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FED dovish, Gold stays bullish; SELL only for scalps⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD 1. Market Wave 🌍 The probability of a FED rate cut in September surged to 96.6% (vs 90.4% earlier) after the JOLTS report showed weakening job prospects. Several FED officials, from Kashkari to Bostic, shifted dovish. Only Musallim maintained a hawkish stance with a scenario of just one cut. 👉 Result: Capital flows returned to Gold as the No.1 safe haven, pushing prices strongly higher overnight. 📌 Key data today (04/09 – US time): ADP Nonfarm (7:15) Jobless Claims (7:30) ISM Services PMI (9:00) ➡️ This trio of data will be crucial catalysts for GOLD volatility. 2. Technical Analysis ⚙️ On M30/H1, Gold continues to form bullish BOS, keeping the main trend upward. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3,477 – 3,479): Old Order Block, strong support if price pulls back. Quick Boarding 🚤 (Sell Scalp 3,561 – 3,563): Only for short-term scalps. Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3,573 – 3,575): Aligned with Fibo 0.618–0.786, strong resistance with potential selling pressure. Captain’s Shield 🛡️ (Support): 3,526 – 3,515 – 3,508 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙 🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY – Priority) Entry: 3,477 – 3,479 SL: 3,470 TP: 3,480 → 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,491 → 349x → 35xx 🚤 Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short Ride) Entry: 3,561 – 3,563 SL: 3,569 TP: 3,558 → 3,555 → 3,552 → 354x 🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – Strong Resistance) Entry: 3,573 – 3,575 SL: 3,581 TP: 3,570 → 3,565 → 3,560 → 3,555 → 35xx 4. Captain’s Note ⚓ "The golden sail is filled with wind as the FED turns dovish. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3477) remains the safe haven to align with the bullish trend. SELLs are just Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps at Storm Breaker 🌊 , not long voyages."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Captain Vincent | Gold holds 3400, breakout or pullback next?” FED turns dovish, Gold challenges a new Storm Breaker 1. News Wave 🌍 FED – Waller: “Tariffs are a kind of tax and do not increase inflation. I’m back with the ‘transitory team’ on inflation.” 👉 A clear dovish hint supporting a 25bps rate cut in September, with potential for 1–2 more cuts in the next 3–6 months. US Senate: Hearing scheduled on Sept 4th for FED nominee S. Miran → Political–monetary spotlight. Tonight: Market awaits PCE data, FED’s preferred inflation measure. ➡️ Summary: FED leaning dovish = mid-term bullish for Gold. But short-term, Gold faces profit-taking pressure near resistance. 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ On H1, Gold has repeatedly formed bullish BOS and crossed above 3,400. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3375 – 3373): Large volume accumulation, aligned with FVG → Attractive entry if price pulls back. Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3432 – 343x): At old ATH zone, high probability of supply pressure if tested. Key Levels: 3,375 → Critical support “anchor”. 3,438 → Resistance target if bullish momentum continues. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙 🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY Zone – Priority) Entry: 3375 – 3373 SL: 3365 TP: 3378 → 3381 → 3384 → 3387 → 33xx 🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Zone – Old ATH Reaction) Entry: 3432 – 343x SL: 3442 TP: 3428 → 3425 → 3423 → 3420 → 33xx 4. Captain’s Note ⚓ "The Gold ship has sailed past 3400, but Storm Breaker 🌊 at 343x remains a tough challenge. If corrective waves appear, patiently wait at Golden Harbor 🏝️ to board for a more bullish September journey."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold Plan (28/08) – Ahead of 3,400: Breakout or Correction to ??XAU/USD – Gold hits Storm Breaker 3400: Accumulation before breaking ATH? 1. Market Wave 🌍 Throughout last week, Gold continuously formed BOS (Break of Structure) , confirming that buyers remain in control. Currently, price is consolidating around 3,394 – 3,400, right at the Storm Breaker 🌊 , the crucial barrier before heading towards the old ATH at 3,424. The key question: Will Gold accumulate here and smash through ATH, or will it need a pullback to safe harbors before a strong rally in September? 2. Technical Analysis ⚙️ Storm Breaker 🌊 (Strong Resistance): 3400 – 3424 (old ATH). The gateway Gold must conquer to open a new bullish leg. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Key Support): 3375 – 3355 – 3330. Confluence with FVG + Fibonacci 0.5/0.618 , likely to attract liquidity if price corrects. Short-term scenario: Price may pull back to Golden Harbor before breaking higher. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙 🔺 Quick Boarding 🚤 (BUY Scalp – Rebound Priority) Entry: 3353 – 3355 SL: 3349 TP: 3356 → 3359 → 3361 → 33xx 🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction – Old ATH) Entry: 3422 – 3424 (if tested) SL: 3430 TP: 3419 → 3415 → 3410 → 3405 → 33xx 4. Captain’s Note ⚓ "The Gold ship is now pressing against Storm Breaker 🌊 3400 – 3424 . If it breaks through, the vast ocean opens a new trend. But if the waves push back, patiently wait at Golden Harbor 🏝️ to anchor and catch the September tide."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold Plan 27/08 – Captain Vincent (IN)XAU/USD – Trump strengthens control over the FED, Gold consolidates near Storm Breaker 1. News Wave 🌍 Trump: “We will soon have majority control at the FED. Miran may be moved to another position with a longer term.” Trump: “I already have a candidate in mind to replace FED Governor L. Cook.” US Senate: Preparing hearings next week for Trump’s nominee – S. Miran . 👉 Message: Trump is consolidating power within the FED. Market fears FED losing independence → USD volatility rises, Gold benefits from safe-haven flows . 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ Gold is approaching Storm Breaker 🌊 (3400 – 3402) , overlapping with resistance 3392 – 3406 → profit-taking likely . On H1, multiple FVGs remain unfilled around 3355 & 3330 → Price may correct to retest these supports before choosing direction. Intraday bias: Range-bound → Sell at resistance, short Buy at supports. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙 Resistance (Kháng cự): 3406 – 3400 – 3392 (Storm Breaker 🌊) Support (Hỗ trợ): 3372 (Minor Shield 🛡️) 3355 (Quick Boarding 🚤 – Buy Scalp Zone) 3344 (Intermediate Shield 🛡️) 3330 (Golden Harbor 🏝️ – Main Buy Zone) 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (Priority) Entry: 3400 – 3402 SL: 3408 TP: 3395 → 3393 → 3389 → 3386 → 33xx 🚤 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding Entry: 3353 – 3355 SL: 3345 TP: 3358 → 3361 → 3363 → 33xx 🏝️ BUY at Golden Harbor (Strong Support) Entry: 3330 – 3332 SL: 3325 TP: 3335 → 3338 → 3341 → 33xx 5. Captain’s Note ⚓ "Gold today faces Storm Breaker 🌊 above, but multiple shields of support remain below. Smart traders will scalp quickly at Quick Boarding 🚤, or patiently wait for Golden Harbor 🏝️ to anchor safely."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold Plan 26/08 – Captain VincentXAU/USD – Trump’s surprise move sparks a Gold rally. What’s the next scenario? 1. News Wave 🌍 Trump unexpectedly dismissed FED Governor L. Cook , citing “irresponsible recent financial decisions.” 👉 A political–monetary shock that pushed Gold up by more than 30 points from the 3,350 – 3,352 zone, as investors feared internal instability at the FED could weaken the USD. Safe-haven demand has been activated, but Gold is unlikely to “fly in a straight line.” The market often requires a pullback to fill liquidity gaps before a clear trend develops. 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ Price bounced sharply from Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3350 – 3342) – a key support area. Currently, Gold is testing Storm Breaker 🌊 (Resistance 3384 – 3400) , a liquidity cluster → potential for profit-taking sell orders. On H1, multiple FVGs formed around 3363 and 3355 → price may retrace to “fill the gap” before continuing. 👉 Intraday bias: Prioritise Sell at resistance, but watch for short Buy Scalp setups at Quick Boarding 🚤 (3342 – 3340) . 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙 Storm Breaker 🌊 (Main Resistance): 3384 – 3400 Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp): 3342 – 3340 | SL 3333 | TP: 3345 → 3347 → 3350 → 33xx Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone): 3350 – 3342 FVG Zones: Around 3363 & 3355 (short-term price magnets) 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (Priority) Entry: 3400 – 3402 SL: 3408 TP: 3395 → 3390 → 33xx 🔺 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 Entry: 3342 – 3340 SL: 3333 TP: 3345 → 3347 → 3350 → 33xx 5. Captain’s Note ⚓ "Trump’s news wave pushed Gold like an unexpected headwind. But Storm Breaker 🌊 ahead may unleash rough seas. The wise will anchor at Golden Harbor 🏝️ , while the bold may ride Quick Boarding 🚤 for fast scalps. And remember: today’s golden sea depends on the sharks at the helm."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Gold preparing for correction under FED & geopolitic - Vincent🟡 Gold Plan 25/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓ 1. Market Context 🌍 Russia – Ukraine: Trump puts pressure on Putin to negotiate within 2 weeks. This looks positive for peace, but also carries escalation risks → Gold keeps its safe-haven role . FED – Powell at Jackson Hole: Hawkish tone reduced expectations of a September rate cut from 3 to 2. USD strengthened → short-term downside pressure on Gold . 👉 Mix of political support vs FED pressure → Sideways market, Gold may need a pullback to absorb liquidity before showing clear direction. 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ H4 candle closed bearish → Buying momentum weakens , sellers may return. Recent FVG created after sharp bounce → Likely pullback for liquidity grab . Bias of the day: Prioritise Sell, but short Buy Scalp setups possible at support. 3. Key Levels – Captain Vincent’s Map 🪙 Resistance: Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3398 – 3400) 3376 (intermediate resistance – watch reaction) Support: Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp 3340 – 3342) SL: 3333 TP: 3345 → 3349 → 3353 → 3357 → 33xx Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3328 – 3326) SL: 3318 TP: 3332 → 3336 → 3339 → 33xx Higher Low – 3323 Anchor point of the trend → If broken, need to reassess all Buy setups. 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔻 Sell at Storm Breaker 🌊 Entry: 3398 – 3400 SL: 3408 TP: 3395 → 3390 → 3387 → 3384 → 33xx 🚤 Buy Scalp at Quick Boarding Entry: 3340 – 3342 SL: 3333 TP: 3345 → 3349 → 3353 → 3357 → 33xx 🏝️ Buy at Golden Harbor (3328 – 3326) SL: 3318 TP: 3332 → 3336 → 3339 → 33xx 5. Captain’s Note ⚓ "Today, the golden sea is full of undercurrents: FED winds blow against, politics push along. Those who pick Storm Breaker 🌊 may ride the wave safely; those who patiently wait at Golden Harbor 🏝️ will find peace. Quick Boarding 🚤 is for sailors seeking fast scalps in narrow waters."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold Plan 18/08 – Captain VincentBackground For the past two days, Gold has repeatedly tested the 3332 – 3334 zone and slipped down to 3323, showing that buyers at this level are losing strength. The broader trend still leans bullish, but the market is heavily influenced by geopolitics and news events: 📰 US–Russia preparing for a new round of Ukraine talks (15 Aug, Alaska). 🌐 Trump’s tariff stance remains unclear, adding volatility to Gold. 💵 Fed is likely to cut 25bps in September, keeping Gold in “defensive but ready to break out” mode. ➡ With this backdrop, today’s plan requires flexibility: Buy with trend, Sell scalp at key resistances. 1. Buy Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 Entry: 3324 – 3326 SL: 3320 TP: 3328 → 3332 → 3336 → 33xx Note: Only suitable for quick scalps, avoid holding longer. 2. Main Buy Zone – Safe Harbor ⚓ Entry: 3313 – 3311 SL: 3304 TP: 3314 → 3319 → 3325 → 3330 Meaning: This is the main launchpad for buyers if price corrects deeper. 3. Sell Scalp Zone – Storm Breaker 🌊 Entry: 3366 – 3377 SL: 3383 TP: 3362 → 3355 → 33xx Meaning: Short-term resistance, ideal for quick reaction sells. 4. Main Sell Zone – Watchtower ⛩ Entry: 3396 – 3394 SL: 3402 TP: 3390 → 3385 → 3380 → 33xx Meaning: Strong resistance zone, highly likely to trigger a bearish reaction. If broken, Gold may extend further into 34xx. Today’s Scenarios If price dips to 3324 – 3326 → Quick Buy Scalp. If price drops deeper → Prefer to Buy at Safe Harbor (3313 – 3311). If price rises to 3366 – 3377 → Short-term Sell Scalp. If price tests 3396 – 3394 → Stronger Sell, this is the main resistance. Captain’s Note: "The Gold ship still sails North ⚓ today, but each time it hits Storm Breaker 🌊 or Watchtower ⛩, the sails will drop for a quick strike before retreating. Waves from Trump–Putin headlines and the Fed’s next move may stir up rough seas. Remember, mates: better to miss one trade than let the waves sink the ship." 🏴‍☠️
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold Plan 14/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 14/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓ Background Yesterday, Gold touched the Sell Scalp zone and cruised smoothly for 220 pips 🎯. However, it failed to break the previous Buy Zone and is now maintaining a bullish structure on the H1 chart, with higher lows forming. Today, the market may move slower as traders await the US PPI data , so each entry point must be taken with caution. Zone 1 – Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Main Buy Zone – SMC Demand) Entry: 3,334 – 3,332 SL: 3,327 TP: 3,338 → 3,342 → 3,346 → 33xx Note: This is the main buy zone, aligned with the SMC Demand Zone. Enter only if there’s a clear reversal signal (Pin Bar / Engulfing) on M15/H1. Zone 2 – Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone – SMC Supply) Entry: 3,398 – 3,400 SL: 3,407 TP: 3,394 → 3,390 → 3,386 → 33xx Note: Strong sell zone. Watch price reaction before entry. Prefer partial profit-taking along the way. Today’s Scenarios If price tests Golden Harbor → Wait for pin bar or engulfing, then Buy in line with the uptrend. If price approaches Storm Breaker → Look for short-term sell setups on reversal signals. If price stays in the mid-range → Stay on the shore, save energy for the golden moment. Captain’s Note: "Today, the golden sea still rides the bullish tide, but the PPI winds may shift without warning. Keep the helm steady, and anchor only at safe harbors." 🏴‍☠️📈
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold Plan 13/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 13/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓ News Background 📊 Gold is holding steady near $3,350/oz after the US July CPI release. Headline CPI : 2.7% (below forecast of 2.8%) 📉 Core CPI: 3.1% (up from 2.9%) 📈 ➡ This cools down inflation fears from tariffs and increases the probability of a 25 bps Fed rate cut in September , which is bullish for Gold. Key factors to watch: 💼 Market awaiting more data: PPI, jobless claims, retail sales. 🔍 Tariff drama: Trump says no tariffs, but US Customs just listed 1kg & 100oz gold bars under taxable imports. 🌐 US extends the trade truce with China for another 90 days. 🕊 US–Russia talks on Ukraine scheduled for 15 Aug in Alaska. News conclusion: Lower-than-expected CPI + higher Fed cut chances = Gold remains positive. But tariff and geopolitical risks must be tracked closely. Yesterday’s Action (12/08) Gold tapped the Buy Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 zone and bounced ~290 pips . However, it failed to break decisively above the zone and moved sideways around support. Technical Plan – 13/08 1. Sell Scalp – Quick Boarding Reverse ⚓ Entry: 3,374 – 3,376 SL: 3,382 TP: 3,368 → 3,362 → 3,355 → 3,3xx Reason: Short-term resistance, suitable for quick sell scalps when price retests higher. 2. Sell Zone – Storm Breaker 🌊 Entry: 3,405 – 3,406 SL: 3,411 TP: 3,395 → 3,385 → 3,375 → 3,365 Reason: Major resistance zone aligned with previous highs and trend channel. Scenarios: Price likely to rise from current sideways range to test either Sell Scalp or Storm Breaker. Priority: Sell if reversal signals (pin bar, engulfing) appear on M15/H1 at these zones. If price breaks above Storm Breaker and holds above 3,411 → cancel sell plan, wait for new structure. Captain’s Note: "The CPI wave has anchored the Gold ship near 3,350. Today, the crew is ready to set sail towards Sell Scalp and Storm Breaker, waiting for the winds to shift for a profitable turn." ⚓🌊
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold Plan 12/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 12/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓ Background: After sliding from the Storm Breaker 🌊, Gold has broken below the 3358 zone and successfully retested it. The ship is now heading straight towards the Buy Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 dock. Today’s Plan: Only buy when price reaches the pre-defined support zones — no chasing in open waters. Zone 1 – Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp) Entry: 3,333 – 3,331 SL: 3,327 TP: 3,336 → 3,339 → 3,342 → 3,345 → 3,348 → 33xx Note: Fast in & out. Take partial profits at each TP hit. Zone 2 – Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Main Buy Zone) Entry: 3,311 – 3,309 SL: 3,305 TP: 3,315 → 3,319 → 3,323 → 3,327 → 3,331 → 33xx Note: Main accumulation zone. Hold longer if buying momentum stays strong. Today’s Scenarios: If price hits Quick Boarding → Wait for a reversal signal (pin bar, engulfing) on M15/H1 before entering. If price dips to Golden Harbor → Observe the bounce strength; enter only on clear confirmation. If neither zone is touched → Stay on the shore; wait for the next voyage. Captain’s Note: “The Gold ship has left the 3358 waters, turning its bow towards Quick Boarding 🚤. If docking is smooth, the crew will sail out swiftly to the open seas. Golden Harbor 🏝️ remains the main refuge if stronger waves push deeper.”
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
2
Tata Consumer Product-Probable 4% moveTata Consumer would have been an excellent pick for a swing but with Nations preparing for a probable Nuclear strike I wouldn't suggest going long at the moment. This script looks excellent for a quick scalp. The first hour might see a correction but once the script starts moving, it's likely to gain a good upward momentum. Remember - the first hour is crucial. If the stocks falls and breaks the previous days low, it will likely not have an upward momentum. PS: I haven't been posting much of late due the Russia-Ukraine war that has made it impossible to read and predict a good trend. You will likely be hitting more stop-losses than upper targets. I have switched to Intraday trades and I trade the same stock the next day if I see a continuation of an uptrend or downtrend. I have temporarily stopped carrying my positions. Protecting my capital is far more important than unnecessary and unwanted headaches. So please trade safe until this crisis is over. ====== Remember, if the overall market dips, most stocks will also go skinny dipping. Happy Trading!
NSE:TATACONSUM
by sandeepbalachandran
what type of trader🕵️‍♀️ are you ?✨SCALPING TRADER :> The main advantage of scalping is the ability to gain profit from small price changes within the shortest time frame possible, which is often amplified by a larger position size. This is an intra-day type of trading which means that positions are closed before the end of the trading day or session ✨DAY TRADER :> A day trader buys and subsequently sells financial instruments within the same trading day, which means all the positions that he creates are closed on the same trading day. Due to the short-term nature of day trading, there is less risk involved in it as there’s no risk of something happening overnight to cause a big loss. ✨SWING TRADER :> Swing Trading is a strategy that focuses on taking smaller gains in short term trends and cutting losses quicker. The gains might be smaller, but done consistently over time they can compound into excellent annual returns. Swing Trading positions are usually held a few days to a couple of weeks, but can be held longer. disclaimer - personal view
Education
by sankhyainvestments
18
NIFTY TRADE SETUP FOR MONDAYNIFTY TRADE SETUP FOR MONDAY Although nifty recovery around 250 points from the low in a single trading day but the market is still bearish. if market opens above 11080 and sustain then we can initiate long for day trading. But in that scenario, I prefer to sell the put options with 11040 stop loss. . the market can be range-bound between 11110- 11180. once the market cross 11180 then we can see 11230, 11250. on the other hand, if the market opens negative and sustains below 11020 we will initiate short. for the target 10960,10902. This is not a trade call. all views are for educational and discussion purpose only.
NSE:NIFTY
by ASHWINIKUMAR2101