Adani Ports - Is there a Breakout round the cornerAction Till Date - Since the news-based fall has come in the Adani group shares, Adani ports, along with other Adani group stocks has been trading in a range with most of the stocks yet to gather the steam. While Adaniports has shown some good momentum in the starting week of the September series, it didn't give a decisive breakout from the consolidation price range ranging from 654 to 762. As one can see in the chart that the stock has formed a classic flag n pole structure and the stock didn't sustain in the flag range.
What to expect -
Downside - As discussed, the stock didn't sustain into the flag structure and it is taking support @ 100 DMA (734.88 as of 22.09.2021). If the stock gives a breakdown, there is a 90% chance for the stock to retrace till the level of flag bottom i.e., 719. If the broader market takes a breather and the stock manages to break the level of 719, one may expect the stock to test 655-54. SL will be 100 DMA on a closing basis.
Upside - If the stock gives a bounce back from 100 DMA, it will fill the gap at 803-821 (created on 14.06.2021) which will be it's first target. The stock may go for a small retracement post which it will be all set to take out it's life-time high. SL should be placed below 760 on a daily closing basis.
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Rectangle
IEX - Mother Candle Pattern (Hourly Tf)Hourly Time Frame - IEX has been consolidating for the past few sessions and has formed Mother Candle Pattern on Hourly Time Frame with the stock trading within the Hourly candle range (782-819) formed on 13.10.2021 (9:15-10:15 AM). A total of 20 candles have formed within the mother candle till the completion of the 18.10.2021 session. A clear reduction in volumes can also be observed which implies compression.
One may initiate a long/short trade in the stock post completion of Hourly candle above/below the mother candle range respectively with an intraday target of 35-40 points movement on the side of the range violation.
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BajajFinSV - All Set for Stellar RunUpdate Till Date - The Stock has given an astonishing return in the past few months and has been consolidating in the price range of 17047-18744 for the last couple of weeks. We have seen a clear reduction in volumes as the stock was consolidating and the price was moving lower while we have seen a clear expansion in volumes as the stock has tried to move higher. Today (i.e., 18.10.2021), the stock has given a breakout of the consolidation zone with a good amount of volumes but the stock lagged any expansion in the price range on the daily time frame.
What to expect - Some more confirmation is needed to categorize the breakout as a successful one. For this, an expansion in the price range with a good amount of volume will set the stage for another bull run in the stock and one may expect another 1000-1200 points rally in the stock.
One may initiate a long position in the stock once the stock takes out today's (i.e., 18.10.2021) day high of 19091, below will be the targets for a swing trade
T1 - 19500
T2 - 19950
SL - 18560
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Accumulation phase in a rectangular box The stock is under accumulation for the past few months.The chart is self explanatory.Read the details given in the chart for a thorough knowledge.
Option sellers can use this script by doing strangle or straddle with break-even falling between 885-999 preferably.
This post is for educational purpose only.
HAL - Accumulation or Distribution?? UpdateIn the earlier idea on HAL (posted on 17/09/2021) I have updated about the price range in which the stock has been trading since 30.08.2021. The stock has not violated the zone on either side. HAL has shown some good price expansion towards the upper range of the zone with clear expansion in volumes. The stock is just confirming the idea that the stage is an accumulation stage and we may expect a break out above the zone very soon. Below will be the target in case of a genuine breakout above the level of 1456 on a daily closing basis
T1 - 1570
T2 - 1790
SL - Below 1340 on a daily closing basis
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multiple time frame analysis buy!tatamotors :
trade setup :
1. buy with stop loss as 275 on closing basis
2. targets : 312/325/335/349/357+
key technical highlights :
1. stock is trading in range for the whole year from jan 2021 till today in price band of ( 280 to 357 ) .
2. trading in parallel channel & rectangle pattern
3. multiple time frame analysis
stock is having , good strong support at 280
& multiple strong resistance at 357
4. demand zone
5. recent weekly volume is dry to low .
6. in hourly pattern there is an inverted head and shoulder pattern seen for a breakout at 304 to 305 for 326+ targets
Gujarat Alkalies – Rectangular Breakout above 381 & retest DoneEntry: above 405 ie CMP
SL - 355
TRGT1 - 800
TRGT2 - 1290.9
DURATION - 2 Years
All numbers are weekly based
Bussiness model : Company produces Caustic Soda Lye, same is used in manufacturing of pulp and paper, alumina, Soap and Detergent petroleum products, few chemical production, water treatment, textiles, metal processing, mining, glass making.
Co was making around 690 net profit pre covid. Even at 10x PE Co should be valued around 6900 crs. Hence traget1 of around 800
Debt to equity : 110 crs debt vs 4771 crs reserve
Debt can be paid back with 3 months profit. So assume Co is debt free.
Net profit and sales continues to grow at stable rate only exception was 2020 Covid Year
Cash flow consistent over past 12 year.
Dividend yeild 1.9%
Book value 660 vs Market price 420 (0.63 times)
Promotor holding 46.28 above average
Volume accumulation seen on daily chart with rectangular breakout of 11 months.
Stock is currently in pull back mode after its breakout so it's a good buy around 405 or higher whenever stock gives green candle on daily chart.
There r few strong resistance (marked on chart black lines), so I'm not expecting quick profit booking on this script
Disc. : Views Shared for Education Purpose only. Consult your Financial Advisor before taking any position.
nifty buying side after breakout and retestHello guys i had find this trading setup in 15m time frame but its look very bullish in higher timeframe so we can trade above the breakout after price sustained above the channel resistance and will wait for retest and then will take entry with very low risk and high profit also do your own analysis before taking any trading decision also if you like my analysis plz like share and follow and don forget to do comment below thank you god bless you
TATA Motors - Swing Trade Weekly Time Frame - We have seen a news-based selling in TATA Motors with the stock correcting sharply from levels of 360 to near about 273-275. Since then it is trading in a range-bound manner near about a level of 300. We can see in the weekly time frame that the stock is consolidating in the zone of 300-360 on the back of reducing volumes. Chances of the stock giving a break down from the mentioned levels are lower as
(1) the stock has excellent support near to the levels of 275-285
(2) Volumes are low as the stock tries to move down.
Swing Target 1 - 360 (Stock retesting the upper end of the consolidation zone
Swing Target 2 - 400-410 (Breakout from the consolidation zone backed with clear expansion in volume)
Stop Loss - Below 275 (On a weekly closing basis)
MCX RANGE BO HAPPENED WITH HUGE VOLUME, POSITIONAL TRADEAs u see on chart, Price was almost in a Rectangular Pattern(Darvax box) range from last 1yr. Breakout happened with strong price action and huge volume.
VERY HIGH PROBABILITY POSITIONAL TRADE OPPORTUNITY
BUY ABOVE 2000 FOR TGT 2400-2800+ SL @ 1600
Keep an eye on Lincoln Pharma for Swing Trade1. Making Higher highs & Fundamentally strong Stock.
2. Took support from 377 Support Zone with good volume
3. Only Disadvantage is the stock closed below round figure i.e, 400
4. If the Resistance zone Between 404-414 will break we can see a very good up move(Based on market conditions)
5. Enter only if 414 level breaks with good confirmation by keeping 404(if a candle closes below 404 in 15 min TF) as stop-loss.
6. 445 is 1st TGT & 480 is 2nd TGT
*Always Enter With good confirmation & Maintain proper Risk Reward.
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Will growth convert into momentum ? - MSTCLTDLong long consolidation of 8 months.
great results in last 2 quarters with high EPS growth
probable candidate for BO
3T VCP
good accumulation in base
SL - below 300
TGT - 400-418