Reversaltrading
BTC's Future TrajectoryHey there, fellow crypto enthusiasts! 🚀
What's the scoop on BTC? Well, let's dive into the cryptocurrency rabbit hole and share my five cents on the matter, as illustrated on the chart.
A Remarkable Year 🚀
The year 2021 witnessed the culmination of a robust uptrend in this pair. When I refer to a robust trend, I mean an astounding increase of 1,500% or more, with the majority of this surge occurring within the span of a single year.
The Onset of a Significant Shift 🔰
BTC reached a peak in 2021, only to be followed by a reversal. As evident in the chart, within just 3months, from the end of 2021 to the beginning of 2022, it shed approximately half (50%) of its gains from the highs.
The Deceptive Rally 👀
When an asset experiences such a substantial decline over a short period, it often gives rise to relief rallies. These rallies can be quite potent and may even appear as bull markets on shorter timeframes. BTC rebounded by almost 45% from the lows it hit in January 2022, and a significant portion of this increase occurred within just 15 days. However, at the end of March 2022, there was a false breakout from a range, and the trend reversed once again.
Second Plunge 🔰
This time, BTC tumbled by over 60% from the highs it reached in the March 2022 rally. The fall's momentum was even more pronounced, taking only 2.5 months to reach this 60% decline. This added up to a total loss of 75% from the 2021 highs. Notably, BTC was testing and holding the 2017 highs during this period. As you might recall, resistance, once breached, can often act as support in the future. However, it was not apparent at that time that the pain was far from over.
Another Deceptive Rally 👀
Following the second decline, there was a three-month-long relief rally, amounting to roughly 44% from the recent lows recorded in June 2022. Unfortunately, this rally was nothing more than a bear market rally and the fall continued.
The Final Leg: Positive Clues ✅
The last downward move on the chart saw a decline of no less than 39% from the highs of the second relief rally. However, there were notable changes in behavior that can be observed in the chart:
1. The amplitude of the downward move was comparatively smaller than in the previous two declines.
2. The downthrust- distance between lows decreased.
3. The retest, as seen on the chart, failed (taken out) this time, unlike the two previous retests.
4. Breakout of a falling wedge can be seen, which typically signifies a bullish reversal.
5. All of these developments were occurring in the vicinity of the 2017 highs.
A Structural Shift ⚡
The chart reflects a shift in structure following the wedge breakout, with higher highs and higher lows emerging. This type of structural change is generally considered bullish.
Bullish Outlook for the Future 💰
Assuming that the low has been established, the aforementioned alterations in behavior suggest the possibility of another bull market.
Presently, BTC appears to be within a rough range of 25,000 to 31,000. However, the chance of a shakeout at the lower end (around 24,750) cannot be ruled out. A failed breakdown of this level and then an upward reversal should be seen as a buying opportunity.
Alternatively, if BTC continues its trajectory without a shakeout, a definitive breakout above 31,500, followed by a successful retest, should also be interpreted as a buying opportunity. This scenario may lead to 46K or highs in the long run.
Bearish Scenario 🐻
On the contrary, a decisive break down below 24,700 may pave the way for a drop to 19,650 or even lower.
Everything up there is for educational purpose only so,
✌🏻 PEACE OUT and keep those chain vibes strong! 💪
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Your visit's much appreciated, and I am here to learn together in the fascinating world of Bitcoin and beyond. 🙏 Stay crypto-cool! 😎
Mastering the Double Bottom Chart PatternA double bottom, combined with RSI divergence, can be a powerful signal for a trend reversal.
What's a Double Bottom ?
It's when a stock's price forms two distinct lows on a chart.
The pattern is confirmed when prices rise above the peak between those two lows.
Why Does It Matter?
The double bottom marks the end of a downtrend and the start of an uptrend.
It's one of the most common patterns, but it needs careful analysis.
Adding RSI Divergence:
RSI measures a stock's strength and momentum.
Look for RSI to form higher lows while the price forms lower lows. This is RSI divergence and a strong bullish signal.
Key Points to Remember
Downtrend First: The pattern begins in a downtrend.
Time Gap: The longer the time between the two lows, the stronger the reversal signal.
Price Increase: Look for a significant price increase between the two lows (around 10-20%).
Volume Matters: Usually, volume is higher during the first low and increases as the pattern confirms.
Breakout Confirmation: Don't act until prices break above the confirmation point.
Pullback After Breakout: Expect a pullback after the breakout; it's normal.
Trading the Double Bottom with RSI Divergence:
Calculate a target price by adding the pattern's height to the breakout point.
Confirm the pattern only after prices break through the confirmation point.
Be patient; not all patterns are double bottoms.
Watch for volume during the pattern's development.
Pay attention to RSI divergence for added confirmation.
Remember: Wait for confirmation, and don't rush into trades based solely on patterns. It's wise to use multiple indicators, including RSI, and keep an eye on market conditions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Happiest minds can make you happy!Happiest minds had given multibagger returns in 2021 and since then, it has been a correction phase in the stock.
Recently, the stock has bounced from a strong support and has given breakout from resistance trendline.
It is a good small cap IT stock with decent fundamentals looking strong for a bullish momentum.
Best buy level for the stock is around 875-880 with SL below 820 DCB and targets as 990, 1150, 1250.
This idea is shared for educational purposes and should not be taken as a recommendation.
Crudeoil reversal zones 9-1-2023Note: Always try to find a good price action patterns or any candle stick patterns in marked zones in smaller timeframe to take entry with small stop loss. Or can take entry based on one 5 min candle close below or above the zone with SL previous candles high or low (*try to avoid big candles).
(Color code for Support & Resistance zones: Red - Sell, Green - Buy, Price once cross above resistance it is obvious it will work as support, vis versa price cross below support zone ). If any doubt for take entry in price action patterns, please ask in comment box, i will try to help.
Disclaimer: Im not tip provider and this chart is not indented to take trade in my levels, It is shared here for learning purpose. Trading in this pattern is all your own risk.
PIDILITIND - Strong Bullish ReversalNSE: PIDILITIND is closing with a strong bullish reversal candle supported with high volumes.
Today's volumes and candlestick formation indicates strong demand and stock should move to previous swing highs in the coming days.
The stock has been consolidating for the past few days and moving along the trendline which is indicating demand.
One can look for a 8% to 11% gain on deployed capital in this swing trade.
The view is to be discarded in the event of the stock breaking previous swing low.
#NSEindia #Trading #StockMarketindia #Tradingview #SwingTrade
Disclaimer:
This is for educational purposes only.