AUDNZD – Intraday Short Setup🟢 AUDNZD – Intraday Short Setup
🔹 Timeframe: 15 min
🔹 Setup Type: Rally-Base-Drop (Supply Zone Rejection)
🔹 Entry Zone: 1.1333 – 1.1344
🔹 Stop Loss: Above 1.1345
🔹 Target: 1.1290 (1:3 RR)
🔹 Market Structure: Lower high forming with bearish momentum continuation
💡 Analysis Insight:
Price tapped into the identified supply zone and showed rejection wicks. Expecting short-term bearish move towards the previous low zone around 1.1290.
📉 Bias: Bearish until 1.1345 breaks cleanly.
📅 Date: 6 Oct 2025
Community ideas
TCS - Time to go up towards 3500+ Bullish CRAB PRZ at play
TF: Daily
CMP: 2965
Here is my previous post on this script for a detailed review.
Price has completed the potential target as per the Bullish Crab pattern.
Results are due in the next couple of weeks.
I expect the stock to bounce from this zone 2900-2950 and potentially march towards 3500+ in the coming weeks
Internal wave counts are also marked in this chart.
I will await bullish confirmation candle in this zone for a good RR entry.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
Beautiful 6R BTC trade scenariosBTC is forming both buy and sell side trades as the price is in critical zone. BTC will possibly give us both side good trades. We need to wait for price getting into right zones.
1. Currently price is moving around daily and 4H gradient levels.
2. 125275 level is creating a gradient cluster of both 1d and 4h time frame. Which may give us a good sell side trade if price show clear reversal signals.
3. There is an 1hour iFVG if price takes liquidity of it, most probably it will touch gradient cluster level and good sell scenario may be confirmed.
4. There are several SIBIs which may be target for it and further buy side reversal trade.
5. Buy side reversal trade may be good trade as overall BTC order flow is upside.
6. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVGs and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
7. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF (5m,1m) at FVG zone.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and 5.5R trade scenario.
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Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
BSE - Cash Trade Always SAFEBSE CMP 2100
SL CLB 1800 for aggressive Traders
buy dips till 1800 & SL CLB 1650 for Safe Traders
expected tgts 2450-2650-2850 & More
⚠️ Note: Stick to levels, follow discipline & use TSL (Trailing Stop Loss) once targets start approaching.
Let’s stay hopeful that the move continues as per our expectations! 📈
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The Redoubling. BRBR: The New King of U.S. Sports Nutrition?About Redoubling
Redoubling is my own research project, which is designed to answer the following question: How long will it take me to double my capital? Each article will focus on a different company that I've added to my model portfolio. I'll use the close price of the last daily candle on the day the article is published as the trade price. I'll make all my decisions based on fundamental analysis. Furthermore, I'm not going to use leverage in my calculations, but I'll reduce my capital by the amount of commissions (0.1% per trade) and taxes (20% capital gains and 25% dividend). To find out the current price of the company's shares, just click the Play button on the chart. But please use this stuff only for educational purposes. Just so you know, this isn't investment advice.
Below’s a detailed overview of BellRing Brands, Inc. (ticker: BRBR )
1. Main areas of activity
BellRing Brands is a consumer nutrition company focused on the “convenient nutrition” category. It markets protein‑based products (ready‑to‑drink shakes, powders, and nutrition bars) under key brands such as Premier Protein, Dymatize, and PowerBar. BellRing operates as a holding company structure overseeing these brand businesses and focuses on scaling distribution, penetration, and innovation in nutrition.
2. Business model
BellRing generates revenue by selling its nutrition products (shakes, powders, bars) through multiple channels (e.g., club, mass retail, e‑commerce, convenience, specialty) in the U.S. and internationally. Its model is largely B2C (business to consumers) via retail and direct channels, but it also relies on partnerships with retailers, distributors, and co‑manufacturers to handle production, contract manufacturing, logistics, and shelf space. BellRing also invests in marketing, brand building, and household penetration to drive repeat purchases and buy rate growth.
3. Flagship products or services
BellRing’s main brands and product lines are:
Premier Protein : its flagship brand, offering ready-to-drink protein shakes, powder versions, and refreshing protein beverages. It is the largest contributor in their portfolio.
Dymatize : positioned more toward sports nutrition / performance protein powders and related products.
PowerBar : a legacy nutrition bar brand, serving more as an international / cross‑category extension.
4. Key countries for business
While BellRing’s primary market is the United States, the company is working to expand its international presence. Dymatize’s international growth is cited as a positive driver. The PowerBar brand, too, has reach in over 35 international markets, particularly in Europe. That said, BellRing is often characterized as a “pure-play U.S. nutrition company” with ambitions to globalize further. Given that most of its distribution and consumer footprint is U.S.-centric, domestic retail, e‑commerce, and convenience channels are especially critical.
5. Main competitors
BellRing competes in the broader food, beverage, and nutrition space. Key competitive and peer companies include:
Medifast, Inc. (nutrition / diet & wellness products).
Large consumer goods and beverage companies like Coca-Cola, Unilever, Keurig Dr Pepper, Hershey (via beverage / nutrition arms).
Specialty nutrition / supplement companies in protein, health / wellness space.
According to Craft, competitors include Amy’s Kitchen and others in adjacent nutrition / food segments.
In more aggregate industry comparisons, BellRing is grouped with food processing and consumer non‑cyclical peers.
6. External and internal factors contributing to profit growth
External factors
Macro trends toward health, wellness, and functional nutrition: As consumers increasingly seek products with protein, clean labeling, convenience, and functional benefits, BellRing is well positioned to capture demand.
Low penetration in key product segments: The company notes that shakes as a segment still have relatively low household penetration (e.g., 48% in some tracked channels), implying room for growth.
Distribution expansion and new channels (e‑commerce, convenience): Growth across untracked channels, international sales, and digital platforms can expand reach.
Commodity cycles and input cost declines: Favorable raw material or input cost trends (or hedges) may improve margins. In Q4 2024, the company cited net input cost deflation as contributing to higher margins.
Internal factors
Brand strength and household penetration growth: Premier Protein has seen strong gains in penetration, which supports recurring demand.
Supply and manufacturing scale-up: BellRing has built out co‑manufacturing networks and increased shake supply to remove constraints.
Operational efficiency and margin expansion: The company uses cost discipline, procurement, production fees (e.g. attainment fees), and hedging strategies.
Share repurchase programs: The company actively buys back shares to return capital and support per‑share earnings growth.
Product innovation and extensions: New product launches under the nutrition umbrella can drive incremental volume and revenue.
7. External and internal factors contributing to profit decline
External threats
Intense competition and market saturation: The nutrition / functional beverage space is crowded, with many well-capitalized incumbents. Loss of shelf space or promotional pressure could erode margins.
Retailer power and inventory cuts: In Q3 2025, BellRing disclosed that major retailers cut weeks of supply, expected to create a growth headwind.
Input cost inflation and commodity volatility: Rising costs or unfavorable mark-to-market hedging could compress margins.
Regulatory, labeling, or health claims risks: In food, beverage and nutrition sectors, regulatory changes around supplements, health claims, or labeling could impose costs.
Legal / litigation exposure: BellRing disclosed a $90 million class‑wide settlement related to past litigation (Joint Juice).
Internal weaknesses
Overdependence on core brands / product categories: If Premier Protein underperforms, the company’s revenue concentration could pose risk.
Operational execution risks: Scaling manufacturing, supply chain disruptions, quality control failures, or missteps in marketing could hurt growth.
Legal reserves / unexpected provisions: The provision for legal matters in Q3 2025 hit results, dragging operating profit.
8. Stability of management
Executive changes in the past 5 years
Darcy Horn Davenport serves as President & CEO and is on the board. She previously led Post’s Active Nutrition business before BellRing was spun off.
Paul Rode is CFO, with long experience in the nutrition business and prior roles at Post, including serving as CFO of Post’s Active Nutrition.
On July 30, 2025, BellRing announced that Elliot H. Stein, Jr. will resign from the Board effective September 30, 2026. Concurrently, Thomas P. Erickson was appointed lead independent director, Shawn W. Conway became Chair of the Compensation & Governance Committee, and Jennifer Kuperman joined the Executive Committee.
These changes are described as governance/committee reassignments rather than executive turnovers.
Impact on corporate strategy / culture
The management team appears relatively stable at the top, with no major CEO or CFO turnover recently. The board changes seem more about committee roles and succession planning rather than a radical shift. Under Davenport’s leadership, the company has executed aggressive growth, brand penetration, and supply expansion strategies, suggesting continuity and alignment between management and strategy. The board adjustments are intended to facilitate smooth continuity rather than disrupt direction, which may support investor confidence.
Why did I add this company to my model portfolio?
I took a look at the company's basics, and it seems like earnings per share aren't growing right now, but total revenue is growing steadily over time. This, combined with a low debt-to-revenue ratio and steady operating, investing, and financing cash flows, gives the balance sheet a good foundation. Some other things to note are that return on equity and gross margin are growing steadily, the current ratio is strong, and interest coverage is excellent. All of these things show that liquidity and solvency are solid. With a P/E of 20.36, I think the valuation is interesting given these fundamentals and consistent with a balanced growth profile.
I didn't find any major news that could threaten the company's stability or lead to insolvency. Considering a diversification coefficient of 20 and an observed deviation of the current stock price from its annual average by more than 16 EPS, I decided to allocate 15% of my capital to this company at the close price of the last daily bar.
Portfolio overview
Below are screenshots from TradingView's Portfolios tool. I used $100,000 as my initial capital for the model portfolio. I will update these screenshots as I add new trades.
Wolfe Wave Set up on FortisTF: 75 Minutes
CMP: 978
Wolfe Wave set up appears at the top.
Price is now trading below the trendline connecting the tops (after a brief pop out above the trendline) and the set up is active.
Ideal target is placed at around 900-920, which, also happens to be the rising trendline from April low connecting July low.
The 900 and 920 Zone is also happens to be the CLOUD Support and previous swing lows
Price is comfortably trading in the bullish territory on Daily TF, so trading against the major trend is always risky. MY SL is close above the trendline at the top.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
Long positions on LTIM - Swing or PositionalLTIM is looking like it's going to be a good performer in the IT space.
While the overall IT index seems to be bottoming out, LTIM has been quietly consolidating in a good zone after correction since Dec 2024
The stock is currently at a good buying zone and near the long term trend line.
I have taken long position on the stock for an initial Target of 6000 price.
SL is 5000 price.
P.S. Not a recommendation. Pls do your own due diligence.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 06.10.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 06.10.2025
RTF: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
please like and share my idea if you find it helpful
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Nifty - Weekly Review Oct 6 to Oct 10In a lower time frame, the price is moving within an ascending channel. Channel movement requires more patience to identify trade setups and execute them. In the daily time frame, the price is taking a trendline support.
Nearby resistance is seen at the 25000 zone.
Buy above 24920 with the stop loss of 24860 for the targets 24960, 25000, 25040, 25100, 25160, 25220, and 25280.
Sell below 24760 with the stop loss of 24820 for the targets 24720, 24660, 24600, 24560, and 24520.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
SBI Cards : Double Bottom Breakout Ignites Bullish MomentumSBI Cards and Payments has given a strong bullish breakout from a well-defined double bottom pattern on the daily chart, indicating bullish potential
The price has crossed above the neckline zone, confirming the breakout strength. The structure suggests that buyers have regained control, and momentum indicators are supporting further upside.
Currently, the stock is showing sustained strength above its short-term moving averages, and the breakout candle has closed decisively above resistance.
Based on the pattern height and measured move projection, the next potential target comes around the ₹904 price level. Any retest towards the neckline could offer a fresh buying opportunity with a favorable risk-reward setup.
Key Levels:
Support: 845
Resistance: 904
Trend Bias: Bullish above 840
Conclusion:
The technical breakout from the double bottom pattern points towards renewed upward momentum in SBI Cards. A sustained move above 860–870 can accelerate the rally towards the 904 zone in the short term.
Buy TIINDIA | Swing Trading | Sep 1, 2025 Intraday Candle Spike🛒 Trade Snapshot: TIINDIA
- Buy Date: 30-Sep-2025
- Buy Price: ₹3125.00
- Quantity: 7
-Setup Reference: Sep 1, 2025 intraday candle spike
- Chart Context: Intraday spike from Aug 04 acted as hidden demand
- Confirmation: Price held above spike origin with strength
⏳ Exit Plan: Time-Based Strategy
- Exit Window: Within 14 calendar days from entry
- Exit Logic: Time-based, not price-based
- Core Belief: Time is the primary driver of my setups
- Why Time Matters:
- Price may fluctuate, but lifecycle setups mature within a defined time
- Avoids emotional bias tied to targets or stop-losses
- Keeps discipline intact across all trades
- Execution Rule: Trade will be closed regardless of price action once the time threshold is hit
🔍 Real Trades 💸 Real Capital 📘 Fully Journaled
Every setup shared here is executed live with my own funds—no simulations, no hindsight.
#TimeBasedTrading
#SwingTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 6, 2025)
________________________________________
🔹 1. Momentum
D1 Timeframe
• Daily momentum is currently declining, with both lines starting to converge inside the overbought zone.
• Today is a critical day:
o If the daily candle closes strongly bullish, price may extend the upside for another 2–3 days.
o If the daily candle closes bearish, momentum will continue to decline, suggesting the correction may extend further.
➡️ Therefore, today’s daily close will be important to determine the mid–term trend direction.
H4 Timeframe
• H4 momentum lines are stuck together in the overbought zone, indicating a potential reversal could happen at any moment.
H1 Timeframe
• H1 momentum is turning upward, but since it’s already near the overbought area, the current push may not be sustainable.
➡️ A short-term pullback is likely to occur within the next 1–2 H1 candles.
________________________________________
🔹 2. Wave Structure
D1 Timeframe
• On the daily chart, price has broken above 3877, which is the second target of the yellow wave 5.
• Given the strong move, this could simply be a liquidity sweep, not necessarily the end of wave 5 yet.
➡️ We need to observe the daily close to confirm whether momentum continues to weaken or stabilizes.
H4 Timeframe
• After a 3-wave ABC correction (in blue), the price is now moving within purple wave 5.
• Based on the current price channel, two possible targets for purple wave 5 are:
o 🎯 Target 1: 3923
o 🎯 Target 2: 3986
H1 Timeframe
• The structure shows a 5-wave pattern (in black) inside purple wave 5.
• The 0.618 projection of wave 5 has already been reached near 3926, which also aligns with the 0.382 retracement level of the H4 structure — creating a strong confluence zone suitable for a potential short setup.
• If price closes decisively above 3926, it may continue to extend toward 3986.
➡️ In that case, it’s better to wait for a clear reversal signal near 3986 rather than shorting too early.
________________________________________
🔹 3. Trading Plan
📍 Setup:
• Sell Now: 3925 – 3926
• Stop Loss: 3936
• Take Profit: 3899
📌 Safer Option:
Wait for a bearish H1 confirmation candle before entering the trade.
⚠️ Note:
This is a potential topping phase, so it’s essential to manage positions carefully — avoid loose stop losses or unprotected exposure.
Bharti Airtel: Structure Analysis & Trade PlanStock: Bharti Airtel Limited (BHARTIARTL) - NSE
Timeframe: Daily (D)
Current Price: ₹1,896.70
1. Market Structure & Chart Pattern Analysis
Observation: The stock has been locked in a clear Rectangular Consolidation (or Sideways Range) since late July 2025, after posting a significant high. This is a crucial area of re-accumulation or distribution before the next major move.
Range High / Resistance (Supply Zone): ₹1,950 to ₹1,970. This area has consistently capped price attempts (marked by red arrows).
Range Low / Support (Demand Zone): ₹1,840 to ₹1,860. This area has provided strong institutional demand (marked by green arrows).
Current Price Action: The most recent daily candle showed a bullish bounce, confirming interest near the mid-to-lower portion of the range, reinforcing the demand below ₹1,860.
2. ICT (Smart Money) Interpretation
In a consolidation, Smart Money Concepts (ICT) focus on trapping traders at the extremes (liquidity sweeps) before expanding price.
Liquidity Pools:
Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): Sits above the high of the range at ₹1,970. A breakout move will aim to sweep this liquidity.
Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): Sits below the low of the range at ₹1,840. This is the prime target for a stop-hunt before a potential strong reversal to the upside.
Optimal Trade Zone: The support zone from ₹1,840 to ₹1,860 acts as a prime institutional demand zone. A high-probability long setup involves entering near this low, specifically waiting for a quick wick/sweep below ₹1,840 and a reclaim of the range.
Market Structure Shift (MSS): The larger MSS will only occur with a decisive daily close above ₹1,970 (bullish) or below ₹1,840 (bearish).
3. Swing Trade Plan (BHARTIARTL)
We must prepare for two main scenarios: trading the range and trading the breakout.
Scenario A: High Probability Range Trade (Long)
This setup anticipates a continuation of the bounce off the recent demand.
Action : BUY (Anticipating push to range high)
Entry Zone. : ₹1,860−₹1,880 (Closer to the support is better, but a push above ₹1,900 might signal immediate strength.)
Stop Loss (SL) : Below ₹1,830 (Must be placed below the SSL/Range Low to protect against an invalidation of the consolidation structure).
Target 1 (T1) : ₹1,930−₹1,950 (Mid-range resistance).
Target 2 (T2) : ₹1,970 (Range High / BSL).
Scenario B: Breakout Trade (Long - Requires Patience)
This setup initiates only after the consolidation is clearly broken to the upside, signaling the start of the next large trend wave.
Action : BUY (Positional/Expansion)
Entry Zone. : Breakout & Retest of ₹1,970. Wait for a decisive Daily candle close above ₹1,970, then enter on the retest of ₹1,970 acting as new support.
Stop Loss (SL) : Below ₹1,920 (Place below the last significant swing low of the previous range).
Target : ₹2,100−₹2,200 (Measured move from the consolidation box).
Risk Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis based on chart patterns and institutional concepts for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you are responsible for your own capital. Always adhere to strict risk management principles.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 06/10/2025Nifty is expected to open flat near the 24,900 level, indicating a balanced sentiment between buyers and sellers after recent positive momentum. The index is currently hovering close to its upper consolidation zone, and today’s session will be crucial to determine whether it breaks above resistance or faces selling pressure.
A sustained move above 24,950–25,100 could trigger a strong upside rally toward 25,150, 25,200, and 25,250+, marking a potential continuation of the recovery trend. On the downside, a rejection from the upper band may lead to a pullback toward 24,850, 24,800, and 24,750 levels.
Overall, the short-term outlook remains cautiously bullish as long as Nifty holds above the 24,750 support zone. Traders should focus on breakout confirmations from the current consolidation range to capture directional intraday moves.
NIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
BANKNIFTY Levels for TodayHere are the BANKNIFTY’s Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(06/10/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open flat around the 55,550 level after a strong rally in the previous sessions. The index has been consolidating near the resistance zone, indicating that today’s move could decide the next short-term direction.
If Bank Nifty sustains above 55,550–55,600, it may resume its upward momentum, opening the path toward 55,750, 55,850, and 55,950+. A breakout and close above 56,000 will further strengthen bullish sentiment and attract fresh buying interest.
On the downside, immediate support lies at 55,450–55,400. A breakdown below this range may lead to a corrective dip toward 55,250, 55,150, and 55,050-. Traders should watch for a breakout or breakdown from this consolidation zone before initiating directional trades.
Overall, the sentiment remains cautiously positive with a flat opening, but traders are advised to wait for confirmation before taking aggressive positions.
NIFTY Analysis 6 october 2025 ,Daily Morning update at 9 amMarket likely to open flat or slightly positive
Watch initial hour price action around 24935 level
Sustaining above 24935 can trigger short covering
Upside move may extend towards 24983 level
Further momentum possible till 25033 if bn pattern forms
Below 24842 weakness may return
Downside can extend towards 24805 level
24935 is a critical decision zone for market direction
Above 24935 market sentiment remains positive
Below 24842 selling pressure may increase
Technical bias remains neutral to mildly bullish
Volatility may increase near resistance zones
Stay cautious between 24842 and 24935 consolidation banddd