Axis Bank — Positional Long Setup | Plan the Pullback🟢 Long Plan – Buy the Dip Zone
🛒 Entry Zones
Entry 1: around ₹1140
Entry 2: around ₹1132–₹1124 (deeper fill zone)
⛔ Stop Loss
Below ₹1124 (decisive breakdown = setup invalid)
🎯 Upside Targets
Target 1: Previous support retest near ₹1214
Target 2: Resistance retest around ₹1274
Target 3: Trail the position toward ₹1528 if momentum continues
I prefer partial booking + trailing SL as price moves higher.
Trade Logic: A positive Trend & Pulse on daily and weekly time frames + A strong Demand Zone with FII's Pending Orders.
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Part 10 Trading Master Class With Experts Common Misconceptions
Options are risky: True if misused, but disciplined traders use them for hedging and risk management.
Only for advanced traders: Basic strategies like covered calls and protective puts are beginner-friendly.
Profits are always quick: Options require understanding market conditions, timing, and volatility.
Regulatory and Market Structure
Options are traded on exchanges (e.g., NSE, CBOE) or over-the-counter (OTC). Exchange-traded options are standardized in terms of strike prices, expiry dates, and contract size, reducing counterparty risk. Traders need margin accounts and must comply with regulatory requirements. Option trading in many countries is also subject to taxation on capital gains.
Sensex - Weekly review Dec 29 to Jan 2The price has filled the gap in the 85000 zone. If it sustains 85k, then it can move up towards 85600. Nearby support is at 84700.
If the price opens around 84700 and shows a bullish sign, then it will move towards 85000.
If the price opens flat, buy above 85060 with the stop loss of 84900 for the targets 85180, 85300, 85440, 85600, 85760, 85900, 86040 and 86200.
Sell below 84700 with the stop loss of 84860 for the targets 84560, 84400, 84260, 84120, 83980, 83840 and 83680.
Always do your analysis before you take any trade.
XAUUSD H4 – Trading the Uptrend Channel with LiquidityXAUUSD H4 – Trading the Uptrend Channel with Liquidity and Volume Profile
Gold remains bullish on the H4 timeframe and continues to respect a well-defined rising channel. With price approaching extended areas, the higher-probability approach is to buy pullbacks at value zones and treat the upper boundary as a short-term profit-taking area rather than chasing momentum.
TECHNICAL CONTEXT
The uptrend structure is still intact, with price forming higher lows inside the channel.
After a strong impulsive leg, the market is now consolidating and rebalancing, which favours execution around Volume Profile and FVG zones.
The upper channel boundary often acts as a short-term exhaustion area, while value zones below offer better risk-to-reward long entries.
PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN PLAN
Buy the pullback at key value and liquidity zones
Buy POC: around 4485
Buy zone FVG support: around 4368
Rationale:
The 4485 POC is a high-volume area where price frequently reacts during pullbacks.
The 4368 FVG aligns with channel support and represents an imbalance area that price often revisits before continuation.
Expected behaviour:
A pullback into POC or the FVG zone, followed by a bullish reaction, can set up the next leg higher within the channel.
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY PLAN
Short-term sell scalp near the upper boundary
Sell scalping zone: around 4600
Note:
This is strictly a short-term scalp if price reaches the upper channel boundary and shows clear rejection. It is not a trend reversal thesis.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
The H4 trend remains bullish, but the channel range is wide, making chasing price riskier.
Volume Profile and FVG zones define higher-probability execution areas.
The best edge comes from buying pullbacks at value, while treating 4600 as a potential short-term reaction zone.
PARADEEP
Price has corrected 36% from its all time high, which is in line with past major corrections.
Weekly RSI has reached its Oversold zone.
Key Support is placed at Rs.140 (61.8% FR level).
Confluence of these parameters indicate that the stock could bottom out and resume its long term up-move soon.
Part 9 Trading Master Class With Experts Risk Management in Options
Options carry inherent risks due to leverage and time decay:
Time Decay (Theta): Options lose value as expiry approaches, especially OTM options.
Volatility Risk (Vega): Changes in market volatility can dramatically affect option premiums.
Delta Risk: Directional exposure; delta measures how much the option price moves relative to the underlying.
Liquidity Risk: Illiquid options can have wide bid-ask spreads, increasing trading costs.
Effective risk management involves:
Position sizing – limiting exposure to a fraction of capital.
Diversifying strategies – combining hedges and directional trades.
Monitoring Greeks – delta, gamma, theta, vega, rho help quantify risk.
Part 8 Trading Master Class With Experts Factors Affecting Option Pricing
Option pricing is influenced by several factors, often modeled using the Black-Scholes formula or Binomial models:
1. Underlying Asset Price: Directly affects intrinsic value.
2. Strike Price: Determines the ITM, ATM, or OTM status.
3. Time to Expiry: More time increases extrinsic value due to uncertainty.
4. Volatility: Higher volatility increases the likelihood of significant price movements, raising premiums.
5. Interest Rates: Influence cost-of-carry in options.
6. Dividends: Expected dividends reduce call option value and increase put value for stock options.
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [29/12/2025: Monday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 29th of December 2025. The day is Monday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
The candle is a red paper umbrella or a hanging man. Also, the candle is inside the previous month's candle. The long-term trend is bullish, but the short-term trend is indecisive. Major resistance is 26200. Minor support is 26000. Major support is 25800. The view is indecision.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
Nifty has successfully wasted 10 weeks in the same range (25700 - 26300). A 600-point range-bound consolidation is painful for directional traders. It is a good market for non-directional traders. Presently, the candle is a red gravestone doji. There is huge selling pressure in the zone of 26200. Major resistance is 26150. Take no bullish trades until price forms a higher highs and higher lows structure above the level 26150. Every up move should be doubted. Level 26000 is a weak support. Price sustaining below the level 26000 can pull the price down to the level 25900. The view is indecision to bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
Structurally, the bulls are tired. In the daily time frame, the price is forming a complex triple top or head and shoulder (H&S) pattern. The price got multiple rejections from the levels - 26200, 26150, and 26100. Every up move should be doubted. Do not think of taking bullish trades unless the price forms a higher highs and higher lows structure above the level 26150. Weak support is 26000. If level 26000 is decisively broken, then there is a higher chance of the price reaching down to level 25900. Additionally, if level 25900 is decisively broken, then level 25800 would be a high probability target. The view is bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
There is a clear sign of weakness. The major resistance zone is (26150 - 26100). Weak support is 26000. Major support is at level 25900. There are multiple unfilled gaps below the level 26000. Take no bullish trades unless the price decisively starts to trade above level 26150. Initiate bearish trade the moment level 26000 is broken. The view is bearish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price starts to decisively sustain above the level 26150.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price starts to decisively sustain below the level 26000.
(iii) If level 26000 is broken, then level 25900 will be a high probability target.
(iv) If level 25900 is also broken, then level 25800 will be a high probability target.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26150 - 26000)
Event: No expiry. But the day after is the Nifty 50 monthly expiry.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) Monthly TF bias is indecision.
(ii) Weekly TF bias is indecision to bearish.
(iii) Daily TF bias is bearish.
(iv) 30-Minute TF bias is bearish.
(v) Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price.
(vi) The market is in a complex range-bound consolidation for 10 weeks. Thus, market structure is cracked, non-directional, and indecisive.
(vii) Bulls are tired while bears are slowly gaining strength. Technical patterns like complex triple top and head and shoulder (H&S) are visible.
(viii) Every up move should be doubted. Presently, a bearish bias is the path of least resistance for the market.
(ix) Think of bullish trades only when the price sustains above level 26150.
(x) Initiate bearish trades when level 26000 is decisively broken. Level 25900 is a high probability target.
(xi) If level 25900 is also broken, then level 25800 is a high probability target.
(xii) Major resistance (supply) zone: (26150 - 26100).
(xiii) Major support (demand) zone: (25850 - 25800).
(xiv) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26150 - 26000).
(xv) Monthly expiry is near. Also, the quarter (the 3rd quarter of the financial year) is ending. Thus, we can expect major price anomalies and chaos.
(xvi) Trade only when bullish/ bearish conditions are fulfilled. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
PhysicsWallah Price Action Analysis for Jan 2026Analysis Date: 28-Dec-25
Price is at 131
As per the analysis 151 to 121 seems to be the range buyers and sellers are interested. Price has formed upward channel where sellers have sold the 139 to 143 level and bought the 129 to 125 level.
Sellers seem to be getting weaker.
If overall market sentiment improves PWL is likely to bounce too.
Buying & take profit levels are shown on the chart.
Wishing you all a Happy, Healthy & Prosperous New Year 2026!
Happy Trading!
#USDJPY #FOREX #USDJPY
According to recent analysis, the pair has reached a local target of 157.77$ and is currently consolidating. There's a possibility of a corrective move towards 154.90$ before resuming the uptrend, with potential targets at 158.00$ and 161.00$
However, expecting a big breakout below 140$, which could indicate a shift in the trend. The technical analysis suggests that if the pair breaks below 154.90$, it could signal another move in the corrective wave, potentially targeting 151.90$ / 141$
Part 7 Trading Master Class With Experts How Options Work
Options provide leverage. For a fraction of the underlying asset's price, traders can control a large position. For example, buying 100 shares of a stock directly may cost $10,000, but buying a call option on those shares could cost $500, offering similar profit potential if the stock rises.
Profit Scenarios
Call Option Buyer: Gains when the underlying price rises above strike + premium paid.
Put Option Buyer: Gains when the underlying price falls below strike - premium paid.
Seller (Writer) of Options: Receives the premium upfront but assumes the risk of adverse price movement.
Part 6 Learn Institutional TradingUnderstanding Options
At its core, an option is a contract. There are two primary types of options:
Call Option – Grants the holder the right to buy an asset at a predetermined price (strike price) within a specific timeframe. Investors buy calls when they expect the underlying asset's price to rise.
Put Option – Grants the holder the right to sell an asset at a predetermined price within a specific timeframe. Investors buy puts when they anticipate a decline in the underlying asset’s price.
The strike price is the agreed-upon price at which the option can be exercised, while the expiry date determines the option’s lifespan. Options are traded on various underlying assets, including stocks, indices, commodities, and currencies.
Part 4 Learn Institutional Trading Option Terminology
To trade options effectively, one must understand key terminologies:
Premium: The price paid to buy an option. It’s influenced by intrinsic and extrinsic factors.
Intrinsic Value: The value of the option if exercised immediately. For calls, it’s the difference between the underlying price and strike price if positive; for puts, it’s the difference between strike price and underlying price if positive.
Extrinsic Value (Time Value): The part of the premium based on time until expiration and volatility.
In-the-Money (ITM): A call is ITM if the underlying price is above the strike; a put is ITM if the underlying price is below the strike.
Out-of-the-Money (OTM): A call is OTM if the underlying price is below the strike; a put is OTM if above.
At-the-Money (ATM): The underlying price is equal to the strike price.
Jupiter retrograde effect in the stock market (NIFTY-50)In financial astrology (also called astro-trading or mundane astrology applied to markets), Jupiter symbolizes expansion, optimism, growth, abundance, and bullish sentiment. When Jupiter is direct, it often correlates with outward momentum, confidence, and upward trends in indices like the Nifty 50.
Jupiter retrograde flips this energy inward: it's a period of review, reassessment, delays in expansion, reduced optimism, or a slowdown in growth. Astrologers commonly associate it with:
Contraction or caution in markets
Choppy, range-bound, or corrective phases
Reevaluation of over-optimistic positions (e.g., profit booking, reduced risk appetite)
Potential for lower highs or failure to sustain upward momentum rather than explosive new highs
This doesn't always mean sharp crashes (Jupiter is still a benefic planet), but it often tempers bullish euphoria and can lead to stagnation, pullbacks, or lower lows in sentiment-driven moves.
The latest annotations extend into 2025–2026, with the current price action near the upper range but showing recent downside pressure (-0.38% daily change).
In these highlighted retrograde zones, the Nifty tends to form:
Lower highs (failure to break and sustain prior peaks during the period)
Lower lows in some cases (deeper corrections or retests)
Overall, more defensive or corrective behavior rather than strong bullish continuation with fresh higher highs.
This aligns with common financial astrology views: Jupiter retrograde often correlates with higher highs being harder to achieve (expansion energy turns inward), leading to lower high formations or outright lower lows during reassessment phases.
Broader Observations from Financial Astrology Sources
Jupiter retrograde is linked to slowdowns in growth/expansion, reevaluation of investments, and sometimes declining sentiment (e.g., coinciding with corrections or bearish periods in historical examples like 2008).
Some traders note retrograde Jupiter can bring sudden jumps or reversals at onset, but the bulk of the period leans toward chop/consolidation rather than new all-time highs.
Direct motion (post-retrograde) often reignites optimism and rallies.
Summary Table of Typical Formation During Jupiter Retrograde (Based on Astro-Financial Interpretations & Your Chart Patterns)
Period (Approx from Chart) Dominant Price Action Observed Formation Type
2022 Retrograde Downtrend, sharp drops Lower highs + lower lows & again New High
2023 Retrograde Pullback after rally Lower highs, potential lower low & again New High
2024 Retrograde Range-bound, minor dips Lower highs (failure to sustain breakout), consolidation
Current/2025+ Recent downside pressure Likely lower high formation if momentum fades
Conclusion: In the context of your chart and financial astrology principles, Jupiter retrograde periods in the Nifty 50 more commonly lead to lower high formations (capped upside, reevaluation tops) or choppy action that sets up lower lows, rather than strong higher highs. Expansion slows, optimism retracts, and markets often consolidate or correct. It has generally been observed that an upward trend begins after 45 to 60 days, so we can expect the market situation to improve after January 15th 2026.
This is not a strict rule (markets have many drivers), but a recurring theme in astro-trading analysis. Always combine with technicals, volume, and macro factors for trading decisions.
#Nifty Weekly 29-12-25 to 02-01-26#Nifty Weekly 29-12-25 to 02-01-26
25920-25980 is the Support and 26280-26320 is the Resistance for next week.
Option Sellers can consider the range 25920-26320 for next week.
Ideal trade would be, check for any sign of reversal from support in lower timeframe and long with confirmation.
If Nifty reverses from support, Targets on upside are 26150/26300.
Short level is only below 25880 for the targets of 25780/25580.
View: Sideways to upside.
XAUUSD (H4) – Weekly StrategyBull trend still in control | Buy the pullback at 4430, sell reaction at 4573, target 4685
Weekly strategy snapshot
On H4, gold is still holding a strong bullish structure inside the rising channel. Price has already expanded higher, so next week I’m not chasing — I’m prioritizing a trend buy on pullback into liquidity. Above, the 1.618 Fibonacci zone is a clean area for a reaction sell / profit-taking.
1) Technical view (based on your chart)
H4 structure remains bullish: higher highs + higher lows.
Price is extended after the breakout, so mid-range entries are risky.
The chart clearly marks Sellside Liquidity – Buy 4430 as the key “reload” area.
Upside zones: Sell 4573 (Fibo 1.618) and the extension target 4685.
2) Key Levels for next week
✅ Buy zone (Sellside Liquidity): 4430
✅ Sell reaction (Fibo 1.618): 4573
✅ Extension target: 4685
3) Weekly trading scenarios (Liam style: trade the level)
Scenario A (priority): BUY the pullback with the trend
✅ Buy: around 4430 (wait for a liquidity sweep + reaction)
SL (guide): below the 4430 zone (refine on lower TF / spread)
TP1: 4530 – 4540
TP2: 4573
TP3: 4685 (if momentum continues)
Logic: After a breakout, price often returns to “collect liquidity” before the next leg higher. 4430 is the cleanest dip-buy location on this structure.
Scenario B: SELL reaction at premium Fibonacci (short-term)
✅ Sell: around 4573
SL (guide): above the zone
TP: back toward value / potentially toward 4430 if a clear correction develops
Logic: 4573 is a premium area where profit-taking often shows up. This is a reaction sell — not a long-term bearish bias.
4) Macro context (from your news) & gold impact
Trump’s comments on tariffs, a sharper reduction in the trade deficit, and strong GDP messaging can keep markets sensitive to USD / yields expectations. That can create sharp intraday swings.
At the same time, policy and geopolitical uncertainty still supports safe-haven demand — which is why the best approach remains: follow the trend, enter at liquidity.
5) Risk notes
Don’t chase at highs.
Only act at the levels: 4430 or 4573.
Max risk per trade: 1–2%.
What’s your bias for next week: buying the 4430 pullback, or waiting for 4573 to sell the reaction?
NBCC 4x Possibility in next 5 Years suggest Monthly charts.NBCC 4x Possibility in next 5 Years suggest Monthly charts.
LTP - 122
Targets - 510+
Timeframe - 5 Years
Fundamentals:
NBCC (India) Limited is a Government of India Navratna Enterprise under the Ministry of Housing and Urban Affairs. The Co. operates in three major segments - Project Management Consultancy, Engineering Procurement & Construction, and Real Estate.
Company has reduced debt.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 51.0% CAGR over last 5 years
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 32.7%
Technical:
Monthly charts suggest breakout from ATH & earlier high of 89 created on Nov 2017 has been decisively broken. Monthly chart suggest breakout from long term CUP pattern formation & targets can be well above 510+ in coming 5-6 Years.
Happy Investing.






















