Reversalpattern
Why BEAR-TRAP occurs? How to Avoid and Trade a BEAR-TRAP?What is a BEAR-TRAP?
--> BEAR-TRAP is a condition in the market where the Price gives a Breakdown below a Potential Support zone but quickly Reverses back above the Support without giving a follow up bearish candle.
Why a BEAR-TRAP occurs?
--> Big Players who are bullish on a specific stock would be wanting to buy a big quantity of shares at the best price , but there will be no enough sellers . Hence All Buy Orders of Big Players would not get filled. so what's the solution?
--> Big Players know that the Retailers have maximum of their StopLoss order's just below the Support.
--> Big Players will place Contra-Short Trades and will trigger the Stop-Loss Orders of the Retailers turning them into a Seller .Hence All Buy Orders of Big Players will get filled. .
--> New Breakdown Traders place Fresh Short-Sell Orders looking at the Breakdown and if its a F&O stock , Call-Sellers open new positions at ATM (At the money) Strikes. .
--> Now as All Buy Orders of Big Players got filled. . BIg players aggressively start moving the price up and trigger the Stop-Loss Orders of the New Breakdown Traders and Call-Sellers who entered looking at the Breakdown which ,again shoots up the price.
-->Hence All Bears are been Trapped.
How to avoid a BEAR-TRAP ?
--> Look at the Volumes on the Breakdown ! If the Volumes are Low , It is probably a Fake Breakdown! .
--> Wait for a follow up Bearish- Candle after the Breakdown Candle! i.e Take a entry only when the Low of the Breakdown-Candle breaks.
--> Check out if there is a significant Long-Unwinding if its a F&O stock.
How to trade a BEAR-TRAP ?
-->Check out for a Reversal Pattern soon after the Breakdown. Eg: Bullish Engulfing, Bullish Harami, Bullish Piercing .etc
--> This Reversal Candle Stick must close above the support.
-->Enter a Long Position above the high of this reversal candle .
Real Example!
--> NSE:POWERGRID was trading within a Rising Channel .
--> POWERGRID gave a Rising Channel Breakdown below 196 and gave a daily closing at 191. Perfect breakdown right?
-->Breakdown Traders entered here keeping their Stoploss above the POC or just above Psycological level 200. and Call Sellers would have Shorted the POWERGRID 200 CE STRIKE .
--> Check out the volumes on breakdown! Its very very low signifying its a Fake Breakdown.
--> POWERGRID on the following day made a Bullish Above Stomach Candlestick pattern and gave a closing above the support level 196.
-->Perfect Buy would be on 1HR Closing above the support level 196 on the next day.
-->Boom! Price made an Impulsive Movement after it triggered all the StopLoss Orders placed at Psycological level 200 by the Breakdown Traders and also due to the Short Covering at 200 CE STRIKE .
--> Wasn't it a perfect BEAR-TRAP Trade?
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Bank Nifty - Harmonic PatternBank nifty had broken all the previous supports today and is expected to continue its down trend. As bank nifty is overly sold, a pull back rally can be expected before it continues its down trend. Currently, Bank Nifty is sell on rise mode and one can expect a reversal from the marked harmonic level.
Bank Nifty reversal from PRZ?After the huge fall because of the Russia-Ukraine war, there could be a good opportunity to Long Bank Nifty. A pattern of Bullish Cypher has been formed with almost perfect Fib ratios. One can long Bank Nifty in the green zone ( 35052 - 35170 ) with a strict stop loss ( 34556 ) of the red line below it because that would indicate pattern failure. The three targets are marked on the chart with green lines ( 36084 - 36722 - 37238 ).
MDX/USDT 4H TFMDX/USDT - price action analysis
price breakdown from support and given huge fall
currently price is consolidating in range 0.35$ - 0.45$
price is taking trendline resistance - had huge liquidity above trendline
entry above trendline and given range
Target - 1$
#tradewithelplan #tradewithaplan
LICHSGFIN possible reversalHello traders, deepakntr achieved its target when gave a breakout of the H&S pattern in a single day.
Next stock I am focused on is lichsgfin, it has seen a good correction in the past weeks and have retraced back to the golden ration or zone.
On weekly timeframe it took support on 61.8% fib and bounced back
Above the flip level
Bounced back from demand zone
RSI is above 45
MACD above signal line
Buy above 370
Targets mentioned in the chart above
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Reversal Pattern SpottedInverse Head and Shoulder pattern spotted on 1 hr time farme. Levels are on chart. Post is for analysis purpose only
Crude is in Bearish modeNow crude in at a strong support zone
It is already reached a low of $62.46 and now it is an indecisive stage.
If it cross below $64 levels. possible to reach the support zone shown.
if further cross below this zone, the expected levels are $58.3, $52.4
The above observations are for STUDY purpose since the analysis is on weekly time frame.
ASIAN PAINTS ON ITS MAJOR SUPPORT LINE Asian paints is in its major support line and has formed a doji candle on the line. If we see a good green candle this can be a good sign of reversal.
This will be a good risk:reward trade with minimum risk and maximum reward.
If stock breaks the support line ,don't enter it.
If stock bounces from here , this will be a good entry.
Look for bullish candlestick reversal patterns for best confirmation.
This analysis was done by me only for educational purpose. Feel free to share your views/feedbacks.
#usdinr weekly inverted hammerThe USDINR currency pair charts weekly charts showing an inverted hammer formation at previous resistance zone close by trendline channel top shows the presence of bears and could be potential reversal signal that could possibly mean it is less likely for the currency pair to move to 76 levels and beyond. The dollar index may be facing resistance before 94.7. However the weekly momentum has climbed back to bull zones second time after the cover wave one where first attempt never sustained. The weekly trend is also is bull zones but the ADX strength bent is seen on short term daily charts that is saying that trend strength may be reducing coming days. With the US tapering that could come in soon dollar further strengthen is a threat for those trading short on this with any breakout from the current resistance zone would be ugly. USDINR options strangles can be played if it breaks and hit the next resistance of near 77 levels on November monthly contracts.