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MCX Crude Oil Elliott Wave Cycles Point More Upside
Price had made extreme low at 795 on 20 Apr '20.
It had started a quick recovery after an inviolable bottom-out. Due to bearish sentiments and no evidence of the verified bottom, It had constructed 2nd wave correction. The second wave retraced 38.2% of wave 1, which indicates a sturdy bull trend is ahead!
The acceleration phase lasted for 246 days and, the Fibonacci extension of wave 3 was 161.8% of the wave.
The public participation increased when the price had broken up the high of the first wave. It has the signal for bulls that crude was likely to make a new high.
After the acceleration phase, the price has corrected the bull phase with a double zigzag. It had retraced 38.2% of wave 3.
This correction was sharp in comparison with 2nd wave.
According to the above chart,
Wave 2 has taken 89 trading sessions to correct wave 1.
Wave 4 has taken 45 trading sessions to correct wave 3.
Wave 4 was a surprising disappointment for the bull traders.
Here, wave 3 is not a power extended because it hadn't moved across wave 1.618% of wave 1.
According to the Elliott wave principle, commodities are more often extending at the 5th wave.
Currently, the price has made a new high of 6428 .
Price has entered the corrective phase.
It is constructing the 4th sub-wave of the impulsive wave ((5)).
There are two possibilities,
1. If the price breaks the parallel channel, we can expect 50% to 61.8% retracement for wave 4.
Be aware of the fake breakout!
Remember, entry is also not possible without an exact reversal signal.
Caution: Wave 4 can never overlap the starting point of wave 1.
2. Price is on the control line of the base channel.
The safe trader can enter the buying position when price breaks the wave B.
Be connected with me to get intraday updates.
Nifty outlook: A corrective pullback or a bull trap?
Nifty has filled the gaps. It has a very active gravitation line where price activities are on the bulk.
According to wave principle, corrective waves form in deceleration and, impulsive waves break the declaration channel.
If nifty breaks the corrective channel, we may see an upward move. Otherwise, the price will continuously form in the corrective channel.
I will update further information.
Angel broking is near to break the 2-month-old resistance level.Price has completed the corrective wave 4.
If the price doesn't break the 3rd wave's high, then the corrective wave will begin. Furthermore, the 4th wave can be extensive (between the range of 1014 - 1475).
The target for Swing Traders:
Target 1: 1525
Target 2: 1632
Target 3: 1764
The target for Day Traders: 1455-1479-1490
Is Bank Nifty forming An Ending Diagonal?Bank Nifty has completed the corrective wave (4) at 31208.
After the climax of wave (4), we have seen an impulse phase with overlapping nature. According to Elliott's wave theory, 5th wave can become an ending diagonal.
I will update the intraday chart of the bank nifty soon.
Stay connected.
Nifty can retest 17169 before hitting the 18000 levelsIntraday & Short-term outlook of Nifty 50:
Nifty has completed motive wave (iii) at 17792 .
Wave (iv) is forming and, it can have a common retracement of 38.2% .
The nifty trader can see the following targets:
Target 1: 17425
Target 2: 17270
Target 3: 17169
According to the rule of corrective wave, it remains under the channel.
And the impulsive wave can breakout the parallel channel.
If nifty breaks the parallel channel, we have to accept the impulse atmosphere.
YES Bank: Price Action Analysis & Trading TipsIs Yes Bank Making A New Low?
The YES Bank stock has started falling for a long period. If it breaks the consolidation area, it will keep collapsing, and we may see 10 - 9.60 levels soon. It's under that range from the last 17 days.
But according to price action analysis, it will try to jump up to make a new LH. It can be nearby the 12.15 - 13.5 range. Safe investors can start selling nearby dynamic LH with the stop loss above the hurdle line.
Further information I will update you soon.
Silver Daily Gann Chart Pointing HigherCurrently, silver has jumped back into the uptrend area. It has also broken the parallel channel in the last trading session. But, the buy is not confirmed yet. The uptrend can be resume if it remains above 0.618 of retracement level and 3/1 & 8/1.
If that happens, then you can buy for the targets of 63900 - 65100 - 65960 - 68454.
What happens if it's fake-out? That's a straightforward scenario on the above chart. MCX silver futures will come under the control of sellers in the downtrend area. It will fall nonstop for the targets of 59960 - 59400 - 58600 - 55765.
Nifty: Short Setup for Wave (iv)Nifty is on the corrective structure.
Wave (x) of the double zigzag is near to complete Wave (Y) has the potential to give a short entry for the following targets :
Target 1:17426
Target 2:17328
Target 3:17260
Further information I will update you soon. Stay connected!
NSE Eicher motors price will drive upward moreIntraday traders and short-term investors can buy nearby sub-wave 4 of wave (3). NSE Eicher motors are making waves ((5)). We may see the following targets soon: 3005 - 3146 - 3223 - 3292
Invalidation: Wave 4 can never Exceed the starting point of wave 1.
Sub-wave 4 can't touch sub-wave 1 of wave (3).
If you have any queries or concerns, don't hesitate to ask me using below comment box or DM me.
AUDUSD Swing-Sell 100 Pips targetReason for selling AUDUSD
Fundamental factors are supporting the USD as the recent inflation figure beats the expectation 4.16% which causes the buying of USD against major pairs.
It has reached lower trendline area.Sell AUDUSD when it reaches around the .618 Fibonacci level and primary target would be 1.272 Fibonacci.
AUDUSD #audusd
Sell limit @ 0.77770
Take profit @ 0.76600
Stop lose @ 0.78200
DNTUSD Slept for almost 2 years-Its time to bounceDNTUSD
the decentralized token has slept for almost 2 years we can see the thin liquidity during these 2 years On 06/01/2018 it has reached all time high.Today DNTUSD has retested the previous high the next upper side target would be 0.65 which is 127.2% Fibonacci stop lose may placed below 0.35
Appreciation of work is equal to donating one DNTUSD :-)
Gold battle between buyers and sellersFor the past two trading weeks gold was trading within confined range and unable to break on either side 1795,1760 was acting as strong barrier.Kindly watch the break out/down for potential buy/sell Upper side target would be 1815 and on downside immediate target would be 1750.
Battle between 54k and 61k who will win? BTCUSD expected movesBitcoin
The battle between 54k and 60k was a recent trend in bitcoin as we can see that the bear unable to break the 54k firmly and the bull was unable to break the 60k
firmly and since March 14 BTCUSD was trading within this range. And waiting for further fundamental support further upside movement. Today its bounced again from
54K level and braked the price arc. Bullish engulfing formation is a another support here.While writing this analysis the price was around 56k and on top side 60k will
act as decent resistance for the bull as its a major key psychological level where both the buyers and sellers will fight to win.Recently the private companies were started
to invest in Bitcoins and in stable coins so BTCUSD will remain in bullish trend
The ichimoku cloud is still in red zone territory and the cloud band was diminishing and it might turn green soon.Buy at current level and the topside target would be 62k
LTCUSD possible upperside breakout was expected in h4 LTCUSD
After reaching around 250.00 LTCUSD has started to falling and reached around 200.00 which is a major psychological level and this level
also coincides with .618 Fibonacci which will act as dynamic support and resistance for both bull and bear.In Elliot wave principal we can see
Wave D was already completed and the Wave E is underway. We can expect another round of Elliot impulse wave after the completion of Wave E'
Irregular triangle pattern was forming since the end of January.Upper side breakout will be a possible outcome
Currently the price is well below the .618 Fibonacci if the price remain this Fibonacci then it might reach around .50 Fibonacci level which is around 182.00 and
this level will act as medium term support for the bull. And 50,100,200 EMA was acting as resistance for the bull in 4 hour time frame. 0.50 Fibonacci will inclined with the
lower side of the trend line which will be a good entry point for the bull. Ichimoku cloud has turned red which is a sign of medium term bearish trend
Trade call
Buy limit @ 183.00
Take profit @ 280.00
Stop lose @ 149.00
BITCOIN triangle breakout was expected 64k will be next targetBITCOIN
The recent bullish trend has given a strong confidence in crypto investment. Bitcoin has managed to break the 60k level and felled back again below 60k level
Currently it was trading below the 59k level.At this level we can see a consolidation phase for the past 3 days soon we can expect a breakout here.
I have identified one triangle formation here which is a clear sign of upcoming breakout on either side.On downside 50% Fibonacci will hold BTC in remain in Bullish territory while writing this analysis
the price is just above the 61.8% Fibonacci level this will also provide support for bullish trend.
The 50,100,200 Exponential moving averages was acting as support for bull.Ichimoku cloud is still green and proving cloud support.Bollinger band was slowly constricting a but which is a sign of either side breakout.
RSI is well above 50 level,MACD is still green and the band was minor only. Stochastic has reached around 75(short term fall was expected)
Trend line drawn from 11/03/2021 will act as dynamic support and resistance for both the bull and bear. 54K was acted as clear support for bull twice. We can buy while retracing towards
50.00% Fibonacci if we missed this chance we can also buy after clear break and retest. The possible upper side target was 64k.
Trade call
Buy @ 57500.00
Take profit @ 64000.00
Stop lose @ 57750.00
USDCHF broad falling wedge pattern and break and retestUSDCHF
Has managed to break the broad falling wedge pattern and retested once around 0.92500 level and bounced back towards 0.93000
And we can see a series of HH HL HH pattern here which is a clear sign of the bullish trend. The next possible upside target would be 0.93500 and 0.94000
In second quarter of the 2020 USDCHF has managed to fell below the 0.90000 major key psychological and reserve bank intervention level. Most of the time USDCHF
Has bounced from this level.Due to the broad weakness in USD is the main reason for the rapid selling in USDCHF. After start of this year we can see some bullish trend in DXY
which is reflecting in this pair and managed to back above 0.90000 level and currently trading near 0.93000 level.On monday market open the price might reach around 0.92500
and i am expecting bounce towards 0.94000.
The Exponential moving average was just below the current price level which is a clear sign of the bullish trend here.The bear has to contend with these Moving averages such as 50,100
In Ichimoku cloud the cloud has turned red and its broadening too and the middle line is currently acting as another support for the bullish trend. And in Bollinger bands the price has reached around
middle band which will give a short term buying pressure
RSI has reached around 50,MACD is still above the line and green and Stochastic has reached around 80(short term fall back was expected)
Trade call
Buy @ 0.92600
Take profit @ 0.94000
Stop lose @ 0.92100
Will USD/JPY Hit 102.540?USD/JPY started to fall from the 20th February of 2020. Right now, it's trying to reach 102.540 . It has to cross 103.300 - 102.900 to hit 102.540 .
After crossing the 102.540, The trend will march to touch 101.200 . But if it starts to rise by breaking the resistance, then it will hit 104.740 - 105.300 .