Compression Near Resistance, Breakout Setup Forming360 One Wam Limited on the daily timeframe is trading inside a rising wedge / ascending channel, with price now compressing just below the falling trendline resistance. This kind of structure usually precedes a directional expansion.
The stock has been making higher lows, clearly respecting the rising support trendline, which shows steady accumulation by buyers. Despite multiple rejections from the upper trendline earlier, price has not broken structure, indicating selling pressure is gradually getting absorbed.
Currently, price is hovering near the confluence zone:
• Upper falling resistance
• Rising trendline support
This convergence increases the probability of a volatility expansion.
RSI is around the 55–60 zone, suggesting healthy momentum without overbought conditions. This supports the case for an upside move if resistance is cleared.
Structure-based view:
A decisive close above the upper trendline would signal a breakout from compression, opening room for a sharp upside continuation. Until then, the stock remains in a buy-on-dips structure, with rising support acting as the key defense zone.
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NIFTY 50 – Bearish Scenario (Medium-Term Risk Assessment)This analysis presents a conditional corrective scenario for risk management purposes. It does not indicate a trend reversal; the long-term structure of NIFTY remains bullish.
Timeframe: Weekly
Nature of View: Risk-management oriented
Bias: 50:50 (Balanced, not predictive)
Big Picture First (No Confusion)
Let me state this clearly at the start:
Long-term trend: ✅ Still BULLISH
Medium-term structure: ⚠️ Caution zone
Short to medium-term risk: 🔴 Pullback possible
This analysis is not a call for a trend reversal.
It is a protective, scenario-based assessment based on historical behavior near major highs.
What the Weekly Structure Is Telling Us
After a strong multi-year rally, NIFTY has entered a broad weekly consolidation range.
Price is repeatedly testing the upper boundary
Momentum is not expanding with price
This behavior historically appears before corrective phases , not during strong trend continuation
This is typical post-rally digestion , where markets:
Either break out decisively, or
Correct to reset structure and sentiment
At present, both outcomes are equally possible.
Why a Bearish Scenario Is Reasonable (But Not Certain)
1️⃣ Range High Pressure
NIFTY is hovering near major weekly resistance
Multiple attempts without acceptance increase rejection probability
2️⃣ Momentum Behavior
RSI is not confirming strength
In strong bullish continuation, RSI should stay decisively elevated
Current behavior suggests loss of upside momentum, not breakdown
3️⃣ History Repeats (Key Basis of This View)
Historically, when NIFTY consolidates at highs after a sharp rally:
Corrections tend to be controlled, not destructive
Most pullbacks stop near 38–50% of the previous expansion leg
This aligns with a 24,500–24,000 zone , not lower.
Expected Bearish Path (If Activated)
⚠️ This is a conditional scenario, not a prediction
If price fails to sustain above resistance and weakness develops:
First corrective magnet: 25,200–25,000
Primary expectation zone: 24,500–24,000
This zone historically acts as:
Structural support
Demand re-entry area
Trend reset region
👉 My expectation does NOT go beyond this zone at present.
When Is the Bearish Scenario VALID?
Bearish / corrective scenario becomes valid only if:
❗ Weekly close below 25,400–25,500
Follow-through weakness in subsequent weeks
Failure to reclaim the broken level quickly
Until then, it remains only a possibility.
When Is This Bearish View INVALID?
This bearish scenario is completely invalid if:
✅ NIFTY accepts above resistance with weekly closes
✅ Momentum expands along with price
✅ No immediate rejection from higher levels
In that case:
The market resumes trend continuation
Consolidation resolves upward
All corrective expectations stand cancelled
Probability Assessment
🔵 Bullish continuation: 50%
🔴 Medium-term corrective pullback: 50%
This is not indecision — it is professional risk balance at a critical zone.
Final View
I remain bullish on the medium to long term
The current analysis is only to safeguard capital and expectations
Any decline, if it happens, is expected to be corrective and healthy
24,500–24,000 remains my maximum downside expectation based on historical patterns
Closing Note
Markets do not top on one candle, and trends do not end without distribution.
This analysis respects that reality — no fear, no euphoria, only structure.
Breaks Range High – Structural Bull Trend ResumesDynamatic Technologies on the weekly timeframe has given a decisive breakout above its long-standing consolidation range, confirming a trend continuation setup. The stock spent several months moving sideways within a defined channel, absorbing supply before resuming the primary uptrend.
Price respected a 3-year-old rising support trendline, which acted as a strong accumulation zone. The recent breakout is coming after holding this base successfully, showing that buyers defended the structure aggressively.
The move above the range resistance is clean and accompanied by expansion in volume, which validates the breakout and reduces the probability of a false move. Such range breakouts after long consolidations usually lead to sharp directional moves.
RSI is now trading around the 65–70 zone, indicating strong bullish momentum without extreme exhaustion. This momentum profile supports further upside rather than immediate mean reversion.
Overall, Dynamatic Tech remains in a strong secular uptrend. As long as price sustains above the prior resistance-turned-support zone, the structure favours continued upside expansion, with dips likely to attract buying interest rather than selling pressure.
Reclaims Key Resistance – Momentum ReloadedPersistent Systems has successfully reclaimed its previous major resistance zone, which earlier acted as a supply area during the corrective phase. This level is now turning into a strong demand base, indicating acceptance of higher prices.
The stock continues to respect a clean rising trendline, maintaining a higher high–higher low structure on the daily timeframe. The recent consolidation just below resistance was a time correction, and the fresh push above it signals renewed buying interest.
Price action is strong and orderly, showing no aggressive profit booking even near highs. This behavior usually appears when institutions are holding positions and adding on dips, not exiting.
RSI is hovering around 60–65, which confirms healthy bullish momentum without entering extreme overbought territory. This suggests the move still has room to extend.
Overall, Persistent Systems is back in a trend continuation phase. As long as price holds above the reclaimed resistance and the rising trendline, the structure supports further upside expansion in the coming sessions.
USD/CAD – Liquidity & Structure Based Short IdeaUSD/CAD has been trading inside a well-defined rising channel for a while. Price is now approaching the upper boundary of this channel, a zone where sellers have previously stepped in with strength.
This area is not just resistance, it’s also a liquidity zone, where stop-losses of late buyers are resting above recent highs. Such zones often attract smart money activity before a directional move.
What Price Is Telling Us: Price is currently stalling near resistance instead of expanding higher. We can observe Multiple rejections near the channel top, Overlapping candles showing loss of bullish momentum and Lack of strong follow-through despite previous volume spike.
This behavior often appears before distribution or a corrective move, especially when price is trading at premium levels.
If this analysis helped you, like, follow, and comment for more clean Forex breakdowns.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Please manage risk responsibly.
Maruti: Rising Flag, Dropping ProbabilityStructure
The decline into Wave W is complete as a Regular Flat.
The rebound is a corrective Wave X, fully overlapping and contained within a rising channel.
Bias remains bearish as long as price trades inside this channel.
Wave Y Setup
Trigger: Breakdown below the channel near 16000.
Entry: Preferable after a break and retest of the lower channel line.
Target: Toward 15,260 to complete Wave Y.
Invalidation: A decisive close above 16,549 invalidates the bearish view.
Summary
The current rise is a corrective phase, not a trend reversal. The higher-probability outcome is a continuation lower into Wave Y unless the channel breaks to the upside.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Rising Trend Support – Breakdown Risk Still ActiveEmami on the weekly timeframe is trading at a very critical structural zone, where a long-term rising trendline overlaps with a key horizontal support area. This zone has acted as an important demand base in the past, but the recent price behaviour shows clear weakness near resistance.
After a sharp rally earlier, the stock has been making lower highs, indicating loss of momentum. The recent pullback has brought price back to the trendline, but unlike previous tests, the bounce is weak and unconvincing, suggesting buyers are not aggressive here.
The highlighted downside zone on the chart clearly shows the risk of a deeper correction if this support fails. A decisive breakdown below the rising trendline can open the door for a fast decline towards the next major demand area, which is placed much lower.
RSI is hovering around the 40–45 zone, reflecting weak momentum and absence of bullish strength. This RSI structure supports the idea that the stock is still in a corrective phase, not ready for trend continuation yet.
Overall, Emami is at a make-or-break level. Holding above the trendline can lead to sideways consolidation, but a weekly close below support would confirm a trend breakdown, shifting the structure firmly into a bearish corrective move. This is a chart that demands caution until strength clearly returns.
Breaks Neckline – Trend Reversal ConfirmedBharat Forge on the weekly timeframe has delivered a clean breakout above the neckline and long-standing resistance zone, which had earlier acted as a major supply area during the corrective phase. This breakout marks a clear shift in market structure from corrective to trending.
After a deep correction, the stock formed a base near the rising long-term trendline, followed by a strong recovery with higher highs and higher lows. The recent move above the neckline confirms that sellers have lost control and buyers are now dominating price action.
The breakout is happening in line with the broader rising trend support, which strengthens the reliability of this move. Such neckline breakouts after prolonged consolidation often lead to strong follow-through rallies, as trapped sellers exit and fresh momentum buyers enter.
RSI is holding above 65 on the weekly chart, indicating strong bullish momentum without any visible divergence. This momentum expansion supports the continuation of the current uptrend rather than a false breakout.
Overall, Bharat Forge has transitioned back into a bullish trend structure. As long as price sustains above the breakout zone and the rising trendline, the setup favours a continued upside move, with the recent breakout acting as a new demand area going forward.
IRFC at Long-Term Support – Trend Reversal Setup in MakingIRFC has been trading in a prolonged corrective phase, forming a clear downward-sloping trendline from its highs. The good part is that price has now reached a strong horizontal demand zone, which has acted as a base multiple times in the past.
Recent price action shows selling pressure slowing down near this support. Candles are getting smaller and volatility is compressing, which usually signals exhaustion of sellers rather than fresh breakdown.
The stock is now attempting to move above the falling trendline, and this zone becomes a crucial decision area. A sustained hold above this trendline can mark the end of the corrective structure and the beginning of a trend reversal or recovery phase.
RSI has started moving up from the lower zone and is now around the mid-range, indicating improving momentum and early signs of strength. This RSI recovery near strong support adds confidence to the bullish case.
Overall, IRFC is positioned at a high-risk–high-reward technical zone. As long as price holds above the base support, the structure favours a recovery move, with trend direction likely to turn clearer once the falling trendline is decisively crossed.
NMDC Compressing Inside Rising Structure – Breakout Bias StrongNMDC on the weekly timeframe is trading inside a rising trend structure, where price is getting compressed between rising support and a long-term falling resistance. This kind of structure usually leads to a sharp expansion move once price resolves the compression.
The stock has clearly defended the rising trendline multiple times, showing strong demand at lower levels. Each dip is being bought higher than the previous one, which confirms higher low formation and accumulation by stronger hands.
On the upside, the descending trendline has capped price earlier, but the current approach is happening with much better structure and momentum compared to previous attempts. Price is now moving sideways just below resistance, indicating seller absorption rather than rejection.
RSI is holding near 60 on the weekly chart, which reflects improving momentum without any overbought pressure. This RSI behaviour usually supports trend continuation, especially when price is near a breakout zone.
Overall, NMDC is positioned at a high-probability breakout setup. A sustained move above the falling resistance can open the door for a strong upside leg, while as long as the rising support holds, the broader structure remains positively biased.
VARUN BEVERAGES Pressing Downtrend Line – Breakout AttemptVarun Beverages is trading right at a major falling trendline, which has capped the price for a long time. The stock has made multiple attempts earlier, but this time the approach looks more controlled and structured, not a sharp spike.
After forming a solid base near the horizontal support zone, price has started making higher lows, showing that selling pressure is reducing and buyers are slowly gaining confidence. This kind of structure usually appears before a trend change.
The recent candles are tightly packed near resistance, which indicates absorption of supply rather than rejection. If sellers were strong, price would have been pushed down quickly from this zone, which is not happening.
RSI is holding above 60, confirming improving momentum and strength. Momentum is supporting the price near resistance, increasing the probability of acceptance above the trendline.
Overall, Varun Beverages is sitting at a crucial decision zone. A sustained move above this long-term resistance can trigger a fresh upside leg, while rejection may lead to short-term consolidation. Structurally, the setup is tilted in favour of a bullish breakout.
KEI Testing Long-Term Trendline – Cup Formation in Play KEI Industries on the weekly timeframe is trading near a major descending trendline, which has acted as a long-term resistance during previous rallies. What makes the current setup interesting is the repeated rounded bottom (cup-like) formations visible over the past cycles, each time followed by a strong recovery.
Price has respected higher lows after every correction, clearly indicating strong accumulation on declines. The latest structure shows another rounded recovery pattern, suggesting that sellers are gradually getting absorbed near resistance.
The stock has now approached the falling trendline with strength, not weakness. This attempt is different from earlier ones, as it is backed by higher base support and improved momentum structure, increasing the probability of acceptance above resistance.
RSI is placed around 60–65 on the weekly chart, which reflects healthy bullish momentum without being overbought. This momentum behaviour supports the possibility of a trend continuation breakout rather than a rejection.
If KEI Industries manages to sustain above this long-term trendline, it can trigger a fresh impulse move into uncharted territory, as historical supply above this zone is limited. Structurally, this setup favors trend expansion after a prolonged consolidation phase, making it a high-quality long-term chart to track.
SUNTECK REALTY at 15-Year Barrier – Structural Break BrewingSunteck Realty is trading on the monthly timeframe, where price is approaching a 15-year old descending resistance, a zone that has historically capped every major rally. The importance of this level is extremely high, as it represents long-term supply built over more than a decade.
Despite repeated rejections in the past, the stock has maintained a strong rising channel, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. The recent correction has respected the lower trendline support, indicating that long-term buyers are still in control and no structural damage has occurred.
The current price action suggests compression just below a massive resistance, which often precedes a high-magnitude breakout when the broader trend remains intact. This kind of long-term consolidation near resistance usually reflects absorption of supply, not distribution.
RSI on the monthly chart is holding near the mid-zone, which is a bullish sign in long-term structures. It shows that momentum has cooled without turning weak, leaving ample room for expansion if price breaks out.
If Sunteck manages to decisively break and sustain above this 15-year resistance, it can trigger a multi-year trend expansion, as there is very little historical supply above this zone. Structurally, this is a rare long-term setup, where patience is rewarded once the barrier gives way.
Daily vs Monthly: Counter Trendline Meets Cup Structure-This TradingView post contrasts multi-timeframe analysis, showing a clean counter trendline (CT) a white line connecting swing highs on the daily chart (left) with the monthly chart (right) revealing a classic cup pattern in the orange zone
-Key Concepts Explained
A counter trendline (CT) maps resistance from successive lower highs, highlighting areas where upward moves repeatedly stall and create liquidity zones below prior peaks. The cup breakout on monthly shows price emerging from a rounded base, followed by sustained action above the rim with multiple retests of those prior levels, demonstrating how higher timeframes contextualize lower timeframe lines.
-Educational Value
Observing CT interactions alongside cup structures illustrates price respect for dynamic resistance across timeframes, aiding in understanding market rhythm without directional assumptions. Traders use such alignments to study historical behavior at key zones.
Disclaimer: Educational content only. Not SEBI registered. No investment advice—do your own research
This Multi time frame Trick will save you from FAKEOUTSIn this video I am showcasing a daily, weekly and monthly time frame combination - also sharing a trick which can save you a lot of money from those regular sized fakeouts .
Charts used are 3 months old in this video and video is purely educational based .
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [23/12/2025: Tuesday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 23rd of December 2025. The day is Tuesday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red hanging man with a long lower wick. The red paper umbrella pattern is often a sign of trend reversal. Major support is in the zone (26050 - 26000). The view is indecision to bullish.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
First day of the week. Gap up along with a more than 100-point move. Major support zone (26050 - 26000). No shorting till this zone is decisively broken. No upper target. The view is bullish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
Back-2-back 2-day gap up. There are multiple unfilled gaps below. Price is again approaching the previous all-time high (ATH) of 26277.35. Major support zone (26050 - 26000). No shorting till this zone is decisively broken. Every down move should be doubted. No upper target. The view is bullish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
The market is in a running correction phase. The major support zone is (26050 - 26000). Today's price gave a breakout (from level 26050) of the W-Pattern. There is a high probability of the price reaching at least 26400 in the near future. The view is bullish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price must sustain above the opening price.
(ii) Price sustains above the level 26100.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price must sustain below the opening price.
(ii) Price forms lower lows and lower highs below level 26050.
(iii) Price decisively breaks down the level 26000.
Events: Nifty 50 weekly expiry. No other high-impact event.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) Makret is back in the bullish trend phase. Price is again approaching the previous ATH (26277.35).
(ii) Zone (26050 - 26000) is now a major support zone. No shorting till price gives a breakdown below this zone.
(iii) For bullish trades, the price must sustain above 26100 for a long time.
(iv) A contrarian view (bearish) is necessary as the market is in a running correction phase. There are multiple unfilled gaps below. Price might reverse to fill those gaps. Maybe the present bullish trend is only a trap. Nobody knows. So, be cautious.
(v) There will be a back-to-back 2-day expiry as the 25th of December (Thursday) will be a holiday. So, be cautious.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
More upaide in Nifty/Banknifty 23rd December
The nifty broke the Ascending triangle pattern in 15 minutes timeframe however big gapup today ruined the trade. probably on 23rd there would be a gapup.
There are 2 possibilities either it will straight go for the last top in nifty OR make wobbly move for next few days but Selling PUT option would be a profitable move with todays low as a strike price.
Same for banknifty.
XAUUSD (Gold) 15TF Technical Outlook - 22/12/2025 XAU/USD (Gold) maintains a strong bullish structure, with price trading near 4415–4420 and holding firmly above all major moving averages, confirming trend continuation. The primary BUY zone lies at 4410–4408, which is the key pivot, EMA cluster, and decision level for intraday and positional bulls. As long as price sustains above this buy zone, upside momentum remains intact, opening targets toward 4425, 4440, and the extended resistance area of 4460–4480.
On the bearish side, short-term selling pressure or profit booking may emerge near 4425–4440, but this remains corrective in nature. The key BEAR trigger level is below 4400, and stronger bearish confirmation appears only if gold breaks and sustains below 4385–4380, where the bullish structure weakens. A decisive breakdown below these levels could drag price toward 4360–4350, while a complete trend reversal is expected only below 4300. Overall, the market favors buy-on-dips above 4408, with bears gaining control strictly below 4380.
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 23rd December 2025*Expiry day* If NIFTY sustain above 26179/26207/225/32 above this bullish then if opens gapup or has to break in a big spike then only we can hope to see above level above this wait more levels marked on chart
If NIFTY sustain below 26159 below this bearish then 26117/09 or 26091 below this more bearish then 26031/26011 below this wait more levels marked on chart
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
BTCUSD Trade Execution - Levels on point BTCUSD trade executed as planned.
Entry: 88,800
Stop Loss: 88,700
Target: 90,400
Risk was predefined, execution stayed clean, and levels were respected.
One trade. One plan. No overthinking.
#BTCUSD #BitcoinTrading #CryptoTrade #TradeRecap #TradingView #PriceAction #RiskManagement #Discipline #CryptoTrader
GER40 Holds Key Fibonacci Support – Upside Continuation LikelyThe GER40 chart indicates that a larger A-B-C corrective structure has been completed at the recent low, marked as (C), after which the index began a fresh impulsive upward move. From that bottom, price has formed a clean five-wave advance, confirming the start of a new bullish cycle. The recent pullback appears to be a typical Wave 2 correction, which has respected the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci support zone, a common area where corrections typically end. This suggests the correction is likely complete and the market is preparing for Wave 3, which is usually the strongest and fastest upward wave. As long as price holds above the Wave 2 low, the bullish Elliott Wave structure remains valid. Overall, the setup favours continued upside, with potential for higher highs in the coming sessions.
Stay tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Thank you :)






















