Coal India. Buy the Dip?Stock: Coal India (COALINDIA)
Current Price: ₹385.05
Technical Analysis:
1⃣ Descending Channel: The stock is trading within a descending channel, forming a base with a potential double-bottom pattern.
2⃣Structure: Lower Lows (LL) and Lower Highs (LH). The overall market structure remains weak.
3⃣200-DMA: Stock is trading below its 200-day moving average, indicating caution for bullish momentum.
Trading Plan:
Entry: Above ₹400.30 on a breakout candle backed by 3x-5x volume.
Stop Loss (SL): ₹352.55 (closing basis).
Target Levels:
T1: ₹428.30 (7.00%, R:R 0.8:1)
T2: ₹458.50 (14.55%, R:R 1.6:1)
Positional T1: ₹517.20 (29.20%, R:R 3.7:1)
Positional T2 (ATH): ₹544.30 (36.00%, R:R 4.7:1)
Key Observations:
Dividend Payout: Suitable for long-term investors accumulating during dips.
Weakness Trigger: A weekly close below ₹360 could indicate further downside. Risky traders may short below this level.
RSI: Needs improvement to signal bullish strength.
Momentum Play: Not recommended for short-term traders. Wait for structural change above ₹400.
What to Watch During Breakout?
Volume Surge: Wide-range breakout candle backed by 3x-5x average volumes.
Sustainability: Ensure a close above ₹400 to confirm a breakout.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own analysis and consult a financial advisor before trading. Trade responsibly and manage risks.
Parallel Channel
Asso Alcohol-Darvas box breakout and Retest done.
✅Stock is in an uptrend
✅Broke out of a base and retested
✅Trading above Key DMAs
✅consolidating right above the base forming base on
base with narrow-range candles
Keep this in your sight and find long opportunity.
CMP: 1128.75
Entry: 1132
SL: 935(Closing Basis)
Risk: 17.3%
Reward: 20.7%
The view shared is for educational purposes. Please do your due diligence.
GOLD - BEARSIH STRUCTURE FORMING. WILL IT BREAK CHANNEL SUPPORT?Symbol - XAUUSD
Gold has recently tested lower levels of rising channel and is now engaging with trend support, creating volatility in the market. The strengthening of the U.S. dollar is exerting downward pressure on the precious metal. Gold appears to be entering a corrective phase, with the market gradually shifting from a bullish to a bearish outlook due to increasing demand for the dollar, driven in part by concerns over potential trade wars arising from U.S. policies under former President Trump's administration.
The issue of tariffs imposed by the U.S. remains unresolved. Meanwhile, traders are closely monitoring U.S. economic data, including durable goods orders and consumer confidence, as well as the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting, with its outcome expected to be released on Wednesday.
From a technical perspective, after the breakdown of the bullish market structure, the price is currently testing the support of the established channel. It is unlikely that this support level will be breached on the first attempt, and the price may experience a corrective move towards 2745 or potentially the imbalance zone, such as the 2750-2760 range, before resuming its downward trajectory due to selling pressure.
Key resistance levels: 2745, 2751, 2760
Key support levels: 2735, 2718
If the price fails to breach the 2745 resistance level and retreats to 2735, this could signal a potential break of trend support. In that scenario, an impulsive move towards 2718 may materialize. However, if the 2745 resistance level is overcome, gold could test the 2750-2760 range before continuing its downward movement which is more likely.
Wipro's Steady Climb with Cautionary Signals Topic Statement:
Wipro's recent strong quarterly performance has led to a significant surge in its stock price, indicating a potential bullish trend.
Key Points:
1. The company reported a robust 24.6% QoQ profit growth for the third quarter.
2. The stock is trading in an up-trending channel, making channel trading convenient.
3. A double top pattern has emerged, indicating potential resistance.
4. Buying at the lower end of the channel, near the 180-day moving average, offers an oversold entry point.
IREDA CMP 207 Weekly Chart Forming Parallel channelIREDA is forming Parallel Channel on Weekly chart.
RSI 14 is going up slowly. Price is trying to cross 20 EMA line on weekly basis.
Resistance around 229-234, 260-264 and ATH 310
Support 189, 170
Target 1 : 310
Target 2 : 540++
Probable Time Period : 3-5 Months
Nifty Weekly Review Jan 27 - Jan 31Price moved in range between 23000 to 23400 through out this week. 23000 is a strong support zone. Price is bullish as long as it is sustaining above 23000.
In daily time frame price is testing support zone and should move above it to be bullish.
Buy above 23060 with the stop loss of 23010 for the targets 23100, 23140, 23190, 23240, 23300, 23360, 23420 and 23460.
Sell below 22960 with the stop loss of 23000 for the targets 22920, 22880, 22820, 22760 and 22720.
Do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Persistent Systems: A Promising Opportunity?Persistent Systems is currently trading in an ascending channel, indicating an ongoing uptrend 📈. After correcting nearly 20% from its all-time high (ATH)—which coincided with the channel top—it has now broken above a key trendline with strong volume and a wide-range bullish candle 💪.
📊 Key Technical Analysis:
🎯 Entry: ₹6,365
⛔ Stop Loss (SL): ₹5,538 (closing basis)
🏁 Targets:T1 (Previous ATH): ₹6,790 (+7%)
Positional Target: ₹7,681 (+21%)
Long-Term Target: ₹9,094 (+43%)
📌 Technical Highlights:
1⃣Persistent has bounced back from the 50 DMA, showing strong respect for this critical support level
2⃣Closed above the 50 DMA with a strong bullish candle (minimal upper wick, significant volume).
3⃣Trendline Breakout
4⃣RSI is rising, indicating upward momentum.
5⃣Channel top could act as resistance—keep an eye on price action near T1 levels.
🧮 Position Sizing:Start with 20-30% of your planned allocation at ₹6,365.
If ₹6,790 is broken with volume, consider adding more.
Partial profits can be booked at T1, with the remainder trailed for higher targets.
⚠️ Respect the SL (Stop Loss), as it represents a 12.45% risk.
📈 Why Persistent Systems Looks Attractive for Long-Term Consideration:
1. 🌟 Growth Drivers:
AI Integration: AI is a core focus for Persistent’s growth strategy, with significant investments in AI-driven solutions 🤖.
Strategic Acquisitions: Acquisitions like Starfish Associates (contact center modernization) and Arrka (digital governance and AI cybersecurity) enhance Persistent’s offerings.
📊 Revenue Momentum: The company has reported 18 consecutive quarters of revenue growth, recently achieving a robust 18.4% YoY increase.
🏆 Industry Recognition: Named the fastest-growing IT services brand in the 2024 Brand Finance India 100 report, highlighting its competitive edge.
2. 🛠️ Expansion Plans:
Focused on AI-led, platform-driven services to drive innovative solutions for clients.
Strengthened executive leadership to support non-linear growth through mergers, acquisitions, and large deals.
3. 💹 Respecting Key Support Levels:
Persistent has consistently respected the 50 DMA, a strong indicator of investor confidence and support at this level.
These factors, coupled with the company’s strategic focus on AI and consistent execution, make Persistent Systems an attractive consideration for long-term investment.
🌍 Broader Sector Context:
The IT sector is holding up well despite market volatility, and Persistent’s positioning in emerging technologies like AI ensures it is aligned with future trends 🔮.
💡 Final Thoughts:
This trade is against the trend, so trade light and manage risk effectively ⚖️. The channel top could pose resistance, but the overall structure and long-term prospects are promising. The probability of trades failing is high when the market is in a downward trend. Please keep that in mind.
If you find this analysis insightful, like and share to help others make informed decisions 👍.
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❗ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Gold long term opportunity - 15% from current priceGold has been travelling in an ascending channel since July 2024, when China started buying in large amounts.
It has formed a textbook cup-and-handle pattern by taking support from its previous resistance of 73800, by forming the cup's bottom. Cup and handle range of approx 7.2% might take it to the channel's top, which co-incides with Fib 1.6 level of 84000.
When it breaks the channel, the channel's range of 8.5% might take it above Fib 2.6 level of 90000.
So far buying opportunities might present itself at following intervals:
78900, when it takes support from the cup and handle resistance
79800, when it takes rejection from Fib 1 level
Again at around 80000 when it breaks above the Fib 1 level and takes support from it.
NIFTY Budget Day buying opportunityNifty 50 is travelling in a descending channel from all time high. It has broken the mid-point of the channel and can drop approx 4% more to reach the bottom line.
NSE is conducting a special trading session on Saturday 1st Feb, when the new budget will be presented. This co-incides with the bottom of the channel, so I expect Nifty to drop approx 4% more in the next 7 sessions.
It should bounce from the bottom line which is also a support zone from Election Day and before, take a rejection from the channel mid-point, take support from the top of the zone, then go upwards to the top line of the channel.
Expiry day analysis - 21 Jan SensexPrice is moving in an upward channel and now it is at channel support. Sustaining above 77000 is important to be bullish.
News can affect normal market movement.
Buy above 77120 with the stop loss of 77020 for the targets 77200, 77320, 77400 and 77520.
Sell below 76900 with the stop loss of 76980 for the targets 76820, 76700, 76620, 76540 and 76440.
Do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Indus Ind BankI have found interesting patterns in different time frame. In lower time frame price has formed an ascending triangle, and it is testing the bottom of the channel. Also price is consolidating in a narrow range.
In daily time frame, price is forming a descending triangle and testing the upper trend line of the channel.
So two time frames with different direction. In which direction price will move?
We can expect more range move if price fails to gain trend strength.
Buy above 974 with the stop loss of 966 for the targets 982, 990 and 998.
Sell below 960 with the stop loss of 970 for the targets 950, 938 and 926.
Do your own analysis before taking any trade.
National Aluminum Co Ltd - Looks Good.Candidate looks good for swing trade with target of 240 INR. and S/L of 180 INR. CMP 205.54 INR.
Reason
Swing Trade
Touch Point reversal
MACD Cross Over
Continuation Wedge (Bullish) Pattern formation
PLEASE NOTE THAT:
This chart analysis is only for reference purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
GrasimPrice gave two side move today and in that process it has formed an ascending channel. And now price is at the channel support.
Buy above 2326 with the stop loss of 2306 for the targets 2348, 2372, 2394 and 2408.
Sell below 2285 with the stop loss of 2305 for the targets 2268, 2240, 2210 and 2192.
Do you own analysis before taking any trade.
HDFC Life Recovers Post-Quarterly ResultsTopic Statement: HDFC Life has shown a strong recovery after posting a 14% QoQ growth in Q3 earnings, with the stock taking support at the 61.8% retracement level and breaking above its down trending channel, indicating a trend reversal.
Key Points:
1. Company reported a 14% QoQ growth in 3rd-quarter earnings.
2. Price took heavy support at the 61.8% retracement level.
3. Price jumped by 8% after the results, creating a gap.
4. Candle closed above the down trending channel, signaling a trend change.






















