MOSCHIP BREAKOUT with Heavy Volume moschip is Given Decent Movement in past with High Volume. And now it's given good Breakout with Bullish Englulfing Candle. It's a Clear Breakout and it can give 5 -8% Quick movement from here . Keep SL 5%
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Community ideas
SHALBY: a probable longPros
-hospitals are a money minting machine attracting institutions (FII stake ⬆️)
-ARPOB (average revenue per occupied bed, one of the core metrics in hospitals)⬆️
-positive management commentary. for eg, aiming to improve profitability by reducing low margin schemes and focusssing on profitable schemes
-highest ever sales
-expanding through acquisitions, would eventually bring in the highest ever profits
-highest volumes of the year (week)
Cons
-SL needs risk management
-receivables > 6M = 20% of quarterly turnover (although some are from the government, they are still overdue)
Disc: Invested
Motherson - Cup and Handle PatternMOTHERSON exhibits a well-defined and technically strong cup-and-handle pattern, confirming a bullish trend continuation signal.
The breakout was clean and heavily volume-supported, and the retest appears to be holding—a key zone to observe for buyers.
Monitor volume and price action closely: a bounce from current support may signal next leg up, while a failure may invalidate the pattern.
Ideal entry points would be above the breakout neckline—with stop-loss below the handle and targets based on cup depth.
This analysis is provided purely for educational and informational purposes, based on public technical references. It should not be construed as financial advice. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
ULTRACEMCO | Buy & Sell Setup | 15 Sep 2025 – 21:50 IST ULTRACEMCO | Buy & Sell Setup | 15 Sep 2025 – 21:50 IST
Buy Zone: 12481.05 – 12447.00
Sell Zone: 12351.00 – 12323.65
Scenario : Buy
Entry: 12480.00
Stop Loss: 12342.00
Targets:
TP1 → 12626.00
TP2 → 12743.00
TP2 → 13097.00
Analysis:
From Buy Zone (12481.05 – 12447.00) creates possibilities for a buy move.
Scenario 2 : Sell
Entry: 12342.00
Stop Loss: 12480.00
Targets:
TP1 → 12125
TP2 → 11321
Analysis:
From Sell Zone (12351.00 – 12323.65) creates possibilities for a sell move.
Stay alert on updates here.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This idea is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own analysis before making trading decisions.
Samvardhana Motherson International (NSE: MOTHERSON) – Rising BrTechnical Setup (1D Chart)
• Stock is trending higher for the 7th straight day, up ~3% to ₹107.8, and trading volume accelerated (~44 M shares)
• Price has broken above a key horizontal resistance around ₹107–108 (purple zone) and is now supported by an upward-sloping trendline connecting recent swing lows (~₹70 → ₹90 → ₹100)
• Next target zone lies near ₹115–120, followed by all-time high resistance around ₹144–145
Catalysts & Fundamentals
• Management reiterated its Vision 2030—targeting aggressive growth through auto and non-auto segments, including assembling cars by 2030
• FY26 plans: allocating 70% of ₹6,000 cr capex into non-auto verticals to diversify revenue streams
• Q4/FY25 financials: revenue grew ~8% YoY, but PAT dropped ~23%, weighed by rising expansion costs
• Strategic expansion underway: pursuing $2B acquisition of Marelli, though facing opposition from hedge fund Strategic Value Partners
Outlook & Expectation
Momentum remains bullish, with the strong breakout and support at ₹107–108. Short-term pullback is plausible if profit-taking appears, with support levels near ₹104–105 (pivot) and ₹100. If the breakout holds, price could test the ₹115–120 zone in the coming weeks. Watch for volume confirmation and any developments around the Marelli acquisition or diversification execution.
Gold Futures (MCX) – Breakout Towards Upper ChannelDescription:
Gold Futures (MCX) has broken out of the 100–102k consolidation zone and is trending inside a strong ascending channel. Price is approaching the upper channel resistance near 110–112k, while supports lie at 108.6k and 107.4k.
Liquidity in MCX gold contracts remains healthy, supported by strong ETF inflows, central bank buying, and expectations of Fed rate cuts. While the broader structure stays bullish, short-term consolidation or pullbacks may occur near the channel top.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 110k–112k (upper channel)
Support: 108.6k / 107.4k, major zone 100–102k
Bias: Bullish above 100k
Buy idea in TeslaThe stock is in strong uptrend and open with a break away gap up giving ascending triangle breakout or Cup and Handle Pattern after Nov 2021. This stock is trading above 60 RSI on D,W,M which show strong momentum. If the stock sustain above 425 pattern for sometime then the stock can give a good return in 1-2 year perspective.
Gold prices are expected to remain volatile: $3,635-3,660.Gold prices are expected to remain volatile: $3,635-3,660.
International gold prices are fluctuating at high levels, with market expectations of a Fed rate cut and geopolitical risks acting as key support.
From a technical perspective, the overbought region supports the view that gold prices will continue to fluctuate within a range.
As shown in Figure 2h:
Key short-term support levels: $3,620-3,635-3,600; resistance level: $3,660.
Market focus is highly focused on this week's Federal Reserve FOMC meeting, with the market pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut probability exceeding 93%.
This is likely to trigger the next directional breakout in gold.
Gold faces short-term technical correction pressure and needs to consolidate before building momentum for the next round of gains.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Upward Resistance: Near-term major resistance lies in the $3,657-3,658 range.
A successful breakout could re-challenge the all-time high of $3,675 and open the door for a test of the $3,700 mark. Downside Support: Immediate support lies in the $3,627-3,620 range.
If broken, further declines to $3,600-3,580 (static level, 20-day simple moving average) are possible. Stronger support lies at the psychological level of $3,500.
Current Trend Analysis: Since reaching a new all-time high, gold prices have not shown any clear reversal signals (such as a high-level shooting star or a large black candlestick), indicating that bullish market sentiment remains dominant.
Currently, the price is consolidating at a high level, which can be considered a healthy correction within the trend.
Trading Strategy:
Short-term traders: Try to buy low and sell high in the $3,620-3,660 range, but be sure to maintain a small position and set a strict stop-loss.
Focus on a directional breakout opportunity after the Fed's decision.
Medium- to long-term investors: The bullish trend in gold remains unchanged.
Any pullback caused by the market "selling the facts" or by less-than-expected dovish Fed comments could be an opportunity to establish a phased long position in the $3,600-3,500 support area.
Key Points to Watch Next:
Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting (this week): More importantly, it's not just the interest rate decision, but also the future rate trajectory and Powell's outlook for the economy and inflation.
Other Central Bank Moves: The Bank of England, Bank of Japan, and others will also announce interest rate decisions, which will influence global liquidity expectations and the dollar's trajectory.
Geopolitical Situation: Any escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict or the situation in the Middle East could trigger a new round of safe-haven buying.
US Economic Data: Any data on employment, inflation, and economic growth will influence market expectations of Fed policy.
NIFTY getting ready for UNIDIRECTIONAL UPMOVE!!We expected NIFTY to take rejection around previous swing and we did kinda see that and showing rejection around previous swing but it can also be seen that NIFTY is maintaining itself above the supply zone and psychological level of 25000 hence as long as we are above this level every dip can be bought so plan your trades accordingly.
Gold 1H – Fed Week: Liquidity Sweeps Before FOMCGold on the 1H timeframe is range-bound around 3,643 after a series of ChoCH/BOS prints. Liquidity is stacked above the intraday buy zone at 3,658–3,656 and higher at 3,676–3,678, while discount liquidity sits near 3,615–3,613. With markets pricing a possible Fed cut this week and the dot-plot in focus, expect engineered spikes into premium followed by mean reversion before any sustained move.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,676 – 3,678 (SL 3,683): Premium resistance for an engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,665 → 3,655 → 3,645.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,658 – 3,656 (SL 3,651): Intraday demand within prior consolidation targeting 3,665 → 3,670 → 3,675+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,615 – 3,613 (SL 3,610): Discount demand at the base of structure targeting 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Intraday Reclaim (3,658–3,656)
• Entry: 3,658 – 3,656
• Stop Loss: 3,651
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,665
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,675+
👉 Look for a sweep into the zone and an H1 close back above 3,656 to confirm order-flow continuation.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount Sweep (3,615–3,613)
• Entry: 3,615 – 3,613
• Stop Loss: 3,610
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,645
TP3: 3,655+
👉 High R:R if liquidity runs into protected demand before the New York session.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Sweep to Resistance (3,676–3,678)
• Entry: 3,676 – 3,678
• Stop Loss: 3,683
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,665
TP2: 3,655
TP3: 3,645
👉 Expect a stop-run above recent highs into premium; invalidate on a firm H1 close above 3,683.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Into Fed week, smart money often runs both sides of the book. Bias today favours: discount buys at 3,658–3,656 and 3,615–3,613, and a premium fade at 3,676–3,678. Use reduced size, wait for structure confirmation, and avoid holding through any unexpected Fed headlines or USD spikes.
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Banco India (Daily Timeframe) - Potential ATH ??Banco India remains in a dominant long-term uptrend that started in June 2020. After a brief corrective downtrend from November 2024 to April 2025, the stock entered a sideways consolidation phase.
Today, the stock decisively broke out of this consolidation range with a surge of +12.84% on significant volume , signaling strong buyer commitment & a new All Time High (ATH) . This bullish move is further supported by short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), which are in a positive crossover state.
If this upward momentum is sustained, the next potential price target is the ₹850 level. Conversely, a failure to hold the breakout could see the price retrace to support near the ₹530 level.
Price-action is what matters !!
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | September 15✅ Fundamental Analysis
🔹 Fed Rate Cut Expectations
The Federal Reserve is almost certain to cut rates by 25 basis points in September, which is the market consensus. The recent rally in gold has been primarily driven by “rate cut expectations” rather than purely safe-haven demand. As the rate decision approaches, market volatility is expected to increase.
🔹 Geopolitical Risk Support
Ongoing global geopolitical risks continue to provide additional safe-haven support, keeping gold prices within a strong range.
🔹 “Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact” Logic
Before the rate decision: Market sentiment dominates, with gold maintaining a high-level bullish consolidation.
After the rate decision: If the rate cut is delivered and Powell does not sound excessively dovish, a short-term pullback could occur on “sell the fact” behavior.
✅ Technical Analysis
🔸 From a structural perspective, gold broke out of a four-month consolidation range and formed a strong unilateral uptrend, reaching as high as $3674. Based on the principle of “the longer the base, the higher the move,” the trend remains strong, with no clear topping signal yet. However, the rapid rise has caused short-term overextension, suggesting a need for technical correction.
🔸 On the 4-hour chart, the current candles are trading near the Bollinger Band midline (around $3640), showing balanced forces between bulls and bears. The narrowing Bollinger Bands indicate a consolidation phase. A strong breakout above the upper band ($3660) could lead to a retest of $3675–3680. The MA5, MA10, and MA20 are converging, showing that the market is waiting for a directional breakout. As long as prices hold above MA20 ($3640–3620), the bullish structure remains intact.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3657–3660 / 3675–3680
🟢 Support Levels: 3625–3630 / 3605–3610
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 Short-Term Idea: Focus on buying on dips near the 3625–3630 support zone. Light short positions may be considered if the price stalls near 3657–3660.
🔰 Medium-Term Idea: If gold breaks and holds above 3675–3680, the rally could extend toward 3700 or even new highs. If it falls below 3620–3610, a deeper correction may unfold, targeting 3595–3580.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 15/09/2025
1. Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum is about to enter the oversold zone. At the beginning of next week (Monday), D1 may officially enter the oversold area and start reversing upward.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is also approaching the oversold zone and preparing to reverse. This opens the expectation of a bullish move within the next 1–2 sessions.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining, so there may be one more short-term drop to push H1 into oversold conditions before a potential reversal.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
Price is still within wave iv (black). In terms of time, wave ii (black) took 7 daily candles to complete. According to the principle of alternation, waves 2 and 4 often differ in nature. With D1 momentum about to reach oversold, there is a high probability that wave iv (black) is near completion.
• H4 timeframe:
Price is moving sideways, which is consistent with the characteristics of wave iv. If in the next session H4 momentum reverses upward and reaches overbought while price still fails to break above 3657, then the corrective structure may evolve into a triangle or a double three (WXY).
• H1 timeframe:
An ABC corrective structure seems completed, but instead of rallying, price continues to consolidate within the liquidity block at 3657 – 3631. This suggests a more complex structure is unfolding, either a triangle or a WXY combination.
With D1 momentum heading into oversold, the expected downside range is 3631 – 3595, which also aligns with the nearest high-liquidity zones on the chart.
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3. Price Zones & Targets
• Breakout level:
o 3657 → A strong candle close above this level would confirm a buy signal.
• Support / Buy zones:
o 3631 – 3632 → Possible bottom of the current correction.
o 3593 – 3596 → Scenario if wave iv develops into a WXY structure.
• Wave v (black) target:
o Projection: 3709 (main target).
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4. Trading Plan
1. Buy Breakout 3657
o SL: below breakout candle
o TP: 3709
2. Buy Zone 3632 – 3630
o SL: 3622
o TP: 3709
3. Buy Zone 3596 – 3593
o SL: 3585
o TP: 3709
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👉 Summary: Both D1 and H4 momentum are approaching oversold, signaling that wave iv (black) may soon complete. The preferred strategy is to wait for confirmation at liquidity zones (3631 – 3595), or for a strong breakout above 3657, to join the next bullish wave v (black) targeting 3709.