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BUY AGAIN BREAKOUT TREND LINE🕯SELL GOLD: 4018- 4015 ⚠️ SL: 4015 ✔️ TP: 4024→ 4030→3934( 60- 170 pips) The 4018–4015 zone has just been broken, and with the temporary bearish structure on M15 also violated, there is a high probability that price will pull back and retest this zone. If that happens, we’ll have a beautiful and technically clean BUY pullback opportunity aligned with the post-breakout structure. 📌 Notes: This is a BUY pullback setup based on the M15 break of structure Only BUY with clear candle confirmation Small lot size + tight SL for safety I’ll update again when price approaches the retest zone. 🔔🔥
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MarksMelanie8855
GOLD (XAU/USD): THE BATTLE OF NFP AND FED!1️⃣ TECHNICAL VIEW (TA): Awaiting Sell Confirmation Structure: The short-term uptrend has ended, prices are adjusting/reversing. Main Supply Zone (Order Block - OB): Prices are retracing to the ideal sell zone (around $4,064 - $4,081). Strategy: Prioritise seeking SELL signals at the OB zone. Target: $3,976 and $3,931 if the OB zone holds. 2️⃣ FUNDAMENTAL VIEW (FA): Interest Rate Pressure Selling pressure is increasing from:** Fed Rate Cut Expectations Dwindle: The probability of a 25bps rate cut in December has fallen below 50%. The "Higher for Longer" signal reduces Gold's appeal. Upcoming Risks: The market awaits NFP and FOMC Minutes. Strong data will bolster USD and sink Gold. ⚠️ Opposing risk: Uncertainty from the US Government shutdown and geopolitical tensions (Russia/Ukraine) may restrain the decline. #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingSetup #SELLZone #Fed #NFP #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #Forex
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Divergence SecretsRisks in Option Trading 1. Option Buying Risks Premium becomes zero if market doesn’t move Time decay erodes value daily Volatility crush hurts premiums Beginners often lose due to poor timing. 2. Option Selling Risks Unlimited losses if market breaks range Requires strict discipline & risk management Sudden news, gap-ups, crash can blow the account Margin requirement is high for safety. 3. Emotional Trading Options move very fast. Greed, fear, impatience can cause severe losses.
SP:SPXEducation
by SkyTradingZone
OVERVIEW FOR TODAY - CHART H1 OVERVIEW Price is currently sitting inside the POC zone – the area with the highest traded volume → the market usually consolidates here before choosing a direction. Prior trend: Strong uptrend → distribution → correction. The ascending trendline has been broken → short-term trend is bearish (downtrend). Volume Profile shows the VAH above as strong resistance, and VAL below as strong support. 1: Price bounces from POC → moves up toward VAH (medium probability) Conditions: Price holds above the POC zone (~4000–4010). Bullish price action appears (pin bar, engulfing, break of structure on H4). Targets: 4120–4160 (VAH zone) → this is major resistance. If VAH breaks → trend may resume upward with a larger target around 4300+. Assessment: Possible, but not the highest probability, because recent bearish momentum is still strong. 2: Price breaks below POC → retest → drops to VAL (HIGHEST PROBABILITY) Current candles show strong rejection from VAH → falling directly into POC → bearish confirmation. If D1 closes below the POC: Bearish continuation becomes likely. Targets: 3920–3950 (VAL zone) → very strong support. Volume Profile thins out here → price tends to move quickly through this area. Assessment: This is the most likely scenario because: ✔ Trendline is broken. ✔ Weak bullish reaction at VAH. ✔ Volume Profile structure favors a move downward into VAL. 3: Price breaks below VAL → deeper drop toward Demand zone (low probability but dangerous) Conditions: D1 closes below 3920 (VAL) Breaks the horizontal support. Deep Targets: 3550–3600 (major Demand zone). This is where the longer-term uptrend may recover. Assessment: Low probability, but if triggered → gold will make a sharp correction. FINAL CONCLUSION Highest probability: BEARISH continuation → drop toward VAL zone (3920–3950) Because: Strong rejection from VAH Price sitting weakly on POC Short-term structure turning bearish [bTrading Suggestions For short setups: Look to sell on a retest of POC (4000–4010). SL above VAH (4060–4080). TP at VAL. For long setups: Only buy at VAL zone when clear reversals appear (pin bar, engulfing). Avoid buying between POC → VAL. ⚠️ Disclaimer All analyses and insights provided in this content are for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. The financial market carries inherent risks, and every trader is fully responsible for their own decisions. Trade with a plan, discipline, and proper risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MarksMelanie8855
1
Falling Wedge Pattern - Bullish Setup 🔎 Overview [ /b] The Falling Wedge Pattern is a bullish reversal setup that forms when price trades inside a narrowing downward channel — creating lower highs and lower lows that converge toward the bottom. It typically appears after a downtrend, signaling that selling pressure is weakening and buyers may soon regain control. As price descends within the wedge, the slope begins to reduce and volatility tightens, indicating seller exhaustion and early buyer accumulation near support. Momentum shifts once price breaks and closes above the upper wedge trendline, confirming a potential bullish reversal. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 📊 Chart Explanation 1️⃣ Downtrend Structure  Price continues forming Lower Highs and Lower Lows within the wedge.  This compression reflects weakening bearish momentum. 2️⃣ Consolidation Phase  As price approaches the wedge’s lower line, candles narrow — indicating reduced volatility, seller fatigue, and early buying activity.  This is often the early reversal zone. 3️⃣ Support Zone  The lower wedge boundary overlaps with a strong structural support area — where buyers repeatedly defend the lows, forming a demand zone. 4️⃣ Breakout Confirmation  A bullish reversal is confirmed when price breaks and closes above the upper wedge line.  This signals a clear momentum shift from sellers → buyers. 5️⃣ Retest Possibility  Post-breakout, price may retest the broken wedge or prior resistance area.  A successful retest adds conviction to the continuation move. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ 🟩 Summary • Pattern Type → Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal)  A narrowing downward structure that signals seller exhaustion and early buyer accumulation. • Bias → Bullish After Breakout Confirmation  Momentum shifts only when successive candles close firmly above the upper trendline, confirming a true breakout. • Trend Context → Formed After a Downtrend  Makes the reversal stronger and increases the probability of upside continuation. • Market Psychology → Sellers Losing Strength  Lower highs are losing momentum, and buyers are defending lows aggressively. ⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer 📘 For educational purposes only. 🙅 Not SEBI registered. ❌ Not a buy/sell recommendation. 🧠 Purely a learning resource. 📊 Not Financial Advice.
Long
by MarketAlgoBot
Pressured Below 4050$ as Bears Target the 4,000$ Liquidity BreakGold continues to trade under heavy selling pressure, staying capped beneath 4,050$ and hovering just above the major liquidity floor at 4,000$. With fading expectations for a December Fed cut and cautious global sentiment, buyers remain defensive while sellers maintain structural control. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1) Price remains inside a tight 4,053$ → 4,000$ distribution zone, with the descending trendline keeping gold suppressed. The POC around 4,053$ is acting as a firm ceiling; every retest so far has been rejected. Fibonacci projections from the last drop highlight two major downside liquidity zones: 3,945$ → first liquidity cluster 3,876$ → deeper extension and key demand Current structure resembles a bear flag, hinting that the market may be preparing for another downside expansion. 🎯 Key Scenarios 1️⃣ Bearish Breakdown (Primary Scenario) If gold loses 4,000$, expect momentum to accelerate into: 3,945$ 3,876$ This remains the most probable path while price holds below 4,053$. 2️⃣ Liquidity Sweep → Short-Covering Bounce If price sweeps 3,945$ and forms bullish rejection wicks: A relief bounce could develop back toward 4,000$, Then 4,053$ (POC) And possibly 4,098$ if buyers gain traction. Still a corrective move unless bulls reclaim the upper structure. ❌ Invalidation (Bearish Bias Weakens) H4 acceptance above 4,098$ → would shift the narrative and force a reassessment of trend direction. ⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING Insight Gold is still trading below value and below the trendline — this is not a bullish environment yet. The market must either break 4,000$ or reclaim 4,053$–4,098$ before any stronger directional conviction returns. “Let the market show its hand. In a downtrend, weak rallies are opportunities — not reversals.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading