement, risk-reward ratio plays a vital role. Trades should be structured so that potential rewards outweigh risks, typically at least 1:2 or higher. Even with a modest win rate, favorable risk-reward dynamics can lead to profitability over time.
Managing Leverage Carefully
Leverage amplifies both gains and losses, making it one of the most dangerous risk factors in trading. Excessive leverage can wipe out accounts even with minor market moves. Professional traders treat leverage as a strategic tool, not a shortcut to fast profits. Controlling leverage means using it selectively, understanding margin requirements, and maintaining sufficient buffer to withstand volatility. Lower leverage provides emotional stability and prevents forced liquidations during adverse price movements.
Diversification and Correlation Awareness
Concentration risk arises when too much capital is allocated to highly correlated assets or similar strategies. Traders often believe they are diversified when they are not—for example, holding multiple stocks from the same sector or trades driven by the same macro factor. True diversification considers correlations across instruments, timeframes, and strategies. By spreading risk intelligently, traders reduce the impact of a single market event on overall performance.
Volatility and Market Condition Adaptation
Market volatility is not constant; it expands and contracts over time. Strategies that work well in trending markets may fail in range-bound or highly volatile conditions. Failing to adapt to changing market regimes is a major risk factor. Traders must adjust position sizes, stop distances, and expectations based on current volatility levels. Using tools such as Average True Range (ATR) or volatility indices can help align risk parameters with market conditions.
Psychological Risk and Emotional Control
Psychological factors are among the most underestimated trading risks. Fear, greed, overconfidence, and revenge trading often lead to impulsive decisions that violate risk rules. Emotional trading increases position sizes after losses, removes stop-losses, or leads to overtrading. Controlling psychological risk requires self-awareness, discipline, and routine. Maintaining a trading journal, following a predefined trading plan, and taking breaks after drawdowns are effective ways to reduce emotional interference.
Drawdown Management and Capital Preservation
Drawdowns are inevitable, but uncontrolled drawdowns can permanently impair trading capital. Effective risk control includes predefined drawdown limits, such as reducing position size after a certain percentage loss or pausing trading altogether. Capital preservation should always take priority over profit generation. Traders who protect capital during unfavorable periods are best positioned to capitalize when conditions improve.
Risk of Overtrading and Strategy Drift
Overtrading increases transaction costs, exposure, and emotional fatigue. Many traders feel compelled to trade constantly, mistaking activity for productivity. This behavior often leads to lower-quality setups and higher risk. Similarly, strategy drift—deviating from a proven system due to recent losses or market noise—introduces inconsistency. Strict trade filters and adherence to tested strategies help control these risks.
External and Event-Based Risks
Macroeconomic announcements, earnings releases, geopolitical tensions, and policy decisions can cause sudden price shocks. Ignoring event risk can result in slippage and gaps beyond stop-loss levels. Traders should be aware of economic calendars and adjust exposure ahead of high-impact events. Some choose to reduce position size or stay flat during major announcements, prioritizing risk control over opportunity.
The Role of a Trading Plan and Risk Framework
A well-defined trading plan is the backbone of risk management. It outlines entry criteria, exit rules, position sizing, maximum risk per trade, and drawdown limits. A consistent risk framework transforms trading from speculation into a structured business. Without a plan, risk decisions become reactive and emotionally driven, increasing the likelihood of large losses.
Conclusion
Controlling trading risk factors is not optional—it is the core skill that separates successful traders from unsuccessful ones. Markets are unpredictable, but risk exposure is controllable. By managing position size, leverage, stop-losses, psychological behavior, diversification, and drawdowns, traders create resilience against uncertainty. Long-term success in trading is less about finding the perfect strategy and more about surviving long enough for probabilities to work in your favor. In trading, those who control risk control their future.
Earnings Season Trading: Strategies, Opportunities, and RisksUnderstanding Earnings Season
Earnings season typically occurs four times a year, shortly after the end of each fiscal quarter. Companies release their income statements, balance sheets, cash flow statements, and forward guidance during this time. In markets like the US and India, earnings seasons often cluster, with many companies reporting within a few weeks. This concentration of information increases overall market volatility and sector-wide movements. Stocks may move not only due to their own results but also in reaction to peer performance, sector trends, and macroeconomic signals.
Why Earnings Move Markets
Stock prices are forward-looking, meaning they reflect expectations about future performance rather than just past results. Earnings announcements act as a reality check against these expectations. If reported earnings exceed expectations (an earnings beat), the stock may rise. If earnings fall short (an earnings miss), the stock may decline. However, the reaction is not always straightforward. Sometimes a stock falls even after strong results if expectations were too high, or rises after weak earnings if the outlook improves. This dynamic makes earnings season trading both challenging and rewarding.
Pre-Earnings Trading Strategies
One common approach is pre-earnings positioning. Traders analyze estimates, historical earnings reactions, sector momentum, and technical setups before the announcement. Stocks often build up momentum leading into earnings, especially if there is optimism about results. Traders may enter positions days or weeks in advance, aiming to benefit from this “earnings run-up.” Technical indicators such as volume expansion, breakout patterns, and relative strength are often used to time entries. However, pre-earnings trades carry risk, as unexpected results can quickly reverse gains.
Post-Earnings Reaction Trading
Another popular strategy focuses on trading after earnings are released. Instead of speculating on the outcome, traders wait for the market’s reaction and then act. Post-earnings trading emphasizes confirmation—how price, volume, and trend behave once new information is fully absorbed. Strong earnings accompanied by high volume and a breakout above resistance may signal trend continuation. Conversely, a sharp drop below key support after disappointing results may indicate further downside. This approach reduces uncertainty but may miss the initial large move.
Gap Trading and Volatility Plays
Earnings often cause price gaps, where a stock opens significantly higher or lower than its previous close. Gap trading strategies aim to profit from either continuation or gap-filling behavior. Some stocks continue strongly in the direction of the gap due to sustained institutional interest, while others retrace as early traders take profits. Understanding the context—such as overall market sentiment, guidance quality, and historical behavior—is crucial when trading gaps.
Earnings season is also a period of elevated implied volatility, especially in options markets. Options traders use strategies like straddles, strangles, and spreads to benefit from large price moves or volatility changes. While these strategies can be powerful, they require a strong understanding of option Greeks, volatility crush, and risk-reward dynamics.
Role of Guidance and Management Commentary
Earnings numbers alone rarely tell the full story. Management guidance, conference calls, and future outlook often matter more than reported profits. Markets react strongly to changes in revenue growth expectations, margin outlook, capital expenditure plans, and commentary on demand conditions. A company may report solid earnings but issue cautious guidance, leading to a negative reaction. Successful earnings season traders pay close attention to these qualitative factors, not just headline numbers.
Sector and Index Effects
Earnings season trading is not limited to individual stocks. Strong or weak results from market leaders can influence entire sectors and indices. For example, earnings from major banks can impact the financial sector, while results from large IT or FMCG companies can move broader indices. Traders often monitor sector ETFs or index futures to capture these broader moves. Relative performance within a sector can also highlight leadership and laggards, offering pair trading or rotation opportunities.
Risk Management During Earnings Season
Risk management is critical during earnings season due to heightened volatility and unpredictable reactions. Position sizing should be adjusted to account for potential large price swings. Stop-loss orders, while useful, may not always protect against gaps, so traders must be prepared for slippage. Diversification across multiple trades and avoiding overexposure to a single earnings event can help reduce portfolio risk. Many experienced traders also avoid holding large positions overnight during earnings unless they have a strong edge or hedging strategy.
Behavioral Aspects and Market Psychology
Earnings season amplifies behavioral biases such as overconfidence, herd mentality, and loss aversion. Traders may chase stocks after strong earnings or panic-sell after disappointing results. Media headlines and social media commentary can further exaggerate emotional responses. Successful earnings traders remain disciplined, stick to predefined plans, and avoid impulsive decisions driven by short-term noise.
Long-Term Perspective vs Short-Term Trading
Not all earnings season activity is about short-term trading. Long-term investors use earnings to reassess company fundamentals, valuation, and growth trajectories. Consistent earnings growth, improving margins, and strong cash flows reinforce long-term confidence, while repeated disappointments may signal deeper issues. Understanding the difference between temporary earnings-related volatility and structural business changes is key to making informed investment decisions.
Conclusion
Earnings season trading is a dynamic and complex aspect of financial markets that offers significant opportunities for traders and investors alike. It combines elements of fundamental analysis, technical trading, volatility management, and behavioral finance. While the potential rewards are high, so are the risks. Success during earnings season requires preparation, discipline, and a clear understanding of both market expectations and actual results. By focusing on strategy, risk control, and continuous learning, traders can navigate earnings season more effectively and turn market uncertainty into a structured trading advantage.
Share Market Explained: A Comprehensive Point-Wise GuideIntroduction to the Share Market
The share market, also known as the stock market or equity market, is a platform where shares of publicly listed companies are bought and sold. It acts as a bridge between companies that need capital to grow and investors who want to grow their wealth. By purchasing shares, investors become part-owners of a company and gain the right to benefit from its growth and profitability.
Meaning of Shares and Stocks
A share represents a unit of ownership in a company. When a company divides its ownership into small units and offers them to the public, these units are called shares. Stocks is a broader term often used to describe ownership in one or more companies. Holding shares allows investors to participate in the company’s success through price appreciation and dividends.
Purpose of the Share Market
The main purpose of the share market is capital formation. Companies raise funds to expand operations, invest in new projects, or reduce debt. For investors, the market provides opportunities to earn returns, beat inflation, and create long-term wealth. It also ensures transparency, price discovery, and liquidity in financial markets.
Primary Market and Secondary Market
The share market is divided into two segments:
Primary Market: Where companies issue shares for the first time through Initial Public Offerings (IPOs). Investors buy shares directly from the company.
Secondary Market: Where existing shares are traded among investors on stock exchanges. Prices here change based on demand and supply.
Role of Stock Exchanges
Stock exchanges like the NSE and BSE in India provide a regulated platform for trading shares. They ensure fair trading practices, transparency, and investor protection. Exchanges also help in price discovery by matching buyers and sellers efficiently using electronic systems.
Market Participants
Several participants operate in the share market:
Retail Investors: Individual investors trading with their personal funds.
Institutional Investors: Mutual funds, insurance companies, pension funds, and foreign investors.
Traders and Speculators: Participants who aim to profit from short-term price movements.
Brokers and Intermediaries: Entities that facilitate buying and selling of shares.
How Share Prices Are Determined
Share prices are determined by demand and supply. When more investors want to buy a stock than sell it, the price rises. When selling pressure increases, the price falls. Factors influencing prices include company performance, earnings, economic conditions, interest rates, global markets, and investor sentiment.
Types of Shares
Equity Shares: Represent ownership and voting rights. Returns depend on company performance.
Preference Shares: Offer fixed dividends and priority over equity shareholders but limited voting rights.
Equity shares are more common among retail investors due to higher growth potential.
Returns from the Share Market
Investors earn returns in two ways:
Capital Appreciation: Increase in share price over time.
Dividends: A portion of company profits distributed to shareholders.
Long-term investors mainly focus on capital appreciation, while income-oriented investors value dividends.
Investment vs Trading
Investing: Focuses on long-term wealth creation by holding quality stocks for years. It relies on fundamental analysis.
Trading: Focuses on short-term price movements, from minutes to weeks. It relies on technical analysis and market timing.
Both approaches require different mindsets and risk management strategies.
Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis studies a company’s financial health, business model, management quality, and growth prospects. Key factors include revenue, profits, balance sheet strength, industry position, and economic outlook. Long-term investors use this to identify undervalued stocks.
Technical Analysis
Technical analysis focuses on price charts, volume, and indicators to predict future price movements. Traders use patterns, support-resistance levels, moving averages, and momentum indicators. It assumes that market prices reflect all available information.
Market Indices
Indices like NIFTY 50 and SENSEX represent the overall performance of the market. They track a basket of top companies and act as benchmarks for investors. Rising indices indicate bullish sentiment, while falling indices signal bearish conditions.
Risk in the Share Market
The share market involves risks such as price volatility, business risk, economic risk, and global uncertainties. Prices can fluctuate sharply in the short term. Understanding and managing risk is crucial for long-term survival and success.
Risk Management and Diversification
Diversification means investing across different sectors and companies to reduce risk. Proper position sizing, asset allocation, and use of stop-losses help protect capital. Successful investors focus more on risk control than on returns.
Role of Regulations
Regulatory bodies like SEBI in India protect investor interests, prevent fraud, and ensure fair market practices. Regulations promote transparency, disclosure, and accountability among listed companies and market participants.
Impact of Economic and Global Factors
Inflation, interest rates, government policies, geopolitical events, and global markets influence share prices. For example, rising interest rates may negatively affect equity markets, while economic growth usually supports higher stock prices.
Behavioral Aspects of the Share Market
Investor psychology plays a major role. Emotions like fear, greed, and overconfidence often lead to irrational decisions. Successful market participants develop discipline, patience, and a rule-based approach.
Long-Term Wealth Creation through the Share Market
Historically, equities have delivered higher returns compared to most asset classes over the long term. Compounding, when profits generate further profits, makes long-term investing powerful. Time in the market is more important than timing the market.
Conclusion
The share market is a vital part of the modern financial system. It offers opportunities for wealth creation, economic growth, and financial participation. While it involves risks, proper knowledge, discipline, and a long-term perspective can help investors benefit significantly. Understanding how the share market works is the first step toward making informed and confident financial decisions.
IndusInd Bank: Cup Formed, Handle ConsolidatingIndusInd Bank is forming a classic Cup & Handle continuation pattern , which aligns cleanly with a major-degree Elliott Wave structure , strengthening the bullish case.
The prior advance established the primary bullish trend (Wave 1 / A) . The subsequent decline unfolded as a complex Wave 2 / B correction , expressed visually as the cup — a rounded, time-consuming base formed through a W–X–Y corrective structure . This phase allowed price to correct without breaking the broader trend, signalling accumulation rather than distribution.
The recovery from the base completed the cup and transitioned into the handle , which is developing as a shallow consolidation above key Fibonacci supports . From an Elliott Wave perspective, this handle reflects a pause before expansion , not a reversal, keeping the larger bullish structure intact.
With the handle holding above the 0.618–0.50 Fibonacci retracement zone (₹828.90–₹809.35) , the setup favors a major-degree Wave 3 / C advance , typically the strongest and most impulsive phase of a trend.
Structure & Bias
Pattern : Cup & Handle (Continuation)
Elliott Wave alignment:
Wave 1 / A: Prior impulsive advance
Wave 2 / B: Complex correction forming the cup (W–X–Y)
Wave 3 / C: Expected expansion leg post-breakout
Bias : Bullish continuation
Entry Strategy
Early Entry (Aggressive):
Channel breakout within the handle, followed by a successful retest — offers early exposure with higher volatility risk.
Safer Entry (Conservative):
Breakout above the major resistance near ₹892, followed by a retest — confirmation-based entry aligned with Wave 3 / C acceleration.
Invalidation
Sustained trade below ₹809 invalidates the Cup & Handle thesis and weakens the Wave 3 / C outlook.
Bottom line:
This is a Cup & Handle powered by Elliott Wave structure . As long as price holds above key Fibonacci support, the path of least resistance remains higher.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Indus Towers Ltd – Breakout Trade IdeaIndus Towers has given a breakout from a downward sloping trendline , indicating a possible trend reversal. The move is supported by increasing Put writing and Call unwinding at the 400 strike , showing strong support and bullish sentiment in the options data.
The stock is also backed by good quarterly results , adding strength to the price action.
Trade Setup
Buy: ₹408 (Current Market Price)
Target: ₹450
Stop Loss: ₹390 (Closing basis)
View: Bullish above ₹400
Risk–Reward: Favorable
XAUUSD (H2) – Liam Plan (Jan 02)Price is compressing in a structure, wait for the trendline break to choose direction 🎯
Quick summary
After the strong bearish BOS, gold is rebounding and compressing inside a diagonal structure (triangle/flag-like). Today the clean approach is confirmation trading:
SELL only after a confirmed break of the trendline (4348–4350) as marked on your chart.
SELL reactions at the upper supply / VAL zones (4460–4463 and 4513–4518).
BUY is secondary — only if price holds the 4400–4405 key support and shows a clear reaction on lower timeframes.
Macro backdrop (CME FedWatch)
Probability Fed holds rates in January: 85.1%
Probability of a 25 bps cut in January: 14.9%
By March: probability of 25 bps cumulative cut: 51.2%, hold 42.8%, 50 bps cut 5.9%
👉 This keeps markets sensitive to USD / yields expectations. Gold can bounce technically, but volatility spikes are likely — so we stick to levels + confirmation.
Key Levels (from your chart)
✅ Sell zone 1: 4513 – 4518
✅ Sell VAL: 4460 – 4463
✅ Reaction / flip zone: 4400 – 4405
✅ Breakdown trigger: 4348 – 4350 (sell upon confirmed trendline breakout)
Trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
1) SELL scenarios (priority)
A. SELL on trendline breakdown confirmation
Trigger: clean break + close below 4348–4350
Entry: sell the retest back into the broken trendline
TP1: 4320–4305
TP2: 4260–4240
TP3: deeper extension (towards the 41xx area) if momentum expands
Logic: This is the clearest “trend confirmation” on your chart. No chasing — let price confirm first.
B. SELL reaction at supply
Sell: 4460–4463 (VAL)
Stronger sell: 4513–4518 (premium supply)
Only sell with visible weakness / rejection on M15–H1.
2) BUY scenario (secondary – reaction only)
Buy zone: 4400–4405
Condition: hold the zone + print higher lows on lower TF
TP: 4460 → 4513 (scale out)
Logic: This is a key support/flip area. If it holds, price can rotate up to test supply above before the next decision.
Key notes
Compression often creates false breaks — don’t trade mid-range.
Two clean plays only: break 4348–4350 to sell with confirmation, or retrace to 4460/4513 to sell the reaction.
What’s your bias today: selling the 4348 breakdown, or waiting for 4460–4463 for a cleaner pullback sell?
Reversal Trade – NAUKRI (Info Edge) | 1H ChartNSE:NAUKRI
📌 Trade Description
This is a classic demand-based reversal, not a random bottom-pick. Price has corrected sharply into a previously validated demand zone, where aggressive buying earlier pushed price up with momentum. Now price has returned to the same zone with declining momentum, offering a low-risk, high-R:R opportunity.
If this demand fails, the trade is invalid. Simple. No hope-trading here.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Trend Context: Short-term down-move, but within a broader range. This is a mean-reversion + base formation play, not a breakout chase.
Demand Zone (₹1320–₹1330):
⦿Earlier sharp impulse move originated from this zone → proves institutional participation.
⦿Price revisiting demand after time + correction = fresh probability.
Price Behaviour:
⦿Selling pressure is slowing down near demand.
⦿Smaller candles + wicks = absorption, not aggressive distribution.
Structure Expectation:
⦿First: base formation inside demand
⦿Then: higher low on 1H
Finally: reversal push toward ₹1370–₹1385 zone.
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry: Near demand zone after stabilization (no blind buying)
Stop Loss: Below demand zone (tight & non-negotiable)
Targets:
⦿T1: ₹1348–₹1360
⦿T2: ₹1375–₹1385
Risk–Reward: Minimum 1:2
This is a reaction trade, not a prediction.
Stay disciplined. Let price confirm, then execute.
Keep Learning,
Happy Trading.
New Policies in the Indian Trading MarketTransforming Transparency, Participation, and Stability
Over the last few years, the Indian trading market has undergone significant regulatory and structural reforms. These new policies, introduced primarily by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), stock exchanges like NSE and BSE, and in coordination with the Government of India and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), aim to strengthen market integrity, protect investors, reduce systemic risk, and align Indian markets with global best practices. As retail participation has surged and technology has reshaped trading behavior, policymakers have focused on creating a balanced ecosystem that encourages growth while curbing excess speculation and malpractice.
Strengthening Investor Protection and Market Integrity
One of the most important objectives of recent policies is enhanced investor protection. With a sharp rise in first-time retail traders, especially in derivatives and intraday trading, regulators recognized the need to safeguard inexperienced participants. New disclosure norms, standardized risk disclosures by brokers, and tighter rules on misleading advertisements have been implemented. Brokers are now required to clearly communicate risks, especially in high-leverage products such as options and futures. This shift reflects a move away from purely growth-driven participation toward informed and responsible trading.
Additionally, SEBI has increased scrutiny on insider trading, front-running, and market manipulation. Enhanced surveillance systems using data analytics and artificial intelligence have been deployed to detect abnormal trading patterns. Penalties for violations have become stricter, reinforcing the message that market fairness and transparency are non-negotiable.
Changes in Derivatives and F&O Trading Regulations
The derivatives segment has seen some of the most impactful policy changes. Given that a large portion of trading volumes in India comes from futures and options, regulators have focused on controlling excessive speculation and reducing retail losses. Policies such as higher margin requirements, revised lot sizes, and closer monitoring of intraday leverage aim to reduce risk exposure. The introduction of peak margin norms has been a landmark reform, ensuring that traders maintain sufficient capital throughout the trading day rather than only at end-of-day settlements.
These measures have slightly increased the cost of trading but have also improved market stability. By discouraging over-leveraged positions, the policies aim to prevent sudden volatility spikes and cascading losses, which can affect not just individual traders but the broader financial system.
Margin, Leverage, and Risk Management Reforms
Risk management has been a central theme in recent policy changes. The peak margin framework ensures uniformity across brokers and eliminates unfair practices where some participants previously enjoyed higher leverage. This has leveled the playing field and reduced systemic risk.
Furthermore, exchanges and clearing corporations have strengthened stress-testing mechanisms to assess the impact of extreme market events. Brokers are now more accountable for client risk management, and automated square-off mechanisms have become more robust. These reforms collectively promote disciplined trading behavior and discourage reckless speculation.
Settlement Cycle and Market Efficiency Improvements
Another major policy reform has been the shortening of settlement cycles. India has moved progressively toward faster settlements, improving liquidity and reducing counterparty risk. Faster settlement cycles benefit both institutional and retail participants by freeing up capital more quickly and enhancing trust in the system.
Alongside this, interoperability among clearing corporations and improved clearing and settlement infrastructure have made the market more resilient. These steps are crucial as trading volumes grow and market complexity increases.
Reforms in Algo Trading and Technology Usage
With the rise of algorithmic and high-frequency trading, regulators have introduced policies to ensure fair access and stability. Algo trading is now subject to approval processes, system audits, and risk checks. Brokers offering algorithmic strategies must comply with stricter governance norms, ensuring that automated trading does not destabilize markets or disadvantage retail traders.
At the same time, policies encourage the responsible use of technology. The growth of APIs, digital KYC, and online onboarding has made market access easier, particularly for younger and tech-savvy investors. This balance between innovation and regulation is a defining feature of India’s modern trading policy framework.
Taxation, Compliance, and Reporting Changes
While not always categorized strictly as “trading market policies,” changes in taxation and compliance have significantly influenced trading behavior. Enhanced reporting requirements, tighter scrutiny of capital gains, and improved data sharing between regulators and tax authorities have increased transparency. These measures aim to reduce tax evasion and ensure that trading profits are accurately reported.
Although these changes increase compliance burdens, they also enhance the credibility of Indian financial markets. Over the long term, a transparent and well-regulated environment attracts both domestic and foreign investors.
Focus on Retail Education and Financial Literacy
Recognizing that regulation alone is not enough, policymakers have placed greater emphasis on investor education. SEBI and exchanges have expanded financial literacy programs, online courses, and awareness campaigns. Brokers are encouraged to provide educational content rather than purely promotional material.
This policy direction reflects a long-term vision: creating informed market participants who understand risk, return, and discipline. A well-educated investor base reduces herd behavior, panic selling, and irrational exuberance, contributing to overall market stability.
ESG, Governance, and Long-Term Market Development
Recent policies also reflect a growing focus on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) standards. Enhanced disclosure requirements for listed companies and stricter corporate governance norms indirectly influence trading markets by improving information quality. Traders and investors now have better data to assess company fundamentals, risks, and long-term sustainability.
This shift aligns Indian markets with global investment trends and improves their attractiveness to international capital. Over time, better governance reduces volatility caused by corporate scandals or information asymmetry.
Impact on Traders and the Way Forward
For active traders, these new policies mean adapting to a more disciplined and compliance-driven environment. Higher margins, stricter leverage norms, and tighter surveillance may reduce short-term speculative opportunities but improve long-term sustainability. Traders who focus on strategy, risk management, and process rather than excessive leverage are more likely to thrive under the new regime.
Looking ahead, Indian trading market policies are expected to continue evolving in response to technological innovation, global market integration, and changing investor demographics. The challenge for regulators will be to maintain a balance between growth and stability, innovation and control, and accessibility and protection.
Conclusion
The new policies in the Indian trading market represent a clear shift toward transparency, accountability, and systemic resilience. While some reforms have increased trading costs and reduced leverage, they have also strengthened market integrity and investor confidence. As India’s capital markets mature, these policies lay the foundation for sustainable growth, global competitiveness, and long-term wealth creation. For traders and investors alike, understanding and adapting to these changes is no longer optional—it is essential for success in the evolving Indian trading landscape.
Kotak Mahindra Bank - Bulls Wish Happy 2026 Ahead!!!Kotak Mahindra Bank after 4 years of tight consolidation , has given a Beautiful 2025 Yearly Breakout!!!
It is trading inside a expanding ascending channel pattern from 2014 till now ....taking support and resistance at respective channel lines( shown below- 6month timeframe chart )
Chances are less for a down move after this clean yearly breakout... .Breaking 2059.2 will be a warning sign and possibly delay the upmove...(not for long term investors....)
Monthly time frame chart view below-
For Long term Investors , Monthly breakdown out of the channel with good volume support would make the SL.
Target levels mentioned for long term ones.
With the Stock split on Jan 14, 2026, Kotak bank will see high retail participation and higher volumes!!!
Anyway , Charts indicating a bulls eye on Kotak Mahindra Bank in 2026 and future!!!
Just Sharing my View...not a tip nor advice!!!
Wishing you all a very HAPPY & Prosperous NEWYEAR 2026!!!!
Thank you,
mmjimm!!
Managing Losses and Drawdowns: The Psychology Behind DrawdownsUnderstanding Drawdowns Beyond Numbers
A drawdown is not just a percentage decline in capital; it is an emotional experience. A 10% drawdown can feel manageable to one trader and devastating to another. This subjective experience arises because drawdowns threaten three deeply rooted psychological needs:
Ego and self-image (“I thought I was good at this”)
Sense of control (“The market is not behaving as expected”)
Fear of future loss (“What if this gets worse?”)
When capital declines, traders often interpret it as personal failure rather than statistical variance. This misinterpretation magnifies emotional pain and clouds judgment.
Loss Aversion and Emotional Asymmetry
One of the strongest behavioral finance principles at play during drawdowns is loss aversion. Psychologically, losses hurt roughly twice as much as equivalent gains feel good. This asymmetry explains why traders may:
Exit winning trades too early
Hold losing trades too long
Abandon a profitable system after a temporary drawdown
Loss aversion pushes traders to seek emotional relief instead of probabilistic advantage. The mind prioritizes stopping pain now over achieving long-term expectancy, which is why impulsive decisions increase during drawdowns.
Ego, Identity, and Overreaction
Many traders unconsciously tie their identity to trading performance. When equity curves fall, it feels like a judgment on intelligence, discipline, or competence. This ego involvement triggers:
Overtrading to “prove oneself”
Revenge trading after losses
Strategy hopping in search of instant recovery
The more ego-driven the trader, the more severe the psychological reaction to drawdowns. Professionals, in contrast, view drawdowns as operational events, not personal ones.
Fear, Stress, and Cognitive Narrowing
During drawdowns, stress hormones such as cortisol increase, leading to cognitive narrowing—a mental state where the brain focuses on threats and ignores nuance. In this state:
Risk perception becomes distorted
Probabilistic thinking declines
Rule-based discipline collapses
Traders begin to see the market as hostile rather than neutral. This “fight or flight” response is biologically outdated for modern financial markets but still governs behavior unless consciously managed.
The Illusion of Control and Panic Adjustments
Another psychological trap during drawdowns is the illusion of control. Traders may believe that frequent changes—adjusting stops, indicators, timeframes—will immediately stop losses. While adaptation is important, reactive tinkering driven by fear usually worsens outcomes.
Common panic behaviors include:
Reducing position size inconsistently
Removing stops after losses
Doubling down to recover faster
These actions are rarely strategic; they are emotional attempts to regain certainty in an uncertain environment.
Drawdowns as Statistical Reality, Not Failure
Every trading system has a maximum expected drawdown. Even highly profitable strategies experience losing streaks. The psychological error is assuming that a drawdown means:
The strategy is broken
Market conditions will never improve
Losses will continue indefinitely
In reality, drawdowns are the cost of participation. Accepting this intellectually is easy; accepting it emotionally requires experience, preparation, and mindset conditioning.
Managing Losses Through Psychological Preparation
Effective drawdown management begins before losses occur. Traders who survive long term typically:
Define acceptable drawdowns in advance
Risk small enough to stay emotionally stable
Expect losing streaks as normal
When losses occur within expected boundaries, the mind remains calmer. Surprise—not loss itself—is what destabilizes psychology.
Detachment and Process-Oriented Thinking
One of the most powerful psychological shifts is moving from outcome focus to process focus. Instead of asking:
“How much money did I lose?”
Ask:
“Did I follow my rules correctly?”
This reframing reduces emotional volatility and restores a sense of control. Over time, consistency of process matters far more than short-term equity fluctuations.
Confidence vs. Overconfidence During Drawdowns
Healthy confidence allows traders to continue executing a proven system during drawdowns. Overconfidence, however, collapses quickly when losses appear. True confidence is built on:
Data-backed expectancy
Historical drawdown analysis
Emotional self-awareness
Traders with grounded confidence do not panic during losses; they become more disciplined.
Recovery Psychology and the Urge to ‘Make It Back’
One of the most dangerous mental states is the recovery mindset—the urge to quickly make back losses. This mindset shifts goals from execution to emotional repair. Consequences include:
Taking suboptimal trades
Increasing risk unjustifiably
Ignoring market conditions
Professionals understand that capital recovery is a byproduct of good decisions, not a direct objective.
Learning vs. Self-Blame
Constructive reflection during drawdowns focuses on behavior, not self-worth. Questions that promote growth include:
Were losses within expected parameters?
Did emotions influence execution?
Is this variance or a structural issue?
Self-blame, on the other hand, drains confidence and increases hesitation, leading to missed opportunities when conditions improve.
Resilience and Long-Term Survival
Psychological resilience is the ability to stay rational under prolonged uncertainty. This is developed through:
Experience with past drawdowns
Journaling emotional responses
Gradual exposure to risk
Traders who survive multiple drawdowns develop emotional immunity. Losses no longer shock them; they become routine data points.
Conclusion: Mastering the Inner Game
Managing losses and drawdowns is less about eliminating pain and more about responding intelligently to it. The market will always test patience, discipline, and emotional stability. Those who understand the psychology behind drawdowns stop fighting reality and start working with it.
In the long run, strategies make money—but psychology keeps you in the game. Traders who master drawdown psychology transform losses from threats into teachers, building the emotional durability required for sustained success in the financial markets.
ITC – Sell on Rise | Major Support Zone Ahead📉 ITC – Sell on Rise | Major Support Zone Ahead
Stock: ITC Ltd
Timeframe: Daily
Trend: Bearish (Short-term)
🔍 Technical Analysis
ITC has decisively broken all major support levels, indicating a clear shift in market structure from sideways to bearish. The recent breakdown is accompanied by weak price action, suggesting sellers are in control on rallies.
Post breakdown, the stock is now below key moving averages and struggling to reclaim lost support zones, confirming a sell-on-rise structure.
🔻 Trend Structure
Breakdown of multiple supports
Lower highs formation on daily timeframe
Pullbacks likely to face selling pressure
🔻 Volume Behavior
Breakdown occurred with expanding volumes
Indicates distribution, not panic selling
Any bounce without volume likely to fail
🟢 Strong Buy Support Zone (High Probability Demand Area)
📍 ₹280 – ₹295 zone
This zone is technically important due to:
Fibonacci 0.50 retracement level
Anchored VWAP support
Prior price acceptance area
This zone is expected to act as a strong demand zone where buyers may attempt a reversal or consolidation.
🧠 Trading Plan
🔹 Sell on Rise
Look for rejection signals near broken supports
Avoid fresh longs above resistance until structure improves
🔹 Buy Only at Support
Aggressive longs only if strong price reaction is seen in ₹280–₹295 zone
Look for:
Bullish reversal candle
Volume expansion on bounce
Failure of price to sustain below VWAP
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid positional longs until price reclaims key resistances
Keep strict stop loss below support zone if attempting counter-trend longs
This is a zone-based trade, not blind buying
📌 Conclusion
ITC remains bearish in the short term and is best approached with a sell-on-rise strategy. A meaningful buying opportunity may emerge only near the ₹280–₹295 strong support zone, supported by Fibonacci 0.50 and Anchored VWAP confluence.
📉 Trade the trend. Respect levels. Manage risk.
XAUUSD (H1) – Early 2026 ForecastShort-term recovery inside a larger bullish cycle 💛
Quick market recap
2025 performance: Gold surged ~64%, the strongest annual gain since 1979
Recent move: Sharp year-end correction driven by profit-taking and margin adjustments, not trend reversal
Big picture: The multi-year bull market in precious metals remains intact
Fundamental context (why the trend still matters)
Despite the late-2025 pullback, the broader precious metals complex remains structurally strong. Gold, silver, platinum, and palladium all benefited from:
Fed rate-cut cycle expectations
Persistent geopolitical tensions
Strong central bank buying
Industrial demand and supply constraints (especially for silver and platinum)
Most analysts agree the recent correction was technical in nature. The long-term outlook still points toward gold potentially testing 5,000 USD/oz and silver approaching 100 USD/oz in 2026, although short-term volatility is expected to remain high.
Technical view (H1) – Based on the chart
After failing to hold above the ATH, gold experienced a sharp bearish displacement, followed by a stabilization phase near a strong support zone. Price is now attempting a recovery, but the structure suggests this is still a corrective move within a broader range.
Key observations:
Strong sell-off broke short-term bullish structure
Price is rebounding from major support, forming a potential higher low
Overhead liquidity and Fibonacci zones remain key reaction areas
Key levels Lana is watching
Buy zone – Strong liquidity support
Buy: 4345 – 4350
This is a strong liquidity zone where price already reacted. If price revisits this area and holds structure, it offers a favorable risk-to-reward buy aligned with the larger bullish cycle.
Sell zone – Short-term resistance (scalping)
Sell scalping: 4332 – 4336
This zone aligns with short-term resistance and Fibonacci reaction levels. If price fails here, a brief pullback toward support is possible.
Important overhead liquidity
Key liquidity: 4404 area
A clean break and hold above this level would signal stronger bullish continuation toward higher targets.
Scenarios to consider
Scenario 1 – Range correction continues
Price reacts at short-term resistance, rotates back into liquidity, and builds a base before the next directional move.
Scenario 2 – Bullish continuation resumes
A break above overhead liquidity opens the path toward higher levels, potentially retesting prior highs as the new year unfolds.
Lana’s approach 🌿
Trade zones, not headlines
Focus on price reaction at liquidity levels
Accept short-term volatility while respecting the long-term bullish structure
This analysis reflects Lana’s personal market view and is not financial advice. Please manage risk carefully and trade responsibly 💛
APLAPOLLO : VCP Breakout with Fundamental ConfirmationInitiated a long position in APLAPOLLO following a high-conviction breakout from a multi-month Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP). Although the price is currently extended from the 20- and 50-day EMAs, the structural strength of the breakout suggests the beginning of a fresh leg in the uptrend.
From a fundamentals perspective, the company continues to deliver strong and consistent sales and EPS growth, reinforcing its positioning as a proxy for India’s infrastructure-led growth cycle.
To manage the risk associated with being extended from the moving averages, I’ve opted for a wider stop-loss, allowing room for short-term volatility or a potential retest of the breakout zone. This approach gives the trade sufficient breathing space while the moving averages gradually catch up to price.
From a broader market standpoint, the recent ~10% correction in ITC following the government’s cigarette tax announcement has created temporary index-level pressure on the Nifty 50. However, this has triggered a clear sectoral rotation rather than broad-based weakness. Capital is rotating out of regulatory-impacted FMCG names and into high-growth industrial leaders like APL Apollo.
Given its insulation from regulatory shocks and its direct linkage to domestic capex growth, APL Apollo is exhibiting strong relative strength even as the broader market remains range-bound.
Initiated the position with 1% risk.
📢📢📢
If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly.
Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments.
Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too.
Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 02.01.2026NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 02.01.2026
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
please like and share my idea if you find it helpful
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research
Nifty Analysis for Jan 01 to 06 Jan, 2026Wrap-up:
Nifty breaks 25941. Therefore, our long term/positional targets are open and heading towards it step by step it. Nifty has completed wave 1 of major wave C at 25945 and wave 2 at 26236. Now, Nifty heading towards wave 3.
In wave 3, internal wave 1 has completed at 25878 and wave 2 at 26195. Now, heading towards internal wave 3.
What I’m Watching for Jan 01 to 06 Jan, 2026 🔍
Short nifty at 26195 sl 26236 for a target of 25097-24934.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.






















