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NALCO (W) - Strongly Bullish - Fundamentally-Driven BreakoutTimeframe: Weekly | Scale: Linear The stock has confirmed a major structural breakout, shattering a 2-year consolidation ceiling. This move is supported by a "trifecta" of bullish factors: a technical breakout to new ATHs, rising volume, and stellar quarterly earnings. 🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") The breakout is fueled by strong business performance, which gives the technical move high conviction: - Stellar Earnings: The company recently reported a ~35% surge in Net Profit (YoY) for Q2 FY26, driven by higher aluminum prices and operational efficiency. - Dividend Yield: The announcement of a ₹4/share interim dividend has attracted yield-seeking investors. - Expansion: A massive ₹30,000 Crore investment plan for smelter expansion and lithium acquisition is driving long-term re-rating. 📈 2. The Long-Term Structure > The "Box" Breakout: - Range: Between ₹137 (Support) and ₹263 (Resistance) . - Consolidation: The stock spent 4 weeks coiling just below ₹263. This "buildup" right under resistance is a classic bullish sign—it shows buyers were absorbing all supply before the breakout. > The Breakout: This week’s 5.07% surge with 54.78 Million volume is the "Ignition." By closing at a new ATH, the stock has entered "price discovery" mode. ⚠️ 3. Technical Correction: The "Double Top" Myth - Current Status: Since the stock has broken and closed above the previous high (₹263), the Double Top pattern is invalidated (or "busted"). A busted bearish pattern is actually a powerful bullish signal, as it forces short-sellers to cover their positions, adding fuel to the rally. 📊 4. Technical Indicators - EMAs: The PCO (Positive Crossover) state across Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes confirms the trend is synchronized. - RSI: Rising across all timeframes. Importantly, in a strong uptrend, an RSI above 60 is a sign of strength, not necessarily "overbought." 🎯 5. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The stock is now in Blue Sky territory. > 🐂 Bullish Case (Continuation): - Trigger: Sustained trading above ₹263 . - Target: ₹330 . This aligns with the technical extension of the consolidation range height added to the breakout point. > 🛡️ Support (The Re-test): - Immediate Support: ₹263. The previous "ceiling" is now the "floor." Any pullback to ₹263-265 is a high-probability buying opportunity. - Stop Loss: A close below ₹240 would imply the breakout was a "fakeout" (Bull Trap) and invalidate the thesis. Conclusion This is a Grade A Setup . The "Double Top" fear is gone; the resistance is broken. Backed by record profits and heavy volume, the path of least resistance is toward ₹330 . Watch for the stock to hold the ₹263 level on any dips.
NSE:NATIONALUMLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
4
Apollo Tyres (D): Bullish, Momentum Building at ResistanceTimeframe: Daily | Scale: Linear The stock is staging a strong recovery from the lower end of its consolidation range. It is now challenging the critical supply zone, backed by rising volume and positive fundamental developments (pledge release). 🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") The renewed buying interest is driven by two key factors: - Pledge Release: On Nov 17, 2025 , Catalyst Trusteeship released a massive pledge on 63 Million shares (approx. 9.9% stake). The removal of this overhang is a major confidence booster for investors. - Softening Input Costs: Recent reports suggest a bearish outlook for Crude Oil (a key raw material for synthetic rubber), which directly improves margin outlooks for tyre companies. 📈 2. The Technical Structure (The "Box") > The Range: The stock has been trapped in a wide "Box" pattern: - Floor (Support): ₹364 – ₹370 . This level has held firm since May 2023, acting as a strong accumulation zone. - Ceiling (Resistance): ₹545 – ₹550 . This zone (active since Jan 2024) has rejected multiple rally attempts, including the failed breakout to the ATH of ₹585 in Sep 2024. > Current Action: The stock is currently consolidating just below this resistance. - The Surge: Today's move (closing ~3% up) with 1.52 Million volume indicates that bulls are gathering strength to attack the resistance again. 📊 3. Technical Indicators Indicator analysis shows a synchronized bullish trend: - EMAs: The PCO (Positive Crossover) state across Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes confirms that the trend is aligning upwards across all horizons. - RSI: Rising across all timeframes, showing that momentum is expanding into the breakout attempt. 🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The stock is at a decision point. We need a confirmed breakout to avoid another rejection. - 🐂 Bullish Breakout (The Trigger): - Condition: A decisive Daily Close above ₹550 . - Target 1: ₹585 (The ATH). This is the immediate magnet. - Target 2: ₹630 . If the stock enters "blue sky" discovery, this is the technical extension target. - 🐻 Bearish Rejection (The Range Play): - Condition: If the stock faces heavy selling at ₹545-550 again. - Support: The stock would likely drift back to the mid-range support at ₹512 or the 20-day EMA. Conclusion The setup is promising. The Pledge Release removes a major structural risk, and the technicals are aligned. However, do not anticipate the breakout. Wait for a close above ₹550 to confirm that the "ceiling" has finally been shattered.
NSE:APOLLOTYRE
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
IIFL Finance LimitedPrice is breaking out above a long consolidation range, but the move is short term overextended, so both upside continuation and a pullback retest are likely scenarios rather than a one way move. This is educational analysis, not personalized financial advice; position sizing and risk must match your own plan. Trend and structure • The chart shows IIFL Finance Limited breaking out above a broad sideways range, with current price near the upper boundary of that rectangle zone around the 570–580 area. Moving averages • The shorter moving averages (such as 20 and 50 day) are now sloping upward and positioned above the longer averages, which is typically a sign of emerging bullish momentum after a prior base. RSI and momentum • The daily RSI on the chart is in the higher band, showing strong positive momentum but also edging toward overbought territory where pullbacks or sideways pauses are common.
NSE:IIFLLong
by NK-PK
Kirloskar Oil Engines - Swing TradeKirloskar Oil Engines Limited - Technical Analysis Report Current Market Price: 1,005.70 MARKET BIAS: BULLISH RECOVERY IN PROGRESS Kirloskar Oil Engines is currently trading at 1,005.70, showing signs of bottoming out after a significant correction from its all-time highs of ₹1,450+. The stock is now forming a potential reversal pattern. KEY TECHNICAL OBSERVATIONS: 1. Major Support Zone - HOLDING STRONG ✅ The stock has found solid support in the 900-950 zone, which coincides with: - Multiple moving average convergence (EMA 20/50/100/200) - Previous resistance-turned-support from mid-2025 - Psychological round number support at 900 The price has bounced decisively from this zone, suggesting accumulation by institutional investors. 2. Consolidation Rectangle Pattern (Daily/Weekly) A clear *rectangular consolidation box* : - Upper Range: 1,016 - 1,050 - Lower Range: 900 - 950 This sideways movement indicates Distribution completion and potential energy buildup for the next directional move. All major EMAs are converging in the 890-910 zone, creating a strong support cluster. TARGET ANALYSIS: Immediate Resistance Targets: Target 1: 1,180 - 1,200 (First Major Resistance) - Previous consolidation high from December 2025 - 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the recent decline Target 2: 1,334 (Secondary Target) - Major swing high marked on weekly chart - Psychological resistance zone Target 3: 1,450 (Extended Target) - Previous all-time high zone - Final resistance before new highs Critical Support Levels: - 1,000: Immediate psychological support - 900-920: MAJOR SUPPORT (EMA cluster + pattern base) BULLISH BREAKOUT (Higher Probability - 65%)** CONCLUSION: Kirloskar Oil Engines is at a Critical juncture with strong technical setup favoring a Bullish breakout. The stock has: - ✅ Successfully held major support zones - ✅ Maintained position above all key moving averages - ✅ Formed higher lows indicating accumulation - ✅ Built a strong base for the next upward move Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
NSE:KIRLOSENGLong
by earnwhileulearn
M&M Fin (W): Bullish, Breakout with Short-Term Rejection(Timeframe: Weekly | Scale: Logarithmic) The stock has confirmed a major multi-year breakout, moving into "Blue Sky" territory. However, the daily price action suggests a temporary pullback (re-test) is imminent before the uptrend resumes. 📈 1. The Breakout Structure (The "Big Picture") - The Setup: The stock has been trapped in a consolidation phase since its July 2023 peak. The ₹330–₹335 zone acted as a rigid "ceiling" for over two years. - The Breakout: The week of Nov 17 was decisive. The stock surged 10.98% , closing above this multi-year resistance for the first time. - Volume: The move was backed by 29.74 Million in volume —a significant expansion compared to the "dry" consolidation phase, confirming institutional participation. 🕯️ 2. The "Shooting Star" Warning (Daily Chart) - The Pattern: The last daily candle (Friday) formed a Shooting Star . It opened high, rallied to a new peak (~₹354), but faced heavy selling pressure to close near the lows (~₹342). - Implication: This "long upper wick" shows that sellers are aggressively defending the ₹350+ level. It strongly suggests that the breakout is "tired" and a re-test of the breakout zone is likely next week. 🚀 3. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") This technical move is supported by strong fundamentals, which adds confidence to the long-term bullish view: - Earnings: The breakout is a delayed reaction to strong Q2 FY26 results, where Net Profit surged ~54% YoY and asset quality improved. - Outlook: This fundamental strength suggests that any dip (re-test) will likely be bought by smart money. 📊 4. Indicators & Trend - RSI & EMAs: RSI is rising (bullish momentum) and EMAs are in PCO state (trend alignment) across Monthly and Weekly charts. This confirms the primary trend is UP. 🎯 5. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The "Shooting Star" dictates the immediate game plan: Wait for the Re-test. 🐂 The Bullish Case (Buy the Dip) - The Strategy: Watch for the stock to pull back to the ₹333 – ₹335 zone (the resistance-turned-support). - Confirmation: If the price stabilizes or forms a bullish candle (like a Hammer) at this level, it is a high-probability entry. - Target 1: ₹417 - Target 2: ₹475 🐻 The Failure Case (Fakeout) - Trigger: If the selling pressure from the Shooting Star intensifies and the stock closes back below ₹333. - Consequence: This would confirm a "fakeout" (bull trap), and the stock could slide back toward the consolidation midpoint around ₹300. Conclusion The breakout is genuine, but the Shooting Star signals a short-term pause. The ideal approach is to wait for the re-test at ₹335 to confirm that the "ceiling" has truly become a "floor."
NSE:M&MFINLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Narayana Hrudayalaya (D): Earnings-Driven BreakoutThe stock has decisively broken out of a 3-month consolidation phase. This technical breakout is powered by a strong fundamental catalyst (Q2 earnings), validating the surge and the high volume. 🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why") The breakout is a direct reaction to the company's Q2 FY26 Earnings announced today: - Net Profit: Jumped 30% YoY to ₹258 crore. - Revenue: Grew 20% YoY to ₹1,644 crore. - Market Reaction: This stellar performance triggered the massive gap-up and volume spike, confirming that institutional money is chasing the stock. 📈 2. The Chart Structure (The "Setup") - The Correction: After the June 2025 peak, the stock saw a healthy ~27.5% correction into August. - The Consolidation: Since August, it formed a classic Rectangular Consolidation Pattern (a "box" range). - Drying Volume: Volume dried up during this sideways phase—a textbook sign that sellers were exhausted and the stock was being accumulated. 💥 3. The Breakout (Today's Action) - The Surge: The stock surged 14.53% - The Volume: The move was backed by massive volume of 13.33 Million shares, the highest in months. - The Resistance Break: The stock has decisively broken but not closed above the key horizontal resistance from July 2025 (the ₹2,020 level). 📊 4. Technical Indicators - RSI: The Relative Strength Index is rising across Daily, Weekly, and Monthly timeframes , showing aligned bullish momentum. - EMAs: Short-term EMAs are in a PCO (Price Crossover) state , signaling a fresh uptrend. 🎯 5. Future Scenarios & Targets With the rectangular base now broken, the path of least resistance is up. - 🐂 Bullish Target 1: ₹2,225 (Immediate technical extension). - 🐂 Bullish Target 2: ₹2,370 (Retest of the All-Time High). - 🛑 Support (The Safety Net): If the stock pulls back to digest these gains, the top of the rectangle at ₹1,850 should now act as strong support.
NSE:NHLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
13
Short term swing on Jyoti CNCWith the earnings flattening out , EPS seems to have bottomed out and recent CEO statements clearly indicate strong order book and positive cash flow in Q3 leading upto Q4. Along with these fundamental view , it formed a base between 878 - 924 range. Entererd the trade on breakout and pull back in to base. Entry : Entry 912 SL : 875 ( I usually dont keep a hard SL, I exit if the price sustains under 875 for 2 successive trading sessions - thats how I've found success ) Target : 1035 Current entry does look for slightly longer term hold in which case I would add more qty if the price drops under 870 ( hold for 6-12 months ) . The hold would make sense if the company delivers on the time while sustaining a strong order book and cash flow as predicted which would eventually elevate the EPS and price should go up n beyond the previous ATH. Note: Personally , I have a long term position which I opened at 411 so currently this is just a swing but yes a substantial drop under 870 and I'll add to my long term position.
NSE:JYOTICNCLong
by juztinjoz
1
InoxGreen (Weekly) - Major Breakout, Potential New UptrendInox Green Energy has shown significant bullish strength, breaking out of a key long-term horizontal resistance trendline last week. This crucial move was powered by a substantial +13.61% price surge and supported by decent trading volume, signaling a potential continuation of its upward trajectory. This breakout follows a period of sideways consolidation that began in May 2025. The prior resistance had capped the stock's progress after its trend reversed in April 2025, following a downtrend from its All-Time High in September 2024. Bullish Confirmation Signals 👍 The positive outlook is reinforced by key technical developments: - Breakout Volume: The price surge was accompanied by **healthy volume**, indicating conviction behind the move. - Momentum: Short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) also completed a positive crossover this week, a strong indicator of building upward momentum. Future Outlook and Key Levels The price action in the coming week will be critical for confirming the breakout's sustainability. - Bullish Case 📈: If the upward momentum continues with strong volume, the stock could be on track to reach the next potential resistance level at ₹224 . - Bearish Case 📉: However, if the stock fails to sustain the breakout momentum, it could pull back to find support near the ₹149 level.
NSE:INOXGREENLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Palantir (Weekly) - Consolidation Near All-Time HighAfter reaching a new All-Time High (ATH) in recent weeks, Palantir has entered a period of consolidation. The stock has since been trading in a sideways range, struggling to break past the newly established resistance level. Emerging Bullish Signals 👍 Despite the sideways movement, several indicators suggest that buyers are showing renewed interest: - Momentum: Short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) have formed a positive crossover , a technical signal indicating that upward momentum is building. - Volume: Trading volume has been noticeably increasing , which suggests growing accumulation and buyer interest at the current price levels. Future Outlook and Key Price Levels The stock is currently positioned for a potential move, with two clear scenarios: - Bullish Case 📈: A decisive breakout above the short-term horizontal resistance would signal a continuation of the uptrend. If this occurs, the next potential price target could be USD 234 . - Bearish Case 📉: If the stock fails to overcome the resistance and momentum fades, it may decline to the lower boundary of its consolidation range, with a potential support level near USD 142 . Watchout for the next moves !!
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
2
Gland Pharma (Weekly Timeframe) - Breakout of Sideways trend ?After a prolonged downtrend from its all-time high in August 2021, Gland Pharma has been trading in a sideways consolidation range since August 2023. Recent price action suggests that the stock is building momentum for a potential breakout, signaling a possible end to its bearish phase. ## Bullish Developments 📈 Recent Momentum: The stock showed significant buying interest last week, surging +6.82% accompanied by a decent spike in trading volume . Technical Posture: The short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) have entered a Positive Crossover (PCO) state , a classic bullish signal indicating that near-term momentum is shifting upwards. Breakout Potential: This renewed strength positions the stock to challenge its long-term horizontal resistance trendline. A decisive break above this level would confirm a bullish trend reversal. ## Key Price Levels to Watch Immediate Resistance: The first major hurdle is at the ₹2,238 level. A sustained move above this is required to confirm the breakout. Upside Target: If the resistance at ₹2,238 is breached, the next potential target for the stock is ₹2,607 . Downside Support: If the upward momentum fails to continue, the stock could find support near the ₹1,384 level. Price-action is key !!
NSE:GLAND
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Bajaj Finance (Weekly Timeframe) - Making new ATHAfter a multi-month sideways consolidation from April to September 2025, Bajaj Finance has signaled a potential resumption of its primary uptrend. This recent price action mirrors a similar pattern seen from October 2021 to January 2025, which was followed by a powerful rally to new all-time highs. ## Recent Bullish Developments 📈 Pattern Breakout: The stock decisively broke out of its recent sideways range last week, surging +7% on strong volume & a new ATH. This move indicates a shift from balance to imbalance, with buyers taking firm control. Sustained Momentum: The buying pressure has continued, resulting in a rally of over 14% in the past two weeks. Technical Confirmation: The short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a Positive Crossover (PCO) state, a classic bullish indicator that supports the case for continued upward momentum. ## Outlook and Key Levels The breakout suggests that the stock is poised to challenge its previous highs. Upside Potential: If the current momentum is sustained, the next logical price target in the near term is the ₹1,077 level. Downside Risk: Should the breakout fail and momentum wane, the stock could pull back to test the support zone around ₹849 . The key factor to watch is trading volume. While the initial breakout volume was good, sustained buying interest is needed to fuel the next leg of the rally.
NSE:BAJFINANCELong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
EUR/USD | 30M | Live Execution Zone We’ve marked out our trade zone post-CPI. Price tapped into our supply pocket at 1.1747 and is now reacting as anticipated. Position structured with: Entry at the rejection from supply Stop above the sweep zone Target the lower liquidity pool near 1.1680 Key narrative: Market took out liquidity on both sides, confirmed displacement, and is now showing signs of delivering south before the next structural shift. This is a clean setup aligning with the higher-timeframe bias — patience and discipline doing the work.
Short
by YCGH_Capital
FIRSTCRY (Breakout Candidate) - Swing Pick#FIRSTCRY #stage1stock #breakoutstock #Trendingstock FIRSTCRY : Swing / Short term (1-3 months) >> Ready for Stage 1 breakout >> Momentum stock >> Volumes Spike Visible >> Good strength in stock >> Swing Traders can target 18% move, short term traders can look for Higher Targets Swing Traders can lock profit at 10% and keep Trailing Please Boost, comment and follow us for more Learnings Disc : Charts shared are for learning purpose only, not a Trade recommendation. Do your own research and consult your financial advisor before taking any position.
NSE:FIRSTCRYLong
by moneyfesttrading
IOL CP (Daily Timeframe) - Has the Sideways Trend BrokenOut ??IOL CP in the past two sessions have BrokenOut of the sideways trend that it was in since Mar 2022. Several attempts in the past to BreakOut of this trend has failed as indicated. The past two days, the stock was able to BreakOut as well as maintain it with huge volume. Short-term EMAs are in PCO state as well as a Golden Cross-over has formed few days back indicating bullishness. If upside momentum continues then we may see 156 levels provided few resistances are breached. The stock may see 82 levels if the momentum is not sustained. Keep monitoring the price-action !!
NSE:IOLCPLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
HDFCBANK | Result analysis |Support and resistance 🔍 Quick Summary: What’s Priced In? Despite a solid PAT beat (₹18,160 Cr, +12% YoY), NII missed expectations (only +5% YoY) and margins fell. The profit beat was largely driven by non-core gains (₹9,130 Cr stake sale in HDB Financial). This signals: Core operations slightly underwhelming Market may not reward the PAT beat aggressively Bonus + Dividend is already priced in (price rallied earlier) 📉 Technical & Derivatives Outlook: 🧱 Price Action: Cup & handle breakout recently happened ✔️ Price is stuck in a channel (as seen on the chart) Consolidation breakdown on friday -target 1918.75 Facing strong resistance around ₹2000–2040 (High Volume Nodes + OI buildup) Immediate support: ₹1918–1840 (Volume cluster + previous breakout retest) 🔍 OI Data (as of July 18): PCR: 0.6 → Bearish bias Highest Call OI: 2000–2040 CE → Acts as resistance ceiling Strong Put OI only around 1900–1920 → Weak support zone forming 🔮 Expected Price Action Next Week: 🔻 Bearish to Sideways Bias: Given weak core NII and resistance zone near ₹2000, stock might consolidate or correct slightly. If ₹1918 breaks, can test ₹1840 again. Only a breakout above ₹ 1988 and ₹2040 with volume will revive bullish momentum. 🛡️ Key Levels to Watch: Direction Key Level Action Resistance ₹1988–2027 Selling pressure(OI + HVN) Support ₹1918 Breakdown -₹1840 Strong Sup ₹1840 High volume node + previous breakout 🎯 Conclusion (1-week view): 📉 Slightly bearish / sideways expected 📌 Likely range: ₹1918 – ₹2000. Cmp- 1957 🎯 Bulls need a close above ₹2040 for further upside
NSE:HDFCBANK
by DailyCharts03