Kaustubh

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About me http://in.linkedin.com/in/kaustubhshinde/
Joined shindek1
Markets Allocation
64 % stocks 27 % indices 9 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
BANKNIFTY 9% | 2 YESBANK 9% | 2 MARUTI 9% | 2 RELIANCE 4% | 1
Kaustubh Kaustubh DIVISLAB, W, Short ,
DIVISLAB: DIVISLAB Short
50 0 5
DIVISLAB, W Short
DIVISLAB Short

This stock has run up like no tomorrow lately. Was a great run. Hope our community made some money off of it. If not, worry not. Here is your chance! Clear path to ~760, about 100 points down, is visible here. Considering the overall bias that I have ( see the related trades), this one seems to be a very good short candidate. If things pan out, this one will ...

Kaustubh Kaustubh NIFTY, W,
NIFTY: Short India
118 3 5
NIFTY, W
Short India

While the developed markets, lead by the US, have been making highs upon highs, things are not so hunky dory in EMs. See my commentary on global risk in related risk on 12-Sep-17 in related ideas below. It worked out rather well. The Indian stock market has been under performing global one for some time now. It was not too bad as long as the Nifty 0.09% was ...

Kaustubh Kaustubh VEDL, D, Long ,
VEDL: VEDL Buy
49 0 4
VEDL, D Long
VEDL Buy

Global commodity market, especially the metals, is going great guns. That rally has reflected in Indian commodity stocks too. After a brief correction from overbought zone and a bounce from 20 day MA, Vedanta looks set to continue the rally. Immediate target 335

Kaustubh Kaustubh IDEA, D, Long ,
IDEA: IDEA Long
31 0 0
IDEA, D Long
IDEA Long

Price action should find some support a the current levels. It's oversold and at previous support level. Also the news today should be very much positive for the company. I with 77.5 call at 3.4. Expect spot to reach 85 in next couple of weeks. That is almost 10% upside on the spot.

Kaustubh Kaustubh SPX, D, Long ,
SPX: Global risk (equity) markets
21 0 0
SPX, D Long
Global risk (equity) markets

After the fox paus of North Korea, and despite the best efforts of US admin to fuck things up, normalcy is restored. Normalcy by definition is abnormal though these days. So be on your tows. Over next few days, week or two, it's the most bullish of bull market all around! Medium to long term is unknown. But it's great time to make some money in short term. For ...

Kaustubh Kaustubh HDFCBANK, D, Long ,
HDFCBANK: HDFCBANK
67 0 1
HDFCBANK, D Long
HDFCBANK

HDFCBANK has been a very strong trend. Coupled with low vol! So when a stock like that makes a break out, we better notice. 1860 from this level is pretty much risk free and 1950 is a very reasonable target.

Kaustubh Kaustubh MARUTI, D, Long ,
MARUTI: MARUTI Buy
60 0 2
MARUTI, D Long
MARUTI Buy

MARUTI has been in a very strong up trend throughout the year. After consolidation this stock usually has a rapid surge up. The period of consolidation seems to be over in fact the only thing blocking this move so far was the expiry yesterday in my opinion. Anyways, If the patter holds, this thing could move to 8200 relatively fast. I would probably wit for it to ...

Kaustubh Kaustubh YESBANK, D, Long ,
YESBANK: YESNABK Buy
36 0 2
YESBANK, D Long
YESNABK Buy

Looks like the consolidation at the 38.2 retracement level is about complete and the scrip is ready to take a shot at the previous high. 1850 should be a good short term target

Kaustubh Kaustubh MARUTI, 60, Long ,
MARUTI: MARUTI Long
53 0 2
MARUTI, 60 Long
MARUTI Long

Similar set up to banknifty set up in related ideas below. From 7600 to about 7730 bounce back expected in short term.

Kaustubh Kaustubh BANKNIFTY, 60, Long ,
BANKNIFTY: BANKNIFTY long
74 0 1
BANKNIFTY, 60 Long
BANKNIFTY long

This is strictly short term. The price action is oversold as seen in hourly RSI and the price is touching 200 MA at the moment. It's reasonable to expect a bounce back to 24500 levels in next session or two. But once again, this is very short term.

Kaustubh Kaustubh RELIANCE, D, Short ,
RELIANCE: RELIANCE Short
83 1 5
RELIANCE, D Short
RELIANCE Short

Reliance has been a true star that practically carried Nifty for some time. Now it's time for a breather. The rally looks tired. Notice the indecisive price action at 1600 level (encircled). Also there is divergence in the stochastics as seen in CCI. Should be a low risk trade to go short with a stop above 1620 and target of 1505 (just before 1500 to be safe)

Kaustubh Kaustubh BANKNIFTY, W,
BANKNIFTY: BANKNIFTY at crucial resistance
83 0 1
BANKNIFTY, W
BANKNIFTY at crucial resistance

BANKNIFTY has been a great star over past few weeks. While the trend looks like it is going to continue forever, the price is at significant resistance channel at the moment. This is probably a good time to book profits on the index FNO trades. Today being expiry means basically not rolling over positions. This is not an outright sell yet except may be some high ...

Kaustubh Kaustubh YESBANK, D, Long ,
YESBANK: YESBANK Long
69 3 1
YESBANK, D Long
YESBANK Long

Very nice breakout on YESBANK. It has been a beautiful uptrend and has completed consolidation. This should be a start of next leg up.

Kaustubh Kaustubh PNB, 240, Short ,
PNB: PNB short
41 0 2
PNB, 240 Short
PNB short

Pull back trade

Kaustubh Kaustubh NTPC, D, Short ,
NTPC: NTPC Short
41 0 3
NTPC, D Short
NTPC Short

I drew this triangle a few days ago and the price actions has been obediently following the pattern. The price should eventually break on the downside if all goes well. 156 at least is very good short term target even if the triangle bottom is not taken out. This is a continuation pattern so a good probability of downtrend continuation. COALINDIA is similar stock.

Kaustubh Kaustubh DXY, D,
DXY: DXY TNX spread
21 0 4
DXY, D
DXY TNX spread

The USD would ususally move according to the USD strength i.e. DXY. Lately, it hasn't been the case. There could be multiple theories around it..from fundamental to political to technical. I am wondering what gives! One plausible explanation is may be the Fed policy has gone beyond what's needed. But then again, it's pretty much set in stone now! Is it a ...

Kaustubh Kaustubh JPASSOCIAT, W, Long ,
JPASSOCIAT: JPASSOCIAT buy
113 0 5
JPASSOCIAT, W Long
JPASSOCIAT buy

JPASSOCIAT has been doing terrific lately. From the looks of it, it is just getting started! This stock has been in a sustained downtrend followed by a long consolidation. It is finally looking to break out on the upside by a big margin. The short term target is 24 at least. Medium term 40. Long 50 at least. We may want to look for a slight correction only because ...

Kaustubh Kaustubh CNXAUTO, D, Short ,
CNXAUTO: CNXAUTO not looking good
27 0 3
CNXAUTO, D Short
CNXAUTO not looking good

Auto sector in India has been a stellar performer for last few years. Its performance is catching up though. In general the Indian market looks ripe for a correction and in general the hardest bull is usually the hardest bear. CNXAUTO has just broken though the trend channel. Individual stocks in the sector exhibit similar trait. I small bump up would be an ideal ...

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