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Time cycle trading is a very unique and powerful approachTime cycle trading is a very unique and powerful approach because it focuses on "time" rather than "price." It is based on the belief that market history repeats itself and trends reappear after certain intervals. Its biggest advantage is that it can alert you before a trend even begins. Here are some key features of time cycle trading: TIME RULES TIME is the most important factor in forecasting market movements. While SPACE and VOLUME are important and momentum is also a factor to be considered, TIME will overbalance both SPACE and VOLUME and arrest momentum. DAILY TIME RULE A minor change occurs every 7, 10, 14, 20 and 21, 28 and 30 days. This time period is only a proportion of the major cycles. MONTHLY TIME RULE Changes in trend occur every 30, 60, 90, 120, 135, 180, 225, 270, 300, 315, and 360 days. The third and fourth months are the first of importance for a change in trend; the sixth next; then the ninth; and twelfth most important. 1. When to buy, not just what to buy. Most indicators (such as RSI or MACD) tell you whether the price will go up or down. But time cycles tell you when a change is likely to occur. Example: If the cycle is 20 days, you'll know that a market reversal is possible on the 20th day. 2. Predictive Nature (Prediction in advance) Indicators are 'lagging' (they give signals after the price has already moved). Time cycles are 'leading'. They help you determine the dates of upcoming turning points (highs and lows) in advance. 3. Precision in Entry and Exit When you combine Time Cycles with Price Action, your "Stop Loss" becomes smaller. You can try to enter very close to the bottom or top because you know that the cycle is about to end. 4. Psychological Edge The most tension in the market arises when we don't know when a sideways market will end. A time cycle trader knows that the "time" is not yet complete, so they can wait patiently. An Important Point Selecting the right stocks is the most important thing. Time Cycle trading doesn't mean you should trade blindly. Its effectiveness comes into play only when: Time + Price: When the cycle time is complete and the price is also at a support/resistance level. Confirmation: Confirmation from a candlestick pattern is essential.
NSE:BHARATFORGLong
by askbiswanath2025
TATA ELXSI: What Price and Volume Reveal After a DowntrendAfter a prolonged downtrend, Tata Elxsi started trading inside a well-defined falling channel. This phase represents controlled selling, where price continues to make lower highs and lower lows, but without aggressive expansion. That’s important — it shows selling pressure is present but not accelerating. As price approached the lower end of the channel, downside momentum started to slow. Candles became narrower and selling failed to push price further down. This is typically where supply begins to dry up. The key development came when price broke above the channel boundary with a clear increase in volume. This is not a random green candle — it signals that buyers stepped in decisively and absorbed the remaining supply that was controlling the trend. The volume spike confirms that the move is participation-driven, not a low-liquidity bounce. When price exits a falling structure with volume, it often marks a trend transition phase, not an immediate vertical rally, but a shift from distribution to stabilization. This chart is shared to highlight: How falling channels behave Why volume matters at structure breaks How trend control shifts from sellers to buyers
NSE:TATAELXSILong
by siripireddyvenu
APL APOLLO – Cup & HandleAPL Apollo spent several months correcting after a strong up-move and gradually formed a rounded base. This phase reflects distribution getting absorbed and weak hands exiting, not aggressive selling. Price then retraced back toward the prior resistance zone around 1820–1830, which acted as the rim of the cup. Instead of rejecting sharply, the stock moved into a shallow pullback (handle), showing that sellers were unable to push price meaningfully lower. The handle formed with controlled candles and steady volume, which is important. There was no panic selling or wide-range breakdown during this phase, indicating demand remained intact. The recent move back above the rim comes with visible volume expansion, confirming participation rather than a low-liquidity spike. This behaviour aligns with how continuation patterns resolve when supply is absorbed. The pattern itself explains the behaviour.
NSE:APLAPOLLOLong
by siripireddyvenu
4
AUROPHARMA – Structural Trend Shift After Base FormationAUROPHARMA went through a long corrective phase and built a base around the 1000–1050 zone. That phase ended when price started forming higher lows, followed by higher highs, confirming a structural change. The move above ~1225 is important because this level earlier acted as resistance. Price is now holding above it, which shows acceptance rather than rejection. This tells us supply at higher levels is being absorbed. The recent pullback is controlled, not impulsive. No sharp selling, no expansion in downside volume. This indicates sellers are not aggressive at current levels. Volume increased during the upward move and contracted during the consolidation, which is typical of a healthy trend transition. This chart is shared to highlight how markets shift from correction to trend through structure, not through indicators or news.
NSE:AUROPHARMALong
by siripireddyvenu
3
METAL Index Holding Rising Channel – Next Leg Higher LoadingThe Nifty Metal Index is trading firmly inside a well-defined rising channel on the weekly timeframe, clearly indicating long-term strength in the sector. Price is currently consolidating near the upper half of the channel, which is a healthy sign after a strong uptrend. Despite multiple volatile phases, the index has consistently respected the lower channel support, showing strong buying interest on every dip. The recent sideways movement near the top suggests time correction, not trend weakness. Structurally, the index continues to form higher highs and higher lows, keeping the broader bullish trend intact. This consolidation near resistance usually acts as a launchpad for the next expansion, provided the channel structure holds. RSI is placed around the 60–65 zone, reflecting sustained bullish momentum without overbought pressure. This indicates the trend still has room to extend on the upside.
NSE:CNXMETALLong
by Marketik
1
IT Index Near Long-Term Trendline – Breakout Setup FormingThe Nifty IT Index is trading at a very important technical junction, where price has climbed back to a major long-term descending trendline after a prolonged corrective phase. This trendline has acted as a strong supply zone earlier, making the current test extremely crucial. After forming a clear base near the rising support line, the index has started making higher highs and higher lows on the daily timeframe. This shift in structure suggests that selling pressure has weakened and buyers are slowly gaining control. The recent move towards resistance is happening with steady momentum, not sharp rejection, which often indicates absorption of supply. Such price behaviour near a falling trendline usually precedes a trend reversal breakout rather than a deep pullback. RSI is holding above 65, confirming strong bullish momentum and showing no signs of bearish divergence. Momentum strength at resistance increases the probability of a sustained breakout if follow-through buying comes in. If the IT index manages to close decisively above this long-term resistance, it can trigger a fresh trending move, marking the end of the corrective cycle. Until then, this zone remains a make-or-break area, but structurally the setup is tilted in favour of the bulls.
NSE:CNXITLong
by Marketik
SMALLCAP Index at Make or Break Zone – Momentum Shift Brewing The Nifty Smallcap 100 index is currently trading at a critical confluence area, where a major horizontal support aligns with a long-term falling trendline resistance. After a prolonged corrective phase, price has shown a clear base formation near support, indicating selling pressure is gradually drying up. The recent bounce from the support zone suggests demand is stepping in, and price is now attempting to move back towards the descending resistance line. This structure reflects a compression setup, where volatility is shrinking before a directional move. RSI is still placed in the lower-neutral zone, but has started to curl up from oversold territory. This behaviour often precedes a trend reversal or strong pullback rally, especially when price is supported structurally. If the index manages to sustain above the current base and break the falling trendline, it can trigger a strong recovery leg, which is typical when smallcaps start outperforming after a consolidation phase. Failure to break, however, may lead to short-term range-bound movement.
NSE:CNXSMALLCAPLong
by Marketik
1
Most Traders Don’t Lose on Entries — They Lose on ExecutionOn higher timeframes like H4 Gold (XAUUSD), direction is rarely the real problem. Most traders can identify: bullish structure, bearish pullbacks, key levels, higher-timeframe bias. Yet despite this, execution errors repeat. This chart is a good example of a market that appears “clear,” but still creates hesitation, late entries, premature exits, and emotional decisions. (This chart is shared only as a visual reference to discuss execution behavior on higher timeframes.) Most traders spend 90% of their energy hunting the “perfect entry.” But the real account killer is what happens after a valid entry appears: entering late because the move “looks strong” holding through momentum decay adding size during uncertainty refusing to exit when risk expands trading in chop because “I need to do something” confusing trend bias with execution permission Valid setup ≠ valid execution. Execution is a decision system, not a feeling. The real problem (across every trader type) Whether you’re retail, institutional, or funded, the core pain is the same: You can identify direction. You struggle to answer what to do now. The market doesn’t pay you for being right on direction. It pays you for managing timing, risk, and behavior. Retail traders (most common failure) Retail usually loses from: FOMO entries (late chase) overtrading ranges emotional exits inconsistent risk per trade Retail doesn’t need more indicators. Retail needs permission and discipline. Funded traders (most common failure) Funded traders usually lose from: breaking rules under pressure revenge trades after a scratch “one big trade” mentality ignoring the firm’s drawdown mechanics Funded trading isn’t about prediction. It’s about rule-quality execution. Institutional mindset (what actually works) Institutions don’t trade “signals.” They trade a process: Directional context (bias) Structure context (where price is relative to key zones) Liquidity context (is price sweeping / trapped / absorbing?) Momentum quality (is follow-through healthy?) Volatility environment (is the market tradable or compressed?) Final permission (act vs wait) Post-entry management (hold / protect / partial / exit) That’s the difference. The solution: a Decision Framework (not a signal) Instead of asking, “Is this a buy?” Ask these questions for every candle: Should I act or wait? If I act, am I early, on time, or late? Is momentum improving or decaying? Is volatility supportive or compressed? Is the risk expanding (pressure) or stable? Do I have a reason to stay—or a reason to protect? The professional edge is not entries. It’s execution control. Practical checklist (simple, strict) If context is unclear, WAIT If momentum is weak and volatility is compressed → WAIT If price is extended / late → NO CHASE If risk rises after entry → PROTECT / PARTIAL / EXIT If your plan is not clear, DO NOTHING Doing nothing is a position. Discussion I’m interested in how other traders handle execution decisions : What makes you switch from “hold” to “protect”? What is your strongest rule for “do not trade”? Which is harder for you: entry discipline or exit discipline? Comments welcome—happy to discuss further. ⚠️ Disclaimer This post is for educational discussion only. No financial advice. No guarantees. Always manage your own risk. # Gold #XAUUSD #TradingPsychology # Execution #RiskManagement #MarketStructure #TradingEducation #DiscretionaryTrading #ProfessionalTrading
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by MARAL_Execution_Workflow
2
Final leg to the downside before see one last run to end cycleMarkets rarely witness deep crashes during an active bull run, yet history shows that major corrections often occur before the final and most impulsive leg of the cycle. Bitcoin’s 2021 bull market offers a clear example. On 12 April 2021, Bitcoin topped near $64,000, followed by a sharp 55% decline. After this liquidity reset, the market recovered and later printed a new high near $69,000, confirming that deep pullbacks can be structural rather than bearish. Applying this framework to the current cycle, if Bitcoin forms a macro top near $126,000, a 45–50% correction would naturally bring price into the $65,000–$60,000 range. Recent price action supports this possibility, as the market has started making steep lower lows alongside aggressive liquidity hunts on both sides, a typical sign of distribution and leverage cleanup. The $60,000 level stands out as a major liquidity zone where excess long positions are likely to be flushed and stronger hands can accumulate. Importantly, this technical setup aligns with macro pressure from Japan’s recent 75-basis-point interest rate hike. Historically, such hikes have been followed by 20–30% Bitcoin corrections. A 30% drop from $90,000 again targets the $63,000–$60,000 zone, reinforcing this area as a high-probability support. Taken together, historical precedent, liquidity behavior, and macroeconomic factors suggest a final corrective phase toward $60,000 before Bitcoin attempts its last impulsive rally of the cycle, potentially extending toward $140,000–$150,000. Rather than signaling weakness, such a correction may serve as the foundation for the market’s final expansion.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by animeshrajak5555
Persistent systems (W): Bullish - Coiling for BreakoutTimeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic The stock is in the final stages of a year-long consolidation (since the Dec 2024 ATH). It is currently forming a "base on top of a base" just below the critical resistance, backed by a major new AI partnership and positive sector tailwinds. 🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") The technical "coiling" is supported by strong news flow: > DigitalOcean Partnership (Dec 16, 2025): Persistent announced a multi-year strategic tie-up with DigitalOcean to deploy AI solutions. This expands their addressable market in the AI infrastructure space. > Sector Tailwind: Strong guidance from global peers (like Accenture) has triggered a re-rating in Indian IT mid-caps, validating the demand environment for 2026. 📈 2. The Chart Structure (The "Lid") > The Resistance: The ₹6,510 level has acted as a rigid ceiling. The failed breakout, where it popped up to ATH but fell back, cleared weak hands. > The Current Buildup: - Candles: The recent Hammer (showing buying at lower levels) followed by a Neutral/Doji (showing indecision/absorption) right under resistance is significant. - Interpretation: Sellers are trying to push it down, but buyers are stepping in immediately. This "tightening" often precedes an explosive move. > Volume: The "drying volume" observed is actually positive here. It implies that the supply (sellers) is exhausted. We now just need a volume spike to trigger the breakout. 📊 3. Technical Indicators > EMAs: The Positive Crossover (PCO) in Weekly/Monthly confirms the primary trend is UP. > RSI: Rising RSI indicates that internal momentum is building up for the push through ₹6,510. 🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The stock is primed to challenge the ATH. > 🐂 Bullish Breakout (The Trigger): - Condition: A decisive Daily/Weekly Close above ₹6,510 . - Target 1: ₹6,789 (The ATH). - Target 2: ₹7,700 . (If the stock enters "Blue Sky" discovery, this is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension). 🛡️ Support (The Safety Net): > Immediate Support: ₹5,920 . The stock must hold this to keep the bullish structure alive. - Stop Loss: A weekly close below ₹5,800 would invalidate the setup. Conclusion This is a High-Probability Setup . The "Hammer + Neutral" combo at resistance suggests the breakout is imminent. > Strategy: Wait for the close above ₹6,510 to enter. The DigitalOcean news provides the fundamental conviction to hold for targets beyond the ATH.
NSE:PERSISTENTLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
$XRP /USDT – Weekly Technical View (Short Analysis)#XRP has completed a strong impulsive move from long-term lows, topping near the 3.5–3.6 USDT resistance zone, which aligns with a major historical supply area. The rejection from this zone suggests a corrective phase is underway, forming a descending structure. Price is currently hovering around 1.9–2.0 USDT, testing a key Support-1 demand zone. As long as this support holds, a consolidation or corrective bounce is possible. However, a decisive breakdown below this range could open the door for a deeper correction toward the lower support box (~0.6–0.8 USDT), marked as wave (C). Overall bias: Long-term bullish structure intact, but medium-term correction ongoing. Watch how price reacts at the current support for the next directional clue. ~Disclaimer~ High Risk Investment Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors. Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading. This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.
by renderwithme
XAUUSD H4 – Medium-Term Outlook for the Coming WeekGold remains within a broad rising channel, but recent price action shows clear rejection at the upper trendline. For the week ahead, the focus is on a potential technical pullback, while keeping an alternative bullish scenario if the market fully accepts higher prices. PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN SCENARIO Wait for structural confirmation to sell the medium-term corrective move. Key confirmation level: a break of the trendline around 4317. Trade idea: look for confirmation below 4317 to sell the corrective leg within the rising channel. Technical context: price is trading near the upper boundary of the channel and showing rejection, a common setup before a rotation back toward lower value areas. Position management: Sell positions should be treated strictly as corrective trades within a broader uptrend. If price fails to stay below 4317 and regains bullish structure, risk should be reduced and short positions avoided. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY SCENARIO Trend continuation if price breaks to new highs and finds acceptance. Trigger condition: a clean breakout to new highs with sustained bullish momentum. Trade idea: prioritize buy setups once the market clearly accepts higher prices. Technical context: successful breakouts often lead to range expansion, making short positions unfavorable. KEY MEDIUM-TERM BUY ZONE Liquidity-based opportunity in the event of a deeper pullback. Reference buy zone: around 4220. Rationale: this area represents a major liquidity cluster and a logical zone to monitor for bullish reactions during a deeper year-end pullback. KEY TECHNICAL REASONS The dominant H4 trend remains bullish, but rejection at the upper channel increases the probability of a technical correction. The 4317 level acts as a key decision point to distinguish between a genuine pullback and temporary consolidation. The 4220 area serves as a value zone aligned with liquidity for potential trend-following buys. MACRO AND NEWS CONTEXT Recent comments have reinforced expectations of future rate cuts to address labor market risks, which remains supportive for gold in the broader context. Geopolitical developments, including discussions around the next steps in the Gaza peace process, continue to underpin safe-haven demand. However, year-end holiday conditions often result in thinner liquidity, wider spreads, and less reliable price moves, making discipline and risk control essential. RISK MANAGEMENT AND WEEKLY PLAN Avoid chasing long positions near the upper trendline of the rising channel. Only consider short positions after clear confirmation below 4317, avoiding emotional top-picking in a bullish market. If price breaks and holds above recent highs, shift focus back to trend-following buy setups. Reduce position size during the holiday week and prioritize trades around well-defined key levels rather than extended moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
2
XAUUSD (D1) – Weekly OutlookLana focuses on buying discounted zones, preparing for a possible ABC correction 💛 Quick summary Higher timeframe (Daily): The main uptrend remains intact and structurally strong Elliott Wave: Gold likely completed Wave 5, with a potential ABC corrective phase ahead to complete the cycle Liquidity: Christmas week and year-end positioning may cause thin liquidity and irregular price movements Plan: No chasing. Lana waits for price to reach key buy zones at 4250 and 4205 Market context for next week Next week’s trading activity may slow down due to the Christmas holiday and preparations for the year-end. Thinner liquidity often leads to sharp, irregular moves and liquidity sweeps. At the same time, ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to support gold, while USD weakness adds further tailwinds. Because of this, Lana prefers a zone-based approach rather than trying to predict exact tops or bottoms. Technical view on D1 On the Daily chart, gold still shows a solid bullish foundation. However, from an Elliott Wave perspective, price appears to be finishing the final impulsive wave (Wave 5). After a Wave 5 completion, a corrective ABC structure is common, allowing the market to rebalance before the next major move. For Lana, a correction is not bearish—it’s an opportunity to look for higher-probability buys at discounted levels instead of chasing price at elevated zones. Key levels Lana is watching 1) Primary buy zone: 4250 This level previously acted as a strong resistance and was decisively broken. Liquidity remains concentrated in this area, making it a favorable zone to look for buying opportunities if price pulls back. 2) Long-term buy zone: 4205 (POC from Volume Profile) This is a major Point of Control where price previously accumulated heavily. If the ABC correction extends deeper, this zone becomes a key area for longer-term positioning. Trading plan for next week (overview) Early in the week, Lana will observe lower timeframes to confirm entries. Priority is given to pullbacks toward 4250; deeper corrections may offer opportunities near 4205. With thin holiday liquidity, Lana plans to: reduce position size keep stop losses clearly defined scale out profits once price reacts from the zones Lana’s note 🌿 Holiday weeks often bring fewer clean setups but more unexpected liquidity grabs. Lana will stay patient, trade selectively, and focus only on price levels that truly make sense. This is Lana’s personal market view, not financial advice
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
Infosys (W): Bullish - Coiling Pre-BreakoutTimeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic The stock is in the final stages of a consolidation pattern, trading just below a multi-year resistance zone. The setup is a classic "absorption" phase , where buyers are soaking up supply before an imminent breakout, fueled by sector tailwinds. 🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") The technical strength is supported by a major shift in sentiment: > Accenture Q1 Results: The global IT giant recently reported strong numbers and raised guidance, signaling that the demand environment is improving. This typically acts as a leading indicator for Indian IT majors like Infosys. > Seasonality: December/January is often a period of "pre-budget" and "pre-earnings" positioning, where defensive sectors like IT attract capital. 📈 2. The Chart Structure (The "Lid") > The Resistance (1635-1655): It has been a rigid ceiling since April 2022. The fact that the stock is now hovering just below it (at ~1,638) rather than rejecting sharply suggests that the sellers are exhausted. > The Volume: The weekly volume of 34.23 Million (and rising average volume over the last few weeks) confirms institutional accumulation . Smart money is buying before the breakout. 📊 3. Technical Indicators > EMAs: The Positive Crossover (PCO) on the Weekly chart is a strong signal. The Monthly chart being "yet to form PCO" is actually positive—it means the major long-term buy signal is just about to trigger , offering early entry. > RSI: Rising in both Monthly and Weekly timeframes indicates momentum is aligning with the price action. 🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The stock is coiling for a big move. > 🐂 Bullish Breakout (The Trigger): - Condition: A decisive Weekly Close above ₹1,655 . - Target 1: ₹1,810 . - Target 2: ₹2,006 (ATH). > 🛡️ Support (The Safety Net): - Immediate Support: ₹1,555 . This level must hold. - Stop Loss: A close below ₹1,520 would invalidate the "absorption" thesis and suggest the resistance remains too strong. Conclusion This is a Grade A "Pre-Breakout" Setup . > Strategy: The "smart money" is already accumulating. You can either buy 50% now (at ~1638) to capture the breakout early, or wait for a close above 1655 to go full size. > Watchout: Keep an eye on the USD/INR rates; a stronger dollar will further support this trade.
NSE:INFYLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas