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Pennantbreakout

PENNANT-BREAKOUT-UPTREND-PRICE-ACTION-VOLUME-PROFILEDisclaimer-: 1. FOR WHOM VOLUME PROFILE AND MY METHOD IS A LITTLE NEW OR BLURRY . I WILL SOON PUT UP AN EDUCATIONAL POST WITH DETAILS AND EXAMPLES. WE CAN HAVE A SERIES OF DISCUSSIONS THERE TOO. DO FOLLOW MY ACCOUNT TO GET NOTIFIED. 2. Do ask your questions in the comments if any. Volume Profile-: Using Volume Profile one can identify probable accumulation or distribution regions by comparing the historical Volume at Price and current Volume at Price. 2. If the current volume is low, its mostly a pause before the trend resumes 3. If the current volume is higher or equivalent to historical levels then either the trend will resume or it may reverse. If it resumes then we have more strength in trend due to more accumulation. So a breakout/breakdown will confirm in this case POC-: The red line in volume profile is called Point of Control. This is the level where max volume of transactions have taken place. IMPORTANT OBSERVATIONS-: 1. Stock formed a big triangular pattern, gave breakout and then rallied. 2. Recent it formed a flag-pennant-like pattern i:e a brief pause. 3. That can be confirmed by the volume in that region. Mark the low volume as compared to the high volume when it started rising.This confirms that the current pennant pattern was just a pause. And thus when breakout happens the uptrend will resume. TARGET WITH LOGIC-: Since its a brief pause. and within that pause buying ( green,blue) volume is more than selling (red )volume. There is a high chance the current expected up-move should be kind of equivalent to previous move (could be more too). So a Fib Extension 100% target seems feasible. ENTRY-: Entry at CMP since it has just given a breakout out of the small triangular pattern with trend-lines tested at least 3 times gives us a nice conviction. STOP_LOSS 1450 and 1165 are good support levels. But since 1450 is too close to CMP , it will be a narrow stop-loss. Thus a conservative stop-loss is better for a swing trade in 1W. So 1165 could be a good spot. Its necessary to trail stop-loss as per your strategy. You may use Moving Average with ATR(14) as buffer. EXIT Since the target is above all time high. Its a provisional target level. So it doesn't make sense to exit at target rather hold on to it as much as possible and keep conservatively trailing stop-loss. Following can be used as exit signals or bearishness signals. 1. If there is bearish candlestick pattern in 1W timeframe, stop-loss can be trailed to a nearby support level .(Like Candle Low) 2. If there is RSI Divergence in 1W timeframe, better to exit at close of 1W since afterwards there can be long consolidation or reversal. 3. If the trailing stop-loss is hit, please exit **IF YOU LIKE MY ANALYSIS, KINDLY GIVE A THUMBS-UP AND SHARE IT IF POSSIBLE, HELPS A LOT :) **I WILL POST NECESSARY , SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THIS THREAD LIKE ADDITION TO POSITION, EXIT SIGNALS, BREAKOUT ETC. TO AVOID MISSING OUT ON UPDATES PLEASE REMEMBER TO FOLLOW THE POST AND MY ACCOUNT. **YOU CAN TURN ON NOTIFICATION TO BE UPDATED OF CHANGES **ANY COMMENT ON THE ANALYSIS WILL BE HIGHLY APPRECIATED.
NSE:MCXLong
by VPA_TRADER
2
PENNANT & POLE PATTERN BREAKOUT AHEAD !SAIL : As you all can see that SAIL is forming pennant pattern from around 07 may 2021 , it took around 70 days to make this pattern. Now pattern is almost about to give a breakout / breakdown. If it gives breakout , it will also break the 50 simple moving average (green line in the chart ) , Which is a strong bullish sign. Pole height is around 60% this implies the stock has more room ahead to move. If not 60% , 20% to 30% is also a good target for short term. Lets keep Entry above 130 and very short term swing target of 148 . Mid and long term holders can keep high targets. This was my personal analysis on the stock and it was only for educational purpose. Feel free to share your views/ feedback.
NSE:SAILLong
by headymuk
1
GICRE - Expecting minimum 50% returns General Insurance is in a Pennant Pattern with a consolidation zone, so give an entry with appropriate Stop loss after the breakout from the zone 🔴DISCLAIMER ***** It's just for an educational purpose and so you must also follow your own technical analysis before taking up the trade ****** Aggressive traders enter at the breakout and conservative traders may give entry after retracement (Retracement is optional, we cannot expect every stock to take a retest after the breakout, it may also continue to have its bullish pressure after the breakout) After reaching our targets, trail your stop loss to get maximum profit from the stock in a single trade
NSE:GICRELong
by PrakWorld_Traders