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U turn expiry.Day to mark, when the market opens with a huge 400 point gap up, and profit booking kicks in. I have an overnight position of 16600CE and 15700PE, which is a huge premium spike that went MTM loss of 25X. It hit harder than the market moved down. When CE started to melt down, I lost 4% of my capital, but I had seen a 10% loss in my MTM, so I decided to book 4% and did not adjust any positions. I have already booked nearly 1.5% of the legs that I rolled up this week. managed to exit with a minimum loss. Let's see how it ends this week. The market is actually not in a good mood.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
Putin effect, Where we can expect expiry. Look at VIX. Where is it now. indicating the crazy movement will continue. Any news can drive the market's movement. stepping into the last week of the month with caution. Monday opened with a gap down and then started a recovery, then fell again. Today it opened with a huge 300 point gap. Think about it. Carrying over night positions is risky. As a trader, we have to look for good premiums everywhere. Make use of it and make sure you won't get stuck in volatility. Looking at the price action, it is good to see that 16850 took support and bounced back. When it comes below 17000, there is buying happening. A good sign. Also, keep an eye on that. If it breaks with strength, we can see a larger move. Above, there is a trend line. I will keep an eye on these levels. Below 16850 and above 17350. Coming to my option selling, I am already sitting on top of nearly 1.5% profit, having booked 0.8% profit. I started selling calls on Friday and I expected negativity. I took 17850 CE at a good premium at the closing time. Monday gap down opening and the CE almost melted. I held on to it, and today I booked profit. I entered into the PE side at 15850 too far with a really good premium VIX spike to help get that and the CE side at 17550. The current position is good now, one point CE side give me bit worry. My plan for the week's PE side almost melted if Tmro gapped down. I will hold my PE and adjust only the expiry day and worry about my CE side because of the VIX spike. If my SL did not meet the price, then my plan was to hold the CE till 17450–17470 and roll up the PE to 16850. Otherwise, just make adjustments. expiry day only.Let's hope we can end this week on a high.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
1
8th Attempt to Break 16985 Support..Nifty's attempting to break 16985 support level for the 7th time this week. Use the chart in this post, and my previous post as a guide. Long: Buy above 16985. Target 17230-17250, 17299. Keep a SL as per your risk appetite. Short: Sell Nifty below 16985. Targets - 16930, 16880, 16835. And keep a strict stop loss at 16985. Tomorrow is Wednesday (day before month-end expiry), and already the situation is volatile due to the ongoing Geo-political crisis. Sellers will attempt to sell worthless options at high premiums, so just be careful when you trade options. Good Luck and STay safe. Disclaimer - The view expressed here are my personal views. We're not SEBI registered Analysts. - Always have a STOP LOSS, particularly when you trade options. - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
NSE:NIFTY
by nifty_futures_options
Not a calm expiry but a nifty pause Looking at the chart of 200 point intraday movement now becomes calm expiry. but it's good to see nifty in a range of 17400 to 17200. Option sellers make money, but premium spikes are crazy. Price action speaks. After a trending market, there is a consolidation. That is how the market behaves. The market is still not stable. Global clues are still confusing the market. We can see more news-driven movements. Let's keep an eye on 17450 and 17250 for the last 2 days, respected. Let's keep an eye on these levels. If any of these breaks, we can see another quick move from here. Coming to my option of selling the sitting on top of near 2% profit this week. On Wednesday, the market gapped up, so I booked profit on my 16700PE. When the market started moving down, I was able to get the same position with a good premium, and I averaged the PE side twice, which added good profit to the PE side. I roll down to my CE of 17700. At the end of the day, I rolled my PE to 16900. At the end, my 16900 showed some red, but I had already booked some good profit from 16700, so the position was all good. I hold on to it. When the day started, my position almost melted away. I booked a profit. The market moved down and took support at 17250, a good premium spike of 17900, with the same safety roll down to my CE of 17600. I was expecting a quick down move, so I entered 17500CE and it went and hit SL. After that, it moved my positions to the downside, 17200PE and 17450CE, ending the week on a high. but i was bit worried about the premium spike SL set up saved from the volatile day. 17500CE only hit SL. End the week on a high.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
Volatile continues where we can expect expiry. Feb 2nd expiry.Many days of volatility, we can say that the year began with volatility and that it continues, I would say. This Monday, it was b.K. 17400, which was an important fib 0.5 level. Once it is taken out, it is a proper down move. We all know that the importance of the 17000 to 17080 rage is that the rage acted as a support and bounced back again, multiple times, to 17450. A roller coaster ride for option sellers. Tomorrow, the RBI's policy meeting. interest rate fear will be there. Let's see how it ends tomorrow. If it continues above 17400, the next level to watch is 17600. On the down side, if any violation below 17350 rages, today's consolidation weakness is still there. We can expect a further decline in prices. I am coming to the option of selling this week. Good for me. I have already booked a profit of nearly 1%. On Monday, nifty b.k 17400, I sold 17400 naked and gave a good profit, and on Tuesday, I entered my 17800CE position and waited to enter the PE side once it took a reversal. I entered 16550. The market moved up. profit in both PE and CE. I am coming to the option of selling this week. Good for me. I have already booked a profit of nearly 1%. On Monday, nifty b.k 17400, I sold 17400 naked and gave a good profit, and on Tuesday, I entered my 17800CE position and waited to enter the PE side once it took a reversal. I entered 16550. The market moved up. profit in both PE and CE. Today's gap is filled with consolidation. I rolled up my PE to 17050 and my CE to 17700. I am holding on to it. This week I'm going to be super conservative because of last week. If nifty, open with a gap up. If it tries to break 17600, I will roll my CE PE up. If it goes below 17200, I will roll my CE down and I will probably exit the PE side if it goes below 17150. Otherwise, I could end up with this week's above 1.5%.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
Going to end this month, Crazy expiry.Look at the chart and see where we are now and how we started this month. This month started with a positive note and kept moving up and up. It is a clear up trend. It took a nifty 14 days to reach 18350. Just five days to keep the nifty dragged down. We have multiple global news sources to follow the down move. But think about the option sellers who hold long positions, vix shoot up to 20+ all eyes on US fed meeting. let's see how it is going to end this month. It is very important that where nifty is going to open on Thursday, we have important levels to watch above 17350,17500,17550 below 17200 major level 17000,16800. I have 17650 CE and 16550PE as well. I will keep book my profit already in 16100 PE and 18050CE, with 17950CE near 0.5%. My plan for Thursday is for the nifty to move up. I will keep 17650CE till the nifty crosses 17550-17500. Keep my PUT up. If it goes down, I will bring my CE down and adjust PE as needed. if there is a gap up or gap down opening above 17550 my limit, and below 16800 I will make adjustments accordingly. If things go well, I hope to exit with a profit.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
1
crazy gap down, simple expiry.What an expiry today, with interest rate fear taking nifty down. Look at the chart. There was a huge gap between the opening and the consolidation. Looking at the nifty 5 minute chart, there is a strong upward trend, supporting 50 EMA. Every time the Nifty is at the 50EMA,  good buying activity. At one point, it indicated that it was about to cross the 18000 mark. But as we saw, the channel was created with respect to Nifty, and yesterday it was above the line at 18,000. Price action is at an important level, and profit booking may begin from there. I was expecting that. In the coming days as well, I will closely watch the 18000 level. If it tests again, rejects, or consolidates below the level, it might break out from there again. But with a positive global clue, it's hard to bark at the 18000 level. Keep an eye on FII DII activity. If FII starts buying and DII is still buying, but if DII starts booking their profit, the power of the nifty might slow down. Let's keep an eye on all these activities. When it comes to my weekly option selling this week, I am in the green. But I haven't booked the loss for the 13th expiry (17300 PE). If I book the losses, my net profit and loss will be close to 2%. This 50EMA buying activity helped me to get out of huge losses this week. And I had 17650 PE and my 13th expiry (17300 PE) yesterday. I booked other positions with Profit. Because I was expecting a retest, I took this safe position. The day began with a gap down, which allowed me to exit with a good profit. On the PE side, there is a premium spike, and there is a massive spike on the 17550, 17600, and 17650. My plan for the 13th expiry (17300 PE) is to sell anything above it with a good premium to minimize the losses. I will keep adjusting on my call side as well. I hope I can manage a 2% loss while trying to keep the net P & L green.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
Entering into the Christmas Sale Weekly Expiry NIFTY50In this December month, we were blessed with five expiry dates. I would say that the last three expiry dates are like a roller coaster ride, highly volatile. We are entering our 4th week now, and it is a technically correction mode. Technically, a 10% drop from the recent high is referred to as a correction. Look at Nifty50 on Monday. It opened with a huge gap down and the panic selling happened because of the major levels where we know it was taken out. 17000 and 16700. This range is important because it is 10% from the recent high and also a fib range. After the range was broken, the NIFTY50 made a new week low near the 16400 level, then pulled back and closed above 16600.This kind of pull back kills aggressive traders. Tuesday opened with a near 0.96% gap up. Think about it! NIFTY50 as well as a strong rebound. It closed above 16700, so it looks good. In NIFTY50, we can expect the major levels to turn into resistance like Nifty did. Today, resistance is near 17950.We can expect the 17000 level to continue as resistance for the week, so I would be confident about selling at a strike price above 17200 on the downside of 16400 for a safe trade. Keep an eye on the daily candle as well. There is a doji candle . We can expect moments in both directions Make a decision accordingly.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
Nifty - Expiry Day NotesSupport and Resistance Levels are marked on the Chart. Today, Nifty's movement is almost side ways between 117137 - 17186, except for the unexpected drop towards 17064. Bullish expectation in the first hour or so, but the day might end in RED. View may change based on Nifty's movements. Just a tip: If you're into options, it's always safer to trade next week's options. You may not get great returns, but at least you can avoid the risk of your capital going to 0 Keep checking this space for updates during the Trading Hours. Use my analysis to validate/negate your bias and don't follow Blindly. Good Luck! Disclaimer - The view expressed here are my personal views. We're not SEBI registered Analysts. - Always have a STOP LOSS, particularly when you trade options. - Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions - Use this for educational purpose - Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same - It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely - Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance - if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk - Do take proper risk management measures - Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
NSE:NIFTY
by nifty_futures_options
BANK NIFTY (NIFTY BANK) Option trading analysis for 05 July 2021CALL TRADE ANALYSIS BANK NIFTY is looking bullish, if it breaks 34897 , then wait for targets 1, 2, and 3 (34969, 35094, 35172) PUT TRADE ANALYSIS If the Market turns to bear side then short after 34760 for target 1 34642. (Capture your profit timely in bearish side because market can turn and time to bullish) Note: Black Lines: Breakout point, If it breaks go for long, and if it breaks go for short. BLUE LINES: Target and Resistance lines, If if breaks go for long to other green lines. RED LINES: Target and Support lines, If if breaks go for short to other red lines. DISCLAIMER:- I Am Not SEBI Registered Analyst or financial adviser. All Post and Levels Posting Only For learning Purpose. Not Giving Any Recommendations For Trade. I'm Not Responsible For Your Any Kind Of Loss Or Profit. Before trading please consult with your financial advisor. No Claim, All Rights Reserved.‼️
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by TradeWithAshu