Search in ideas for "Exide"
Will Motherson Wiring (MSUMI) ride with other auto ancillaries?After NiftyAuto n its stocks saw nice momentum, now with good results in Auto proxy Ancillaries sector, stocks are also performing: Balkrishna Ind, Amara raja, Exide, Uno Minda, JBM Auto, Lumax, Rico auto showing good demand.
Now come to MSUMI analysis, why it can give returns?
FA:
-First of all decent growing QoQ, YoY and overall FY24 growth results for the company.
-ROE: 42.4% (highest among top leaders and ROCE: 48%
-Debt to equity : 0.15 (low)
TA:
-DTL BO Anticipation (Down Trend Line Breakout), tested trend line(TL) 6 times.
-HLs
-VCP in action
-Green vol > Red Vol (only concern can be big supply on 17/may but it can taken as final flushing of supplier from TL resistance, if now tested can break easily)
-Shakeouts are there (kicking out weak players)
-Tight closes with low vol
Overall loving the setup if possible will take cheat entry (Cheat : early entry from small base before BO in anticipation of BO)
JUBILANT FOODJubilant food ne daily time frame per Kafi Achcha Breakout Diya Hai Aap Jaisa Ki chaRt Mein dekh Pa rahe hain jubliant food ka bhi Dinon Se Ek down train mein chal raha tha aur usne HAL hi Mein Exide Kafi Achcha Breakout Diya Hai train line ka aur trainline Kohli test Bhi Kiya Hai aap ismein bike ki position banaa sakte hain jismein Chahat Mein Humne bataya hai aapko Aise Lo target kahan per hai aur kaise Rakhna hai
[Positional] Exide Positional OverviewNote -
One of the best forms of Price Action is to not try to predict at all. Instead of that, ACT on the price. So, this chart tells at "where" to act in "what direction. Unless it triggers, like, let's say the candle doesn't break the level which says "Buy if it breaks", You should not buy at all.
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I use shorthands for my trades.
"Positional" - means You can carry these positions and I do not see sharp volatility ahead. (I tally upcoming events and many small kinds of stuff to my own tiny capacity.)
"Intraday" -means You must close this position at any cost by the end of the day.
"Theta" , "Bounce" , "3BB" or "Entropy" - My own systems.
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I won't personally follow any rules. If I "think" (It is never gut feel. It is always some reason.) the trade is wrong, I may take reverse trade. I may carry forward an intraday position. What is meant here - You shouldn't follow me because I may miss updating. You should follow the system I share.
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Like -
Always follow a stop loss.
In the case of Intraday trades, it is mostly the "Day's High".
In the case of Positional trades, it is mostly the previous swings.
I do not use Stop Loss most of the time. But I manage my risk with options as I do most of the trades using derivatives.
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HDFC life - longIn the past all M&A transactions have taken place at a price to embedded value of 3-3.5
embedded value post acquiring exide life insurance is around 32000.
when the market cap dips below 112000 cr start accumulating the company.
embedded value is the present value of all the future estimated profits on the policies currently written while accounting for the future policy payouts it is calculated by actuarians following the rules set up by IRDAI
Swing Opportunity in ExideGo Long above 168.15 for Targets of 174.3, and 180.45 with SL 162
Reasons to go Long :
1. On a daily timeframe if we draw the Fibonacci retracement tool from recent swing low (point A) to recent swing high (point B) then we see stock took support from 0.618 Fibonacci level.
2. A bullish chart pattern, Double Bottom (W pattern) is formed around 0.618 Fibonacci level.
3. Also a bullish candlestick pattern Bullish Harami (marked with orange color) is formed around 0.5 Fibonacci level.
4. There is a trendline (marked with red color), which is providing resistance to the stock so we have placed our final target just below it.