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Persistent Systems Ltd.(PERSISTENT)Time Cycle is a routine that allows you to map the movement of a stock by measuring the high and low levels of the stock on a day or period. However, it does not prove whether a reversal will occur in the next time cycle; it is only a probability. But it makes you profitable 80% of the time.
Regardless of the outcome, the candle formed on the day of the time cycle carries significant significance. The market respects this candle, whether it goes up or down, which is very important. Time Cycle often stops short near the candle. You will notice on the chart that it often looks like a support or resistance area.
Time Cycle candles also tell you about continuation or reversal, but you have to forgive the high and low of the candle formed in the time cycle.
You do not have to make any decisions yourself. This is its specialty.
XAUUSD – Battle Zones of the Day🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold enters today’s session after a period of compressed volatility, where price tapped both buy-side and sell-side liquidity several times without forming a decisive trend. On the M30 chart, the intraday structure remains bearish, with price consistently rejecting premium levels and forming lower highs.
Recent Catalysts:
USD holds mild strength following a slightly hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve
Market is awaiting mid-week economic releases → leading to a cautious sentiment
Risk appetite remains neutral with no strong safe-haven flows
Session Expectations:
London Session: Likely to generate early liquidity sweeps towards premium zones
New York Session: Higher probability of seeing genuine directional expansion
Bias: Bearish intraday unless price reaches discount zones and forms a CHoCH
Price is currently trading within mid-range levels, making the extreme liquidity zones the safest points for execution.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY STRUCTURE)
Market Structure
M30 structure: Lower Highs → Lower Lows
Equilibrium zone: 4075–4085
Inducement layers accumulating above 4147 and 4070
Liquidity
BSL: Above 4147 & 4070
SSL: Below 4033 and the deeper pocket at 3993
Market forming engineered liquidity wicks on both sides
Imbalance Zones
Bearish FVG: 4147–4148 → strong scalp sell zone
Minor imbalance: 4070–4071
Discount imbalances: 4033 and 3993 support buy setups
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (Clear & Attractive Explanations)
4148–4147 → Premium Liquidity Trap – Ideal Scalp Sell
A premium zone combining an unmitigated bearish order block and BSL inducement.
This area often triggers breakout buyers before institutions reverse the move.
4071–4070 → Secondary Premium Liquidity – Fast Rejection Zone
A small liquidity pool above equilibrium designed to sweep early highs before price turns bearish again.
4035–4033 → Discount Reaction Zone – Scalping Demand
A micro order block aligned with a cluster of sell-side liquidity.
Provides clean, low-drawdown intraday rebounds.
3995–3993 → Deep Discount Liquidity Pool – High-Value Reversal Zone
A major liquidity pocket aligned with higher-timeframe discounts.
If price reaches here, a strong reversal is highly probable.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (SMC-Driven, High Precision)
✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Scalp
Entry: 4148–4147
Stop-loss: 4126
Targets: 4135 → 4120 → 4085
Logic: BSL sweep + FVG fill leading to strong bearish rejection.
✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Mid-Range Liquidity Sweep
Entry: 4071–4070
Stop-loss: 4077
Targets: 4058 → 4043 → 4033
Logic: Sweep of mini BSL followed by downward displacement.
✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Intraday Rebound
Entry: 4035–4033
Stop-loss: 4027
Targets: 4048 → 4070
Logic: SSL sweep with potential for a micro CHoCH → clean bounce setup.
✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Reversal
Entry: 3995–3993
Stop-loss: 3987
Targets: 4010 → 4040 → 4070
Logic: Strong higher-timeframe discount zone → excellent reversal potential.
🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN
Avoid trading in mid-range areas — only execute at the extreme liquidity zones
Expect fake movements during London open
New York session likely provides the main trend direction
Wait for M5/M15 confirmation signals (CHoCH + BOS)
Avoid buying around premium levels to stay clear of liquidity traps
🏁 CONCLUSION
XAUUSD continues to hold a bearish intraday structure, favouring premium-zone sell opportunities at 4147 and 4070.
Discount-zone levels at 4033 and 3993 remain high-probability areas for intraday bounces or deeper reversals.
Trade only at liquidity extremes.
Be patient.
Let the market form the trap — and then strike with precision.
Rate Hikes & Inflation: Understanding the Impact1. Why Central Banks Hike Rates
Inflation occurs when prices of goods and services rise over time. While moderate inflation is considered normal for a growing economy, high inflation reduces purchasing power, distorts financial planning, and hurts savings.
Central banks monitor inflation targets—usually around 2% for developed economies and 4%±2% for developing economies like India.
When inflation rises above these targets, central banks raise rates to:
Reduce excess money supply
Cool off consumer and business spending
Control credit expansion
Anchor inflation expectations
Higher interest rates make loans more expensive, slowing down economic activity and thereby reducing inflationary pressure.
2. The Mechanism: How Rate Hikes Curb Inflation
Rate hikes impact the economy through multiple channels:
A. Borrowing Becomes Expensive
When central banks raise policy rates, commercial banks increase:
Home loan interest rates
Personal loan rates
Corporate borrowing rates
Credit card rates
As borrowing becomes costlier, households reduce spending on big-ticket items like cars, housing, and consumer durables. Businesses delay expansion, hiring, and capital expenditure.
This drop in demand helps bring prices down.
B. Savings Become Attractive
Higher interest rates usually lead to:
Higher fixed deposit returns
Better bond yields
Increased returns on savings instruments
When saving becomes more rewarding, people prefer to save rather than spend. This lowers consumption demand, putting downward pressure on inflation.
C. Currency Strengthens
Higher rates attract foreign investors looking for higher yields. This leads to an inflow of foreign capital, which strengthens the local currency.
A stronger currency:
Lowers import costs
Reduces prices of foreign goods like oil, electronics, and machinery
Helps reduce inflation, especially in import-dependent countries
For example, if the Indian rupee strengthens due to RBI rate hikes, India’s import bill for crude oil decreases, helping control inflation.
D. Slows Down Asset Price Growth
Rate hikes cool off excessive speculation in the:
Stock market
Real estate market
Bond market
Crypto market
When borrowing becomes expensive and liquidity tightens, speculative investments reduce. This slows the rise of asset prices, indirectly containing inflation.
3. Short-Term vs. Long-Term Effects
Rate hikes do not bring inflation down immediately. The effects appear gradually.
Short-Term Effects
Borrowing costs rise immediately
Stock markets often correct
Bond yields increase
Consumer confidence drops
Businesses slow hiring and investment
However, prices of essentials like food and fuel may not drop instantly because they depend on other factors like supply chain stability, global prices, and weather conditions.
Long-Term Effects
Once demand slows and money supply contracts, inflation begins to ease. Expectations of future inflation stabilize, and the economy moves towards equilibrium.
4. When Rate Hikes Can Hurt the Economy
While rate hikes help control inflation, excessive or aggressive tightening can harm economic growth.
A. Risk of Recession
If rates rise too quickly:
Companies may cut jobs
Consumers reduce spending severely
Businesses face financial stress
GDP growth slows
This may trigger a recession, especially if inflation remains stubborn even after multiple hikes.
B. Higher Loan EMIs for Households
Home loan borrowers especially feel the pinch. A 1% rate hike can significantly increase EMI burdens, reducing disposable income and affecting family budgets.
C. Stress on Small Businesses
Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) rely heavily on loans. Higher borrowing costs:
Reduce profit margins
Discourage expansion
Increase risk of defaults
This can slow entrepreneurship and job creation.
D. Impact on Government Borrowing
Higher interest rates raise the government’s borrowing costs, increasing fiscal pressure. This can force governments to reduce spending on infrastructure, subsidies, and welfare programs.
5. The Balance: Why Central Banks Must Act Carefully
Central banks must strike a delicate balance between:
Controlling inflation
Preserving economic growth
Raising rates too slowly may let inflation spiral. Raising rates too aggressively may cause a recession.
This is why central banks rely on:
Inflation data
Employment data
GDP growth indicators
Global commodity prices
Financial stability metrics
The goal is a soft landing—reducing inflation without damaging economic growth.
6. Real-World Examples
A. United States (2022–2024)
The Federal Reserve raised rates aggressively to control post-pandemic inflation. The hikes slowed the housing market, reduced consumer demand, and eventually brought inflation closer to target.
B. India (2022–2023)
RBI raised the repo rate multiple times to control inflation driven by global supply shocks and rising commodity prices. The hikes stabilized the rupee, improved capital flows, and helped cool inflation.
C. Europe (2022–2023)
The ECB raised rates after years of ultra-low interest policies to fight soaring energy-driven inflation. While inflation eased, growth slowed sharply, pushing some nations toward recession.
7. When Rate Hikes Don’t Work
Sometimes inflation is not caused by excess demand but by supply shocks, such as:
War-driven oil price spikes
Global shipping disruptions
Crop failures due to weather
Shortage of raw materials
In such cases, rate hikes alone cannot solve inflation and may even worsen growth.
Central banks must then use a mix of:
Fiscal policy support
Supply chain improvements
Targeted subsidies
Import adjustments
8. Conclusion
Rate hikes are one of the most powerful tools central banks use to control inflation. By increasing borrowing costs, encouraging savings, strengthening the currency, and reducing speculative activity, rate hikes effectively cool down aggregate demand in the economy.
However, they must be implemented with caution. While necessary to tame inflation, excessive tightening can slow economic growth, increase unemployment, and stress both households and businesses. The true art of monetary policy lies in balancing inflation control with sustainable economic growth.
In a world of interconnected economies, global commodity trends, geopolitical tensions, and financial market dynamics all influence how effective rate hikes can be. Therefore, successful inflation management requires a mix of monetary policy, government action, and market stability.
Intraday Scalping Tips1. Trade Only High-Volume Stocks, Indices, or Currency Pairs
Liquidity is the lifeline of scalping. You need instruments with tight spreads, fast order execution, and consistent movement.
Why High Volume Matters
Ensures quick entry and exit.
Reduces slippage during volatile periods.
Offers clear price patterns and clean breakouts.
Allows placing large position sizes without affecting price.
Popular choices include:
Indices: Nifty 50, Bank Nifty, S&P 500
Stocks: Reliance, TCS, HDFC Bank, Tesla (in US market)
Forex: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY
Commodities: Gold, Crude Oil
Avoid low-volume or penny stocks — they often trigger false breakouts.
2. Use the Right Time Frames for Scalping
Successful scalpers combine multiple time frames to confirm entries and exits.
Recommended Setup
1-Minute Chart: Entry timing and trade execution
5-Minute Chart: Short-term trend identification
15-Minute Chart: Market structure or bias
Daily Chart: Major support and resistance
How It Works
If the daily and 15-minute chart show bullish bias, and the 1-minute chart forms a breakout pattern, the probability of success increases. Multi-time-frame confirmation reduces false signals and emotional trades.
3. Use Key Indicators with Precision (But Don’t Overload)
Scalping requires fast decisions, so keep indicators minimal. The best combinations are:
a) Moving Averages (MA)
EMA 9 & EMA 21: Identify short-term momentum
EMA 9 crossing above EMA 21 = bullish momentum
EMA 9 crossing below EMA 21 = bearish momentum
b) VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
VWAP acts as an intraday support/resistance for institutions.
Price above VWAP = bullish environment
Price below VWAP = bearish environment
c) RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Use RSI with 70/30 or 80/20 levels to spot exhaustion.
d) Supertrend
Helps identify direction and allows trailing stops.
Tip: Combine VWAP + EMA + RSI for powerful scalp entries.
4. Master Key Scalping Strategies
a) Breakout Scalping
Trade breakouts of:
Previous day high/low
Intraday supply/demand zones
Round numbers (e.g., 100, 500, 1000 levels)
Look for volume confirmation to avoid traps.
b) Pullback Scalping
Enter when price returns to:
EMA 9/21
VWAP
Trendline
These pullbacks offer low-risk entries.
c) Range Scalping
When the market is sideways:
Buy at range support
Sell at range resistance
Perfect for low-volatility phases.
d) Quick News-Based Scalping
Scalpers take advantage of sudden volatility during events like:
FOMC meetings
RBI policy announcements
Non-farm payroll
Quarterly earnings
This requires high experience and fast execution — beginners should avoid high-volatility news setups.
5. Maintain Strict Risk Management
Scalping involves multiple trades, so losses must be extremely small.
Golden Rules
Risk 0.5%–1% per trade
Use tight stop losses (0.3%–0.5% of price)
Target 1:1 or 2:1 risk-reward
Never average loss-making trades
Why Stop Loss Is Mandatory
Without strict SL, one wrong trade can eliminate 10 successful scalps.
6. Use Pre-Defined Entry and Exit Rules
Emotion has no place in scalping. You must follow clear rules:
Enter only after a candle closes over key levels
Avoid chasing fast-moving candles
Book profit quickly if momentum slows
Exit immediately when your stop is hit
Consistency comes from mechanical execution.
7. Focus on Market Timing
Scalping works best when volatility and liquidity are highest.
Best Times to Scalp
Opening hour: First 30–45 minutes
Mid-session: Breakouts or trend continuation
Power hour: Last 1 hour of market
Avoid lunch hours — the market becomes slow and choppy.
8. Watch the Order Flow (Advanced Tip)
Order flow tools like:
Level 2
Depth of market (DOM)
Time & Sales (Tape reading)
Help identify:
Hidden buying/selling pressure
Fake breakouts
Liquidity zones
Scalpers use order flow to time ultra-precise entries.
9. Keep Your Mind Calm and Avoid Overtrading
Scalping demands high focus. Overtrading leads to impulsive decisions.
Rules to Avoid Burnout
Take breaks after every 3–5 trades
Limit to a maximum of 10–15 trades per day
Avoid revenge trading
Stick to your strategy, not emotions
Mental exhaustion is one of the biggest enemies for scalpers.
10. Practice on Demo Before Going Live
Scalping is not suitable for complete beginners.
A demo account helps you:
Understand order execution
Practice SL placement
Backtest fast setups
Improve timing
Once you achieve consistency, switch to live trading with small capital.
11. Keep a Trade Journal
A trading journal helps identify:
Most profitable strategies
Common mistakes
Best market conditions for your style
Winning and losing streak patterns
Document:
Entry reason
Exit reason
Chart screenshots
Emotions during the trade
Journaling sharpens discipline and reduces repeat mistakes.
12. Use a Reliable Broker and Fast Internet
Since scalping is execution-sensitive:
Use a low-latency trading platform
Ensure low spreads and commissions
Maintain high-speed stable internet
Disable unnecessary background apps during trading
Execution quality directly affects profitability.
13. Stick to One or Two Assets Only
Avoid switching between multiple stocks or pairs.
By focusing on one instrument:
You understand its behavior
You predict its reaction to levels
You avoid confusion
You improve accuracy
Scalpers trade familiarity, not variety.
Conclusion
Intraday scalping is a powerful trading style, but it requires discipline, precision, and emotional control. By choosing liquid instruments, using proper indicators, applying strict risk management, and practicing high-probability strategies, scalpers can achieve consistent intraday profits. Follow the technical rules, stay calm, avoid overtrading, and maintain a journal to track progress. Scalping rewards disciplined traders, not emotional ones.
ESG and Carbon Credit Trading1. Introduction to ESG
ESG refers to a set of standards used to evaluate a company’s sustainability performance and ethical impact. It goes beyond traditional financial metrics and evaluates how responsibly a company operates.
Components of ESG
1. Environmental
Focuses on how a company impacts the planet.
Key indicators include:
Carbon emissions
Energy efficiency
Renewable energy usage
Waste and pollution management
Water conservation
Biodiversity protection
2. Social
Analyzes how a company manages relationships with people, culture, and society.
Key indicators include:
Employee welfare and diversity
Human rights
Community development
Customer data privacy
Workplace safety
Supply chain ethics
3. Governance
Evaluates how a company is governed, including its leadership structure.
Key indicators include:
Board diversity
Executive compensation
Shareholder rights
Transparency and reporting
Anti-corruption measures
Strong governance ensures smooth business operations and builds investor trust.
2. Importance of ESG in Modern Business and Investment
Institutional investors, banks, asset managers, and regulators increasingly prioritize ESG factors to evaluate long-term risk, sustainability, and ethical behavior.
Key reasons for ESG adoption
1. Investor Demand
Global investors prefer companies with:
Sustainable long-term strategies
Lower environmental and regulatory risks
Ethical practices and transparency
ESG-compliant firms often attract more capital and have stronger market valuations.
2. Regulatory Pressure
Governments worldwide are:
Imposing emission rules
Mandating ESG disclosures
Encouraging green investments
For example, Europe’s SFDR, India’s BRSR norms, and the U.S. SEC climate disclosure proposals are major steps.
3. Business Competitiveness
Companies that adopt ESG practices achieve:
Cost savings (through energy efficiency)
Lower legal and compliance risks
Better brand reputation
Higher customer loyalty
4. Risk Mitigation
Ignoring ESG exposes companies to risks such as:
Climate-related disruptions
Regulatory penalties
Social backlash
Poor governance scandals
Thus, ESG acts like a shield against long-term uncertainties.
3. What Are Carbon Credits?
Carbon credits are tradable certificates that represent the right to emit one metric ton of carbon dioxide or its equivalent (CO₂e). These credits are generated through projects that reduce, capture, or avoid greenhouse gas emissions.
Types of Carbon Credits
1. Compliance Credits
Used by industries under mandatory government regulations such as:
EU Emission Trading System
California Cap-and-Trade
China’s national carbon market
2. Voluntary Carbon Credits
Purchased by companies voluntarily to offset emissions and meet sustainability goals.
Companies may buy credits to reach:
Carbon neutrality
Net-zero goals
ESG compliance
4. How Carbon Credit Trading Works
Carbon credit trading operates on market principles where supply and demand influence price. The trading systems can be broadly categorized into Cap-and-Trade and Voluntary Markets.
1. Cap-and-Trade Mechanism (Compliance Market)
This is the most widely used carbon trading system globally.
How it works:
Government sets a cap or limit on total emissions allowed for industries.
Companies receive or buy emission allowances.
If a company emits less than its quota, it can sell the excess credits.
If it emits more, it must buy credits to offset the difference.
This economically encourages companies to adopt cleaner technologies.
2. Voluntary Carbon Market (VCM)
Here, companies voluntarily purchase carbon credits.
Sources of voluntary credits include:
Reforestation projects
Renewable energy installations
Methane capture
Carbon sequestration in soil
Waste recycling and reduction
These credits are bought to meet corporate commitments or to enhance ESG scores.
5. Why Companies Buy Carbon Credits
Carbon credits serve multiple strategic purposes:
1. Achieving Carbon Neutrality
Companies offset their greenhouse gas emissions to become carbon neutral.
2. Meeting Regulatory Requirements
In mandatory markets, businesses must comply with government caps.
3. Enhancing ESG Scores
A strong environmental performance boosts a company’s ESG rating, attracting:
Investors
Global customers
Financial incentives
4. Avoiding Penalties
Failing to offset emissions often leads to regulatory fines.
6. Economic and Market Impact of Carbon Credit Trading
Carbon markets create new financial opportunities while combating climate change.
Key Market Impacts
1. Revenue Generation
Governments earn through auctions of emission permits.
2. Support for Green Projects
Carbon offset projects receive funding from credit sales.
3. Cost Efficiency for Businesses
Buying credits is often cheaper than modernizing operations.
4. Market Liquidity
Carbon credits are traded on exchanges, improving liquidity and price discovery.
7. Integration of ESG with Carbon Markets
Modern ESG ratings include factors related to carbon footprint, net-zero plans, and participation in carbon markets.
How ESG and Carbon Trading Intersect
Environmental Score
Emissions reduction and carbon offsetting directly raise the E score.
Investor Confidence
Companies participating in regulated carbon markets are viewed as future-ready.
Corporate Strategy Alignment
ESG-driven firms adopt internal carbon pricing, invest in carbon offset projects, and integrate climate risk into long-term business planning.
Financial Products
ESG funds increasingly include companies with strong carbon mitigation strategies.
8. Benefits and Challenges of Carbon Credit Trading
Benefits
Encourages emission reduction
Funds environmental projects
Creates new financial markets
Helps companies meet sustainability goals
Supports global climate agreements
Challenges
Price volatility
Lack of standardization
Risk of “greenwashing”
Fraudulent or low-quality credits
Verification challenges in voluntary markets
These challenges highlight the need for strong regulation, transparency, and reliable auditing systems.
9. Future of ESG and Carbon Credit Trading
Both ESG and carbon markets are expected to grow significantly due to:
Global climate commitments (Paris Agreement)
Rise in sustainability-driven investments
Increasing corporate carbon-neutral pledges
Technological innovations in monitoring and reporting
Artificial intelligence, satellite data, and blockchain technology are also making carbon markets more trustworthy and efficient.
In the future:
Carbon credits may become more mainstream financial instruments.
ESG ratings will become stricter and more transparent.
Companies with poor ESG scores may face limited access to capital.
Carbon pricing may influence global trade and supply chains.
Conclusion
ESG and carbon credit trading together represent a major transition toward a sustainable global economy. ESG provides the framework for responsible corporate behavior, while carbon credit trading offers a market-based mechanism for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. As investors, regulators, and corporations increasingly prioritize sustainability, the integration of ESG principles with carbon markets is becoming essential for long-term growth, risk management, and global climate action.
Both concepts are not just regulatory requirements—they are fundamental pillars of the future economic system, shaping how businesses will operate and compete in the coming decades.
BIOCON 1 Week View📊 Recent context
Current price is around ₹390-₹395 (approx) on NSE.
The 52-week range is approx ₹291 (low) to ₹424.95 (high).
On the weekly chart one sees swings in the ~₹330-₹420 region over past months.
✅ What to monitor
A clear weekly close above ~₹425 would suggest the resistance is broken and next leg up may be possible.
A weekly close below support around ~₹350-₹365 might open the path toward the ~₹300-₹320 zone.
Volume and weekly momentum (RSI/MACD) would help gauge strength of breakout or breakdown (you’ll need a full charting platform to inspect this).
External catalysts: news around biotech/biosimilars, regulatory approvals, earnings etc., are relevant too given Biocon’s business.
NATCOPHARM 1 Week View📌 Key figures:
Latest price around ₹870–₹875 (approx) per share.
52-week range: Low ~ ₹726.80, High ~ ₹1,505.00.
Weekly pivot point (standard) ~ ₹832.38, weekly support ~ ₹812.22, weekly resistance ~ ₹852.12.
📊 Important weekly levels to watch:
Support around ~ ₹812–₹832 (this is the pivot zone and near current price)
Stronger support if breakdown: ~ ₹792–₹772 region.
Resistance near ~ ₹852–₹872 zone.
If momentum picks up: moving beyond ~ ₹900+ could become the next resistance area (though less validated currently)
BSE Ltd.(BSE)Time Cycle is a routine that allows you to map the movement of a stock by measuring the high and low levels of the stock on a day or period. However, it does not prove whether a reversal will occur in the next time cycle; it is only a probability. But it makes you profitable 80% of the time.
Regardless of the outcome, the candle formed on the day of the time cycle carries significant significance. The market respects this candle, whether it goes up or down, which is very important. Time Cycle often stops short near the candle. You will notice on the chart that it often looks like a support or resistance area.
Time Cycle candles also tell you about continuation or reversal, but you have to forgive the high and low of the candle formed in the time cycle.
You do not have to make any decisions yourself. This is its specialty.
Strong candle premierpol stcok to go longThis is the high probability that stock will bounce back from the current level. A very strong bullish engulfing candle has been seen . On breakout confirmation of the resistance area as well as the marked trend line take the long entry @ 46 with SL of 37 and Target price of Rs 70. A very good risk to reward ratio. This is for your educational purpose only.
OLA ELEC – Weekly Analysis | Possible Double Bottom + Fibonacci Price Zone of Interest: ₹39–₹41
Stop-Loss (Weekly Close Basis): ₹34
Timeframe: Weekly
Bias: Potential Long Setup (High Risk, Technically Driven)
Entry / SL / Targets
🟢 Entry Zone (Accumulation Zone):
✔ ₹39–₹41
🔴 Stop-Loss (Strict Weekly Close):
✔ ₹34
Below this, the double-bottom pattern fails.
🎯 Potential Upside Targets:
T1: ₹54
T2: ₹63–64
T3: ₹70
T4: ₹78
Upside targets depend on weekly momentum and volume confirmation.
------------------------------
Key Technical Observations
1. Double Bottom Structure Forming
Price has returned to the strong demand zone around ₹39–₹41, which previously acted as a key swing low.
A double bottom is possible if the stock holds this level on a weekly closing basis.
A confirmed weekly reversal candle here increases the probability of a bounce.
------------------------------
Fibonacci Behavior (Weekly) – Pattern Repeating
When applying Fibonacci retracements on the previous weekly downswings:
1st Downtrend Retracement: Price reversed at the 0.382 level
2nd Downtrend Retracement: Price reversed at the 0.50 level
This shows that the stock has been respecting mid-Fibonacci retracements during corrective moves.
If a bounce starts from the same zone again, the next fib levels act as natural upside targets.
Gold Turning BEARish #XAUUSD turning BEARish 🐻
Now at 4060.
SELL on RISE 🤞
Expecting significant downside moves
that may last for a couple of hours...
Until trades below 4064 weak trend wud remain
&
wud get intensified after crossing 4049-51 range...🤞
Expected to hit-
TP 1: 4041
TP 2: 4029
TP 3: 4019
SL: 4087
Reliance - Multi time frame analysis...We are going to see the daily and weekly charts. It's beautiful to see how the patterns are aligning.
The daily chart shows, the price has formed a rounding bottom, and right now it is testing the rounding bottom resistance/high.
The weekly chart shows, the price is nearing the cup and handle pattern resistance, which is around the zone 1600. Support is at 1350.
Any dip can be used as a buying opportunity as long as the price is above 1350.
As per the daily chart, we can enter above 1520 with the stop loss of 1470 for the targets 1560, 1590, 1615, 1640, 1676 and 1712. If the price has enough bullish strength, it can test the 1800 and then the 2000 zone.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
Part 2 Master Candle Stick PatternsWhat Drives Option Prices Intraday?
Several factors affect option prices every minute:
1. Underlying price movement (Delta)
2. IV changes (Vega)
3. Time decay (Theta)
4. Liquidity
5. Market sentiment
6. Hedge adjustments by institutions
Understanding these micro-dynamics helps you avoid false breakouts.
Part 1 Master Candle Stick Patterns Why Option Buyers Lose More Frequently
Option buyers lose mainly due to:
Time decay
Wrong direction
Lack of momentum
Low probability bets
Emotional trading
Most buyers attempt lottery-like trades in weekly expiries.
This is why professional traders prefer selling strategies.
Divergence Secrets Option Greeks – The Heart of Option Pricing
Option Greeks mathematically measure how an option should behave.
1. Delta
Measures direction sensitivity.
Call delta: 0 to 1
Put delta: –1 to 0
2. Gamma
Measures change in delta.
High near expiry.
3. Theta
Time decay rate.
4. Vega
Sensitivity to volatility.
5. Rho
Interest rate impact (lowest impact).
These Greeks help traders build stable and predictable strategies.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 20th November 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 26225 – 26275 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 26450 – 26500 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 25900 – 25850 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 25700 – 25650 range.
Banknifty Intraday Analysis for 20th November 2025NSE:BANKNIFTY
Index has resistance near 59600 – 59700 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 60100 – 60200 range.
Banknifty has immediate support near 58800 - 58700 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 58300 - 58200 range.
Finnifty Intraday Analysis for 20th November 2025 NSE:CNXFINANCE
Index has resistance near 27850 - 27900 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 28075 - 28125 range.
Finnifty has immediate support near 27475 – 27425 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 27250 – 27200 range.
Midnifty Intraday Analysis for 20th November 2025NSE:NIFTY_MID_SELECT
Index has immediate resistance near 14125 – 14150 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach 14275 – 14300 range.
Midnifty has immediate support near 13875 – 13850 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 13725 – 13700 range.
#MANINDS: Big Weekly Breakout Loading!CMP: 464.40
A large weekly cup-and-handle is taking shape, with a strong bullish candle signaling a breakout attempt.
🛡 Supports: 437 / 523 – 413 / 380 – 367
🚧 Resistances: 469 / 513 (ATH)
⚡️ Breakout Trigger: WCB above 469
🎯 Pattern Targets: 578 / 740+ (~26% & ~62% from CMP)
⛔ Negation: WCB below 340.90
#ManInds #CupAndHandle #ChartPattern #PriceAction #Breakout #LongTerm
📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.






















