Community ideas
STRONG BULL CASE - VALUE ZONECompelling value buy at current levels. Following a corrective phase, the stock has stabilized at a critical support zone (INR 350), offering a highly favorable risk-reward ratio. Despite recent headwinds in revenue growth (-5% YoY), the company’s valuation at ~11x P/E discounts much of the negativity, while its leadership in the EV segment remains a robust long-term catalyst.
Key Investment Thesis
Dominant EV Market Share: TMPV retains a commanding ~62% share of the Indian EV market. With the new battery gigafactory expected to go online by 2026, margin expansion is anticipated.
Valuation Comfort: Trading near INR 350, the stock is at a significant discount to its historical average valuation. The current price prices in the recent cyclical slowdown, ignoring the improving retail sales data from the JLR segment.
Technical Reversal: The daily chart shows a "Mean Reversion" setup. The stock is respecting the INR 345-350 demand zone (previous breakout level). A bounce here aligns with the lower Bollinger Band support, signaling an oversold condition ripe for a relief rally.
Technical Levels (from Chart)
Support: INR 350 (Immediate Demand), INR 340 (Strong Floor).
Resistance: INR 380 (20-day MA confluence), INR 411 (Supply Zone).
Updated Nifty Analysis for Dec 19, 2025Wrap-up:
In wave 2 of Major wave 1, Nifty forming a wxy pattern. Wave w has been completed at 25318 and wave x at 26325 and wave y is in progress of which a is completed at 25891 and wave b is in progress.
In wave b, inner wxy pattern is formed and wave w is completed at 26098 and and wave x is in progress. In wave x, again wxy is formed in which w and x are completed and y is in progress.
In wave y, a is completed at 25904 and b is in progress which is expected to be completed in the range of 25908-26012. Thereafter, Nifty will head towards c.
What I’m Watching for Dec 19, 2025 🔍
Short nifty 25908-26012 sl 26058 for a target of 25565-25469.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
JK Tyre new high in a weak marketEvaluating Tyre companies for sometime now and JK and CEAT looks good with the RM basket coming down. Net of Rupee devaluation the impact looks positive. JK Tyre is forming what is akin to a C&H pattern, though its not your case of classic C&H ( took more than 65 weeks to form) . Seeing the auto sales number + lower RM basket, this looks like a case of possible upside.
sell trade in niftyselling nifty with sl of 25 points for a target of bottom liquidity sweep .
Nifty taking rejection from liquidity sweep top . if price sustains we can see a good fall till liquidity sweep bottom . more bearish levels are not yet validated . we can see more fall till mid reversal .
Nifty Intraday levels 19 Dec 25🎯 LEVELS FOR TODAY | 19-Dec
📊 NIFTY 50 (25816)
BULLISH 🟢 | Width: 0.68%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔹 Pivot: 25815
🟢 R3: 26080 | 🔴 S3: 25552
🟢 R2: 25991 | 🔴 S2: 25639
🟢 R1: 25904 | 🔴 S1: 25728
Range: 176 (0.68%)
📊 BANKNIFTY (58913)
BEARISH 🔴 | Width: 0.84%
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🔹 Pivot: 58946
🟢 R3: 59677 | 🔴 S3: 58183
🟢 R2: 59444 | 🔴 S2: 58448
🟢 R1: 59179 | 🔴 S1: 58681
Range: 498 (0.85%)
💡 Trading Strategy
• Trade above Pivot = Long bias
• Trade below Pivot = Short bias
• Narrow Width Below .50 = Strong trend expected
• Wide Width Above .50 = Sideways/Range day
RELIANCE -Likely Cup&SAUCER Huge BREAK OUTRELIANCE : Trading at 1565 and above its 10/20/50 DEMA even on weekly chart .
Has formed Cup&Handle Pattern in weekly chart.
Price volume action and the pattern suggests a break out to 1600/1650/1700 levels on positional basis and giving a close above 1575(For educational purpose only)
Influx Healthtech LtdDate 19.12.2025
Influx Healthtech
Timeframe : Day Chart
Highlight : zero-debt small-cap company beating in valuation ratios to many large cap cos.
About
(1) Incorporated in September 2020
(2) Healthcare-focused company specialising in contract manufacturing
(3) Catering Business-to-Business (B2B)
(4) Clients in nutraceuticals, cosmetics, ayurvedic, veterinary and homecare
Business Segments & Product Portfolio
(1) Nutraceuticals (2874 products)
(2) Cosmetics (240 products)
(3) Ayurvedic (79 products)
(4) Veterinary (46 products)
(5) Homecare (30 products)
Revenue Bifurcation
(1) Nutraceuticals: 90.74%
(2) Cosmetics: 5.21%
(3) Ayurvedic: 2.92%
(4) Veterinary: 1.08%
(5) Homecare: 0.05%
Geographical Presence
Revenue From Domestic: 99.27%
Major states:
Maharashtra (61.29%)
Gujarat (19.72%)
Karnataka (6.79%)
Valuations
(1) Market Cap ₹ 513 Cr
(2) Stock Pe 29
(3) Roce 60 %
(4) Roe 45 %
(5) Book Value 5.5X
(6) Opm 21%
(7) Promoter 73%
(8) Profit Growth (TTM) 20%
(9) EV/Ebita 19
(10) PEG 0.66
Regards,
Ankur Singh
Adaniports As per the daily chart, price is moving within the channel. The price has faced resistance at the zone 1520 and is moving towards the lower trend line of the channel. It can take support from the 1480 zone.
If the price breaks the channel and sustains below 1465 zone, it means bears are gaining strength.
We can expect 2 scenarios. If the price takes support from the lower trend line of the channel, buy above 1486 with the stop loss of 1472 for the targets 1498, 1512, 1526, 1540 and 1558.
Sell below 1460 with the stop loss of 1474 for the targets 1448, 1434, 1420, 1404 and 1386.
It will be exciting if the market gives us 3rd scenario.
Always analyse before taking any trade.
HCLTECH -Waiting for Price to Enter My ZonePrice is still trading inside a declining structure. I’m not interested in chasing moves in between.
My focus is on letting price come into my predefined area, where risk is clear and structure makes sense. If price reacts from that zone, opportunities open up. If not, I stay flat.
This is not about predicting the next move — it’s about waiting, discipline, and execution at the right place.
Patience > hype. Structure > noise.
TCS - Swing Trade Setup📌 TCS — Elliott Wave Outlook: Possible Wave 4 Bounce Before Wave 5 Decline
TCS is currently trading near a critical zone where the earlier ABC corrective structure has already been completed. Price action is now approaching a region where structural deviation may occur.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, if the price breaks above the ABC completion zone, it can indicate the development of an intermediate Wave 4. Such Wave-4 formations typically retrace a portion of Wave 3, often creating a temporary relief rally within the broader structure.
However, unless the trend fully reverses, this Wave 4 bounce can remain corrective in nature. After completing Wave 4, the chart suggests that TCS may resume its decline to form Wave 5, thereby completing the higher-degree Wave B or Wave 2 within the Primary Wave Structure.
Key Technical Notes:
ABC corrective structure appears completed.
Breaks above the completion zone increase the probability of a corrective Wave 4 rally.
Wave 5 may unfold afterward, potentially completing Primary Wave B/2.
Trend confirmation should be based on hourly closes and price behavior near key Fib retracement zones.
What to Watch:
Price reaction near the ABC completion zone
Whether a structured Wave 4 bounce forms or price rejects sharply
Hourly close levels for confirmation
Volume behavior on the bounce or breakdown
Educational Insight:
Wave 4 rallies are often misleading for new traders—they may appear as reversals but are usually corrective. Always assess whether structure supports continuation before assuming a trend shift.
Conclusion
TCS is at a structural turning point. A break above the ABC completion region may trigger a Wave 4 relief move, but unless higher-degree resistance breaks convincingly, the larger structure still supports a potential Wave 5 decline to complete the primary correction.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always perform your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Bullish Setup on Laurus LabLaurus Lab Hourly Chart
F&O Segment stock
Bullish Pattern (ascending triangle) spotted on hourly chart.
There is a breakout on hourly RSI indicating momentum in the stock and there can be a breakout about resistance zone on price chart. Target comes around 1095
Laurus lab is a high beta stock it can reach its target within 2-3 days.
Being a high beta stock it can also move fast in either side protect your capital with logical stoploss.
XAUUSD (H1) – Friday Weekend
Lana prioritizes the adjustment phase towards the POC area, looking to Sell in the liquidity zone 💛
Quick Summary
Context: Friday, the market often tends to take profits and sweep liquidity before the week closes
Monitoring Frame: H1
Main Viewpoint: Prioritize a decrease during the day (adjustment phase)
Key Point to Note: 4308 has reacted multiple times, a sensitive point in the structure
Market Context
The weekend is usually a time when the cash flow is “lighter” and price behavior tends to lean towards profit-taking. Therefore, an adjustment phase to gain more liquidity is the scenario Lana prioritizes today.
From a medium-term perspective, some large institutions still maintain a positive view on gold. However, in intraday trading, Lana still prioritizes following the current price behavior and trading according to the liquidity zone.
Technical View H1
On H1, the price is fluctuating around the accumulation zone, and the POC/VAL area indicates this is a market zone that has been “back and forth” for quite a while. When the price returns to these areas, there is usually a clear reaction.
The 4308 area is noteworthy because the price has reacted multiple times, so this is a point that could determine whether the adjustment phase continues.
Today's Trading Scenario
Main Scenario – Sell at POC/VAL area (large liquidity)
Sell: 4335 – 4340
Lana prioritizes waiting for the price to rebound to this area to sell according to the adjustment phase. This is a large liquidity zone, suitable for finding a downward reaction during the day.
Alternative Scenario – Buy scalping at near support
Buy: 4284 – 4289
This Buy order is only for scalping when the price hits the support area and a bounce reaction appears. If the market continues to be weak, Lana will not hold the Buy for too long.
Session Notes
If the price continues to be rejected around resistance areas and cannot surpass the supply zone, the adjustment scenario will have an advantage.
For Friday, Lana prioritizes light trading, quick closing, avoiding holding positions too long over the weekend.
Lana's Notes 🌿
Each scenario is just a probability. Lana always sets a stop loss first, chooses the appropriate volume, and is ready to skip if the price does not reach the waiting area.
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [19/12/2025: Friday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 19th of December 2025. The day is Friday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red piercing candle. Major resistance is 26000. Major support is 25700. The view is indecision.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
Red spinning top after 2 red hanging man candles. The present candle is inside the previous week. Price is range-bound and consolidating. No sign of a clear trend. Both bulls and bears are getting trapped. Major resistance is 26000. Major support is 25700. The view is indecision to bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
Green indecision candle with selling pressure. Seems like a green gravestone doji. Not sure. But for the consecutive 5 days, bulls are getting trapped. However, there is no clear bearish trend. Price is staggering downward without offering a clear trend. The market is being difficult for directional (bullish or bearish) trades. The market has taken strong support at least thrice in the zone (25750 - 25700). It won't be wise to short the market unless level 25700 is decisively broken down. Also, an uptrend will be difficult due to 3 major resistance levels - 25900, 25950, and 26000. The view is indecision to bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
The market is in a complex correction. Three technical patterns are observable. Head and shoulder (H&S), pennant, and symmetric triangle. Thus, in the present scenario, the market is not tradable. The first sign of bullish clarity will emerge once the price starts to trade above the level of 26000. Bears are active, but they are not so powerful. Bulls are not powerful either, but they are offering very strong defense. The view is indecision to bearish.
Bull Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price gives a breakout from the penant.
(iii) Price sustains above the levels 25900, 25950, 26000, and the gap in the zone of 26000.
(iv) Price must form a higher highs and lower lows price structure above the level 26000 for at least 1 day.
Bear Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price gives a breakdown below the zone (25750 - 25700).
(iii) Price gives a breakdown from the pennant as well as a not-so-perfect symmetric triangle. Presently, the market is in the area of trading below the Head and Shoulder (H&S) pattern.
No Trading Zone: (26000 - 25700)
Events: No expiry on Friday. No high-impact event. However, a medium impact event - the BoJ interest rate decision is today.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) The market is going through a complex correction. There is no clear trend. It's not the market for directional traders.
(ii) Multiple technical patterns are clearly observable - head and shoulder (H&S), pennant, and symmetric triangle.
(iii) For bullish trades, the price needs to sustain above levels 25900, 25950, 26000, and the gap in the zone of 26000.
(iv) For bearish trades, the price must decisively break down below the level (25750 - 25700).
(v) Strong Resistances - 25900, 25950, and 26000.
(vi) Strong support - 25750 and 25700.
(vii) Trade only if either a bullish/ bearish set-up occurs. Else, don't trade. Remember, not trading is an extension of trading activity.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 19.12.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 19.12.2025
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
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📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research
Nifty Analysis for Dec 19, 2025Wrap-up:
Nifty again made low of 25726 and did not sustain above 25876. Thereafter, Nifty breaks 38.20% level which is at 25852 and sustain also. Therefore, Wave 2 is completed at 25726 and now, Nifty will head towards wave 3.
What I’m Watching for Dec 19, 2025 🔍
Buy nifty above 25852 sl 25725 for a target of 26012-26090-26174-26315.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
HINDUNILVR: Smart Money Accumulation Zone After CHoCH?📘 HINDUNILVR (HUL) — Technical Analysis | Structure Shift & Golden Retracement Setup
(Timeframe: Daily)
HINDUNILVR is currently trading around ₹2,265 after a prolonged corrective phase.
The chart reflects a Change of Character (CHoCH) followed by a controlled retracement into a high-probability demand zone, where the next directional move is likely to emerge.
🔍 Market Structure & Price Action
The stock previously witnessed a strong bullish extension, reaching the 113%–128% Fibonacci extension zone, indicating an overextended move.
Post extension, price showed loss of bullish momentum, leading to a CHoCH — a clear signal of shifting market control.
CHoCH highlights early trend transition and often leads to range-bound or corrective price action, rather than an immediate trend reversal.
📌 CHoCH helps traders prepare for structural transitions before confirmation from higher highs.
📐 Fibonacci & Wave Context
The decline from point A to B appears corrective, not impulsive.
Price has now entered the Golden Retracement Zone (50%–78%) of Wave A.
This zone is typically where Wave B or Wave 2 attempts to develop.
Institutional participants often accumulate positions here due to favorable risk–reward.
📌 Failure to hold this zone often results in a deeper correction or trend reversal.
🎯 Key Levels from the Chart
Major Demand Zone: ₹2,230 – ₹2,200
Invalidation Level: Day close below ₹2,200
First Target: ~₹2,630 (≈ 78% retracement of Wave AB)
Second Target: ₹2,826 – ₹2,888
🧭 Trading Strategy (Swing / Positional)
Look for long opportunities only inside the ₹2,230–₹2,200 zone.
Prefer confirmation signals such as:
– Bullish rejection wicks
– Higher-low formation
– Minor CHoCH on lower timeframes
Avoid aggressive entries without confirmation.
🛑 Risk Management
Strict stop loss: Day close below ₹2,200
A close below this level indicates weak demand and opens the risk of extended downside correction.
Partial profit booking recommended near Target 1.
Trail stop aggressively if price sustains above ₹2,630.
📚 Educational Notes
Golden Retracement (50%–78%) is where institutions seek value-based entries.
CHoCH ≠ Trend Reversal — it signals momentum loss, not instant bearishness.
Confirmation always comes from structure + demand holding, not prediction.
🔮 Probable Scenarios
Bullish Case:
Holding above ₹2,200 → Base formation → Gradual recovery toward ₹2,630 → ₹2,826–2,888.
Bearish Case:
Day close below ₹2,200 → Demand failure → Deeper corrective phase.
📌 Conclusion
HINDUNILVR is positioned at a critical inflection zone.
Risk is clearly defined, while upside potential remains asymmetric.
This is a wait-for-confirmation accumulation setup, not a chase trade.
⚠ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
Always use your own analysis and risk management.






















