Spotting A Crash With RSI and MACD in five stepsFollowing are common things one can spot on weekly chart which happen before fall/crash of 2008 and 2020, similar thing can be found in other indices and on all time frames in chart
1. Price will continue to make higher high RSI or MACD indicators will show trend exhaustion with lower high not breaking previous high
2. Series of Negative divergence is seen on chart, look for 3 or more (RSI is leading indicator will produce more divergences compared to MACD)
3. Look for Head and Shoulders or Rising wedge or double top pattern on chart at top of trend
4. Finally Divergence line is broken out upside signaling final move started, that's exit signal 1.
5. Rsi will break line again downside and MACD crosses below signal line, that's exit signal 2.
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits nor exceptions from losses.
Technical analysis provided on the chart is solely the personal views of my research.
You are advised to rely on your own judgments while taking any investing/Trading decisions.
Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment/trading is subject to market risks.
Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
Not recommended to take FnO positions based on this analysis
Rising Wedge
Nifty- WaveTalks: E-Wave Pending ( Rising Wedge +Critical level)From the last idea- WaveTalks: Nifty-Can Bulls Bounce Back?- The Irregular Triangle
Few Adjustments done. Wave- D has been changed to 17941 Highs as discussed over the last idea.
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Since Morning @ 8th Oct2021 - How Index unfolded
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It could be part of the corrective structure. D-Wave could be complex correction & possibly may end as Ending diagonal (Rising Wedge) in the last part (strictly valid only below 17950)
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Why 17950- is Critical level???
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Irregular Triangle B-Wave High is 17948 crossing above that level structure invalidates & has to be reviewed again.
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As discussed in the last idea suggested above for reference.
150 + Points in the session so far achieved
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Selling below 17950 - dropped 100 points came to 17840-17850 zone
Suggested Minor Support Zone 17840-17850 - If zone holds then bounce can be expected - got the bounce to 17930+
Keep in mind the critical level - 17950 & E- Wave Pending if 17950 is protected. Thanks
Swing SetupEXPLANATION : This is a 4 hour time frame chart of LARSEN & TOUBRO , It has formed Rising wedge pattern breakout also formed head and shoulder pattern . Ideal entry is breakout and retest of Rising wedge pattern & Right shoulder of head and shoulder pattern . Enter as per your setup .
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What are Falling and Rising Wedge Patterns?What Is the Wedge Pattern and Its Common Characteristics?
1. Wedge patterns have converging trend lines that come to an apex with a distinguishable upside or downside slant.
a. Wedge with an upside slant is called a rising wedge
b. Wedge with downside slant is called falling wedge
2. It has declining volumes as the pattern progresses
3. It breaks out from one of the trend lines
Why We Should Pay Attention to Wedge Patterns?
Some studies suggest that a wedge pattern will breakout towards a reversal rather than a continuation more often than two-thirds of the time. Therefore as the rule of thumb, people generally treat a falling wedge as a bullish pattern and a rising wedge as a bearish pattern , especially a falling wedge would be a more reliable reversal indicator than a rising wedge
Since we know a wedge pattern has a higher probability to reverse and due to the fact that the price of wedge pattern converges to a smaller area, we can trade the reversal set up with a relatively close stop loss to its entry price, which provides us with a good trading opportunity with a decent Risk:Reward ratio.
Examples of a Bullish Rising Wedge and Bearish Falling Wedge
Sadly, there is nothing that works 100% in trading. Not every rising or falling wedge will reverse as one might expect. Every trader must properly manage their risk by setting stop losses and not just trading based on price patterns. Below are two examples.
Bullish Rising Wedge ( ETHUSDT during 15/NOV/20 - 28/DEC/20)
In the early stages of the epic 20-21 bull market, if traders blindly treat the rising wedge as a bearish signal and trade accordingly, they would pay a heavy price.
Bearish Falling Wedge ( LTCUSD during 14/AUG/18 - 14/NOV/18)
On the contrary, in the late stage of the 2018 bear market, any trader who blindly trades the falling wedge to bet on a reversal would also learn a hard lesson.
Comment down your thoughts on Wedge Patterns in the comment section.
Disclaimer:
This is just an educational post. Never trade just any pattern. And please do your research before making any trades.
Happy Trading!
Top Continuation PatternRising Wedge Pattern : - Rising wedge is a bearish pattern found in a downtrend. A rising wedge is formed when the price consolidates between upward sloping support and resistance lines.
Falling Wedge Pttern :- Falling wedge is a bullish pattern found uptrend. A falling wedge is formed when the price consolidates between downward sloping support and resistance lines.
AU SMALL FINANCE BANK RISING WEDGE BREAKDOWNAU Bank made a rising wedge pattern on daily timeframe
After a bearish engulfing candle it made inside candle
on low of this inside candle we can make a trade of downside with stoploss of high of inside candle
it can be a fast movement targets are provided on chart
Keep it in watchlist and also check banknifty along it.
Weekly BTC-USD(30th August)After five weeks of consecutive gains, Bitcoin is facing a bit of a hurdle from the psychological level of $50K. BTC formed a Bearish Doji kind of a candlestick pattern in the last week and dipped minutely by ~1% to close the week at $48,802. BTC has had a volatile last week due to the August monthly expiry in which $2+ Bn F&O contracts expired. At the time of writing, BTC is trading around $47,500.
From the past 5-6 weeks, BTC has been trading in a Rising Wedge formation with higher and lower bands placed at $53K and $47.5K respectively. Currently, bulls are trying to hold above this level but if it breaks $47.5K decisively, more profit booking can be expected in the coming days.
From the last 5-6 days, BTC has been trading in a range of $47K to $50K. Once we get a decisive breakout from this range, further buying or selling pressure can be expected.
Key Levels to watch out for:-
The immediate resistance which is present at $50K will be crucial for the move ahead. Once we get a weekly closing above this level, the next potential target is placed at $52.5K followed by $55K. On the lower side, the nearest support is present at $47K followed by $45.5K.
Time to short BTCAs I mentioned in one of my earlier threads, I think we’ve got the confirmation to open up a short position on BTC/USDT. This is because we broke out of the rising wedge (the white line). Besides this, we’ve got 3 consecutive red candles on the 4h which makes it a good short opportunity. My take profit is around the 45K level (the green line). But since we’re in a bigger general uptrend one should be careful and place a s/l.
Maybe it will find a short term support around the 47K level because of the upperline of the falling wedge (the upper yellow line) and bounce.
This is my publication #12. Let me know what you think of it and if you have any questions, suggestions, feedback or other inquiries let me know! I’m also just a trader.
BTC rising wedge can it hold 46-45k Btc is forming a rising wedge and now it broke down it! the main resistance is 49-50k and the critical support is 45k if hold above it we can expect move upside and can can came back to 40k or even 35k level so trade with tight stop loss. Also we can see a that the rsi is forming a bearish divergence. you can see a similar situation earlier. its better to avoid taking big positions
NZDUSD confirms rising wedge on strong NZ employment dataWith the firmer Q2 jobs report, the RBNZ is all set to become the first developed nation central bank to announce a rate hike in 2021. The bullish consensus spread like a wildfire among the top-tier banks following the data, fueling the NZDUSD prices beyond a key hurdle from mid-June, which in turn confirmed a bullish formation suggesting a theoretical jump towards revising the May month’s low near 0.7315. During the run-up, tops marked during July and June, respectively near 0.7100 and 0.7240 may offer an intermediate halt.
Alternatively, pullback moves below the resistance-turned-support line, around 0.7025, will be challenged by 200-SMA and a one-week-old rising support line, close to 0.6990–85. Should NZD/USD sellers break the 0.6985 level, the pair’s further weakness towards 0.6920 and July’s bottom surrounding 0.6880 can’t be ruled out. However, the support line of the stated wedge, around 0.6860, will challenge the quote’s declines past 0.6880. Overall, optimism concerning the RBNZ’s rate hike backs the NZDUSD bulls.