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Rising Wedge

Nifty at a Glance: This Week's Market MomentumNifty Outlook: A Pivotal Week Ahead Nifty remains weak as we enter a crucial week. The index faces stiff resistance at 24,450. A close above this level could open the door to 24,725, but failure to hold it may trigger a drop. Key support lies at 24,150; breaching this could lead to a decline towards 23,850. Adding to the bearish tone, Nifty has broken down from a Rising Wedge pattern, with a potential target around 21,300. This week is critical—watch these levels closely as the market navigates this pivotal phase.
NSE:NIFTY
by Nimble_Pesos
SENCO - POST 20% CORRECTION, PA MIGHT REVERSE FRM BOTTOM CHANNELHi All, This idea is about Senco Gold Ltd The stock has corrected over 20% in this month alone & now have reached the lower channel of rising wedge formation. Volumes have dried up indicating the supply may have exhausted & Price action might soon reverse from this point Stock can be bought if it gives a closing above 980 for further targets of T1 1010, T2 1070, T3 1150. If the stock shows further downside then the support levels are S1 916, S2 864 The correction is due to poor quaterly results owing to heat wave, elections, and fewer wedding days although the sales was up 9% YoY Fundamentals Market Cap ₹ 7,398 Cr. Current Price ₹ 952 High / Low ₹ 1,177 / 365 Stock P/E 39.2 Book Value ₹ 177 Dividend Yield 0.11 % ROCE 13.4 % ROE 16.2 % Face Value ₹ 10.0 Equity capital ₹ 77.7 Cr. No. Eq. Shares 7.77 EPS ₹ 24.3 Promoter holding 68.4 % Change in Prom Hold -0.01 % Chg in Prom Hold 3Yr % Pledged percentage 0.00 % Market Cap to Sales 1.41 Sales growth 28.3 % PEG Ratio 1.92 EVEBITDA 20.3 Quick ratio 0.40 Trade receivables ₹ 64.4 Cr. Sales ₹ 5,230 Cr. Debt to equity 1.28 Price to book value 5.37 Free Cash Flow ₹ -324 Cr. CMP / FCF -42.4 Happy Trading, Thanks, Stock-n-Shine
NSE:SENCO
by Stock-n-Shine
Nifty Reaches 24,500 Target: Elliott Wave Analysis Disclaimer: ------------------------ Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell. WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them? ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- General Election 2024: Impact on Nifty The 2024 General Election resulted in a clear victory for the existing NDA government, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi securing a third term. This political stability had a positive impact on the Indian market index, Nifty. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pre-Exit Poll Movement Before the election results were declared, we proposed an outlook for Nifty to reach 24,500 as a pre-exit poll objective. This prediction was published on TradingView as "Pre-Exit Poll Outlook - Bulls above 22,400 " on 31st May 2024. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Achievement of Target Following the election results, Nifty saw a significant rise from the lows of 21,281 on June 4, 2024, and successfully reached our proposed target of 24,500 on July 12, 2024. However, there was a knee-jerk reaction as the index failed to surpass the 400-seat mark announced during the election campaigns, leading to some volatility when the actual results were declared on June 4, 2024. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Unfolding Structure: The Leading Diagonal Since early March 2024, we have been discussing the potential for an explosive upside based on a leading diagonal pattern, also known as a Rising Wedge in traditional analysis. This Elliott wave pattern typically indicates a bullish trend, especially in the context of the 2024 General Election. We believed in the bullish scenario and termed it the "Leading Diagonal," expecting significant market movement. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Why I Believe in Wave Analysis As a Wave Analyst, my journey began with a curiosity about the market's patterns and behaviors. Eight years ago, in 2016, I started writing for TradingView and was given an opportunity to look into India Business for the brand during its early expansion years in India. On a personal front, I progressed to learn the nuances of wave analysis and started applying them to publicly traded liquid financial instruments. The results were astounding, providing 90-100% accuracy in the analysis. The science behind wave analysis is robust, but it does come with the limitation of alternate views if the price breaches the cardinal rules. More details on this will be discussed in my upcoming book on wave analysis (no ETA available at the moment). ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pattern Analysis Rising Wedge: Often seen as bearish or bullish from a traditional technical analysis point of view, Elliott Wave analysis goes one step further by identifying the pattern's nature as bullish or bearish and can complement the unfolding events. General Election 2024: The election acted as a catalyst for the bullish trend. Patience Rewarded: Participants who held their positions since October 2023 are now reaping the benefits. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Future Outlook Key Psychological Level: 24,500 Nifty holding above the 24,500 level is crucial. If the index continues to bounce above this level, we anticipate the bull run to persist. Target: 27,620 Our next target is 27,620, where the current rising wedge in Wave-1 should travel 162% of the minimum distance if this is to be Wave-3. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Additional Insights Reliance Long Term: Nifty Explosive Series Episodes Starting Comex Copper: These episodes as published on TradingView earlier, hinted at an explosive Nifty to unfold and how Dr. Copper’s move supported the outlook. This should be discussed as a different branch of technical analysis called Intermarket relations in my book, suggesting a strong bullish sentiment. In conclusion, the political stability from the 2024 General Election has propelled Nifty into a strong bullish trend, with a key psychological level at 24,500 and a future target of 27,620. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Regards From WaveTalks Abhishek
NSE:NIFTYLong
by WaveTalks
3
SUNDARAM FINANCE - RISING WEDGE SINCE AN YR Hi All, This idea is about Sundaram Finance Holding Fundamentals Market Cap - 6k Cr Mkt Cap/Sales - 20.9 ROE - 12% P/BV - 1.27 Div Yield - 2.81% Technicals Price action has been in a rising wedge pattern since Jul 23 & currently consolidating at the bottom of channel for past few days. It can give a upmove of nearly 25% in very short term. Traders can take positional trades to capture the move. There is a small resistance for which traders need to be careful. Price reverted twice from that level SL will be lower channel breach Hope for a successful trade, Thanks, Stock-n-Shine
NSE:SUNDARMHLDLong
by Stock-n-Shine
Great Shorting opportunity in ABBABB is around the Long Term Resistance ABB is up almost 1200% in last 4 years ! Which is very extraordinary. If we analyse Monthly timeframe analysis then we can clearly see Stock is around the long term channel Resistance. Resistance is coming around 9200-9300 Also to confirm the same resistance, on a Daily timeframe we can see Rising channel which is seems working and stock is around the resistance. Right now stock is around 9200-9100 and if stock falls from the highs then we can expect stock to come around 7200-7300 Thank you !! Disclaimer : We are not SEBI registered analyst. Do your own research before taking any investment decision.
NSE:ABBShort
by FiveCircles
Nifty - Pre Exit Poll Outlook: Bulls Above 22,400 Disclaimer: Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell. WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them? ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key Levels to Watch: - Immediate Resistance: 23,000 What Unfolded Last Week: The index retraced 600 points, making a low of 22,417 as expected pause below 23000 in the last idea. Last Idea - Nifty Explosive (Part 3): From 22,000 to 23,000 in Record Time! Future Expectations: If Nifty surpasses the 23,000 mark, it will confirm that the bulls are in charge, reflecting the market optimism seen since early 2014. Nifty has strong support in the 22,400-22,500 zone. Holding above this zone, we expect an upward move towards the 22,775-22,825 target zone. If it holds above 22,825, it can target 23,000. Beyond 23,000, bulls will take charge, potentially driving the index to 23,500 and later 24,500. Note: Strictly no trades below 22,400. From WaveTalks Abhishek
NSE:NIFTY
by WaveTalks
17
Nifty Explosive (Part 3): From 22,000 to 23,000 in Record Time! Disclaimer: Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell. WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them? ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Nifty Index Outlook - May 24, 2024 Overview In our last analysis, we emphasized the importance of having both a primary plan (Plan A) and an alternative plan (Plan B). This approach prepares us for achieving similar outcomes through different routes. If Plan A fails, we quickly switch to Plan B. A strong alignment between both plans often predicts significant market movements. Recent Market Movements In our last discussion on the Nifty Index in the "Nifty: Explosive Part 2 - Towards 23,000+" series, we predicted a rally if the Nifty crossed the 22,000 mark. Indeed, Nifty surged nearly 1,000 points in just 10 days, closely aligning with our predictions and nearly touching the 23,000 mark. Last Idea - Nifty : Explosive Part 2 - Towards 23000+ Current Market Outlook Key Levels to Watch: - Immediate Resistance: 23,000 If Nifty surpasses the 23,000 mark, it will confirm that the bulls are in charge, echoing the market optimism that began in early 2014, a period that marked a significant turning point after years of struggle. Future Expectations Looking ahead, the next crucial juncture is whether Nifty can sustain its momentum above the 23,000 level or if it will face resistance. Surpassing 23,000 would be an extremely powerful signal, indicating readiness for a significant breakthrough before the 2024 General Election results are announced. Facing resistance below 23000 mark, a pause & bulls come back before election results are out on 4th June 2024. Conclusion The Nifty Index's performance has closely aligned with our previous analyses, demonstrating strong potential to surpass the 23,000 level. As the market approaches this critical threshold, our dual-plan strategy continues to guide our expectations and strategic decisions, ensuring we're well-prepared for various market scenarios. From WaveTalks Abhishek
NSE:NIFTY
by WaveTalks
4
Auropharma - Can You Catch Wave Top ,Recognise This Pattern ? Elliott Wave is a such an amazing scientific method, if you apply them & be humble & open to what market tells you, you are going to be rewarded like catching all the waves. Disclaimer: Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell. WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them? From WaveTalks Abhishek
NSE:AUROPHARMA
by WaveTalks
6
ICICI BANK : Bearish - Rising Wedge detected, and Double TOP ?!ICICI BANK : Bearish - Rising Wedge detected, and Double TOP possible. To monitor: The exponential moving averages 50 (in pink) around 991 , and the exponential moving average 200(in white) around 793. A possible Double Top is detected. + there are divergences with the RSI and the ROC ( Rate Of Change), which gives the speed of the variation of the momentum of an underlying! So a bearish return is possible Be safe!
NSE:ICICIBANKShort
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
NIFTY April/MAY Direction | Ascending Triangle or Rising Wedge ?Hello Traders/Investors, After analyzing NIFTY, it appears that a breakout is imminent, either on the upside or the downside. Patterns: 1. Ascending Triangle | Probability: 70% 2. Rising Wedge | Probability: 30% Analysis: 1. Ascending Triangle | Upside Potential: - Condition 1: If NIFTY breaches 22,950 by next week and maintains its position, there's a likelihood of a rally towards 23,760. However, any impact on prices, aside from election results, seems unlikely before then. - Condition 2: Similarly, if NIFTY surpasses 22,950 next week and undergoes a retest around 22,700/800, the rally could extend towards 23,760. Again, external influences on prices, except for election outcomes, are not anticipated. 2. Rising Wedge | Downside Scenario: - Condition 1: In the coming week, if NIFTY breaks the green trendline and approaches the midline, indicated by the blue color, the initial target would be the blue line, followed by 22,550. - Condition 2: Alternatively, if NIFTY descends to 22,000 and breaches this crucial support level, the next stop would likely be 21,200. However, this scenario would only unfold in the event of significant changes in the election landscape, such as the ruling party failing to secure at least 50% of the votes. Imp. Note: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute a direct recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors before making any investment decisions, as market conditions and individual circumstances may vary. Market Risk: However, it's important to acknowledge the inherent risks associated with investing in the stock market, including but not limited to volatility, economic downturns, regulatory changes, and unforeseen events that can impact stock prices. It's crucial for investors to remain vigilant and diversify their portfolios to mitigate potential losses. Thank you for Reading my complete Analysis, Naveen
NSE:NIFTY
by NaveenTTR
EURUSD Fall - Classic Equality Count in Play | C = A WaveDisclaimer: Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell. WaveTalks - Market Whispers!, can you hear them 13th Jan 2024 - B: Wave completed at the tops of 1.11393 Long Term Outlook From its low at 0.95358, we're seeing a leading diagonal wave signaling a potential long-term uptrend. As previously discussed, big gains might be ahead. Once short term completes & the base is formed as discussed in short term analysis, EURUSD will move into next sequence of wonder to behold waves which is Wave 3. Let us wait & have patience for magic to unfold. Short Term Outlook It's building a base, possibly dipping to 1.02-1.04, a 50-61.8% retracement from the 0.95358 low to the 1.12757 high in July 2023. Wave C = Wave A falls to 1.03118 falls in the projected zone suggesting a stronger possibility for Wave-C ending in the box zone 1.02 to 1.04 as discussed earlier From WaveTalks (Market Whispers!, Can you hear them) Abhishek
by WaveTalks
4