Community ideas
26000 LEVELS shall be a potential TOP for 2025Market Outlook for 2025: A Cautious Approach
Based on my analysis, the current market level around 26,000 appears to be topping out, and I am not particularly optimistic about a sustained upward trend. My overall outlook for 2025 is bearish, as I anticipate a challenging and potentially painful year for equities. Therefore, I am adopting a defensive approach in my trading and investment strategy.
Portfolio Strategy
Given the bearish outlook, I am allocating only 10-15% of my portfolio to selective, high-conviction stocks. The remaining portion will be held in cash or low-risk instruments to minimize exposure to potential market downturns. This conservative strategy ensures that I have sufficient liquidity to take advantage of opportunities if and when the market provides better entry points.
Key Levels to Watch
My views will remain bearish unless the market decisively breaks above the 25,000 level, which I see as a crucial threshold. Until such a breakout occurs, I prefer to stay cautious and avoid aggressive long positions. Should the market breach this level with strong momentum, I will reconsider my stance and potentially increase my exposure.
Risk Management
In addition to selective buying, I am considering hedging strategies to further protect the portfolio. These may include:
Options: Using put options to hedge against downside risk.
Inverse ETFs: Gaining exposure to inverse ETFs as a way to profit from potential declines.
By maintaining a disciplined approach, focusing on capital preservation, and being selective in stock picking, I aim to navigate the expected volatility in 2025 effectively.
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This strategy is subject to change as market conditions evolve, but for now, caution remains my guiding principle.
Nifty trades and targets - 6/1/25Hello Everyone. The market was in a very tight range the previous day. Let the resistance or support range break with 15-minute candle before going for any trades. If the market opens flat then we can see continuation of trend. If it opens gap up then we need to see the resistance level to break before looking for CE trades. If it opens gap down then look for PE trades after support zone is broken. Let the market settle in first 15 to 30 minutes then look for directional trades.
Bank nifty trades and targets - 6/1/25Hello Everyone. The market was in a bearish mode today. If the market opens flat then we can see continuation of trend. If it opens gap up then we need to see the resistance level to break before looking for CE trades. If it opens gap down then look for PE trades after support zone is broken. Let the market settle in first 15 to 30 minutes then look for directional trades. Book profits every 60 points as we are getting very few trending moves.
NATIONALUM - Reversal on Cards? but 190 to be tested first?My detailed analysis on the script on weekly TF can be found here.
For now, looks like the first leg of correction will end at around 190 zones.. Reasons are explained well in the chart; but here is the brief
Harmonic pattern target
200 DEMA
Trendline
The probable future path is depicted below.. remember, the B wave could very well go past 263 too.. for now, lets see where the A wave terminates
I am not a SEBI registered Analyst. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views.
KPITTECH - Wait for the PullbackCMP: 1533
Primary view/assumption is that, 3rd and 4th wave are complete and now are in the early stages of the Primary (5)th wave.
Price has retraced 38% of the entire impulse from 2nd wave and now showing signs of reversal.
Price is now approaching the 200 DEMA and the wide range RED bar (GAP Down Candle) at 1600 levels
The smaller TF 5 waves also appears to be terminated/ended at around 1600 levels.
If indeed, the primary view of bullishness to play out (5th wave has started), then it is prudent to wait for this impulse to end expect the DIP in the 2nd wave down. The 3rd wave will be most rewarding
On Weekly TF, Primary 3rd is complete
Daily TF 1 and 2 with Subwaves
Daily TF wave 3 with subwaves
Daily TF 4th wave and subwaves
I am not a SEBI registered Analyst. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views.
#Nifty directions and levels for the second week of January:Nifty
Previous Week Recap:
Last week, Nifty moved in a three-way structure. It started on a negative note, shot up sharply midweek, and ended with a slight decline. Open interest indicates a bearish bias, but it hasn’t fully confirmed. This suggests a moderately bullish bias for now. Let’s examine the charts.
Current View:
If the week starts negatively, Nifty could reach a minimum of 23,624. After that:
* If it consolidates or breaks below this level, the correction may continue.
* However, if it holds above 23,624, it could turn into a range-bound market between the previous high and 23,624.
Alternate View:
If the market finds support around 23,934 and breaks the previous high, it could target 24,559–24,698. This range is a significant resistance, and the rally will continue only if it breaks this level. Otherwise, the market could remain range-bound.
Final Note:
* The US market has several major events this week, so each session may open with fluctuations.
* The local market is entering the earnings season.
* Charts: Both global and local markets are in a range.
* Both Nifty and Bank Nifty have different structures as well as open interest.
Expectation: The market is likely to remain range-bound with a negative bias this week.
#Banknifty directions and levels for the second week of January:Bank Nifty
Bank Nifty is clearly in a range-bound market, and until it breaks out, we cannot expect directional movement. Open interest also indicates a bearish bias, so the probability of downside movement is higher. Let’s look at the chart.
Current View:
If the week starts negatively, Bank Nifty could reach a minimum of 50,255, which is a minor support level. While some consolidation may occur, the level might not sustain.
Alternate View:
If the market pulls back at the start, it could attempt to reach 52,174–52,386. However, this is a major resistance level. If the market rejects this level, we can expect a correction, which means it will re-enter a range-bound phase.
#Sensex directions and levels for the second week of January:Sensex
Sensex mirrors Nifty’s structure, so we can follow the same sentiment for Sensex.
Current View:
If the week starts negatively, Sensex could reach a minimum of 78,090. After that:
* If it consolidates or breaks below this level, the correction is likely to continue.
* Conversely, if it holds above 78,090, it could turn into a range-bound market between the previous high and 78,090.
Alternate View:
If the market finds support around 78,797 and breaks the previous high, it could reach 80,501–87,300. The 87,900 level is a significant resistance, and the rally will continue only if it breaks this level. Otherwise, the market could remain range-bound.
Harsha Engineers cmp 520.15 by Weekly Chart view since listedHarsha Engineers cmp 520.15 by Weekly Chart view since listed
- Price Band 459 to 473 Support Zone
- Price shouldering the Rising Support Trendline
- Falling Resistance Trendline Breakout sustained
- Support Zone Testing Retesting has been completed
- Volumes spiking intermittently by demand based buying
- Back to Back Rising Twin Bullish Rounding Bottoms completed
BRITANNIA [POSITIONAL | SWING] [LONG]I have taken a long entry In BRITANNIA At 4800
Upcoming Tax budget will have relaxation which would boost FMCG & Auto sector.
Fundamental Information
Britannia Industries Limited is a leading player in India's fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector, renowned for its extensive range of bakery and dairy products. Let's delve into its fundamental strengths and key financial metrics:
Market Position and Brand Strength: Britannia boasts a robust brand presence with products like Good Day, Marie Gold, and NutriChoice, enjoying significant market share in the biscuit segment.
Financial Performance:
Revenue Growth: For the fiscal year ending March 2024, Britannia reported a revenue of ₹46.68 billion, marking a 5% increase from the previous year.
REUTERS
Net Profit: The net profit for the same period was ₹5.31 billion, reflecting a decline attributed to challenges like urban demand slowdown and commodity inflation.
REUTERS
Profitability Ratios:
Gross Margin: Stood at 43.05%, indicating efficient production cost management.
INVESTING
Operating Margin: Reported at 17.28%, showcasing effective control over operating expenses.
INVESTING
Net Profit Margin: At 12.9%, reflecting the company's ability to convert revenue into profit.
INVESTING
Valuation Metrics:
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Approximately 68.38, suggesting market expectations of future earnings growth.
INVESTING
Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: Around 37.96, indicating investor confidence in the company's asset utilization.
INVESTING
Bitcoin sell below 97100 buy above 99k if buy atsupport sl 95500Disclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks Trailing SL (SL 30 % )retracement Which is SL points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
D points Which is recent High / Low mentioned in Chart is our SL
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 38.2)
Target 2- (T2 : 50 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 61.8%)
Target 4- (T4 : 78.6%)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
Natural gas resistance 305 , downside Target 272,253, sold @331Disclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks Trailing SL (SL 30 % )retracement Which is SL points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
D points Which is recent High / Low mentioned in Chart is our SL
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 38.2)
Target 2- (T2 : 50 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 61.8%)
Target 4- (T4 : 78.6%)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
Crude sell on rise SL 6450 or sell below 6270 levels on chart Disclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks Trailing SL (SL 30 % )retracement Which is SL points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
D points Which is recent High / Low mentioned in Chart is our SL
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 38.2)
Target 2- (T2 : 50 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 61.8%)
Target 4- (T4 : 78.6%)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
Copper buy on dip sl 789 Target 807,812,818,825Disclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks Trailing SL (SL 30 % )retracement Which is SL points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
D points Which is recent High / Low mentioned in Chart is our SL
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 38.2)
Target 2- (T2 : 50 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 61.8%)
Target 4- (T4 : 78.6%)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
Silver sell on rise until 90100 not break refer XAUUSD chart Please check XAUUSD chart provided in other other chart all levels mentioned.
Disclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks Trailing SL (SL 30 % )retracement Which is SL points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
D points Which is recent High / Low mentioned in Chart is our SL
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 38.2)
Target 2- (T2 : 50 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 61.8%)
Target 4- (T4 : 78.6%)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
XAUUSD sell on rise until 29.90 not break Downside Target @ChartDisclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks Trailing SL (SL 30 % )retracement Which is SL points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
D points Which is recent High / Low mentioned in Chart is our SL
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 38.2)
Target 2- (T2 : 50 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 61.8%)
Target 4- (T4 : 78.6%)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
Gold sell on rise until 77950 not break Downside Target on chartDisclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks Trailing SL (SL 30 % )retracement Which is SL points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
D points Which is recent High / Low mentioned in Chart is our SL
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 38.2)
Target 2- (T2 : 50 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 61.8%)
Target 4- (T4 : 78.6%)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
XAUUSD sell on rise SL 2666 downside Target on chart Disclaimer -
This information is only for educational purposes, this is not for any buy or sell recommendations .
On Our Harmonic pattern indicator
based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
ENTRY -
When price breaks Trailing SL (SL 30 % )retracement Which is SL points then take Entry on Buy or Sell Trade
SL -
D points Which is recent High / Low mentioned in Chart is our SL
TARGET -
Target 1- (T1 : 38.2)
Target 2- (T2 : 50 %)
Target 3- (T3 : 61.8%)
Target 4- (T4 : 78.6%)
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit