SAIL - Weekly - LongThis is a weekly chart of the SAIL, so it is useful for positional or swing trading.
First, let’s understand the trend based on the markings.
Earlier on the left side, the stock was making lower highs and lower lows, which clearly shows a downtrend. This phase is marked with “lower low” arrows. After that, the selling pressure reduced and the price started stabilizing. From the middle of the chart onward, you can see the structure changing. The stock started making higher lows. This is the first sign that the downtrend is ending and accumulation is happening. Later, the price moved above the 20 EMA and started respecting it as support. Each dip near the 20 EMA formed a higher low, which confirms a trend shift from downtrend to uptrend.
Now, focus on the 20 EMA.
In the recent candles, price is staying above the 20 EMA. The candle marked as “elephant bar above 20 EMA” shows strong buying interest. A large green candle closing above the moving average usually indicates strength and momentum returning to the stock. As long as price stays above the 20 EMA on a weekly closing basis, the trend remains positive.
Resistance and breakout view.
There was a clear resistance zone around the 139–140 area. The price has now moved above this level, which is marked as “resistance broken”. When an old resistance is broken, it often turns into support. This breakout improves the probability of further upside.
Volumes analysis.
Volume was relatively low during the sideways and base formation phase. Recently, volume has expanded on the bullish candle, which is marked as “high volumes”. This is important because a breakout with higher volume shows genuine participation and not just a weak bounce. Rising price with rising volume supports the bullish view.
RSI analysis.
RSI is around the 60–65 zone. This indicates strength but not overbought conditions. RSI staying above 50 usually supports an uptrend. Since RSI is rising and comfortably above 50, it confirms positive momentum. There is still room for upside before RSI reaches extreme levels.
Overall trend conclusion.
The structure has shifted from lower lows to higher lows. Price is above the 20 EMA, resistance is broken, volume is supporting the move, and RSI confirms strength. All these signals together indicate a bullish trend on the weekly timeframe.
Entry plan.
A safer entry would be on a small pullback towards the broken resistance zone or near the 20 EMA, around 138–142, if price shows support in this area. Aggressive traders can also enter on a weekly close above the breakout level if the next candle holds above it.
Stop loss placement.
Stop loss should be below the recent higher low or below the 20 EMA on a weekly closing basis. A practical stop loss zone would be around 128–130. This keeps you protected if the breakout fails.
Targets and risk management.
The first target can be near the previous swing resistance around 155–160. If momentum continues, the next positional target can be near 168–170.
Risk only a small portion of your capital on this trade, ideally 1–2 percent. Position size should be calculated based on the distance between entry and stop loss. Do not move the stop loss upward too quickly; let the trade breathe as long as the price respects the 20 EMA.
In simple words, this chart shows a clear trend reversal into an uptrend. Patience, disciplined entry near support, and strict risk management are the key to trading this setup safely.
Sailindia
*SAIL cmp 143.00 by Monthly Chart views**SAIL cmp 143.00 by Monthly Chart views*
- 150 to 160 Resistance Zone Price Band
- Weekly basis Support at 124 > 105 > 83 with Resistance at 160 > 181 > 200
- *Cup and Handle and/or Double Rounding Bottoms as one may read and interpret*
- *Volumes decreasing month on month indicative of the strongly effective retracement from Resistance Zone*
SAIL: Steel Authority of India Ltd - Breakout ViewDate : 8-Jul-2024
Rating : Buy - Positional View
LTP : Rs. 155.61 (on 5-Jul-2024)
Targets: (1) Rs. 175 --> (2) Rs. 188 --> (3) Rs. 210
SL : Rs. 140 on daily close basis
Technical View:
• NSE:SAIL is in it's primary uptrend and was recently going through it's secondary downtrend.
• After touching the high of 175.35 on 22-May-2024, it has retraced 29% to 124.80 level.
• On 5-Jul-2024, NSE:SAIL has broke out from its secondary down trend with higher than average volume.
• NSE:SAIL is trading above 20 DMA, 50 DMA and 21 DEMA.
• RSI is trading at 54.16 and MACD is about give cross over.
• Looking strong to start a new swing from here.
Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI registered analyst/consultant and not recommending anyone to take any BUY or SELL position in stock market. Investing in stock market is risky and one should do a self analysis and validation before investing in stock market. Ideas are published for learning purpose only.
Bullish Opportunity: SAIL Channel Breakout Above 160Details:
Asset: Steel Authority of India Limited (SAIL)
Pattern: Channel breakout
Breakout Level: Sustaining above 160
Potential Targets: Projection based on channel width or next significant resistance levels
Stop Loss: Below breakout level or as per risk tolerance
Timeframe: Medium to long-term
Rationale: Steel Authority of India Limited (SAIL) has experienced a channel breakout, indicating a potential shift in sentiment. The stock has shown strength by sustaining above the key level of 160. This breakout suggests the possibility of a significant bullish move in the near future.
Accumulation Opportunity: The current scenario may present an opportunity for investors to accumulate SAIL shares at advantageous levels, considering the potential for further upside.
Possibilities:
Bullish Momentum: Sustaining above 160 could attract further buying interest, potentially fueling a bullish momentum.
Projection Targets: Traders often project potential upside targets by measuring the width of the channel and extrapolating it from the breakout point. This provides an estimation of the potential target levels.
Confirmation: Confirmation of the breakout with sustained trading volume would enhance the validity of the bullish scenario.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Depends on individual risk appetite and stop-loss placement.
As with any investment decision, it's important to conduct thorough analysis and consider risk management strategies before accumulating the stock.
SAIL Analysis !!📈 SAIL 📉
Today broke out from a Resistance Zone after testing two times and also broke out from a downtrending Trendline Zone on closing basis.
On Buy Side I am looking for Targets of 114, 129 followed 143.
StopLoss should be kept at 93.
It offers 1:4 Risk To Reward.
All Important Supports and Resistances are drawn in chart. All levels are on closing basis.
Please have a look and revert back if you need some more study on it.
Disclaimer : Consult Your Financial Advisor Before Taking Any Decision On This Analysis.







