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Preciousmetals

Gold Could enter into Bear MarketOn Weekly Basis: Gold could enter into bear market soon as it may not hold its crucial support of 1680. Gold peaked at 2070, since then it fell upto 1681. It retraced by nearly one third at 1802 completing impulsive wave 1 and 2. Now it entered in impulsive wave 3 Down. Also, RSI is showing a death cross which happened on 1st July, 2022, 50 DMA crossed over 200 DMA confirming a new bear market. Once the level of 1680 is broken then 1560 is the next target completing its impulsive wave 3. Then it will try to retrace the fall and try to reach near 1680. The last target at 1360 cannot be ruled out where the last wave 5 shall end. Warning and Disclaimer: Above prediction should not be taken as financial advise, it is a personal opinion. Consult your financial advisor. Investment is subject to market risks. Past performance is not the guarantee for future performance. It is for educational purpose only.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AnkurSharda3
GOLD: short term: Triangle formation for terminal thrustAs per short term view, GOLD is in the last phase of corrective wave-y, which is unfolding as an impulse. Currently the price structure suggests that there is a formation of a triangle & this triangle is being formed as a wave-4. This wave-4 triangle formation often takes place as a preparation of terminal trust and after that the 5th wave of the impulse get started. As long as GOLD prices are above 1960 level , one should go long for the target zone of 2050/2150/2190. Invalidation level : 1960 For long term scenario on GOLD: refer to the attached link .
TVC:GOLDLong
by TradingSutra
1
GOLD : YELLOW PRECIOUS METAL : DOING EXPANDED FLAT CORRECTIONLong ago a surge in GOLD price rally stopped in the year 2011 & the point has been designated as a primary wave-5 by all the elliottician. From that level we have seen a correction upto the level of 1045 $. A nice corrective move.Right from that level GOLD price raised up & currently trading in a all time new highs range. But this rally from the lows 1045$ is looking more corrective than an impulse. As per the current price structure we can assume that GOLD price is forming an EXPANDED FLAT CORRECTIVE pattern. And currently we are in the last phase of WAVE-B (circle). The wave-B (circle) is unfolding in a 3 wave corrective structure as w-x-y pattern. We are in the last phase wave-y which often takes place as an impulse rally which is discussed in the short term view over GOLD. The link is attached to this idea for the short term view.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TradingSutra
Ignored us now face the consequences In short our additional full net short size in both of our precious metals is well justified from the reward and risk perspective at the time of writing this article/idea In our previous post we already mentioned many times that friday's session can be volatile and very tricky to predict and could affect gold and silver prices in short term and that seems to be the case for silver,The white metal declined at the start of the session but quickly erased all the downswing from it's initial low,we already mentioned that white metal could reach to about 16.600 and this level has already reached but the real question is silver about take a big decline same as in lat dec 2017? yes,that's very probable but here is a twist decline may not start immediately it can take some days to start,if you try to look at the lack of a visible rally in friday and compare it with proximity of the triangle apex reversal you will get your answer,in short we still may see a small rally in white metal in about 3-4 days before it plunges back we were and still are in a situation where white metal metal could decline sharply immediately or it could go up just a bit and then decline anyway.we don't think waiting for better prices in gold and silver will be an informed decision ,That's why we decided to increase our net short size in our portfolio management. in our last post we wrote which is still up to date In friday's intrday follow up,silver moved higher than its target level but gold didn't,it served a strong bearish sign as it was clear that silver is outperforming gold in a dramatic manner in short term,most of the time it helps to make big decline in white metal. session seems very similar to the mentioned nov 1 2017 session and implications therfore are bearish anyway mining stocks reversal-gold mining stocks moved much lower after the closing bell,thing to note is despite the rally and strength in S&P 500 It moved lower,really miners only had the strength for the intial rally,Before the closing bell bears had took control over the miners and bulls were exhausted, It's not happen very often when HUI index,miners and precious metals all generating the same signal,in short if you try to look at mining stock and precious metals it seems very likely that we are going to see big decline soon,only currency market is not cofirming our view at this point so it might postpone the decline for short term. Imagine the gold without usd you can't na? so let's jump right into our usd index the biggest factor which determines the prices of precious metals in near term,in our previous post we told that USD index was above its strong support level and big picture is remained bullish,USD index didn't even touched its support level but instead it moved higher,so did usd index already made its final bottom? Still as a portfolio manager/ trader we try to think without being attached to our current position so we could form a unbiased perspective on precious metal market what could go wrong-Breakdown below the 89.300 level will complete a short term head and shoulders pattern and this pushes prices down to feb low,it will means that 87.600 will be the next target but is it possible? in trading anything can but the probability is much-much lower as the multiple long term resistance level are present around the jan and feb low,on a short term head and shoulders pattern and this pushes prices down to feb low,on a short term basis a move below 89.300 can precide a quick decline to about 88.70,well this is a less likely outcome,the most probable outcome will be that we could see a rally above 91.20 which will precides a big rally to almost 94,this will be a very critical sign that small breakdown is invalidated below the very long term declining resistance overall our full net short position is justified at the time of publishing this article
FX_IDC:XAGUSDShort
by NeerajPandey
let's cover all we are adding position size to our existing net short portfolio and at the time of writing this ariticle/idea our full short position in gold and silver is well justified from the measurement of risk and reward, The usd index end up moving higher yesterday and the price of gold fell a little bit,this should be seen as sign of strength but mining stocks are confirming our view even more,initially mining stocks declined but quickly take a upswing and erased the entire daily downswing,question which is arriving are miners going to form one more short term bullish wave? at this point it's rather unclear,for the very short term we don't have any valid confirmations of either bullish or bearish in mining stock,ok let's dive into gold chart and try to form a unbiased perspective so we could clearly see what's going on without being attached to our current net short position we already have wrote our thoughts on yellow metal and we don't want to repeat it every time,you can read it in our previous post but it's still up to date but the thing which we like to add today is the comparision of present scenario to 1st dec,2017,That particular session made a upswing in gold prices before it plunges back and breakdown below the 50-day moving average,you could see a small upswing in yellow metal before it collapse as it already broke below 50 day moving average yesterday after the U.S. jobs report as we expected silver took off,moved much higher than it's intraday low,you could still see rally in white metal up to 16.700 or so and it can decline from there,what does it mean for gold,our mentioned silver prices correspond to the gold prices of about 1338,we have given short term buy target for gold to 1335 and it reached but silver didn't,so once again it outperforms gold which is a strong sell sign,if we look at yesterday general stock market we could see that it moved higher and this could be a reason why silver took off but the point to note that mining stocks was almost flat,lagging mining stocks confirmed our bias even more The present situation is bearish anyway based on long term and short term basis,even if white metal and yellow metals moves higher which we are expecting to some it will not make any difference to our bias or portfolio,underperformence of mining stocks and strength in white metals making our bias even more valid We think that adding position size to our exisiting portfolio is now well justified and we could stll see some rally in both metals before the big decline continues we will keep you informed
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by NeerajPandey