Short term swing on Jyoti CNCWith the earnings flattening out , EPS seems to have bottomed out and recent CEO statements clearly indicate strong order book and positive cash flow in Q3 leading upto Q4.
Along with these fundamental view , it formed a base between 878 - 924 range. Entererd the trade on breakout and pull back in to base.
Entry : Entry 912
SL : 875 ( I usually dont keep a hard SL, I exit if the price sustains under 875 for 2 successive trading sessions - thats how I've found success )
Target : 1035
Current entry does look for slightly longer term hold in which case I would add more qty if the price drops under 870 ( hold for 6-12 months ) . The hold would make sense if the company delivers on the time while sustaining a strong order book and cash flow as predicted which would eventually elevate the EPS and price should go up n beyond the previous ATH.
Note: Personally , I have a long term position which I opened at 411 so currently this is just a swing but yes a substantial drop under 870 and I'll add to my long term position.
Rectangle
InoxGreen (Weekly) - Major Breakout, Potential New UptrendInox Green Energy has shown significant bullish strength, breaking out of a key long-term horizontal resistance trendline last week. This crucial move was powered by a substantial +13.61% price surge and supported by decent trading volume, signaling a potential continuation of its upward trajectory.
This breakout follows a period of sideways consolidation that began in May 2025. The prior resistance had capped the stock's progress after its trend reversed in April 2025, following a downtrend from its All-Time High in September 2024.
Bullish Confirmation Signals 👍
The positive outlook is reinforced by key technical developments:
- Breakout Volume: The price surge was accompanied by **healthy volume**, indicating conviction behind the move.
- Momentum: Short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) also completed a positive crossover this week, a strong indicator of building upward momentum.
Future Outlook and Key Levels
The price action in the coming week will be critical for confirming the breakout's sustainability.
- Bullish Case 📈: If the upward momentum continues with strong volume, the stock could be on track to reach the next potential resistance level at ₹224 .
- Bearish Case 📉: However, if the stock fails to sustain the breakout momentum, it could pull back to find support near the ₹149 level.
Palantir (Weekly) - Consolidation Near All-Time HighAfter reaching a new All-Time High (ATH) in recent weeks, Palantir has entered a period of consolidation. The stock has since been trading in a sideways range, struggling to break past the newly established resistance level.
Emerging Bullish Signals 👍
Despite the sideways movement, several indicators suggest that buyers are showing renewed interest:
- Momentum: Short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) have formed a positive crossover , a technical signal indicating that upward momentum is building.
- Volume: Trading volume has been noticeably increasing , which suggests growing accumulation and buyer interest at the current price levels.
Future Outlook and Key Price Levels
The stock is currently positioned for a potential move, with two clear scenarios:
- Bullish Case 📈: A decisive breakout above the short-term horizontal resistance would signal a continuation of the uptrend. If this occurs, the next potential price target could be USD 234 .
- Bearish Case 📉: If the stock fails to overcome the resistance and momentum fades, it may decline to the lower boundary of its consolidation range, with a potential support level near USD 142 .
Watchout for the next moves !!
Gland Pharma (Weekly Timeframe) - Breakout of Sideways trend ?After a prolonged downtrend from its all-time high in August 2021, Gland Pharma has been trading in a sideways consolidation range since August 2023. Recent price action suggests that the stock is building momentum for a potential breakout, signaling a possible end to its bearish phase.
## Bullish Developments 📈
Recent Momentum: The stock showed significant buying interest last week, surging +6.82% accompanied by a decent spike in trading volume .
Technical Posture: The short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) have entered a Positive Crossover (PCO) state , a classic bullish signal indicating that near-term momentum is shifting upwards.
Breakout Potential: This renewed strength positions the stock to challenge its long-term horizontal resistance trendline. A decisive break above this level would confirm a bullish trend reversal.
## Key Price Levels to Watch
Immediate Resistance: The first major hurdle is at the ₹2,238 level. A sustained move above this is required to confirm the breakout.
Upside Target: If the resistance at ₹2,238 is breached, the next potential target for the stock is ₹2,607 .
Downside Support: If the upward momentum fails to continue, the stock could find support near the ₹1,384 level.
Price-action is key !!
Bajaj Finance (Weekly Timeframe) - Making new ATHAfter a multi-month sideways consolidation from April to September 2025, Bajaj Finance has signaled a potential resumption of its primary uptrend. This recent price action mirrors a similar pattern seen from October 2021 to January 2025, which was followed by a powerful rally to new all-time highs.
## Recent Bullish Developments 📈
Pattern Breakout: The stock decisively broke out of its recent sideways range last week, surging +7% on strong volume & a new ATH. This move indicates a shift from balance to imbalance, with buyers taking firm control.
Sustained Momentum: The buying pressure has continued, resulting in a rally of over 14% in the past two weeks.
Technical Confirmation: The short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a Positive Crossover (PCO) state, a classic bullish indicator that supports the case for continued upward momentum.
## Outlook and Key Levels
The breakout suggests that the stock is poised to challenge its previous highs.
Upside Potential: If the current momentum is sustained, the next logical price target in the near term is the ₹1,077 level.
Downside Risk: Should the breakout fail and momentum wane, the stock could pull back to test the support zone around ₹849 .
The key factor to watch is trading volume. While the initial breakout volume was good, sustained buying interest is needed to fuel the next leg of the rally.
EUR/USD | 30M | Live Execution Zone
We’ve marked out our trade zone post-CPI. Price tapped into our supply pocket at 1.1747 and is now reacting as anticipated. Position structured with:
Entry at the rejection from supply
Stop above the sweep zone
Target the lower liquidity pool near 1.1680
Key narrative: Market took out liquidity on both sides, confirmed displacement, and is now showing signs of delivering south before the next structural shift.
This is a clean setup aligning with the higher-timeframe bias — patience and discipline doing the work.
FIRSTCRY (Breakout Candidate) - Swing Pick#FIRSTCRY #stage1stock #breakoutstock #Trendingstock
FIRSTCRY : Swing / Short term (1-3 months)
>> Ready for Stage 1 breakout
>> Momentum stock
>> Volumes Spike Visible
>> Good strength in stock
>> Swing Traders can target 18% move, short term traders can look for Higher Targets
Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep Trailing
Please Boost, comment and follow us for more Learnings
Disc : Charts shared are for learning purpose only, not a Trade recommendation. Do your own research and consult your financial advisor before taking any position.
IOL CP (Daily Timeframe) - Has the Sideways Trend BrokenOut ??IOL CP in the past two sessions have BrokenOut of the sideways trend that it was in since Mar 2022. Several attempts in the past to BreakOut of this trend has failed as indicated. The past two days, the stock was able to BreakOut as well as maintain it with huge volume. Short-term EMAs are in PCO state as well as a Golden Cross-over has formed few days back indicating bullishness.
If upside momentum continues then we may see 156 levels provided few resistances are breached. The stock may see 82 levels if the momentum is not sustained.
Keep monitoring the price-action !!
PRAKASH: range breakout soon?➡️script stuck in a range for almost a year and coiled up like a spring in the rectangle pattern.
➡️highest margins in last 5 years and an extremely low PE of 8 against the industry PE of 23.
➡️capex should bear fruit soon.
➡️highest promoter holding in last 6 years.
➡️not a matter of if, it’s a matter of when.
HDFCBANK | Result analysis |Support and resistance 🔍 Quick Summary: What’s Priced In?
Despite a solid PAT beat (₹18,160 Cr, +12% YoY), NII missed expectations (only +5% YoY) and margins fell. The profit beat was largely driven by non-core gains (₹9,130 Cr stake sale in HDB Financial). This signals:
Core operations slightly underwhelming
Market may not reward the PAT beat aggressively
Bonus + Dividend is already priced in (price rallied earlier)
📉 Technical & Derivatives Outlook:
🧱 Price Action:
Cup & handle breakout recently happened ✔️
Price is stuck in a channel (as seen on the chart)
Consolidation breakdown on friday -target 1918.75
Facing strong resistance around ₹2000–2040 (High Volume Nodes + OI buildup)
Immediate support: ₹1918–1840 (Volume cluster + previous breakout retest)
🔍 OI Data (as of July 18):
PCR: 0.6 → Bearish bias
Highest Call OI: 2000–2040 CE → Acts as resistance ceiling
Strong Put OI only around 1900–1920 → Weak support zone forming
🔮 Expected Price Action Next Week:
🔻 Bearish to Sideways Bias:
Given weak core NII and resistance zone near ₹2000, stock might consolidate or correct slightly.
If ₹1918 breaks, can test ₹1840 again.
Only a breakout above ₹ 1988 and ₹2040 with volume will revive bullish momentum.
🛡️ Key Levels to Watch:
Direction Key Level Action
Resistance ₹1988–2027 Selling pressure(OI + HVN)
Support ₹1918 Breakdown -₹1840
Strong Sup ₹1840 High volume node + previous breakout
🎯 Conclusion (1-week view):
📉 Slightly bearish / sideways expected
📌 Likely range: ₹1918 – ₹2000. Cmp- 1957
🎯 Bulls need a close above ₹2040 for further upside
Big Breakout Soon in Commodity Chart similar to Silver Chart- 🚀 ALUMINIUM - $2631
Date: 18-07-2025
Price: $2,631.05
Volume: 37.12K
1⃣ Pattern Structure & Breakout Development 📈
📐 Pattern Identification: A Rectangle Pattern has been forming over 3.2 years, acting as a large-scale accumulation base. This is a continuation pattern typically seen in commodities post major corrections, where price builds energy for the next directional leg.
⏳ Time Taken in Formation: Over 166 weeks (~3.2 years), price has remained within a defined range. This extended time reflects long-term accumulation and the absorption of supply by institutional players. Such long bases often precede explosive breakouts.
📊 Price Trend Before the Pattern: The trend leading into the rectangle was a sharp downtrend from 2022 highs. The drop was vertical, indicating panic or macro stress, followed by multi-year stabilization inside the rectangle.
📦 Price Movement Inside the Pattern: The range has been defined by $2,080 on the lower side and $2,710 on the upper side. Inside this range, the price has respected support and resistance with multiple bounces, forming higher lows since early 2024, hinting at underlying strength and diminishing seller strength.
🚀 Breakout Zone & Behavior: The resistance level at $2,710 is a multi-tested zone, tested over 5–6 times. This increases its significance. Current price is approaching this zone with momentum, and a breakout above it would activate the 3.2-year base, unleashing a possible long-term trend.
2⃣ Volume Behavior & Breakout Validity 🔍
📉 Volume During the Pattern: Volume was consistently high during the early phase of the rectangle, especially near the bottoming area, suggesting accumulation. It gradually tapered off during consolidation — classic sign of supply exhaustion.
📈 Volume Before the Breakout: Recent price candles show expanding volume near higher lows and bullish follow-through candles. This reflects smart money buildup before the expected breakout.
💥 Volume on Breakout Candle: The breakout is not yet confirmed, but once $2,710 is taken out on weekly closing basis, we expect a clear volume spike, validating the breakout.
🔮 Volume After Breakout – What to Expect: Post-breakout, volume must remain above average to sustain momentum. Low volume on breakout would increase false breakout risk. Watch for weekly candle closes above $2,710 with volume expansion for confirmation.
3⃣ Candlestick Dynamics & Trap Awareness 🕯️
🔥 Candles Formed Before Breakout: Recent weekly candles include strong bullish engulfing and hammer candles, especially near the $2,400–2,450 zone. These are reliable reversal signals when formed after higher lows.
💎 Breakout Candle Characteristics (Expected): Ideally, we want a large-bodied bullish candle, closing decisively above $2,710, with minimal upper wick and expanding volume.
⚠️ Impact of the Breakout Candle: A clean breakout with follow-through would invalidate the rectangle resistance and invite fresh breakout buyers. But a failed breakout or long upper wick near $2,710 without volume may lead to a bull trap — especially if price falls back below $2,600.
4⃣ Trade Setup – Entry, Exit & Risk Strategy 🛍️
🛡️ Safe Entry: Wait for weekly close above $2,710, then enter on retest near $2,700–2,720, confirmed by a bullish reversal candle.
⚡ Aggressive Entry: Enter now near $2,630–2,650, with tight SL below the recent higher low at $2,480, anticipating the breakout.
🎯 Target Zones:
Target 1: $3,000 – round number and psychological barrier
Target 2: $3,400 – historical consolidation zone and pattern-measured move (rectangle height projected upward)
🚩 Stop-loss Placement:
Conservative SL: Below $2,600 (minor swing)
Structure-based SL: Below recent higher low – $2,480
5⃣ SEBI Disclosure – Educational Purpose Only 📜
“This report is for educational purposes only and does not offer investment advice. Mr. Chartist (Rohit Singh) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst under the Investology (INH000012376). Please consult a SEBI-registered advisor before taking any investment decisions. All investments carry risk. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.”
#Trading #Investing #Stocks #TechnicalAnalysis
DMART | ascending triangle -Consolidation Breakout**Avenue Supermarts Ltd. (D-Mart)**
> **D-Mart (NSE)** approaching breakout zone in ascending triangle 🧱📈
> Key level: ₹4,300.30 — clean structure since April
> RSI 58.95 → bullish momentum building
> Strong base between ₹3,267–₹3,340
> Rising wedge breakout earlier = trend confirmation
> Above ₹4,545.65, next leg toward ₹4,800–₹5,000+ in play
> #DMart #BreakoutStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #NSEIndia
ONGC | Rectangle Range Breakout | Daily🔥 Another strong breakout — this time from **ONGC** — confirming a **Rectangle Range Breakout** pattern.
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## 🛢️ **ONGC – Rectangle Range Breakout**
### 📍 **Pattern**:
* Consolidation in a **horizontal range** (Rectangle)
* Strong breakout above ₹252 with **massive volume spike**
* Target projected:
₹252 + ₹36.90 = **₹289**
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### 📈 **Technical Highlights**
* ✅ Price broke out with highest volume spike in months
* ✅ RSI breakout above descending trendline
* ✅ EMA 8/21/55/144 all in bullish alignment
* ✅ Price surged >2% on breakout day with U/D days turning positive (25/25)
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### 📊 **Volume & RSI Confirmation**
* RSI breaking the bearish trendline = momentum returning
* Volume bar way above average — **high conviction breakout**
* Clean breakout after multiple rejections around ₹252 = **strong resistance flip**
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### 🚀 **Trade Setup**
* **Entry**: ₹252–₹258 zone
* **Target**: ₹289
* **Stoploss**: ₹238 (or below range bottom for safe positioning)
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Breakout in SHAKTIPUMP - Spotted Smart money activityNSE:SHAKTIPUMP moved to priority list, Handle formation awaited as it has positioned well with a horizontal resistance of a larger range.
It will be a 3rd Entry Trigger - On breakout of 1030
Fundamentals Looks great - Strong EPS and Sales.
FPI - Increased stake by 3% in last quarter - making it 5.16% Total.
Volume Showing smart money jumping in.
Keep On Radar- 📈
Keep Learning, Happy Trading.
ARVINDFASNARVINDFASN showing very good strength on this negative days as well and currently trying to coming out of consolidation. As long as it is closing above 440 then dips are good to accumulate. Positive momentum may fetch the stock up to 600 in near term. And next trigger level can b above 485. Wait for the perfect entry point.