Good News ! Dow Jones Index Approach 50 K In Next Few Months The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), often referred to as "the Dow," is a prominent stock market index that tracks 30 large, publicly-owned blue-chip companies trading on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the Nasdaq. Established on May 26, 1896, by Charles Dow, co-founder of The Wall Street Journal and Dow Jones & Company, it is one of the oldest and most widely recognized stock market indices globally. ( (en.wikipedia.org))
**Composition and Weighting**
The DJIA comprises 30 companies considered leaders in the U.S. economy, spanning various industries except for transportation and utilities. Unlike market capitalization-weighted indices, the DJIA is price-weighted, meaning each component's influence on the index is proportional to its stock price. This structure implies that higher-priced stocks have a more significant impact on the index's movements. ( (www.spglobal.com))
**Calculation Methodology**
The index is calculated by summing the prices of its 30 component stocks and dividing by the Dow Divisor, a factor adjusted to account for stock splits, spinoffs, and other structural changes. As of November 8, 2024, the Dow Divisor is approximately 0.1627, meaning a $1 change in any component stock's price results in about a 6.15-point movement in the index. ( (en.wikipedia.org))
**Historical Milestones**
- **1896**: The DJIA was introduced, initially comprising 12 industrial companies.
- **1928**: The index expanded to 30 stocks, a composition that has been maintained, though the specific companies have changed over time.
- **November 2024**: Nvidia and Sherwin-Williams joined the DJIA, replacing Intel and Dow Inc., reflecting shifts in the semiconductor and materials sectors. ( (www.barrons.com))
**Recent Performance**
In December 2024, the DJIA closed above 45,000 for the first time, marking a significant milestone in its history. However, as the index's absolute value increases, each 1,000-point milestone represents a smaller percentage gain, prompting analysts to suggest focusing on percentage changes rather than absolute point increases. ( (www.marketwatch.com))
**Investment Methods**
Investors can engage with the DJIA through various financial instruments:
- **Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)**: Funds like the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA) aim to replicate the performance of the DJIA.
- **Mutual Funds**: Certain mutual funds are designed to mirror the index's performance by holding the same stocks in corresponding proportions.
- **Derivatives**: Options and futures contracts based on the DJIA are available for more advanced investment strategies.
**Considerations**
While the DJIA is a widely followed indicator of U.S. stock market performance, it has certain limitations:
- **Price-Weighted Methodology**: This approach means that higher-priced stocks disproportionately influence the index, which may not accurately reflect the overall market capitalization.
- **Limited Components**: With only 30 companies, the DJIA represents a small segment of the broader market, potentially overlooking sectors or companies that are significant in the wider economy.
Despite these considerations, the DJIA remains a key barometer of the U.S. stock market and economic health, offering insights into the performance of major American corporations.
- (www.wsj.com)
- (www.barrons.com)
- (www.marketwatch.com)
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WILL DOW CHANGE ITS UPWARD TREND TODAY !!!COMPARING MY LAST STATEMENTS WITH THE ACTUAL MOVE ON 18-5-20
1. In point no3. of previous post regarding movement of dow I talked about down side movement from monday onwards. In point no.4. I gave the condition of positional short trade if it gets fullfilled only shorts can be initated . But unfourtunately it did not complete my condition of taking short. Therefore, no trade can be executed on short side on monday trading session. As you can see in fig. that dow open gap up exactly on the upper end of red dotted band of zone. I also mentioned If swing high is breached then shorts sentiments will convert into longs. You can see that with such bullish sentiments dow could not breach Z point swing high.
2. Therefore , chances of going down are still present. If on opening gap up from that point then long will prevail. On the other hand if gap down open then one should wait for dow to short breaching dotted red zone lower band.
3. What I feel is dow tested upper swing to give flase bullish impression. That would be confrimed in fist trading hour. Rest market will decide.
YOGESH VATS
DJI Intraday Prediction Levels for 29 Nov 2023DJI Intraday Prediction Levels for 29 Nov 2023
The chart indicates 15 min time frame. These Levels act as Support or Resistance according to price. They are strictly for Intraday Trading only. Execution only after break and close above the Resistance zone or below the Support zone.
Major Resistances- 35495,35555,35610,35640,35703,35780,35860,….
Major Supports-35350,35280,35230,35175,35115,35065,3500,…
These levels act as support and resistance. You have to trade according to level breakout or breakdown. First target is immediate next level. When first target is achieved go for the next one and so on.
If You are a new trader then just watch ( No Trade) these levels for some days.
Happy trading.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI Registered Analyst. Anything posted here is my own analysis and views. This is created for educational purposes only. Always consult your Financial Advisor before taking any decision or trade.
Dow Jones (DJI) | Best point for sell🎯Hello traders, DJI in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
In the wave count that has been done. The main waves 1 and 2 are complete.
As we said in the previous analysis, it is possible that the main wave 3 is not over and we are in the wave 4 of the 3rd wave.
From wave 3, wave 2 was not normal and this wave can be shorter in time and the rest of the waves are part of wave 3.
But for now, this is how we consider it.
From wave 3, microwave 5 forms its ascent and it is probable that it will climb to Fibo 1.618 and then wave 4 will form long and deep.
🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
DJI DOW BOTTOM CONFIRMATIONDOW THEORY RULES:
1. How to Identify Significant bottom(valley)?
We need two parameters
1. Width:- Should be more than 31 days(≈ 4 weeks)
2. Depth:- Should be more than 4%, in the valley we measure Depth by looking from top to the bottom (visualizing as seeing a pool of water from the surface and measuring its depth).
AS PER DOW THEORY, NEW BOTTOM CAN BE CONFIRMED TOMORROW IN DJI IF IT SUSTAINS ABOVE 30K LEVEL, TOP IS AT 34856 UNTIL THAT IS NOT TAKEN OUT DJI IS STILL IN A DOWNTREND. BUT THE BOTTOM CREATION WILL BE A GREAT PLUS POINT FOR THE BULLS TO KEEP A SL. ONLY IF TOMORROW (WEEKLY BASIS) IT CLOSES ABOVE 30K.
DOW HAS STARTED ITS FINAL JOURNEY TO UP DIRECTION SEE HOW!! UPSIDE JOURNEY OF DOW JONES STARTED TODAY
1. DOW MADE UPPER END OF RED CHANNEL IN FIG. FEW DAYS BACK. BUT IT WAS SEARCHING THE LOWER END OF CHANNEL WITH PERFECT ANGLE . TODAY THE LOWER END IS FORMED. LOCAL DISTIBUTION IS GOING ON. VERY SOON JOURNEY FROM CHANNEL END TO WHITE ZONE OR UPPER END OF CHANNEL WILL BE COMPLETED.
2. AS YOU ALL KNOW STOCK MARKET IS GAME OF PROBABILITY SO ITS LANGAUGE IS CONSIST OF CONDITION (IF) THAT YOU SHOULD KEEP IN YOUR MIND. A BLUE COLOR LINE IS GIVEN THAT IS SUPPORT IF BREACHED THEN LONG SENTIMENTS WILL CHANGE TO SHORTS.
3. THE LONG STRUCTURE WILL DISTORT AND CONVERT INTO SHORTS. ONE WHO IS ABLE TO SWITCH ONE'S SENTIMENTS AT RIGHT TIME BECOMES WINNER OF TRADING.
4. THIS WOULD BE THE FINAL UP JOURNEY. AFTER THIS LEG DOW WILL RESUME ITS INTERMIDIATE TREND .
5. LEARNERS SHOULD UNDERSTAND THE FORMATION OF CHANNEL. IT IS ALWAYS NOT ESSENTIAL TO FIND CHANNEL FROM LOWER BAND. SOMETIMES LOWER IS FORMED LATER.
REST MARKET WILL DECIDE.
YOGESH VATS
Dow JonesI have put before you what I perceive to be the DJIA analysis based on EW. Since the DJIA history is far more complex and goes way way back even before we had any sort of exchange in India, I have taken the Liberty of avoiding the minute/minor waves as the Chart would get tooooo Messy.
However, I have marked out the wave counts from 29568, and so far it is playing to the HILT as per EW.
On the Current wave going ON on DJIA. We have completed i/3 and are currently in ii/3 down. This ii/3 can be calculated @ 38.2 to 61.8% of the ENTIRE RISE from 18213 to 36679. If you calculate it, you will get a figure of 29600 @ 38.2% retracement. However I have gone just a Little bit below to show it as a THROW UNDER which it will do to throw out every BULL.
The WORLD is Totally Bearish and BULL MARKETS are created on FEAR ( covid) ( ukrain) etc etc. History shows and Each One of you needs to see this..... whenever Interest rates have Risen, Markets have had a Temporary BLIP downwards, but in the subsequent years have given a CAGR of almost 12% more or less.
To Me, it seems like WORLD MARKETS WILL ALLIGN WITH THE DOW JONES NOW. They are all going to move forward in very similar directions/patterns/trends. Nifty will align with the DJIA as both are in wave ii/3 currently. Once the Divergence on Both comes to some sort of Same Level...... markets are likely to take off.
Nifty Elliott Wave analysis 25-01-2021Om Namah Shivay
Today 25-01-2021, Nifty made wave structure which is depicted in the chart. It looks structure is complete.
The preferred options can be found out when compared with other Nifty Indexes like banknifty .
If we refer to our DJIA analysis, we can see that the structure is near to it's target.
Originally the EW is drawn on 3 min chart.
This is for learning purpose. There is no trading suggestions given in this.
Reference:
DJIA
NIFTY 23rd
Om Namah Shivay