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GOLD: The Bigger Picture is Finally Getting Clearer !Gold finally showed some clarity after weeks of structure, and now the bigger picture is lining up perfectly across the daily and multi-year weekly charts. The rejection from the 4250–4350 zone triggered the first meaningful retracement after a parabolic rally, and price is now hovering right above the 4030–4060 daily support the only level holding back a much deeper corrective cycle. This entire region is critical because it marks the last breakout base, the liquidity origin, and the midpoint of the 3600-4300 vertical leg. As long as this shelf holds, gold will continue to move in a compressed range, but once a clean daily close breaks below it, the market naturally opens up a fast move toward the 3500–3550 target zone. All confluences measured move, channel midline, point to this same cluster, making it a high-confidence retracement level inside a long-term bullish trend.
On the upside, the structure is very clean. Only a sustained breakout above 4300–4350 invalidates the entire correction and flips the bias back to full-bull mode, where gold can easily run toward 4600–4800 as the next discovery leg. Anything below that zone still falls under the extended correction category, not a bullish continuation. This is why the invalidation level is drawn exactly where it is to protect from guessing the reversal too early.
On the weekly chart, gold has slipped back inside the multi-year ascending channel after briefly wicking above it. That wick was nothing but a classic blow-off extension followed by a reversion to mean. Now price is sitting comfortably inside the same long-term structure . The upper red band remains the multi-year resistance, the green midline is the structural backbone of the trend, and the purple lower band is the deep cycle accumulation zone. As long as gold stays inside this channel, the macro remains strongly bullish and corrections within this structure are normal and healthy. The mid-channel region around 3500 also aligns perfectly with the expected daily correction, which adds even more confirmation that this retracement is simply part of the long-term trend and not a trend reversal.
Commodity index on both daily and weekly frames is cooling off from extreme levels, which supports a deeper pullback rather than an immediate rally. No new bullish divergence has appeared yet, meaning momentum still favors a downside sweep before any major upside continuation. Combine that with the lack of fresh macro drivers and a stabilization in rate-cut expectations, this cooling phase was overdue.
In simple below daily support, gold continues the correction toward 3500-3650 above 4350, the correction thesis dies and the bull trend resumes aggressively. Until then, this is a textbook retracement inside a long-term uptrend nothing broken, nothing unexpected, just a parabolic market taking a breath. Trade safe !
#NaturalGas ($NG) Weekly Update — Testing Critical Resistance!CMP: $4.092
💥 Up +38% from mentioned support ( $3.013–$2.956 ) and +46% from lows in a month . 🚀
The falling wedge breakout played out strongly, and price is now testing the critical resistance of the falling yellow trendline near the previous swing high $4.067 .
A weekly close above this trendline will confirm a major breakout , potentially triggering the next leg higher.
📊 Key Levels:
🛡 Supports: $4.067 / $3.013–$2.956 / $2.692–$2.643
🚧 Resistances / Targets: $5.125–$5.630 / $9.35–$10.00
Structure now forming a larger Symmetrical Triangle between rising and falling yellow trendlines — watch for breakout confirmation .
⚠️ Possible short-term pause/retest before continuation.
#NaturalGas #NG #Commodities #FallingWedge #RisingChannel #SymmetricalTriangle #ChartPattern #PriceAction
📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
TIINDIA Price Action structure with fundamental analysisFundamental analysis of Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA) focuses on several core aspects:
TIINDIA is a leading player in the engineering sector, specifically known for automotive components, bicycles, and metal-formed products, with diversified interests in financial services and defense. The company has shown consistent revenue and profit growth over recent years, driven by strong operating efficiency, robust product demand, and expansion into new business segments.
The balance sheet demonstrates healthy capital structure: low debt-to-equity ratio, strong reserves, and active capex deployment for modernization and growth projects. High return on equity, stable asset turnover, and rising EBITDA margins reflect management’s focus on profitable growth and cost discipline.
Recent trends include:
- Diversification into electric vehicle ancillary and defense manufacturing.
- Strategic acquisitions and partnerships to boost scale and technology.
- Consistent dividend payouts supported by cash flow generation.
- Sensitivity to raw material costs (steel, metals), which can impact margins during volatile periods.
- Strong position within Indian automotive and infrastructure cycles, supported by government push for manufacturing and exports.
Overall, TIINDIA’s fundamentals point to resilience, sector leadership, and capacity for long-term growth, though cyclical risks and commodity price movements should be monitored. The management’s focus on product innovation, financial prudence, and operational expansion continues to support positive outlook for investors.
Gold Trading Strategy for 29th October 2025 (IST)🪙 TVC:GOLD Intraday Trading Plan
📈 Buy Setup:
🔹 Entry: Above the high of 15-min candle (Close > $3990)
🎯 Targets: $4000, $4015, $4030
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $3975 (or below candle low for confirmation)
📉 Sell Setup:
🔹 Entry: Below the low of 15-min candle (Close < $3915)
🎯 Targets: $3903, $3889, $3870
🛑 Stop Loss: Above $3930 (or above candle high for confirmation)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Trading in gold or any commodity involves substantial risk. This plan is for educational and informational purposes only — not financial advice. Always assess your own risk before entering any position. 📊
HINDCOPPER: High-Tight FlagHINDCOPPER is demonstrating a classic High-Tight Flag pattern. This is one of the most powerful continuation patterns, typically seen in strong market leaders.
"High": A massive, powerful rally (the pole) from the August lows to the recent peak near ₹360, confirming extreme demand.
"Tight Flag": A period of tight, low-volatility consolidation immediately following the rally. This formation is taking the shape of a symmetrical triangle/pennant, which shows demand and supply are in a temporary, very tight balance.
This flag is coiling right below the "Weak High" at ₹360, absorbing any remaining supply before the next leg up.
Key Technical Confirmation
Trading Above All MAs: As you noted, the stock is trading clearly above all key moving averages, which are stacked in bullish order. This confirms the strong, established uptrend.
Superior Relative Strength: The Relative Strength line (bottom panel) is highly positive and trending upwards. This is the mark of a leading stock that is decisively outperforming the Nifty.
Volume Signature: Volume was huge during the initial rally (the pole) and has decreased significantly during the current flag consolidation, confirming that sellers have stepped back. We expect volume to spike on the breakout.
Sector Tailwinds: The underlying strength and positive momentum in the Metal sector provide strong fundamental support for the technical breakout.
The Trade Plan
Entry Signal: A decisive daily close above the flag's upper trendline (near ₹350). The final, high-conviction signal would be a break above the recent high of ₹360 on significantly higher than average volume.
Stop Loss (Risk Management): Place a clear, objective stop loss below the low of the consolidation pattern, for example, around ₹320. This maintains a favorable risk/reward ratio.
Target Expectation: High-Tight Flags project the pole's move upward. The expectation is for a sustained, powerful move into new All-Time Highs.
Potential Risks & Cautionary Notes
Failure to Break: The primary risk is a failure to break the ₹360 pivot. If the price breaks the lower trendline of the flag (e.g., drops below ₹330), the pattern is invalidated, and it signals a deeper correction.
Commodity Price Reversal: The price of copper is volatile. Any sudden, sharp reversal in global copper prices could immediately create headwinds for the stock.
Profit Taking: Given the steepness of the prior rally (the pole), there is a risk of aggressive profit-taking if the market pulls back. Use a tight stop-loss to manage this volatility.
#Disclaimer: This is for educational and observation purposes only and is not financial advice. Always adhere strictly to your defined stop-loss and manage your risk according to your personal trading plan.
Hindustan Copper Ltd. (HINDCOPPER) Price Analysis **Date:*#### **Current Price and Intraday Movement**
- **Latest Price:** ₹237.98 (+5.09% / +₹11.52)
- **Day’s Range:** ₹225.50 – ₹240.10
- **Open:** ₹227.60
- **Previous Close:** ₹226.46
- **Volume:** 1.63 crore shares (well above average daily volume of 55.89 lakh)
#### **Technical Overview**
- **52-Week Range:** ₹183.82 – ₹381.90
- **50-Day Average:** ₹216.99
- **200-Day Average:** ₹260.58
- **Market Cap:** ₹23,013 crore
- **P/E Ratio:** 57.48
- **EPS:** ₹4.14
#### **Recent Performance and Trends**
- **Short-Term Trend:** The stock surged over 5% today, outperforming its sector and showing strong buying interest .
- **Volume Spike:** Today’s volume is nearly triple the average, indicating heightened trader participation .
- **Technical Position:** The stock is trading above its 50-day moving average but remains below the 200-day average, suggesting a recovery from recent lows but still under medium-term resistance .
- **Support/Resistance:** Immediate resistance is near ₹240–₹249 (upper circuit), with support at ₹225 and ₹216 (50-DMA) .
#### **Fundamental Snapshot**
- **Valuation:** High P/E ratio (57.48) signals expensive valuation relative to earnings .
- **Profitability:** EPS at ₹4.14; profit margins have been under pressure.
- **Industry Position:** Hindustan Copper is India’s primary copper producer, with exposure to global copper price trends and domestic infrastructure demand.
#### **Outlook**
- **Short-Term:** Strong momentum and volume could drive further upside if it breaks above ₹240, but overbought conditions may trigger profit booking near resistance.
- **Medium-Term:** Needs to sustain above the 200-DMA (~₹260) for a confirmed trend reversal.
- **Risks:** High valuation and recent volatility; global commodity price swings can impact earnings.
---
**Summary:**
Hindustan Copper is showing robust short-term momentum with strong volume and price gains, but faces resistance near ₹240–₹249. The stock remains fundamentally expensive, and investors should watch for sustained moves above the 200-DMA for a longer-term bullish signal .
NIFTY 50 Technical LevelsNIFTY 50 Technical Levels:-
Current/Closing Level: Approx. 25,795 - 25,843 (Based on recent closing data).
Immediate Resistance (R1): 25,900 - 26,008 (Crucial breakout zone and upper band of the recent consolidation).
Key Resistance (SQRT-R2 / ATH Target): 26,244 - 26,277 (All-Time High and measured move target).
Immediate Support (SQRT-S1): 25,600 - 25,700 (Recent breakout region and strong demand area/pivot).
Key Support (SQRT-S2): 25,281 (Breakdown below this could signal a deeper correction).
Outlook: The Nifty is positioned for a breakout above 25,900. A "Buy on Dips" strategy near S1 is advisable given the short holding period and overbought conditions in some oscillators (RSI near 70, Stochastic overbought).
Q2 FY25 Earnings Season Impact
Overall Theme: Mixed to Largely In-Line, with K-shaped Recovery continuing.
Strong Performers (Positive Catalysts): Banking & Financial Services (strong loan demand, improved asset quality), Pharma (strong export demand, stabilization of raw material costs), IT (large deal wins, digital focus), and Realty.
Laggards (Negative/Muted Impact): FMCG (muted rural demand, inflation), Energy (margin compression, higher costs), and Infrastructure (slowdown in project announcements).
Investment Implication: Favor stocks in outperforming sectors (Financials, Pharma, IT) that have delivered positive earnings surprises or provided strong guidance for H2 FY25.
FII Flow Patterns & Global Market Sentiment
FII Flow: FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors) have shown a recent turnaround to net buying after a period of selling, which is a significant positive sentiment boost. However, flows can be volatile. DII (Domestic Institutional Investor) support remains consistently strong, providing a robust floor to the market.
Global Sentiment: Cautious. Global growth concerns persist. US interest rates are expected to soften, which traditionally supports emerging markets like India. Global volatility is a key risk factor.
Investment Implication: The return of FII buying, combined with DII strength, supports a positive tactical view for the next 15 days, favoring liquid large-cap stocks that FIIs typically target (e.g., Financials, IT).
Sector Rotation Trends
Outperforming/Improving: Banking & Financial Services (Bank Nifty at All-Time High), IT (improving relative performance), Metals (commodity cycle/trade deal optimism), and Energy/Oil (improving relative momentum).
Underperforming/Lagging: FMCG and Midcap/Smallcap Indices (Midcap 100 in the weakening quadrant, suggesting caution in this segment).
Investment Implication: Focus on the improving and outperforming sectors, particularly Banking, IT, and selective Metals/Energy to capitalize on the current momentum for a short-term trade.
FOR FUTURE INVESTMENT EAGLE EYE ON:-
Hindalco
ITC
NTPC
Sun Pharma. Inds.
HDFC Bank
Kotak Mah. Bank
ICICI Bank
SBI
O N G C
HCL Technologies
Infosys
#CHOLAHLDNGThis weekly chart of Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Ltd (NSE) shows a significant bullish move, with the price closing at 2,012.70 INR, up by 7.83%. Strong support and resistance levels are clearly marked, along with indicators signaling technical strength.
Price and Trend Analysis
The stock surged to 2,012.70 INR after bouncing off the 1,822.3 support area, suggesting robust buying from lower levels.
Immediate resistance lies near 1,934.2 and a major resistance near the prior swing high at 2,230.06 INR.
The positive green candle after a consolidation range implies momentum has turned bullish on the weekly timeframe.
Technical Indicators
CCI (Commodity Channel Index) values are bullish (D: 155.16), supporting continued upward momentum.
The overall technical score (43, with an up arrow and star) indicates bullish bias based on combined weekly, monthly, and daily metrics.
Increasing volume bars on green (up) weeks further confirm buyers' strength at the current level.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support Level Resistance Level
1,822.3 1,934.2
1,524.4 2,204.2, 2,230.06
1,509.6
1,356.4
VEDL Price ActionAs of October 23, 2025, **Vedanta Limited (VEDL)** closed at around **₹483.25**, up approximately **1.6%** from the previous close near ₹475.65. The stock traded within a range of ₹474.65 to ₹484.85 during the day, reflecting sustained buying interest and moderate volatility.
Vedanta's market capitalization is about **₹1.89 trillion**, making it one of the largest diversified natural resources companies in India. Its earnings per share (EPS) stand at roughly **₹37.11**, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around **13.0**, indicating an attractive valuation relative to some peers in the metals and mining sector.
Technically, Vedanta is in a mild uptrend, trading above both the 50-day (₹452.40) and 200-day (₹441.10) moving averages, which represent strong support levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 60, indicating strength without being overbought.
Key support is positioned around ₹475, while resistance may be encountered near ₹490–₹495 levels. Overall, the medium-term outlook is positive, supported by stable commodity prices, cost control measures, and steady operational performance. Traders may look for a breakout above ₹490 to confirm further upside potential, while any dip closer to ₹470–₹475 may be viewed as a buying opportunity.
SILVER1!(DILBER-DILBER)Based on current trading volumes, liquidity, and market activity on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) as of October 2025, the most in-demand commodities are those with the highest trading volumes and consistent price movements. These reflect strong investor interest driven by global factors like economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and seasonal demand. Globally and on MCX, gold and silver in trading activity due to their high liquidity and role as safe-haven or industrial assets.
Gold and Silver: These bullion metals dominate MCX volumes (often 60–70% of total turnover) due to their role in hedging inflation. Recent corrections (down ~10% from peaks) have not dimmed interest.
This is my Diwali Gift for every traders.
TATATECH 1 Week Time Frame 📉 Technical Summary (1-Week Outlook)
Overall Rating: Bearish to Neutral
Moving Averages: The stock is trading below key moving averages, including the 5-day, 10-day, 20-day, and 50-day, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): At 43.13, the RSI suggests a neutral stance, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
MACD: The MACD is at -0.64, which typically signals a bearish trend.
Support Levels: Key support is observed around ₹677.75.
Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance is near ₹699.95.
🔍 Indicator Insights
Stochastic Oscillator: At 13.30, indicating potential for a short-term rebound.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): At -74.09, suggesting neutral momentum.
Average Directional Index (ADX): At 16.41, showing weak trend strength.






















