Hi guys, what a day. I had to wait till afternoon for the short opprtunities. The patience really paid. I had three nice trades and I would like to share one special trade in UPL.
Price Volume Analysis
It opened with a gap down and made a spike low (see A). Later it broke that low and formed two more spikes with larger volumes, clear indication of some buying...
Down Trend is confirmed by ABCD, 'C' being the TVP level for the trend. Which gives the bias to the Down side. However there are two Scenarios that could possibly happen as we see candle '1' has broken the TVP.
Scenario 1 (Green): If candle '1' is broken and given acceptance then we could expect price to move up and break 'A' . Our entry would come on the...
AB is a Range confirmed by pivots 'CDEF'.
As HTF bias is to the upside the price is likely to break the range resistance and continue to move up.
Green line: represents rejection or unacceptance of break of range boundaries
Orange line: represents acceptance of break of range boundaries
Trades can be taken one the pullbacks.
ABCD is an Up Trend, 'E' being the TVP of the trend.
Candle 1 and 2 broke the TVP and gave rejection to go in the downside direction, hence the bias stays inline with existing trend bias (Upside).
Entry (Long) comes at TVP level.
First target is at level 'F' , Second target is in 1:4 RR.
Stop is placed below Swing 'B'. As price moves stop can to dragged to...
'ABCD' is a Downtrend 'E' being first pullback entry.
Level C indicates Trend Violation Point (TVP) breaking this level and getting accepting above it will violate Trend ABCD and gives new bias for the following trade. Unacceptence of TVP break will give the bias in the direction of the Trend ABCD.
However we can continue to Short the 'pullbacks', to trade in...
1. AB is the Range confirmed by pivots CDEF.
2. 'A' the Range resistance is broken and given Unacceptence by candles 1 and 2.
3. Yellow line show's the immediate fall in price and Green lines shows pullback and then fall in price
4. Target 1 will come at 1:2 RR
Target 2 can be trailed with respect to priceaction. Once the first target is attained stop loss...
AB is the Range confirmed by CDEF pivots. E and F are just the push backs as they are not broken yet and hence counts as pivots inside range boundary. However when E or F is broken below are the expected scenarios .
Scenario 1 : Acceptance - Orange arrows
Break and Acceptance of 'E' will give a Long setup
Break and Acceptance of 'F' will give a Short setup...