Finnifty - Oct 31Price gave good move today and now it is forming a channel pattern.
Break out can be in any direction.
Support zone - 19000 - 19020.
Resistance zone - 19290 - 19320.
If price sustains the resistance then it will move to 19360, 19400 and 19460.
If the price is unable to move above resistance, then it will fall towards 19220, 19180, 19140 and 19060.
Trade with care if the price did not show the trend direction.
Based on the assumption that price will react at support/resistance.
Always do your own research. This analysis is for educational purpose only.
Parallel Channel
BANKNIFTY 30 October, 2023Market shows signs of recovery, but it's too early to say if the uptrend will continue?
The market showed surprising strength on October 27, 2023, rising despite negative cues from the US markets. The market opened with a gap up and moved obediently according to the ascending channel pattern that had formed on the previous day. This suggests that bulls were in control and that the market is still in an uptrend.
However, is it too early to say if the uptrend will continue? A new ascending channel pattern has emerged, which is a further indication of the uptrend. However, the market will need to break out of this channel and sustain above the resistance level to confirm the uptrend. Let us see, if the market recovers fully or goes down further to fill the gap.
Overall, the market outlook is positive for the short term. However, investors should be cautious and monitor the market closely for any signs of weakness.
Bank nifty Bearish Flag FoundThe bearish flag pattern is a technical analysis pattern used in financial markets, particularly in stock, forex, and cryptocurrency trading. It is a continuation pattern that typically occurs within a downtrend and signals that the price is likely to continue moving lower. The bearish flag pattern is characterized by a sharp, significant price decline (the flagpole) followed by a period of consolidation or sideways movement (the flag) before the price resumes its downward trend.
Here's everything you need to know about the bearish flag pattern:
1. **Formation**: The bearish flag pattern consists of two main components:
- **Flagpole**: This is the initial steep price drop that precedes the flag pattern. It is a strong and rapid decline in price.
- **Flag**: The flag is a rectangular-shaped pattern that forms after the flagpole. It is characterized by price consolidation or sideways movement. During this phase, trading volumes tend to decrease, indicating a pause in the selling pressure.
2. **Duration**: The flag portion of the pattern can last from a few days to a few weeks. The longer the consolidation, the more significant the potential breakout.
3. **Slope of the Flagpole**: The angle of the flagpole is usually sharp and steep. It represents the initial strong selling pressure.
4. **Volume**: While the flag is forming, trading volume tends to decrease. This is a crucial element in the pattern, as it shows a reduction in market interest and a potential energy buildup for the next move.
5. **Breakout**: The bearish flag pattern is confirmed when the price breaks below the lower trendline of the flag, indicating a resumption of the downtrend. This is a signal for traders to consider shorting the asset or taking other bearish positions.
6. **Price Target**: To estimate a price target for the pattern, you can measure the height of the flagpole and extrapolate it downward from the breakout point. This provides a potential target for the price decline.
7. **False Breakouts**: It's important to be cautious of false breakouts. Sometimes, the price may temporarily break above the upper trendline of the flag before reversing. To mitigate this risk, traders often wait for a clear, decisive breakout confirmation.
8. **Risk Management**: As with any trading pattern, it's crucial to have a risk management strategy in place. Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and consider the overall market context and other technical indicators for confirmation.
9. **Confirmation**: Many traders use additional technical indicators, such as moving averages or oscillators, to confirm the bearish flag pattern before taking a position.
Remember that no trading pattern is foolproof, and trading always carries risk. It's essential to conduct thorough analysis and consider other factors like market news and economic events when making trading decisions. Additionally, practicing on a demo account or using paper trading can help you become more proficient in identifying and trading patterns like the bearish flag.
BANKNIFTY, October 26, 2023Pre-market analysis for Bank Nifty: Possible surprise breakdown on expiry
Bank Nifty followed the descending trendline and support and resistance levels that were plotted yesterday, as expected. No surprise breakouts occurred.
I have plotted fresh support and resistance lines based on historical patterns. Considering expiry tomorrow, Bank Nifty may start with a small gap up or gap down, followed by consolidation with sideways movement. However, given the current market sentiment and trend, a surprise breakdown is also possible.
This is just an assumption, and you should always keep that in mind. Take positions only when there is a clear trend and movement, especially since it is expiry.
If you like my pre-market analysis, please like and comment.
US10Ythe fall started from 15% in Oct' 1981 until 0.533% in Jul 2020 has formed a parallel channel.
Though the rise has been sharp and with very little consolidation.
However it may start consolidating from 6-8%
retracement from that may not be much, however time correction is needed as bond yield has increase too much in little time.
Navin Fluorine is bearish and weak in coming daysNavin Fluorine has fallen 25% as of now. It is in channel from 2.5years and finally broken the channel. On monthly TimeFrame RSI is very weak and may fall more.
Targets according to Channel
Target1: 3500 (which is also 50% of channel level)
Target2: 3050 (which is almost 35% from all time high)
Range Breakout - TIPSINDPlease look into the chart for a detailed understanding.
Consider these for short-term & swing trades with 2% profit.
For BTST trades consider booking
target for 1% - 2%
For long-term trades look out for resistance drawn above closing.
Please consider these ideas for educational purpose
Please note that, if there are some big targets, those are drawn thinking for long term.
SILVER DECEMBER FUTUREA "Bullish Channel" and "Bullish Price Action" are related concepts in technical analysis that both indicate positive market sentiment and an upward trend. Here's an explanation of each:
Bullish Channel :
A Bullish Channel is a technical chart pattern that represents an upward price trend with clear boundaries or channel lines. It typically consists of two parallel trendlines, one acting as support and the other as resistance. Here's what characterizes a Bullish Channel:
Support and Resistance : The lower trendline acts as support, and the upper trendline acts as resistance. The price tends to bounce between these two lines, creating a channel.
Uptrend : A Bullish Channel forms within the context of an existing uptrend, indicating a period of consolidation or a pause in the upward movement.
Continuation Pattern : It is considered a continuation pattern, meaning that it often suggests the prevailing bullish trend will continue after the channel pattern.
Trading Strategy : Traders may look for buying opportunities when the price approaches the lower trendline (support) and selling opportunities when it approaches the upper trendline (resistance).
Bullish Price Action:
Bullish price action refers to a series of price movements and patterns on a price chart that indicate a positive or bullish market sentiment. It can be observed in various ways, such as higher highs, higher lows, bullish candlestick patterns, and other positive signals. Here are some key aspects of Bullish Price Action:
Higher Highs and Higher Lows: In an uptrend, you typically see successive price highs that are higher than the previous highs, and price lows that are higher than the previous lows.
Bullish Candlestick Patterns: Look for patterns like engulfing candles, hammers, or morning stars, which suggest buying interest.
Positive Volume: Increasing trading volume during price rises can confirm bullish price action.
Breakouts: Bullish breakouts from consolidation patterns or resistance levels often indicate an upcoming bullish move.
Fundamental Factors : Positive news, strong earnings reports, and other fundamental factors can influence bullish price action.
In summary, a Bullish Channel is a specific chart pattern that occurs within an existing uptrend and signifies a potential continuation of that trend. Bullish Price Action, on the other hand, is a broader concept that encompasses various signals and patterns that suggest a positive market sentiment, which may or may not be associated with a channel pattern. Both concepts are important for traders and investors in assessing market conditions and making informed decisions
inverted head and shoulders on SBIN: State Bank of IndiaA slanting channel on 2 hr time frame, a break out of which can lead towards 620 area and drop from the channel can bring the price to the lower end of the channel or the buffer support area. Beyond which it can retest 550-555 levels.
but on the larger Daily Time Frame, its a head and shoulders in formation and a breakout of which will come above 620.
Do like and leave your thoughts behind.
#Sbi #StateBankofIndia #psubank