[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(12/12/2025)A slightly gap-up opening is expected today, and there are no major changes from yesterday’s levels. The market is still trading within the same range, so the key zones remain intact. On the upside, a buying opportunity emerges around 59050–59100, with potential targets at 59250, 59350, and 59450+. A stronger bullish move may come only above 59550, which can extend the rally toward 59750, 59850, and even 59950+.
On the downside, weakness may appear if the price slips toward 59450–59400, where a selling setup activates with targets at 59250, 59150, and 59050-. A deeper correction comes below 58950, opening further downside toward 58750, 58650, and 58550-. Overall, the structure remains unchanged, with the same reaction zones likely to drive intraday momentum.
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Bullish FVG Retracement With RSI & MACD📈 AUDUSD – Bullish FVG Retracement With RSI & MACD Momentum Confluence
This chart highlights a well-defined bullish structure on AUDUSD, characterized by a sequence of Higher Lows (HL) followed by a clean Higher High (HH). The latest impulsive leg upward created multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), each formed by sharp displacement that left behind inefficiencies in price.
As price extends higher, the nearest unmitigated FVG becomes the primary area of interest. This imbalance represents the most logical level for a corrective retracement before bullish continuation resumes.
While a deeper FVG exists below, the nearest imbalance tends to offer stronger stability and higher probability in forex due to tighter liquidity behavior and more frequent shallow retracements.
In this setup, the combination of FVGs + RSI Behavior + MACD Histogram provides a high-confluence framework for identifying discount retracement zones and timing momentum re-acceleration.
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📊 Key Observations
1️⃣ Recent Bullish FVG Creation
The most recent impulsive leg upward generated a clear bullish FVG.
AUDUSD responded strongly to displacement, confirming active buy-side order flow.
Price has not yet returned to rebalance this inefficiency, making it the most probable retracement magnet.
2️⃣ Primary FVG (High-Probability Zone)
The upper FVG has the strongest confluence:
Formed by strong bullish displacement
Closest imbalance to current price (forex tends to fill nearest inefficiency first)
Aligns with bullish structure (HL → HH progression)
RSI remains elevated, signaling temporary overextension before a healthy pullback
MACD histogram shows slowing momentum, suggesting a cooling phase before continuation
This makes the upper FVG the most structurally significant level for a bullish reaction.
3️⃣ Secondary FVG Below
A deeper FVG also exists, but:
Formed during a smaller displacement
Much lower probability in forex due to shallower retracements
Carries less relevance unless the primary FVG fails
Momentum and structure currently favor reacting to the nearest imbalance
The zone may still attract price in extreme volatility, but it is not the main expectation.
4️⃣ RSI Behavior (Pullback Confirmation)
RSI is currently near the overbought region, indicating:
Market is stretched after a strong rally
A retracement is healthy and expected
During FVG entry, RSI must stay above 40 to maintain bullish structure and prevent a reversal signal
This acts as a structural momentum filter.
5️⃣ MACD Histogram Confirmation
MACD histogram is showing:
Momentum deceleration
A potential shift to light-green bars as price cools
A bullish continuation signal expected once the histogram begins turning upward from the pullback
Together, this confirms the classical model:
impulse → slowdown → retracement → continuation.
6️⃣ Structural Context
AUDUSD maintains a clean bullish sequence:
HL → HH progression
Deep liquidity sweep in the previous leg
Strong displacement aligned with bullish flow
As long as price holds above the FVG and prior HL, pullbacks are more likely to act as rebalancing events, not reversals.
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📊 Chart Explanation
Symbol → OANDA:AUDUSD
Timeframe → 1D
This chart illustrates how Smart Money Concepts blend with momentum indicators:
Clean HL → HH bullish structure
Fresh bullish FVG acting as primary discount zone
Secondary FVG present but lower probability in forex
RSI signaling temporary exhaustion before a pullback
MACD histogram confirming momentum slowdown into the FVG
Expected sequence:
displacement → inefficiency → retracement → mitigation → continuation
Price remains bullish unless structure breaks below the HL and the FVG fails to hold.
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📘How RSI & MACD Strengthen FVG Setups (Bullish & Bearish)
🔹 1. RSI + FVG
Bullish Setup:
RSI holding above 40 during the retracement confirms bullish structure.
Rising RSI from oversold strengthens the likelihood of continuation.
Bearish Setup:
RSI staying below 60 during the pullback confirms bearish structure.
Falling RSI from overbought increases the probability of downside continuation.
RSI shows whether the retracement is a healthy correction or a potential reversal.
🔹 2. MACD Histogram + FVG
Bullish Setup:
Decreasing histogram during the retracement = healthy cooldown.
Histogram turning upward inside or after the FVG = bullish continuation signal.
Bearish Setup:
Increasing histogram during the pullback = losing bearish momentum temporarily.
Histogram turning downward again at the FVG = bearish continuation confirmation.
MACD provides momentum timing for the reaction out of the FVG.
🔹 3. Combined Logic (Works Both Ways)
Displacement creates an FVG
Price retraces into the imbalance
RSI respects structural boundaries (bullish >40, bearish <60)
MACD momentum aligns with the trend direction
Price rejects the FVG and continues the trend
This combined approach filters low-quality FVG zones and identifies the highest-probability continuation setups in both bullish and bearish markets.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
📘 For educational purposes only
🙅 Not SEBI registered
❌ Not financial or investment advice
🧠 Smart-Money-Concepts explanation only
New Name, New Year, New WarNew Name, New Year, New War: Venezuelan invasion coming soon?
The Trump administration has made its intentions toward Nicolás Maduro clear. Removing the Venezuelan president is a stated goal, but the path the administration is willing to take remains uncertain.
A former U.S. ambassador to Venezuela has described the deployment of American ground troops as a “last option”, but anything is possible with Trump and his newly named Department of War.
Washington has already seized a tanker carrying Venezuelan crude and is preparing to intercept additional shipments. Also, the U.S. has carried out more than twenty strikes on vessels it claims were involved in drug-smuggling operations. Each step raises the risk of a broader confrontation.
Metal markets might rally on escalation. Silver remains in a strong vertical trend. The move above 63 pushed price into fresh record territory before a modest pullback. Gold has broken through the recent range and printed a new swing high near $4,285 before pulling back.
Any significant development in Venezuela, such as a new seizure or a military operation, could trigger a higher open in metals when markets resume.
Bullish Structure Locked In — Gold Eyes 4,405Hello everyone, this is Luiss_Miguel!
At the moment, XAUUSD is a textbook example of a market moving within a well-defined ascending channel, with price consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of the structure.
Recently, we observed a clear breakout above a key resistance zone, followed by a high-quality retest. This area aligns perfectly with the Golden Pocket of the previous bullish leg, making it a highly significant level to watch.
If this zone continues to hold as support, it would provide a strong structural confirmation of the bullish trend, increasing the likelihood of price extending toward 4,405, which represents the upper boundary of the channel.
As long as price remains above this supportive region, the bullish scenario remains intact. However, if price dips below it, short-term bullish momentum could weaken, potentially opening the door to a deeper corrective move.
Always remember to apply strict risk management to protect your capital.
Wishing you all the best — and trade wisely.
Gold Trading Strategy for 12th December 2025✨ GOLD Intraday Trading Plan – Key Levels & Strategy
🟢 BUY Strategy
Entry Trigger: Consider buying above $4309 only if the 1-hour candle closes above this level.
Why this Level?
$4309 acts as a reversal area and a breakout confirmation zone.
A strong close above it indicates bullish strength and continuation.
Targets:
🎯 $4320 – first resistance
🎯 $4332 – intermediate push level
🎯 $4345 – extended target
Optional Reversal Trade:
If price reaches $4309 and rejects, you can look for a sell entry with a proper stop-loss.
🔴 SELL Strategy
Entry Trigger: Consider selling below $4250 only if the 1-hour candle closes below this level.
Why this Level?
$4250 is another major reversal zone and a breakdown confirmation area.
A close below this level signals bearish momentum.
Targets:
🎯 $4237 – first support
🎯 $4227 – continuation level
🎯 $4215 – deeper target
Optional Reversal Trade:
If price drops to $4250 and shows strong support, you may also try a buy entry here with a stop-loss.
🔄 Reversal Zone Notes
Use these areas for trend confirmation or reversal trades.
Always wait for candle closing to avoid false breakouts.
Keep SL tight near reversal zones to avoid large losses.
⚠️ Disclaimer
📌 This is not financial advice.
📌 Trading in gold and other financial instruments involves high risk.
📌 Always do your own analysis, use proper stop-loss, and manage your position sizing carefully.
📌 Past performance or levels do not guarantee future results.
gold mcx or spot gold update after new breakout mcx trader in gold no if and but-- above 132000 gold looks 135--137000+++ yes buy on dips good way for long term --- spot gold above 4260$ hold no worry for bulls in spot gold -- silver already given .spot gold son 4296--4320 than after new break possible . where now support 4220$ only sustain blow than looks correction here--
over all buy on dips good looks with support hurdle -
We might see NIFTY getting REJECTED at 26000!!As we can see NIFTY got rejected from the gap which acted as a strong demand zone and showed strong recovery, Despite the recovery there are multiple supply zones from where NIFTY can reject and the major one is 26000 level which is also a psychological level so we can expect NIFTY to remain volatile tomorrow so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Oracle and the Quiet Warning Nobody Looked AtMost of us watch the stock first and everything else later.
But with Oracle, the first warning didn’t come from the chart at all — it came from the credit market.
A quick explanation for anyone new to this:
A Credit Default Swap (CDS) is just insurance on a company’s debt.
If people feel the company is getting riskier, the cost of that insurance goes up.
That’s it. Nothing fancy.
Over the last year, Oracle’s CDS cost has been climbing way faster than you’d expect for a big, steady name. It wasn’t front-page news, but it was unusual enough to pay attention to.
And then today’s 11% drop happened.
It honestly reminded me of that moment in The Big Short when Burry kept pointing at the CDS market while everyone else stared at the stock prices. He wasn’t predicting a disaster — he just noticed that the credit market was reacting long before the stock market cared.
Oracle isn’t a “Big Short” situation, obviously.
But the pattern is familiar: credit markets usually move first, stocks catch up later .
That’s really all there is to it.
No drama — just a quiet signal finally showing up on the chart.
Disclaimer: Educational only. Not investment advice. DYOR
Bullish Counter Attack in Nifty, Trend Reversal PossibleBullish Counter Attack in NSE:NIFTY — Trend Reversal Possible 📈
After yesterday’s CR4 and shakeout candle, Nifty gave a strong bullish counter attack today.
So a bullish turnaround from here is possible.
However, I will still wait for the chart to confirm before taking long trades.
Pivot is at 25823, so tomorrow’s opening will set the tone for the entire day.
PP is 0.2, so we can expect a sharp move — even a gap-up is possible.
Key levels:
• Resistance: 25950 — A close above this can turn the trend bullish from a swing perspective.
• Support: 25866 — A close below this can lead to a deeper cut in the index.
On the stock side, #KOTAKBANK looks strong and may lift sentiment tomorrow. Good candidate for a swing setup — keeping it on watch.
That's all for today.
Take care. Have a profitable tomorrow.
📊 Levels at a Glance:
Pivot: 25823
Resistance: 25950
Support: 25866
Bias: Bullish turnaround possible but wait for confirmation
Stock to Watch: KOTAKBANK
BCHUSD - The Squeeze is Tightening. Decision Imminent?BCH is providing a textbook example of Price Compression on the 4H timeframe.
When price gets squeezed between a rising trendline and horizontal levels, volatility usually follows. Currently, BCH is testing the validity of the trendline support.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Defense: The bulls need to hold the $558 level to maintain the uptrend structure.
Invalidation: A breakdown of this trendline changes the market character from accumulation to potential distribution .
Trading Plan: Watch for volume on the reaction. A low-volume bounce might be a trap, while a high-volume rejection of the trendline confirms weakness.
Trade safe and manage your risk!
Nifty 12th Dec OutlookThe last 3 sessions have been strangely quiet. Price barely moved, volume stayed flat, and Nifty just kept hovering inside the same range.
At first glance it looks like typical consolidation…but with everything happening around us, the silence feels a bit more intentional.
Here’s what I’m noticing:
1. Fed cut was priced in, but the market is still digesting the tone
The 25 bps cut wasn’t a surprise. What traders really care about is the Fed’s tone, and that usually takes a day or two to reflect in EM flows like ours. So the muted move here makes sense.
2. Sensex expiry completely distorted intraday behaviour
No one commits serious money on expiry days unless they have to. That explains some of the weird intraday swings and the lack of strong follow-through.
3. The US trade delegation being in India (Dec 10–12) is a bigger factor than people think
Institutions hate uncertainty. If the tone from these meetings affects tariffs, regulations, or market access, it directly impacts exporters and several index-heavy sectors.
So, yes — some funds simply stepped aside until they know what’s happening.
4. Mexico’s unexpected tariff hike (up to 50%) adds another layer
This came out of the blue and hits Indian auto exporters right where it hurts. But… even with that news, Nifty didn’t react violently. That tells me the market is waiting for more clarity, not panicking.
Technical Picture (Daily + 1H): Nothing Broken, Nothing Proven
Price held the 25,700 support beautifully (Fib 0.618)
Price rejected the 25,940–26,050 zone again (Fib 0.382)
Daily RSI bounced from the 50 line, which is normally a bullish behaviour
Volume has been eerily identical for 3 days straight
This is not bullish strength.
This is not bearish weakness.
It’s textbook neutrality until the macro dust settles.
About the Divergences
On the Nifty 1H chart, we had a hidden bearish divergence earlier — but that only signals momentum fatigue, not an immediate fall.
But on GIFT Nifty, we got something more meaningful:
✔ Hidden bullish divergence
✔ Price made a higher low
✔ RSI made a lower low
✔ And then price pushed up strongly
This usually leads to trend continuation, and the futures chart looks clean and confident right now. Not the behaviour of a market preparing for a big dump.
So why is the volume dead?
When multiple moving parts converge — Fed tone, international trade talks, new tariff shocks — institutions don’t gamble.
They stay flat.
They hedge.
They wait.
And the charts show exactly that.
Tomorrow’s Map
If GIFT Nifty stays firm:
→ we likely open slightly green
→ Nifty may try to break the 25,940–26,050 zone
→ A clean close above 26,050 opens 26,120–26,180
If nothing major hits the news:
→ we stay stuck between 25,700 and 25,940
→ the range continues
If negative news comes from trade talks or auto exporters:
→ only then we revisit 25,700
→ and breakdown needs VOLUME, which has been missing
Without volume, bears have no teeth.
My Final Take
The market isn’t weak — it’s cautious.
It isn’t bullish — it’s waiting.
GIFT Nifty looks strong right now, and unless a fresh headline drops overnight, Nifty will likely test the higher end of the range again.
But the real move — the one with conviction — probably comes after Dec 12, once everyone knows where the trade talks and sector implications stand.
Until then, this is not a market to be overly aggressive in either direction.
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | December 11-12✅ 4H Chart (H4) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ A strong bullish candle breaks multiple resistance levels
Gold surged out of the previous consolidation range with a powerful bullish candle, breaking through the 4247–4250 resistance zone and reaching a high of 4281.
This shows strong participation from major buyers and clearly strengthened bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Moving averages in full bullish alignment
Short-term MAs (MA5/MA10) are sharply turning upward, with price holding firmly above them.
MA20 (around 4210) now acts as an important pullback support.
As long as price stays above MA5/MA10, the structure remains strongly bullish.
3️⃣ Bollinger Bands expanding upward, indicating a trending market
Price broke above the upper band and is riding along it — a typical signal of a strong continuation trend.
→ Upside momentum still has room to extend.
📌 H4 Conclusion:
Gold has broken key resistance and shifted into a strong uptrend.
Pullbacks toward 4250–4260 are normal corrections; if support holds, the bullish trend is expected to continue.
📊 1H Chart (H1) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Multiple strong bullish candles followed by high-level consolidation
After breaking resistance, price is consolidating within 4270–4280, forming a high-level range.
This consolidation is considered a bullish continuation pattern, not a topping signal.
2️⃣ Strong short-term support from MA5/MA10
The moving averages form a clear bullish staircase structure:
MA5 support near 4268
MA10 support near 4258
As long as price stays above MA10, the short-term trend remains intact.
3️⃣ Bollinger upper band rising — bullish momentum intact
The upper band continues to move higher, showing that momentum has not weakened.
A break above 4281 may trigger another upward extension.
📌 H1 Conclusion:
The short-term structure is strongly bullish.
Key support sits at 4260–4250; holding this zone keeps the trend intact.
🔴 Resistance Levels
4281 (recent high)
4290–4300 (psychological + structural resistance)
4315 (extension target)
🟢 Support Levels
4268–4260 (MA5/MA10 on the 1H chart)
4250 (previous resistance turned support)
4210–4205 (H4 key structural support)
📌 Trading Strategy Suggestion
🔰 1. Buy on Pullback (Main Strategy)
📍 Consider buying near 4260–4250
🎯 Targets: 4281 / 4290 / 4300
⛔ Stop-loss: below 4244
Why:
Strong uptrend intact
Pullback to support offers a better entry
MAs + Bollinger Bands both support bullish continuation
🔰 2. Breakout Buying (Secondary Strategy)
📍 If price breaks above 4281, you may consider a light breakout entry
🎯 Targets: 4295 / 4310
⛔ Stop-loss: below 4270
Why:
High-level consolidation → bullish accumulation
Breakout often leads to a momentum-driven extension
📌 Summary
Gold is currently in a strong bullish trend:
H4: Breakout of major resistance → uptrend confirmed
H1: High-level consolidation → preparing for another push upward
As long as 4250–4260 holds,
the short-term outlook remains bullish, with buy-the-dip as the preferred strategy.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 12-Dec-2025📊 BANKNIFTY TRADING PLAN — 12 DEC 2025
BankNifty closed around 59,204, sitting just above Opening Support (59,179) and below the Opening Resistance Zone (59,526–59,587).
A clean trending opportunity may appear only when price breaks away from these overlapping zones.
Key Levels from Your Chart:
• Opening Support (Flat or Positive Opening Case): 59,179
• Opening Support Zone: 59,018 – 59,047
• Last Intraday Support: 58,931
• Opening Resistance Zone: 59,526 – 59,587
• Profit Booking Zone: 59,752 – 59,815
The next trading session will depend heavily on how price reacts at 59,179 and 59,526 at the open.
🚀 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points)
A gap-up above 59,300–59,350 pushes price into bullish territory with early upside potential.
1. If the market opens above 59,179 and sustains
• Shows immediate buying pressure.
• Watch for a small dip toward 59,179 — if held with bullish wick rejection → Long entry activates.
• Targets: 59,350 → 59,526 → 59,587.
2. If opening is inside the 59,526–59,587 Opening Resistance Zone
• Avoid fresh longs immediately.
• Let price show whether it wants to:
– Break above 59,587 → Long toward 59,752 → 59,815 (Profit Booking Zone).
– Reject the zone → Short entries become valid only when price slips back below 59,526.
• Downside targets after rejection: 59,350 → 59,179.
3. If opening is above 59,587
• Momentum is strong; this could be a trend-day.
• A retest of 59,587 becomes a high-probability long.
• Upside targets: 59,752 → 59,815.
• Trail SL aggressively as volatility rises.
📌 Educational Tip:
Gap-ups inside resistance zones require patience. Trend confirmation happens only after breakout + retest.
⚖ 2. FLAT OPENING (near 59,150–59,220)
Flat openings allow for clean structural setups based on early price action.
1. If price holds 59,179 (Opening Support)
• Early sign of strength.
• Long entries valid upon bullish structure formation (higher-low/CHoCH).
• Targets: 59,350 → 59,526 → 59,587.
2. If price breaks above 59,526 and retests
• Confirms bullish continuation.
• Long setups activate toward 59,752 → 59,815.
3. If price rejects 59,179 and falls below it
• Intraday weakness begins.
• Short entries valid toward 59,047 → 59,018.
• Breakdown below 59,018 opens targets: Once again revisit 58,931.
📌 Educational Tip:
Flat opens reveal market intent in the first 10–15 minutes. Always allow the structure to form before entering.
📉 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points)
A gap-down toward 59,050–58,980 brings price closer to strong support zones.
1. If the market opens inside 59,018–59,047 (Opening Support Zone)
• Avoid shorting inside support.
• Look for reversal signals (hammer, engulfing, CHoCH).
• If confirmed → Long toward 59,179 → 59,350.
2. If opening is near 58,931 (Last Intraday Support)
• This is a high-probability reversal region.
• If bullish reaction appears → Long entries can target:
→ 59,047 → 59,179.
3. If price breaks below 58,931 decisively
• Trend flips bearish.
• Wait for retest of 58,931.
• If retest rejects → Short continuation toward 58,780–58,720.
• Avoid bottom fishing until structure confirms reversal.
📌 Educational Tip:
Gap-downs often flush liquidity at major levels. Confirmation is essential — never assume reversal.
🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
1. Avoid trading the first 5 minutes on gap days — premiums are unstable.
2. Never chase far OTM options — they decay rapidly and are most affected by IV crush.
3. Position stop-loss based on price levels, not option premium.
4. Risk only 1–2% of trading capital per trade.
5. High IV → Prefer option selling;
Low IV → Option buying more effective.
6. Book partial profits at key levels:
59,179 / 59,526 / 59,587 / 59,752 / 59,815
7. Avoid revenge trades — protect capital first.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
• Bullish bias above 59,526, with extension toward 59,752 → 59,815.
• Neutral zone: 59,179–59,526 — avoid aggressive trades until a breakout occurs.
• Strong supports for reversal:
– 59,018–59,047
– 58,931
• Always wait for breakout + retest or reversal confirmation before entering.
• Use disciplined risk management because volatility increases near resistance and support clusters.
⚠ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This trading plan is strictly for educational purposes and not investment advice.
Always use your own judgment, market awareness, and strict risk controls.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 12-Dec-2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN — 12 DEC 2025
Nifty closed around 25,898, trading between the Opening Support (25,851.80) and the Opening Resistance / Support Zone (25,979–26,015).
The chart shows a clear structure: clean upside potential above 26,015 and downside continuation below 25,812.
Key Levels from Chart:
• Opening Support: 25,851.80
• Last Intraday Support: 25,812
• Opening Resistance / Support Zone: 25,979 – 26,015
• Last Intraday Resistance: 26,093
• Major Resistance / Target: 26,179
• Lower Support: 25,741
Tomorrow’s opening direction relative to 25,979–26,015 will define the day’s trend.
🚀 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points)
A gap-up above 25,980–26,020 places Nifty directly inside or above the resistance zone.
1. If opening is inside 25,979–26,015 (Resistance/Support Zone)
• Do NOT buy immediately — this is a supply zone.
• Wait for a clear breakout above 26,015 and then a retest.
• When retest holds → Long entry becomes high probability.
• Targets: 26,093 → 26,179 (major upside level).
• Partial profit booking recommended near 26,093.
2. If opening is above 26,015
• Momentum is already bullish.
• Wait for a small retracement → If price holds 26,015 → Long toward:
→ 26,093 → 26,140 → 26,179
3. If opening is directly near 26,093 (Last Intraday Resistance)
• Avoid fresh longs — sellers may react.
• If rejection occurs + price drops below 26,015, shorts become valid.
• Downside targets: 25,979 → 25,930.
📌 Educational Note:
Gap-ups into resistance zones often trap aggressive buyers. Always demand a breakout + retest to confirm genuine strength.
⚖ 2. FLAT OPENING (around 25,870–25,910)
When the market opens flat, price action around the nearest levels becomes the deciding factor.
1. If price breaks above 25,979 and holds
• A bullish shift begins.
• Long setups activate on retest of 25,979–26,015 zone.
• Targets: 26,093 → 26,179.
2. If price rejects 25,979–26,015
• A short-term pullback is likely.
• Short entries valid toward 25,851 → 25,812.
3. If price remains between 25,851–25,979
• Expect sideways, indecisive movement.
• Avoid trading in this segment until direction becomes clear.
📌 Educational Note:
Flat opens give the highest probability trend days because early structure (higher-low or lower-high) defines bias clearly.
📉 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points)
A gap-down near 25,800–25,750 brings price toward strong support levels.
1. If price opens at or near 25,851 (Opening Support)
• Avoid shorting immediately.
• Wait for confirmation — if support holds, a reversal long is possible.
• Targets: 25,930 → 25,979.
2. If price opens near 25,812 (Last Intraday Support)
• Very strong reversal zone.
• Look for bullish wick rejection / CHoCH.
• If confirmed → Long toward 25,851 → 25,930 → 25,979.
3. If price opens near 25,741 or breaks below 25,812 with momentum
• Downside continuation likely.
• Short setups activate on retest of 25,812 from below.
• Targets: 25,760 → 25,741 → 25,700.
📌 Educational Note:
Gap-downs often attempt to sweep liquidity at support before reversal. Confirmation is more important than prediction.
🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
1. Avoid first 5 minutes after gap opens — premium swings are unpredictable.
2. Avoid buying far OTM options — IV crush and theta decay work against you.
3. Use price-action-based stop-loss, not premium-based.
4. Limit risk per trade to 1–2% of capital.
5. High IV → Favour option selling;
Low IV → Option buying becomes more effective.
6. Always book partial profits at key levels:
25,979 / 26,015 / 26,093 / 26,179
7. Avoid revenge trading — protect capital first.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
• Bullish bias only above 25,979–26,015, with targets at 26,093 → 26,179.
• Sideways zone between 25,851–25,979 — avoid trades unless a breakout occurs.
• Strong downside support zones:
– 25,851
– 25,812
– 25,741
• Breakout + retest is the safest and most reliable setup.
• Follow strict risk control to avoid losses in volatile conditions.
⚠ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This report is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
Market conditions can change rapidly — always use your own discretion and risk management.
Delhivery standing by its name!Forming a complex head and shoulder pattern. I have been following this stock for a long time now and i saw when they posted their first quarter of operational profit. Closely tracked its progress over a few quarters and now they have done a full turnaround and achieved profitability and are continuously expanding in the segment. I am counting on this stock to reach its all time high again soon.
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [12/12/2025: Friday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 12th of December 2025. The day is Friday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red piercing candle. Powerful support is at the level 25700. Level 25700 zone is strong as it was the closing level for the month of October 2025 and the opening level for the month of November 2025. In November, the price broke down the level 25700 but again regained its level above it. Similarly, this month's price touched the level of 25700 and showed strong buying interest. Thus, no shorting till level 25700 is decisively broken. On the contrary, this month's price has only been negative. There is a strong resistance at level 26000. Thus, no bullish trade with conviction until the price starts to trade above the level 26000. The view is indecision.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
Looking at the price structure since September 2025, the price is in higher highs and lower-lows structure. It means bullishness is intact, and there is no sign of reversal for now. However, the last 2 weeks have been red. A significant behavior is observable where the price got very strong support from level 25700. Thus, for now, no bearish trade till the price is trading above the level 25700. Short sellers are trapped at the level 25700. On the contrary, bulls are betrayed at the levels 26000 and 25900 repeatedly. Another significant aspect is that price is again trading in the previous consolidation zone. Strong resistance is at level 26000. Strong support is at level 25700. Presently, the view is indecisive.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
A green candle is formed engulfing bearish candles of the last 2 days. However, the price is in a range-bound consolidation for 3 days. The range is (25950 - 25700). This range is also now a no-trading zone (NTZ). If we combine candles of the last 3 days, then a green dragonfly doji is formed. It might be the sign of both indecision and trend reversal (that is, from bearish to bullish). Strong support is at level 25700. However, strong resistance is at 26000. Presently, the view is indecisive.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
Technically, the market is broken. There is no sign of a clear trend. Complex correction continues. It is difficult to trade during complex corrections. The head and shoulder (H&S) pattern hypothesis is still on. However, the price showed very strong support at the level of 25700. It is significant that there are no unfilled gaps in the market. The gap in the zone (25750 - 25700) formed before the Bihar election results is filled today. There are no other visible gaps. Considering the price structure since 28 November 2025, the structure of lower lows and lower highs is intact. It means bears are still active. Strong resistance is at level 26000. A bullish signal will emerge when the price starts to form a higher highs and lower lows structure above the level 26000. Presently, the view is indecisive.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above the level 26000.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price decisively breaks down the level 25700.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26000 - 25700)
Events:
No expiries on Friday. Medium impact event - India's November inflation rate is there. Last day of the week.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) Market structure is broken (or cracked). No sign of a clear trend (bullish or bearish). Indecision and complex correction continue.
(ii) The view is indecision. This is not the time to indulge in trading. The scenario is best suited for the non-directional traders.
(iii) Strong Resistance is at level 26000. Take bullish trades only when the price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above the level 26000.
(iv) Strong support is at level 25700. Take no bearish trades till price decisively breaks down level 25700.
(v) Do not trade in the no trading zone (NTZ) - (26000 - 25700). The market is in a range-bound consolidation. Be cautious. The previous H&S pattern hypothesis is still intact.
(vi) It is the last day (Friday) of the week.
(vi) Trade only when either bullish or bearish conditions are fulfilled. Otherwise, don't trade. Protect your resources.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!






















