Regression channel breakout Nifty is heading towards the next resistance 18100-18200 range. It has given regression channel breakout with strong relative strength to the weekly time frame and it came with a strong gap-up opening.
Now the price is likely to settle at over 17600.
For the next 1 or 2 days small daily candles may get a form if there is any uncertainty related to price sustenance.
Regressionanalysis
Kotak Mahindra BankThis video is only for education purpose. It shows that how any swing trader can make a position in combination of support and resistance level and regression channel.
We have analyze Kotak Mahindra Bank on daily chart. Bank is showing one way fall from INR 2000 to 1650. It is clearly shown with sliding regression channel.
After touching 1650, stock goes up to 1693. One can make long position if and only if stock breaks upper limit of regression channel on daily closing basis.
Note : - Please take your position after consulting SEBI registered investor advisor or analyst.
Regression Channel Linear Regression Line:
The line that fits all the data points, in stocks is considered the line where the majority of the price action is distributed.
" R Square" value
It deviates in the range of 0 to 1, the closer the value to 1, the better it is
It defines the Best fit of data.
Upper Channel Line: A line that runs parallel to the Linear Regression Line and is usually one or two standard deviations above the Linear Regression Line.
Lower Channel Line: This line runs parallel to the Linear Regression Line and is usually one or two standard deviations below the Linear Regression Line.
The upper and lower channel lines contain between themselves either 68% of all prices (if 1 standard deviation is used) or 95% of all prices (if 2 standard deviations are used). When prices break outside of the channels, either: Buy or sell opportunities are present. Or the prior trend could be ending.
Linear Regression Channel Possible Buy Signal
When the price falls below the lower channel line, and a trader expects a continuation of the trend, then a trader might consider it as a buy signal.
Linear Regression Channel Possible Sell Signal
Selling opportunity lying might occur when prices break above the upper channel line, but a continuation of the trend is expected by the trader.
Trend Reversals
When a price closes outside of the Linear Regression Channel for periods, this is often interpreted as an early signal that the past price trend may be breaking and a significant reversal might be near.
IndusInd Bank LongIndusInd Bank is trying to move to its pre Covid-level Price. The Mishap that happened last year shocked the investors due to which a there was a 34% decline in stock from it good bull run.
The stock is gaining momentum and is pushing itself to its Intrinsic Value . We can expect the stock to move to a good 1300 - 1400 Level given that the it dosen't get affected much due to the outside news , war etc.
There is a Gap between 1186 and 1130 which can help us set our targets. Even though the Gap is a breakaway gap , IndusInd still has a hold in the blue chip area and in the index as well.
According to me,
First Target - 1050 - 1080
Second Target - 1130
Third target - 1280
Fourth Target - 1380
Stop Loss - 800
Invest Wisely. Abide the stoploss as well.
Happy Investing