PEL : Is this just a breakout… or start of a multi-bagger move?NSE:PEL
🔍 Technical Analysis (Chart-Based)
📌 Pattern:
Cup and Handle Breakout clearly visible
Strong breakout above ₹1,197.80 neckline
Brief retracement after rally, likely testing ₹1,272.25 as support
📊 Key Levels:
Immediate Support: ₹1,272.25 (could act as a bullish retest)
Major Support: ₹1,197.80 (neckline of the cup and handle)
Resistance Zone: ₹1,360–1,400 (potential target zone post breakout)
🔄 Indicators & Momentum:
A strong bullish trend confirmed with higher highs and higher lows
Volume during breakout likely high (needs confirmation)
If price respects ₹1,272 and reverses, fresh upmove possible
🎯 Technical Summary:
Trend: Bullish
Bias: Buy on dips near support zones
Targets: ₹1,360, then ₹1,420
Stop Loss: Below ₹1,197
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🧮 Fundamental Analysis (PEL - 2025 Outlook)
========================================
🏢 About the Company:
Piramal Enterprises Ltd operates mainly in:
Financial services (retail and wholesale lending)
Recent demerger of pharma business (PEL is now a pure NBFC)
📈 Key Financials (FY24–FY25E):
Metric Value
Market Cap ~₹30,000+ Cr
Revenue (FY24) ₹8,200+ Cr
Net Profit (FY24) ₹900+ Cr
P/E Ratio ~28–30x
Book Value ~₹1,300+
Price-to-Book (P/B) ~1.0x
ROE 6–8%
Debt/Equity ~0.8–1.0x
🔍 Key Positives:
Strong book value support
Low P/B indicates undervaluation vs peers
Cleaned-up balance sheet after pharma demerger
Focus on retail lending (more stable than wholesale)
⚠️ Risks to Watch:
Still consolidating after business restructuring
NBFC sector sensitive to interest rate cycles & RBI regulation
ROE still on the lower side compared to peers
=====================================
📌 Investment View (Short + Long-Term)
=====================================
✅ Short-Term View (1–3 months):
Technicals favor continuation of uptrend
Momentum can take it to ₹1,360–1,400 if support holds
✅ Long-Term View (6–18 months):
Strong restructuring play post-demerger
Clean balance sheet and pivot to retail NBFC is positive
Long-term target can be ₹1,600–1,800 if execution remains strong
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
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Trade Secrets By Pratik
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PEL
PEL: Perfect Cup & Handle Breakout That Could Double Your MoneyNSE:PEL : The Perfect Cup & Handle Breakout That Could Double Your Money? Let's Analyse
Price Action Analysis:
• Stock has formed a classic Cup & Handle pattern over approximately 8 months (Dec 2024 to July 2025)
• The "cup" formation shows a rounded bottom with the low around ₹850-900 levels in March 2025
• Current breakout above the handle resistance at ₹1,200 levels with strong momentum
• Price has surged from ₹1,158.70 to ₹1,217.50 with a healthy 4.69% gain on breakout day
• The handle formation shows controlled consolidation with lower volumes, indicating accumulation
Volume Spread Analysis:
• Volume spike of 2.51M shares on breakout day, significantly higher than the 20-day average
• During the cup formation, volume was relatively subdued, showing smart money accumulation
• The breakout volume of 556.96K is substantial, confirming the validity of the pattern
• Volume profile shows institutional participation during the base-building phase
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
• Primary Support: ₹1,150-1,160 (previous handle resistance now acting as support)
• Secondary Support: ₹1,100-1,120 (handle low)
• Major Support: ₹1,000-1,020 (cup rim level)
• Immediate Resistance: ₹1,240-1,250
• Major Resistance: ₹1,275 (all-time high)
• Target Resistance: ₹1,400-1,450 (measured move from cup depth)
Base Formation:
• 8-month base formation from Dec 2024 to July 2025
• Base depth: Approximately 35-40% from highs to lows
• Constructive base with multiple retests of support levels
• Base shows characteristics of institutional accumulation with controlled selling pressure
Technical Patterns:
Cup & Handle Pattern:
• Perfect textbook Cup & Handle formation with 8-month duration
• Cup depth of approximately ₹400 (from ₹1,240 to ₹850)
• Handle formed over 6-8 weeks with declining volume
• Breakout above ₹1,200 with expanding volume confirms pattern completion
• Measured target: ₹1,600+ (adding cup depth to breakout level)
Additional Patterns:
• Ascending triangle formation within the handle
• Multiple higher lows during the recovery phase
• Bullish flag pattern preceding the final breakout
• Volume price confirmation throughout the pattern development
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy:
• Aggressive Entry: ₹1,210-1,220 (on breakout confirmation)
• Conservative Entry: ₹1,180-1,190 (on pullback to breakout level)
• Scale-in Entry: 50% at ₹1,210, 50% at ₹1,190 if pullback occurs
• Entry should be accompanied by volume expansion above 1.5x average
Exit Strategy:
• Target 1: ₹1,320-1,340 (8-10% upside)
• Target 2: ₹1,450-1,480 (20-25% upside)
• Target 3: ₹1,600-1,650 (pattern target, 35-40% upside)
• Partial profit booking at each target level (33% each)
Stop-Loss Management:
• Initial Stop-Loss: ₹1,150 (below handle support)
• Trailing Stop-Loss: Move to breakeven once Target 1 is achieved
• Progressive Stop-Loss: ₹1,250 after Target 1, ₹1,350 after Target 2
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 minimum for the trade setup
Risk Management:
Position Sizing:
• Maximum allocation: 3-5% of the portfolio for this single position
• Scale-in approach recommended for average entry price
• Avoid concentrating more than 10% in the financial services sector
• Consider correlation with other financial holdings
Risk Mitigation:
• Set alerts at key support and resistance levels
• Monitor volume patterns for any divergence signals
• Keep track of broader market sentiment and financial sector performance
• Regular review of stop-loss levels and profit booking strategy
• Avoid averaging down if the stop-loss is triggered
Sectoral Analysis:
Financial Services Sector Overview:
• NBFC sector showing signs of recovery post-COVID consolidation
• Regulatory environment becoming more favourable for established players
• Credit growth revival benefiting well-capitalized NBFCs
• Sector rotation from growth to value creates opportunities in the financial space
Sector Positioning:
• NSE:PEL is positioned in the diversified financial services space
• Benefits from real estate cycle recovery and pharma business stability
• Regulatory changes favouring larger, well-capitalized players
• Sector P/B multiples are still reasonable compared to historical averages
Fundamental Backdrop:
Company Overview:
• Diversified conglomerate with presence in financial services, pharmaceuticals, and real estate
• Strong balance sheet with improved asset quality metrics
• Management focuses on deleveraging and core business strengthening
• Strategic divestments are improving cash flows and reducing the debt burden
Past/Recent Developments:
• Successful completion of major asset sales improves the liquidity position
• Pharma business showing steady growth with new product launches
• Real estate segment benefiting from sector recovery
• Financial services arm gaining market share in target segments
Valuation Metrics:
• Trading at reasonable valuations compared to sector peers
• Improved return ratios and asset quality metrics
• Strong cash generation from core operations
• Debt reduction improving financial flexibility and credit ratings
Growth Catalysts:
• Real estate sector recovery driving housing finance growth
• Pharma business expansion in domestic and international markets
• Potential for higher ROE as leverage normalizes
• Market share gains in target financial services segments
My Take:
This technical setup in NSE:PEL presents a compelling risk-reward opportunity with the stock breaking out from a well-formed base pattern, supported by improving fundamentals and favourable sector dynamics.
Keep in the Watchlist.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
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Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
PEL : Swing Pick#PEL #trendingstock #breakoutstock #Momentumstock
PEL : Swing Trade
>> Trending setup
>> Breakout candidate
>> Stock in Momentum
>> Rounding bottom in formation
>> Low Risk High Reward Trade
Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep trailing
Disc : Charts shared are for Learning purpose and not a Trade recommendation
Consult a SEBI Registered Advisor before taking position in it.
The Above Stock analysis is done purely on the technical basis only & Technical analysis is also 100% full proof. so i reserve the right to be wrong, if thats d case it will be learning experience.
Potential Opportunity in PEL: Weekly Breakout in a ConsolidationPEL has been trading within a well-defined triangle pattern for quite some time now, showing excellent consolidation. Key support and resistance levels have been marked, making the setup more structured and reliable.
Recently, a breakout has been observed on the weekly timeframe, indicating the potential for a strong upward movement. However, to confirm the breakout's validity, waiting for a weekly closing above the breakout level is essential.
Strategy:
Observation Period: Monitor this week’s closing to confirm the breakout.
Entry Plan: If the breakout sustains, consider buying the stock for short- to mid-term gains.
Targets: While the upside potential is open-ended, the first target has been marked for guidance.
Key Takeaways:
The triangle pattern on the weekly chart is a strong technical signal.
Breakouts from such patterns often lead to significant price movements.
It’s essential to remain disciplined and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Personal Note:
Apologies for the lack of updates recently. I’ll strive to provide regular market insights and updates moving forward. Let’s keep an eye on PEL as it has the potential to generate substantial returns in the near term.
Stay tuned for more updates!
pel swing trade for 2 monthsChart Pattern: Breakout of Inverted Head & Shoulders
Volume: Strong, confirming breakout
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable
Trade Type: Swing trade for 2-3 months
Entry Strategy: Buy after breakout confirmation
Stop Loss (SL): ₹1050
Target: ₹1570
Monitor volumes and price action to confirm continuation. Adjust stop loss as the trade progresses.
#PEL #TechnicalAnalysis #InvertedHeadAndShoulders #BreakoutTrading #SwingTrade #StockMarket #RiskRewardRatio #TradingStrategy
PEL - Ready For Stage 2 Breakout on Weekly ChartPiramal Enterprises Ltd shows bullish technical patterns that indicate a potential upward movement if certain breakout conditions are met.
Here’s a detailed technical analysis:
Long-Term Downtrend: The stock was in a prolonged three-year downtrend, followed by a 2.5-year consolidation range, indicating that the stock was in a base-building phase after a significant decline. This consolidation suggests that sellers have been exhausted, and the stock may be preparing for a reversal.
Cup and Handle Pattern: The chart forms a classic cup and handle pattern, a reliable bullish continuation pattern. The "cup" spans approximately 53 weeks, and a handle has recently formed. This pattern indicates potential for an upward breakout if the stock closes above the handle’s resistance.
Stage 2 Breakout Area: A strong horizontal resistance line marks the breakout area for Stage 2. This is the critical level the stock needs to break above to confirm the cup and handle pattern, signaling the beginning of an uptrend.
Higher Low Base: During the formation of the cup, the stock established a higher low base, showing strengthening buyer interest and reducing downward pressure. This higher low base reinforces the bullish setup, as it signifies accumulation.
Volume: Volume appears to be rising as the stock approaches the breakout area, a positive indicator that there’s growing interest and that the breakout could be strong.
Targets: If the stock breaks above the handle resistance, it could achieve the following projected targets:
Target 1: ₹1,270
Target 2: ₹1,400
Target 3: ₹1,500
Entry Point: The recommended entry point is above the handle breakout, as this would confirm the cup and handle pattern, providing a strong bullish signal.
Conclusion
The chart of Piramal Enterprises Ltd indicates a potential bullish reversal after a prolonged downtrend and consolidation phase. A successful breakout above the handle would confirm the cup and handle pattern, leading to potential gains toward the outlined targets. Rising volume and a stable higher low base support this bullish outlook.
Piramal Enterprises Ltd by KRS Charts13th Sept 2024 / 10:48 AM
Why PEL❓
1. Bird View in PEL seems Sideways to Bullish can be Good Opportunity at this level for Long Term Investment. ⬆️
2. Elliot Wave Count, let's direct talk about current wave where PEL standing is (III) Wave is started in smaller cycle < which is part of 3rd Wave in medium cycle 🤩
3. W pattern is about to Break giving little early entry as per wave counts. 👌
Target is major Resistance as we can see in Chart. 🎯
Note - Wave count is speculative So Focus should be on Target 1 for now only. 🙏
07 Insightful approaches to learning cup & handle pattern ⭕ Price Action chart pattern similarity !!!⭕
Ranges candles shows the phase of accumulation or distribution It helps trader to track bearishness and bullishness of the chart, in this phase accumulation can be seen because of bull Bo.
There is so many ways to approach chart patterns, everyone has different approaches and different insights.
Some Examples of Cup & Handle pattern we have seen:-
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POST Your Findings in comment section any other stocks with some pattern you observed we can discuss as a community there !!! Happy To Learn here in TRADINGVIEW with charts
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PEL - Cup and Handle breakout -DailyPEL - Chart shows PEL gave Cup and Handle breakout on 23rd Aug and consolidating in range 1043 to 1089.
13th Sept gave breakout with good volumes.
Based on Cup and Handle pattern, price can test 1350 by keeping stoploss at 1089 and 1043(breakout level).
Name - PEL
Pattern - Cup and Handle breakout
Timeframe - Daily
Volume - Good
Cmp - 1119
Target - 1350
SL - 1089 and 1043
in.tradingview.com
Here’s a summary of Piramal Enterprises Ltd’s (PEL) Q1 FY25 results:
Financial Highlights
Net Profit: PEL reported a net profit of INR 181 crore1.
Net Interest Income (NII): NII increased by 34% YoY to INR 900 crore1.
Total Revenue: The total revenue for the quarter was INR 4,162.9 crore2.
Asset Quality
Gross NPA: The Gross Non-Performing Assets (NPA) ratio stood at 2.7%1.
Net NPA: The Net NPA ratio was 1.1%1.
Operational Highlights
Total Assets Under Management (AUM): The total AUM increased by 10% YoY to INR 70,576 crore1.
Retail AUM: Retail AUM grew by 43% YoY, crossing INR 50,000 crore1.
Cost to Income Ratio: The cost to income ratio improved, with operating expenses to AUM down by 104 basis points YoY to 4.6%1.
Strategic Initiatives
Securitization Program: PEL expanded its securitization program and raised a US$100 million social loan and a US$300 million sustainability bond1.
Merger Update: The proposed merger of PEL with Piramal Capital & Housing Finance Ltd (PCHFL) is on track, with expected completion within the stipulated timelines1.
Comparative Performance
Quarter-over-Quarter: Compared to the previous quarter, the profit before tax (PBT) was INR 205 crore, down from INR 233 crore in Q1 FY241.
Piramal Enterprises Limited (PEL)Piramal Enterprises Limited (PEL) presents a compelling case for investment, combining a promising technical chart pattern with strong fundamentals. The breakout from the downtrend, attractive valuation, and robust growth metrics make PEL a potential buy for investors seeking both short-term gains and long-term growth. However, as with any investment, it is crucial to remain vigilant about market conditions and company developments.
PIRAMAL ENTERPRISES - Swing Trade - 5th February #stocksPIRAMAL ENTERPRISES (1W TF) - Swing Trade Analysis given on 5th Feb, 2024
Pattern: FALLING WEDGE
- Volume Spike at Resistance - Done ✓
- Breakout - In Progress
- Retest & Consolidation - In Progress
#stocks #swingtrade #chartanalysis #priceaction #traderyte #PEL #stockmarket #sharemarket #viral #sharemarketindia #StockMarketindia #investment #stockstowatch
PEL forming doji pattern at 38.2% Fibonacci levelsPEL has been a slow runner.
Currently on a monthly chart basis it is forming a doji kind of pattern at the Fibonacci levels of 38.2% which is based on the high and low of the chart .
Expecting some trend turnaround on this one atleast for short term.
With such a pattern I personally expect 2 levels up on the Fibonacci levels which are 1042-1211 on a monthly basis. If good strength is shown in the chart then the levels of 1400 is not far away if overall market behaves positively. It's a monthly chart so will take quite some time to reach.
Base of 738 and 660.
No recommendations, just my view based on chart pattern that is currently formed.
Piramal Enterprise Bullish IdeaFor Educational Purpose only
good above 977 for
target of
1) 15%
2) 30%
3) 60%
Also long term view above 2X
SL Daily Close below 860
Analysis of Piramal Enterprise Chart 💹
Good to buy above 977
Good Breakout in weekly timeframe on 22nd May
at present support confirmed on 0.618 fib golden level also good volume coming in this week also it form Double bottom which is bullish pattern in Daily time Frame and breakout its neckline
for reference Look at the chart images
This analysis is For Educational Purpose only