PSU BANKSHello & welcome to this analysis
PSU Banks which had been outperforming Private Banks and the broader market since 2020 have since June 2024.
It has for now stopped the lower high formation, for more strength it needs to sustain above 7250 and confirm a higher low formation.
Happy Investing & Trading
Relativestrength
RELIANCE Levels // 4 HOURHello Everyone 👋
Employee Stock Option Plans (ESOPs): Ahead of its anticipated initial public offering (IPO), Reliance Retail granted ESOPs worth ₹351 crore to 15 senior executives during the last financial year. The company issued 4.417 million shares at ₹796.5 per share to top-level employees, demonstrating its commitment to retaining and rewarding key leadership.
Reliance Retail, owned by Mukesh Ambani, is India’s largest retailer, serving 304 million registered customers and welcoming over 1.06 billion footfalls across its stores in the financial year 2023-24. Its diverse portfolio spans grocery, consumer electronics, fashion, lifestyle, and pharmaceuticals. Notable brands under Reliance Retail include Smart Bazaar, 7-Eleven, Fresh Signature, Freshpik, Netmeds (pharma), Tira (beauty), Reliance Digital, MyJio Store (electronics), and retail chains like Trends, Reliance Jewels, and Hamleys.
CIGNITITEC - 4 Months Consolidation / Retracement BreakoutCigniti Technologies Ltd
1) Time Frame - Monthly.
2) The Stock had given an All time high breakout & It has been in a Consolidation since (November, 2023). Now It has given a Consolidation breakout & Closed above it's (November, 2023) High with good bullish momentum candle in Weekly Time Frame. One can consider entering here with weekly TF or Should wait for the strong monthly close above (1204).
3) The stock may find It's next resistance around the (price 1510) in short term.
4) Ev en though the MidCap and SmallCap index were showing weakness in the past week the stock had shown some relative strength and managed to sustain above it's 21 day moving average. Since It's a 3500 Cr Market Cap stock, One need to be cautious & should keep the Stop Loss tight In case of any sudden selling in the stock.
5) Recommendation - Consider Buying it with tight Stop Loss.
Stock Selection Based on Relative StrengthHello,
Here i will be talking about the process for picking up the stocks based upon the Relative Strength. As this is known to everyone but only few are getting benefitted by applying it in real trading. Most of the gains are made with the stocks having greater RSI. If RSI having > 75 those are the ones which create maximum wealth in Short time. Now, Question comes at what time frame it will apply and this depend upon the individual trading style. It works well on Daily, Weekly, and Monthly TF. The higher the timeframe the better the reward. This can be combined with the Price and Volume, It Can do wonder in your trading Journey.
Screener for Stock Selection in Trading View:-
- Go to Stock Screener Tab at bottom in the Tradingview.
- Go to Filters
- Symbol Type - Common Stock
- Select New 52 Week High
- Select Relative Strength Index (14) >=75
The above will filter out stocks on Daily Timeframe. You can add more filters according to your requirements and make your stock list more refine such as All Time High, New 6 Months high etc. and Make a list and look for opportunity.
As i am a Price Sction trader i mix this with Price and Volume and ride the momentum.
Few examples - Cupid, Glaxo
You can try it and submit your feedback to me. Also, Tell me if you find something else which can be useful to the community. Together we can help eachother in Learing and excel in profession.
Remember: I am a Price Action Trader and use Price and Volume together with different Timeframes, including RSI, and market conditions. To get best result always wait for confirmation. Focus on Risk Management and Position sizing.
Treat trading like a business and it will pay you like a business…..!!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RastogiG
Easy way to spot change in characterIn this post, i discuss a simple way of when to start paying attention to a particular sector or a stock, with the example of IT sector
1) At point 1, as nifty is forming a bottom, IT is attempting to form a bottom as well, moving along with the index
2) As nifty continues to move higher, it forms a higher low at point 2, whereas IT has a big gap down and forms a lower low, clear underperformance.
3) at around point 3, this is the first time IT attempts to outperform the markets, printing a clear wide range candle, still underperforming overall. start paying closer attention once this happens
4) at point 4, nifty peaks and corrects, and IT falls along with the index, right from its previous resistance zones.
5) IT was a laggard, and continues to fall with the index, but after swing low, bounce back is of more magnitude, wide range candles are starting to form
6) point 6 is where we get clear confirmation of outperformance by IT index, as nifty forms a lower low, whereas IT forms a clear higher low. things are starting to change
7) even though IT remains in a stage 1 structure, signs of outperformance in the coming cycle are starting to show. when this happens, start going through individual stocks in the IT sector and prepare for the next cycle
Nifty Auto Sector AnalysisUpcoming Week / Days
Looks like Auto Sector is going to outperform
The formation of the Chart Nifty Auto Looks interesting
RSI is overbought zone, whenever RSI goes above 70 the tendency of the sector is to fall back & touch the 21/50 day EMA giving an ample opportunity to buy stocks in the sector
Though RS (Nifty) is above 0 still looking nice for an upmove
ICICI Bank set to Dethrone HDFC Bank!Attached: ICICIBANK/ HDFCBANK Weekly Chart as of 5th May 2023
The above Ratio Chart is Significantly Bullish and suggests that in the coming Weeks/ Months you will see Money flow from HDFC Bank to ICICI Bank (which means ICICI Bank will relatively Outperform HDFC Bank and you are better off going own ICICI Bank instead of HDFC Bank)
Bullish Evidence as follows:
- Massive Inverted Head & Shoulder Bottom Pattern has formed implying Upside for the Chart
- RSI in a Bullish regime since October 2017
- The RSI Bullish Divergence that started in October 2017 also marked a Trend Reversal point for the Chart, prior to which the Trend was Down
- Higher Highs and Higher Lows clearly point to an Up Trend in this Ratio Chart
- Fundamental Analysis of ICICI Bank too is confirming with this Chart
As an Investor,
you are better off Owning ICICI Bank and Dumping HDFC Bank
And as a Trader,
Long ICICI Bank NSE:ICICIBANK and Short HDFC Bank NSE:HDFCBANK makes for a Highly Profitable Pair Trade
RISK ON Signal Generated! Nifty 100 Set to Outperform Nifty 50Attached: Nifty 100/ Nifty 50 Daily Chart as of 26th May 2023
A Risk On Signal has been generated where Nifty 100 is Set to Outperform Nifty 50 to meet its Cup & Handle/ VCP Pattern Breakout Target
When this happens the Broad Market goes on a Risk On Mode
So Bulls it is your Time/ has been your Time and it is going to Accelerate further in your favor
Play Longs, More Money is to be made in the Long Trade
Pharma Sector takes LEADERSHIP!Attached: Nifty Pharma Daily Chart as of 26th June 2023
- Today Price has triggered another Breakout closing above the Green Trendline and thus activating a Fresh Up Leg for the Pharma Sector and Stocks alike
- This is the 2nd Breakout Trigger (marked by arrow) and the 1st Breakout Trigger was the activation of the Cup & Handle Pattern for which Price is yet to meet its Pending Upside Target
- Pharma Index was also the TOP Sector Gainer today
- Technical Indicators such as RSI, MACD also confirm the same presence of a Strong Up Trend
Therefore, if you want to play LONGs in this Market then you must shift all your Focus on Pharma Stocks from here on, I have already shared one of them NSE:PGHH in my related ideas
Copper Set to Outperform Silver!Attached: COPPER/ SILVER Daily Chart as of 20th June 2023
The Ratio has given a Breakout from a Cup & Handle/ VCP Pattern today
Within the Commodity space it appears that Base Metals are doing better than Precious Metals
And so this Ratio can head higher to retest the 0.5 Fibo retracement level as the 1st Upside Target (marked on chart with arrow)
Technical Indicators also confirm the BO:
- RSI above 60
- MACD in Buy Mode and Above 0 line
- DMI in Buy Mode and ADX starting to Turn up
BANKBARODA Long SetupAttached: Daily Chart as of 16th June 2023
Holding above 182, a Target of ~ 200 is pending🎯📈
Rationale behind this Setup:
- Observe Multiple Volatility Contractions as Price is forming a VCP
- Strength on any Dip as it gets bought
- Higher Highs and Higher Lows are intact
- Price trading near 52 week high zone
- PSU Banks are doing better than Private Banks so the money flow is shifting
Capitalizing on Relative Weakness: Short ICICIBANK Long Nifty 50Introduction:
In the dynamic world of trading, identifying relative strengths and weaknesses among stocks and indices is crucial for maximizing profits. This idea focuses on the underperformance of ICICIBANK compared to the Nifty 50 index. By analyzing the daily charts and employing a ratio chart, we can spot a potential opportunity for a pair trade. This write-up aims to provide an analysis of ICICIBANK's current trend, its ratio to Nifty 50, and how traders can profit from this relative weakness.
Section 1: Understanding the Ratio Chart
To gain further insights into ICICIBANK's relative performance, let's examine the ICICIBANK/Nifty 50 ratio chart. This ratio chart compares the price performance of ICICIBANK to that of the Nifty 50 index. By analyzing this chart, we can assess ICICIBANK's strength or weakness relative to the broader market.
The ratio chart reveals a broadening wedge pattern breakdown. This breakdown suggests a bearish outlook for ICICIBANK, indicating a potential continuation of its underperformance against Nifty 50. Additionally, the ratio has been consistently trending within a downtrend channel, emphasizing ICICIBANK's persistent weakness compared to the broader market.
Section 2: Pair Trade Strategy
Based on the technical analysis of ICICIBANK and the ICICIBANK/Nifty 50 ratio, a pair trade strategy can be implemented to capitalize on ICICIBANK's relative weakness.
The pair trade strategy involves simultaneously shorting ICICIBANK and going long on Nifty 50. By shorting ICICIBANK, traders can profit from its anticipated further decline, while being long on Nifty 50 allows them to participate in the potential upside of the broader market.
It is crucial to effectively manage risk when implementing this pair trade strategy. Setting appropriate stop-loss levels based on ICICIBANK's volatility and the overall market conditions is essential. Additionally, continuous monitoring of the ICICIBANK/Nifty 50 ratio is necessary to assess any changes in relative performance and adjust positions accordingly.
Conclusion:
The current technical analysis of ICICIBANK, along with its ratio to Nifty 50, suggests a bearish outlook for the stock. Traders can consider implementing a pair trade strategy by shorting ICICIBANK and going long on Nifty 50, capitalizing on the relative weakness of ICICIBANK compared to the broader market. One has to closely track the above ratio chart for the stop and target level for the pair trade
COLPAL Set to Outperform Index Nifty 50Attached: COLPAL/ NIFTY 50 Daily Chart as of 11th May 2023
The above Ratio Chart shows a Classic Bull Flag Setup within an Inverted Head & Shoulders Pattern. This is Bullish Evidence in favor of the Ratio Rallying Upwards
They say Buy Strength and Sell Weakness
Therefore this makes NSE:COLPAL a BUY given its Potential to Outperform!
SAKTHI SUGARFundamentally there is nothing encouraging here however, purely on technical basis, this stock seems to be ready for a big move.
RSI breakout is an early indication, and the relative strength of the stock seems to be in a very sweet spot.
A triple bottom is adding confidence to this Low-Risk High Reward setup.
MARUTI Set to Outperform Nifty 50Attached: MARUTI/ NIFTY 50 Daily Chart as of 5th May 2023
This Ratio Chart has just given a Fresh Breakout Buy Signal implying that for the coming days/ few weeks NSE:MARUTI is all ready to Outperform and take Leadership for Nifty 50
Buy Strength and Sell Weakness
Hence, expect Buying Action in MARUTI Stock from here on is what the Charts say!
Triangle breakout 1. Triangle breakout with Volume and Relative strength is in a bullish trajectory
2. Price target estimated about 195 to 205 by next 3-4 month
3. Some pullback is expected at the current price
4. Strong fundamental and Valuation of the stock
5. Target price is overlapping with the previous trend of the stock.
***I am NOT a SEBI registered advisor or a financial adviser. Any of my investment or trades I share are provided for educational purposes only and do not constitute specific financial, trading or investment advice. The post is intended to provide educational information only and does not attempt to give you advice that relates to your specific circumstances.
Nifty Small Cap Index signaling Risk On/ Outperformance BiasAttached: Nifty Small Cap 100/ Nifty 50 Daily Live Market Chart
A Possible Trend Change in this Ratio as there is Breakout
And now Small Caps are set to Outperform Large Caps for the coming few weeks
This is Risk On behavior, something has clearly changed on this Chart
Market Internals still Under Pressure!CNX500 Relative Strength
Attached: Nifty 500/ Nifty 50 Daily Chart as of 21st April 2023
This Ratio Chart is NOT supportive of a Bull/ Risk On phase for the Broad Market. The 500 stocks are likely to Underperform while the 50 stocks are likely to Outperform.
What does this mean you ask?
In simple Layman terms,
it means Index Nifty 50 will be MANAGED (propped up) by Heavyweights that make up approx. 50-60% of Nifty 50's Weightage
while Under the Hood Selling in Rest of the Market will continue as the ones which are in Down Trends are unlikely to see a Trend Reversal
Nifty 50 will Deceive you into thinking it is a Bull Market while the Market Internals suggest otherwise!
(Note: This is an update to an Old Related Idea titled: 'Market Internals suggest WEAKNESS' but for some reason Trading View platform is not allowing me to update that Idea with this updated Chart I have prepared. Hence, I have created this as a Separate Post)
AMBUJACEM- Relative Strength says SELL!Attached: Ambuja Cements/ Nifty 50 Daily Chart as of 19th April 2023
A Classic Triangle Setup is visible in the above Ratio Chart
The Breakdown of this Triangle would result in the Ratio Selling Off (AMBUJACEM accelerating its Underperformance vs. Index Nifty 50)
Hence this makes the Stock a Sell Candidate based on Weakness
Well if you also look at the Price Chart which I have not shared here but it also has a Classic Triangle Setup with a Bearish Bias just like its Ratio Chart
TITAN- Relative Strength says SELL!Attached: Titan/ Nifty 50 Daily Chart Live Market Hours as of 18th April 2023
The Ratio Chart signals that TITAN has completed Wave A/ 1 and done a retracement in Wave 2/ B and now the 3rd Wave/ C Wave Down is to Start
This implies that on a Relative Basis, TITAN is likely to MASSIVELY Underperform Nifty 50 Index
Today Titan is also One of the Top Losers from the Nifty 50 Index Top 20 Heavyweights
So as they Sell Weakness and Buy Strength
Hence, Look for Short Opportunities in Titan