XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 28 |WATCHING FOMC + EU TRADE TENSIONS XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 28 | GOLD REBOUNDS SLIGHTLY BUT REMAINS UNDER PRESSURE | WATCHING FOMC + EU TRADE TENSIONS
Gold staged a mild technical recovery after last week’s heavy sell-off of nearly $100. While the bounce offers short-term opportunities, overall structure remains under bearish pressure unless bulls can reclaim the upper distribution zone.
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT – TRADE POLICY & MONETARY UNCERTAINTY:
Trump has delayed the 50% tariff on EU goods until July, calling recent trade talks “positive.”
In response, US 10-year yields spiked back above 4.55%, signaling market expectations for prolonged high interest rates.
Meanwhile, the Fed has announced a 10% workforce cut due to ongoing operational losses from interest payments — a rare move that underscores deeper fiscal constraints.
➡️ With mixed risk sentiment and no clear policy direction, Gold remains a safe-haven focus — but vulnerable in the short-term if yields and the dollar continue to rise.
📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1):
Gold is currently trading below the 3,335–3,346 resistance zone, which has repeatedly rejected bullish attempts.
If price fails to reclaim this zone, we could see renewed bearish momentum toward the lower FVG support.
The Fair Value Gap near 3,248 remains a major zone of interest if sellers regain control.
🔍 TRADE PLAN – UPDATED LEVELS:
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3,344 – 3,346
Stop Loss: 3,350
Take Profit: 3,340 – 3,336 – 3,332 – 3,328 – 3,324 – 3,320
🔻 SELL SCALP: 3,326 – 3,328
Stop Loss: 3,332
Take Profit: 3,322 – 3,318 – 3,314 – 3,310 – 3,305 – 3,300
🔵 BUY SCALP: 3,278 – 3,276
Stop Loss: 3,272
Take Profit: 3,282 – 3,286 – 3,290 – 3,294 – 3,298 – 3,302 – 3,310
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3,246 – 3,244
Stop Loss: 3,240
Take Profit: 3,250 – 3,254 – 3,258 – 3,262 – 3,266 – 3,270 – 3,280
📌 STRATEGY TIP:
Avoid mid-range entries. Let price come to your zones. Prioritize confirmed reactions, especially near structural levels like 3,335 and 3,248.
Search in ideas for "SCALP"
GOLD PLAN 23/05–YIELD CURVE FLIPS Will Gold Breakout or Sell Off🔥 GOLD PLAN 23/05 – YIELD CURVE FLIPS | Will Gold Breakout or Sell Off at 3360?
Global markets are heating up again as risk sentiment shifts. A major alert comes from the U.S. bond market:
For the first time since October 2021, the yield curve between the 5-year and 30-year treasuries inverted to +1.00%, signaling strong expectations for inflation and future growth concerns.
🌍 MACRO CATALYSTS DRIVING GOLD:
Iran warns the U.S.: “Leash your mad dog!” – escalating rhetoric as Israel is rumored to be preparing a strike on Iran's nuclear sites. Tehran vows to retaliate and holds the U.S. accountable.
Goldman Sachs says: “Only one way – BUY GOLD!”
Following the failed 20-year bond auction, rising deficits, and fiscal stress, GS urges investors to move into gold and crypto.
The return of risk-off sentiment makes Gold the #1 safe haven asset, attracting global institutional flow.
📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1 Chart):
Critical resistance at 3358–3360 is a key decision zone.
A breakout here may trigger a strong move toward previous highs (ATH zone: 3390–3400).
Major support lies around 3276–3274.
A breakdown here may expose gold to deeper pullbacks below the 3200 handle, revisiting the FVG zone.
📌 TRADE PLAN FOR TODAY:
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3276 – 3274
SL: 3270
TP: 3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3304 – 3302
SL: 3298
TP: 3308 – 3312 – 3316 – 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3340
🔻 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3376 – 3378
SL: 3382
TP: 3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – 3350
🔻 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3344 – 3346
SL: 3350
TP: 3340 – 3336 – 3332 – 3328 – 3324 – 3320
⚠️ Caution:
With geopolitical risk and bond market stress rising, volatility is expected to spike. Be patient and trade only on confirmation from key zones.
🎯 Stick to the plan. Don't chase the price. Protect your capital.
Is Gold Set to Explode or Fake Out at 3400?GOLD PLAN 22/05 – TERROR ATTACK SHOCKS MARKETS | Is Gold Set to Explode or Fake Out at 3397?
Markets have just been hit by fresh geopolitical tension:
An Israeli diplomat was shot dead in Washington D.C. during a high-profile Jewish community event near the Holocaust Museum. The shooter allegedly shouted political slogans, and the FBI is now treating the case as a potential anti-Semitic terrorist act.
Former President Donald Trump called the event “disgusting” and urged the U.S. to stand strong against extremism.
🟡 This incident triggered a wave of risk aversion, pushing safe-haven assets like GOLD into the spotlight once again.
🌐 FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT:
The USD remains under pressure due to weak U.S. economic data (housing, manufacturing, retail).
Despite the Fed’s “higher for longer” tone, markets are pricing in potential rate cuts by Q3.
Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East & U.S. soil may fuel further gold demand in the short term.
📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1 Chart):
Price is nearing FVG resistance at 3395–3397, which could serve as a liquidity trap for breakout traders.
Key mid-zone resistance: 3344–3356, where price might stall or reverse if upward momentum weakens.
Strong support levels: 3303 – 3288 – 3277, aligned with previous structure and demand zones.
📌 TRADE PLAN:
Buy zone: 3296 - 3294
SL: 3290
TP: 3300 - 3304 - 3308 - 3315 - 3320 - 3330 - ???
Buy Scalp: 3316 - 3314
SL: 3310
TP: 3320 - 3324 - 3328 - 3332 - 3340 - 3350
Look for bullish reaction from the support zone and enter with proper risk management.
🔻 Sell zone: 3395 – 3397
SL: 3401
TP: 3390 - 3386 - 3380 - 3376 - 3370
🔻 Sell Scalp: 3358 - 3360
SL: 3364
TP: 3354 - 3350 - 3346 - 3342 - 3338 - 3330
If price spikes into FVG and shows exhaustion or bearish reversal, short setup is valid.
⚠️ Warning: Due to geopolitical headlines and gold trading near psychological resistance, expect high volatility and potential for traps.
🎯 Stick to your zones. Manage TP/SL properly. Do not chase price!
FED HAWKISHNESS VS TECHNICAL FAIR VALUE GAPS – BIG MOVE COMING?GOLD PLAN 21/05 – FOMC HAWKISHNESS VS TECHNICAL FAIR VALUE GAPS – BIG MOVE COMING?
The recent surge in gold has paused just as traders digest the latest Federal Reserve signals. Despite rising geopolitical risks and weakening U.S. economic data, Fed officials continue to project a “higher-for-longer” rate stance, keeping the dollar afloat and adding pressure on gold’s rally.
📉 However, the technical structure tells another side of the story.
⚙️ TECHNICAL OUTLOOK: Bearish Trap or Hidden Bullish Opportunity?
On the 1H timeframe, XAU/USD is showing signs of consolidation after tapping into a major Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the 3328–3356 area. We now observe two key FVG zones above and below current price, highlighting high volatility and potential liquidity grabs.
🔍 A short-term bullish scenario is forming if gold retraces towards 3250–3252 support, where trendline confluence and dynamic support suggest strong demand.
Conversely, any strong rejection from 3354–3356 SELL ZONE could activate a bearish play back towards the lower structure levels.
💹 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY:
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3252–3250
Stop Loss: 3246
Take Profit Targets:
3256 – 3260 – 3264 – 3268 – 3272 – 3280 – 3300 – ???
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3277–3275
Stop Loss: 3272
Take Profit Targets:
3280 – 3284 – 3288 – 3292 – 3296 – 3300
🔻 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3354–3356
Stop Loss: 3360
Take Profit Targets:
3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3334 – 3330 – 3320
🔻 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3328–3330
Stop Loss: 3334
Take Profit Targets:
3324 – 3320 – 3316 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300
🌍 MACRO INSIGHT:
Fed’s hawkish tone is weighing on precious metals, but gold remains attractive under geopolitical uncertainty and de-dollarization trends.
China and other central banks continue their accumulation, suggesting long-term bullish pressure is intact.
Watch for U.S. data this week – especially PMI and jobless claims – which could provide short-term catalysts.
📌 Stay cautious and disciplined. Stick to your zones and manage risk tightly – volatility is increasing.
👉 If you found this useful, don’t forget to like, comment and follow for daily gold insights!
GOLD OUTLOOK – MAY 16: MARKET TRAP OR LEGITIMATE RECOVERY?GOLD OUTLOOK – MAY 17: MARKET TRAP OR LEGITIMATE RECOVERY?
Gold is closing out the week with unpredictable volatility, following two extreme sessions where prices dropped over 100 pips, only to rebound aggressively. Are recent news headlines just justifying the price action, or is this a well-orchestrated market trap?
🔍 Technical Breakdown (D1 & H4)
On the daily and 4-hour charts, we can clearly see a sharp breakdown, followed by an immediate rebound into the 325x area.
🎯 Key Level to Watch: 3254 – 3256
If price remains below 3256, sellers continue to dominate.
If 3256 is broken to the upside, we could see a quick move toward 327x–328x.
This zone acts as a decisive barrier between continuation and reversal.
🌐 Macro Perspective – Market Triggers
US inflation data continues to disappoint, weakening the USD and halting DXY recovery.
US-China tensions flare up again after short-lived optimism, especially around tariff talks and rare earth restrictions.
With mixed geopolitical cues, this market is prone to fakeouts and liquidity sweeps, especially ahead of the weekend.
📌 Key Levels to Monitor
🔺 Resistance Zones: 3237 – 3251 – 3261 – 3276 – 3287
🔻 Support Zones: 3205 – 3188 – 3170 – 3143
🎯 Trading Plan
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3172 – 3170
SL: 3166
TP: 3176 → 3180 → 3184 → 3188 → 3192 → 3200
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3142 – 3140
SL: 3136
TP: 3146 → 3150 → 3154 → 3158 → 3170 → 3180 → 3190
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3160 – 3162
SL: 3166
TP: 3156 → 3152 → 3148 → 3144 → 3140 → 3130
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3276 – 3278
SL: 3282
TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3255 → 3240
⚠️ Key Notes:
Friday sessions often bring major liquidity grabs and false breakouts.
Be disciplined with SL/TP management – especially in such volatile conditions.
Wait for candle confirmation before reacting — don’t trade emotionally.
GOLD Will the Correction Continue or Will We See a Reversal?GOLD UPDATE – Will the Correction Continue or Will We See a Reversal?
📊 Market Analysis:
Yesterday’s sharp decline in gold prices indicates a temporary easing in geopolitical tensions, particularly the ongoing conflict and political issues. It seems that the global environment has become slightly less tense recently, which could be a key factor in the correction we are seeing in gold.
From a political and trade perspective, the current price trend appears rational, but it is important to note that nothing is set in stone just yet. Further negotiations are expected, and these could lead to significant agreements. After the sharp drop, gold has managed to find some momentum for recovery, filling liquidity gaps and returning to areas of lower liquidity.
🔍 Current Outlook:
At the moment, I’m still expecting a possible rebound in gold, but the best opportunity might be to focus on sell positions for the time being. Yesterday’s plan, although bearish, enabled us to catch key levels for potential buy entries. Today, sell entries might be more favorable than buying.
The price is likely to continue adjusting as we await more macroeconomic news, especially regarding the US Federal Reserve’s actions. We’ve seen the Fed avoid Trump’s pressure, and there is speculation that interest rate cuts might be postponed until later in the year rather than mid-year as previously expected. If this is the case, gold could potentially revisit the $3000/oz mark in the near future.
🔮 Short-Term Strategy:
For now, we will continue trading according to the market’s correction wave. Sell positions might offer a better risk-to-reward ratio in this environment. We may still see some bounces, but they would likely be short-lived unless we see more positive macroeconomic data.
💡 Key Resistance Levels:
3264
3278
3307
3328
💡 Key Support Levels:
3241
3207
3196
3172
3156
🎯 Trade Setup:
BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3196 – 3164
SL: 3190
TP: 3200 → 3204 → 3208 → 3212 → 3216 → 3220
BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3158 – 3156
SL: 3152
TP: 3162 → 3166 → 3170 → 3174 → 3178 → 3182 → 3190
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3278 – 3280
SL: 3284
TP: 3274 → 3270 → 3266 → 3260 → 3250 → 3240
SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3328 – 3330
SL: 3334
TP: 3324 → 3320 → 3316 → 3312 → 3308 → 3300 → 3290 → 3280
📅 Key Event: CPI Announcement
Today, we are also expecting the CPI report, a critical piece of data for the month. Be aware that there’s not much to analyze yet regarding this report, but we will update everyone once the data comes out later today.
💼 Risk Management:
Given the volatility we’re seeing, proper risk management is essential. Stick to your TP/SL levels to protect your account and avoid unnecessary risks.
📈 Final Thoughts:
Gold is currently facing corrections, but with geopolitical tensions easing, it could lead to more stability and potential breakout opportunities. Keep your trades aligned with key levels and macro news. Keep an eye on CPI and adjust accordingly.
💬 Good luck to everyone! Keep your positions safe and be patient for the right opportunities.
GOLD MAINTAINS UPSIDE MOMENTUM AFTER ADP NONFARM DATA RELEASE🔺 Market Overview:
Gold continues to maintain its bullish momentum, having reclaimed key resistance levels after the ADP Nonfarm report was released yesterday. Despite recent U.S. economic data and the uncertainty surrounding tariff policies, the USD has weakened following a brief recovery over the weekend.
🔺 Current Outlook for Gold:
Given the economic news and the candle strength on the chart, I’m still looking for BUY opportunities in Gold. During the Asian and European sessions, we can anticipate BUY setups early, as Gold could reach the key resistance zones, offering good SELL scalping opportunities just like we saw yesterday at the 2928 - 2926 zone, which resulted in a 150-pip profit.
📊 Market Range Today:
The price range today may be sideways as we await important Nonfarm data tomorrow. Pay close attention to the support and resistance levels.
🔸 KEY SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS
🔺 Resistance Levels:
2928 – 2942 – 2954
🔻 Support Levels:
2904 – 2894 – 2886 – 2874
⌛ TRADING ZONE FOR TODAY
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 2886 - 2884
Stop Loss (SL): 2880
Take Profit (TP): 2890 - 2894 - 2898 - 2905
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 2942 - 2944
Stop Loss (SL): 2948
Take Profit (TP): 2938 - 2934 - 2930 - 2925 - 2920
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 2954 - 2956
Stop Loss (SL): 2960
Take Profit (TP): 2950 - 2946 - 2942 - 2938 - 2934 - 2930
📌 Final Thoughts & Trading Tips:
Key Levels: The key levels have been noted above. Pay attention to the critical support and resistance zones.
Stay Focused: Today, the market is likely to be in a sideways range, so be patient and wait for confirmation before executing trades.
Nonfarm Data: Keep an eye on important Nonfarm data tomorrow. This could trigger significant price movements.
💡 Reminder: Always follow your TP/SL levels to ensure safe trading and protect your capital. Trade with caution and stay disciplined!
Nifty : Don't Confine Yourself !Look at the range we are having in Nifty, its very narrow. If it goes on like this within channel till 9700's, only scalpers will be making good 20-30 points daily.
For past 4 days we are completely stuck in this range zone, I don't want to go in depth about time correction n all, bcos do we need to wait till its over to make money ? Nope.. Just adapt & transform to be scalper on these days, these are the days which we hate..A whole day wait will give you merely 30 points but you are making something right ?
But the prob, we are already on 15 mins, we need to move down further that's 5 mins to scalp those points which is quite risky, bcos a single wick will take you out of the trade. So, for those conservative traders, Take some days off relax n just watch Nifty...
Honestly, I hate those days when Nifty confines itself, Please come out :)
Gold shakes violently | Priority Buy on dip to support🟡 XAU/USD – 24/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News
Geopolitics : Trump unexpectedly supported Ukraine reclaiming full territory and called on NATO to be tougher on Russia → defensive sentiment returned, supporting Gold.
US Economy : Housing data due today, no FED speeches.
Earlier: Weak US PMI + dovish FED tone → no momentum for a prolonged downtrend.
Price Action : Gold dropped more than 20 points overnight, then quickly rebounded to 3,76x → likely profit-taking pressure at higher levels.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Main trend stays bullish, but the voyage will remain choppy as Gold absorbs profit-taking near resistance.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis (H45)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
Buy Scalp OB: 3,754 – 3,757
OB Harbor: 3,741 – 3,744
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
Sell Scalp Zone: 3,797 – 3,800
Higher Sell Zone: 3,813 – 3,815
Market Structure
After the deep drop, Gold rebounded and held above 3,76x.
Bullish trend remains intact, but waves of volatility may occur near higher resistance zones.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy Scalp OB
Entry: 3,754 – 3,757
SL: 3,747
TP: 3,762 – 3,767 – 3,772 – 3,777 – 3,782
Buy Zone OB
Entry: 3,741 – 3,744
SL: 3,732
TP: 3,749 – 3,754 – 3,759 – 3,764 – 3,769
⚡ Sell (short scalp – lower RR)
Sell Scalp Zone
Entry: 3,797 – 3,800
SL: 3,806
TP: 3,795 – 3,790 – 3,785 – 3,780 – 3,775
Higher Sell Zone
Entry: 3,813 – 3,815
SL: 3,823
TP: 3,810 – 3,805 – 3,800 – 3,795 – 3,790
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship rocked violently overnight but still anchored firmly at Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,754 – 3,741) . Profit-taking waves may still rise at Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,797 – 3,815) , suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. Yet the main voyage continues north – Buy the Dip remains the compass to follow the strong winds.”
📢 If you find the Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow for the latest signals.
💬 Got your own view on Gold? Share it in the comments and join the crew discussion!
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook After Fed Rate CutXAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook After Fed Rate Cut
Hello fellow traders,
The most anticipated event of September is now clear: the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the first reduction this year. Market expectations also indicate the possibility of another 50 basis points cut in the upcoming meeting. In his speech, Chairman Powell highlighted the “dual risk” – inflation could rise further while employment shows signs of weakness.
Technical View
Gold has formed an H1 candle closing below the rising price channel, signalling a possible violation of the medium-term uptrend.
The buying side failed to maintain momentum after the rate cut news, showing caution in entering at elevated price levels.
Medium-term investors may consider waiting for a lower price to enter fresh longs.
However, the downside is not fully confirmed, as price is still hovering around the ascending trendline → selling directly at current levels still carries certain risks.
Trading Scenarios
Sell Strategy
Scalping: 3676 – 3678 | SL: 3683 | TP: 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628
(Stop loss can be moved to breakeven if price reacts well, to hold positions longer).
Sell Zone: 3697 – 3700 | SL: 3705 | TP: 3680 – 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628
Buy Strategy
Scalping: 3634 – 3636 | SL: 3629 | TP: 3645 – 3660 – 3672
Buy Zone: 3600 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3633 – 3645 – 3660 – 3675 (extended)
Conclusion
Gold is currently in a sensitive phase after the Fed’s decision to cut rates. Traders must watch price action carefully around major support and resistance levels to confirm a clearer direction.
Stay tuned to this outlook — I will continue to provide updates as the market structure evolves. Follow along to receive the fastest scenario changes as price action develops.
GOLD – Breakout / Swept High – Where to BUY?1. Market Overview
Gold prices are consolidating around 3655 – 3660 after showing a short-term bearish structure.
On the H1 chart, we can see clear supply and demand zones:
• Liquidity Buy Zone near 3640 (potential demand area).
• Imbalance / Supply Zone around 3670 – 3680.
The broader higher-timeframe trend is still bullish, but in the near term the market is retesting liquidity levels.
________________________________________
2. Key Levels & Zones
• Liquidity Buy Zone: 3640 – 3645 → important support.
• Sell Scalp Zone / Imbalance: 3670 – 3680 → short-term resistance.
• Higher High Target (HH): 3700 – 3710 → strong higher-timeframe resistance.
• Long-term Support: 3620 – 3630.
________________________________________
3. Main Trading Scenarios
🟢 Long Setup (with trend)
• Wait for price to revisit the Liquidity Buy Zone (3640 – 3645).
• If bullish reversal signals appear (pin bar, engulfing candle, etc.), consider entering a Long position.
🎯 Targets:
• Short-term: 3678 (trendline break retest).
• Mid-term: 3700 – 3710 (higher high).
🔴 Short Setup (scalp only)
• If price pushes into the Sell Scalp Zone (3670 – 3680) and faces strong rejection → take a Short scalp.
• 🎯 Target: 3640 – 3645.
⚠ Note: Shorts go against the main bullish trend, so they should be managed quickly and not held for long.
________________________________________
4. Trade Management Notes
• Focus on Long trades near support, as higher timeframe bias is still bullish.
• Short positions should only be taken as scalp setups near resistance.
• Risk control: limit risk to 1–2% per trade, avoid holding trades against the main trend.
________________________________________
📌 Conclusion
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently testing the descending trendline and resistance zone.
• A successful breakout may lead price towards 3700+.
• Otherwise, the market is likely to dip back into 3640 before starting the next bullish leg.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 27-May-2025📘 BANK NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 27 MAY 2025
🕰 Based on 15-min chart structure and key support/resistance zones
📍 Gap opening considered if movement is 200+ points from previous close (55,558)
🔼 GAP-UP Opening (Above 55,777 – 200+ points):
If Bank Nifty opens with a strong gap-up above the Last / Opening Resistance Zone (55,745 – 55,777) , it will enter an extended bullish territory.
✅ Plan of Action:
• Avoid aggressive entries in the first 15–30 minutes as volatility can trap buyers.
• If price sustains above 55,777 on a 15-min candle close, we may see a bullish move toward 55,999+ .
• A pullback to retest 55,745–55,777 zone with a strong bullish candle can offer a good long opportunity (buy CE).
• On failure to hold above 55,777 and signs of rejection, scalpers can attempt PE trades targeting 55,558–55,454.
🧠 Educational Tip: Gap-ups into resistance zones require confirmation. Patience for price action saves traders from emotional entries.
⚖️ FLAT Opening (Between 55,454 – 55,745):
A flat opening within this band means Bank Nifty is trading between Opening Support / Resistance (55,454) and Initial Resistance (55,745) .
✅ Plan of Action:
• This is a NO TRADE ZONE initially. Wait for price to break out above 55,745 or break down below 55,454.
• Avoid option buying here – premiums will decay due to time and volatility crush.
• If price breaks above 55,745 with volume and retests successfully, consider CE buying for 55,777 / 55,999 targets.
• If price breaks down below 55,454, we may move to test 55,136–55,225 Buyer’s Support. This can be a scalp PE opportunity.
🧠 Educational Tip: Sideways opens often trap both sides. Let the market reveal its direction before jumping in.
🔽 GAP-DOWN Opening (Below 55,136 – 200+ points):
A gap-down opening below the Buyer’s Support Zone (55,136 – 55,225) would indicate potential weakness.
✅ Plan of Action:
• Watch how price behaves at or near Last Intraday Support – 54,856 .
• If price bounces strongly from 54,856–55,136 area, look for bullish reversal candles for scalping CE.
• Breakdown and 15-min close below 54,856 can intensify selling pressure – can test lower support zones (not marked on chart).
• Avoid aggressive PE entry immediately on open; wait for retest or sideways consolidation to build position.
🧠 Educational Tip: Support zones are where smart money accumulates. Observe candle wicks and volume reactions to time entries.
🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS FOR OPTIONS TRADERS:
• Always use Stop Loss on candle close basis ; avoid emotional exits.
• Stick to 1–2 trades max in a day. Overtrading kills discipline and capital.
• Avoid chasing premiums right after the opening bell; IV crush and spread wideness can hit you hard.
• Use Option Spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put) to reduce premium decay and risk.
• Don’t trade without a clear setup – Plan your trade, then trade your plan!
📊 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION:
• 🔼 Bullish Breakout Zone: Above 55,777 → Target: 55,999+
• 🔽 Bearish Breakdown Zone: Below 55,136 → Target: 54,856 / lower
• 🟧 Neutral Zone (No Trade Early): 55,454 – 55,745
• 💚 Buyers’ Support Zone: 55,136 – 55,225
• 🟥 Sellers’ Resistance Zone: 55,745 – 55,777
📌 Be flexible but not reckless. Observe the structure, respond with discipline. Great trades come from waiting, not chasing.
📢 DISCLAIMER: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. The above plan is purely for educational purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trade wisely. 💼📉📈
GOLD DAILY PLAN MAY 19: IS THIS THE START OF A MASSIVE BULLISH GOLD DAILY PLAN – MAY 20: IS THIS THE START OF A MASSIVE BULLISH RUN?
Gold opened the new trading week with a powerful GAP UP of over 20 USD, followed by an additional 50 USD rally during the Asia session. This explosive move is being fueled by geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty, setting the tone for what could be a highly volatile and profitable week for gold traders.
🔥 Key Fundamental Drivers Behind This Gold Rally:
1️⃣ Putin rejects peace talks – Increased war risks reignite gold’s safe-haven appeal.
2️⃣ U.S. credit rating downgraded – Rising debt and bond yields are pushing investors back to gold.
3️⃣ Trump threatens new trade tariffs – Even a softer version of “Trade War 2.0” could shock global markets, making gold a top hedge.
➡️ With no clear resolutions in sight, gold may soon retest the all-time high of $3,500.
🧠 Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals Are Confirming
EMA13 has crossed above EMA34 and EMA200 on the M30 chart — a classic reversal confirmation.
The main trendline was broken, and price is now retesting the breakout zone.
Momentum remains strong, and price structure is shifting bullish. Priority is now to BUY the dips rather than sell counter-trend.
📌 Key Price Levels to Watch:
🔺 Resistance Zones:
3254 – 3277 – 3288
(If price breaks above 3287, we may quickly see a move toward 3350–3500.)
🔻 Support Zones:
3204 – 3193 – 3186 – 3174 – 3163
(Best areas to watch for confirmation to BUY.)
🎯 Suggested Trade Ideas:
BUY Zone: 3186 - 3184
Stop-Loss (SL): 3180
Take-Profit (TP): 3190 → 3195 → 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230
BUY Scalp: 3194 - 3192
Stop-loss: 3189
Take-Profit: 3200 - 3204 - 3210 - 3215 - 3220
SELL Zone: 3287 - 3289 Only scalp or take quick profits near resistance zones
Stop-Loss (SL): 3293
Take-Profit (TP): 3285 → 3280 → 3285 → 3280 → 3270
(Note: Avoid holding SELLs, only scalp on strong bearish signals.)
⚠️ Trading Notes:
Market is highly sensitive to geopolitical headlines. One comment from Trump or Putin could move gold 50–100 USD in minutes.
No need to chase price. Let it come to your zones — and only enter on clear confirmations.
📌 Summary:
✅ Structure has turned bullish across M30 and H4.
✅ Focus on buying dips, not shorting into strength.
✅ Medium-term target zones: 3350 → 3400 → 3500, depending on continued macro pressure.
📣 Follow AD for live trading plans, market sentiment, and smart entry zones every session!
Good luck & stay disciplined.
XAUUSD| Unstoppable Uptrend, Gold Benefits from Fed & ETF Inflow📊 Market Context
Gold continues to maintain its upward trend amidst the political and economic instability in the US. The US government has entered its second week of shutdown with no signs of reaching an agreement, raising further concerns about the impact on economic performance.
Simultaneously, the Fed's entry into a monetary easing cycle since September, with expectations of further 25-point rate cuts in October and December, is driving strong buying momentum in gold.
Not just investors, but global central banks are also continuing to accumulate gold, adding 15 tonnes to reserves, indicating a gradual shift away from US public debt.
All these factors combined continue to reinforce a sustainable upward trend, opening up opportunities for strategic BUY moves.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Prices remain within the upward channel, continuously retesting and bouncing off support zones.
Buy Scalp Zone 4004–4002: a quick reaction zone in the short term.
Main Buy Zone 3986–3984: key support, combined with FVG.
Target Resistance: 4068–4082 (Liquidity Zone).
📈 Trading Plan
✅ BUY SCALP: 4004–4002
SL: 3996
TP: 4008 - 4012 - 4016 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ????
✅ BUY ZONE: 3986–3984
SL: 3980
TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4010 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ????
⚠️ Risk Management Note
The 4000 level is a psychological resistance – prone to liquidity sweeps.
Prioritise waiting for clear price action signals at BUY zones.
Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may increase with political news & Fed impacts on market sentiment.
✅ Summary
Gold's uptrend remains solid thanks to political instability, Fed easing, record ETF inflows, and central banks continuing to hoard gold. Strategy prioritises BUY at 4004–4002 and 3986–3984 with targets aiming at 4068–4082.
XAUUSUS | Government Shutdown Confirmed | Gold awaits ADP & ISM🔎 Context & News
US Politics : The US government officially shut down after the Senate failed to pass the federal funding bill. A major political risk catalyst, triggering safe-haven flows into Gold.
FED : Probability of a -25bps rate cut in October rises to 96.2% → almost certain.
Key Events Today (ET / UTC) :
• ADP Employment Change: 08:15 ET / 12:15 UTC
• ISM Manufacturing PMI: 10:00 ET / 14:00 UTC
→ Both will be crucial data points that may shake Dollar and Gold.
📌 Summary : US politics + FED easing = Gold remains supported, but ADP & ISM tonight could spark strong volatility in the US session.
📈 Technical Analysis (H1)
Main Trend : Bullish after multiple BoS.
EMA : EMA 34 > EMA 89 → bullish momentum intact.
Resistance :
3,897 – 3,907 (Sell scalp – Fibo 0.5–0.618).
3,920 – 3,921 (Liquidity / ATH test).
Support :
3,872 – 3,876 (old high retest).
3,833 – 3,841 (OB zone).
3,814 – 3,822 (deep Support Zone – losing this shifts bias).
🎯 Trade Plan
✅ Buy (trend priority)
Buy Zone 1 : 3,872 – 3,876
• SL: 3,869
• TP: 3,897 → 3,907 → 3,920
Buy Zone 2 (OB) : 3,833 – 3,841
• SL: 3,826
• TP: 3,872 → 3,897 → 3,907
Buy Zone 3 (Deep Support) : 3,814 – 3,822
• SL: 3,808
• TP: 3,841 → 3,872 → 3,897
⚡ Sell (short scalps only – lower RR)
Sell Zone 1 : 3,897 – 3,907
• SL: 3,912
• TP: 3,885 → 3,876 → 3,841
Sell Zone 2 (ATH sweep) : 3,920 – 3,921
• SL: 3,925
• TP: 3,907 → 3,885 → 3,876
📝 Conclusion
Gold remains strongly supported by the US government shutdown + FED rate cut expectations.
Strategy today: Prioritize Buy at support; Sell only for short scalps around 3,907 – 3,921.
⚠️ Watch out: ADP & ISM tonight may trigger unexpected volatility → manage risk carefully and move SL to BE after TP1.
📢 If you find this Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow Captain Vincent ⚓ for the latest updates.
💬 What do you think, crew? Will Gold break ATH 3,920 right after ADP & ISM tonight?
Nifty Macro View & Context Weekly Outlook: Analysts expect rangMacro View & Context
Weekly Outlook: Analysts expect range-bound trading with continued consolidation under 25,000. Nifty rebounded from ~24,400 recently, but a breakout above 25,000 remains elusive. Toby-heavy cues are looking modestly optimistic, supported by domestic macro trends and auto sector strength.
F&O Expiry Dynamics: Weekly options now expire on Tuesday, meaning Monday becomes the new "expiry eve"—a day often marked by increased spot-vol vs. thin volumes and elevated theta (time decay) impact.
Recommended strategy: With limited move expected, options plays like short strangles can capitalize on low directional movement and theta decay.
Technicals Across Timeframes
1-Day (Daily Chart)
Overall tone: Neutral-to-cautious. Price is consolidating; indicators (like RSI & MACD) are flat—no strong directional bias.
4-Hour Chart
Current structure: Sideways rectangular consolidation, roughly between 24,400–25,000.
A breakout either way could define the weekly closing trend.
1-Hour Chart
Short-term setup: 70% of moving averages (20/50/100/200) show bullish bias, although some very short-term (5/10 MA) signals remain mixed — indicating stabilization above mid-range.
Pivot analysis shows key resistance near 24,852–24,875, and support near 24,750–24,730.
15-Minute Action Plan for Tomorrow (Expiry Eve)
Time-Based Setup (09:00–15:30)
Pre-Open to First 30 Minutes
Observe initial range; likely tight consolidation given expiry eve.
Key zone: 24,750–24,850 (intraday range).
Trade Execution Rules
Long Trade:
Trigger: 15-min candle closes above 24,850 with volume support.
Entry: Next candle's open (~24,860).
Targets: 24,900 → 24,950 → 25,000.
Stop-Loss: ~24,830.
Short Trade:
Trigger: 15-min candle closes below 24,750 with confirmation.
Entry: Next open (~24,740).
Targets: 24,700 → 24,650 → 24,600.
Stop-Loss: ~24,770.
Range Day Strategy (if neither breakout triggers)
Trade within the established 24,750–24,850 range.
Small scalps: buy near 24,760, sell near 24,840; stops tight (~5-10 pts).
Gold 1H – Smart Money Plays Below 3,600Gold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating close to 3,600 after sweeping short-term liquidity. Price is currently forming imbalance around intraday highs, while demand is positioned lower at 3,565. This structure suggests engineered moves designed to trap both buyers and sellers before the next expansion.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,565 – 3,563 (SL 3,560): Discount demand block, aligned with bullish order flow.
• 📍 Scalp Sell Zone 3,594 – 3,596 (SL 3,601): Intraday rejection pocket; scalp opportunity.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,630 – 3,628 (SL 3,637): Premium supply zone, suitable for liquidity sweep reaction.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction
• Entry: 3,565 – 3,563
• Stop Loss: 3,560
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,585
o TP2: 3,595
o TP3: 3,600+
👉 Expectation is for liquidity sweep into discount demand before resuming bullish trend.
🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Intraday Reaction
• Entry: 3,594 – 3,596
• Stop Loss: 3,601
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,592
o TP2: 3,590
o TP3: 3,585 → 3,580 → 3,570 → 3,560
👉 Short-term liquidity pocket; scalp trades only with strict risk control.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,630 – 3,628
• Stop Loss: 3,637
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,610
o TP2: 3,600
o TP3: 3,590
👉 Targeting liquidity lying below intraday lows; best for quick short opportunities.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may engineer a sweep of 3,626–3,630 supply before driving price back into 3,565 demand. Cleaner setup is to buy dips, while sell scalps are short-lived opportunities.
Gold Smashes Records: Trade the Fed Drama & Rate Cut Hype!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Breaking Records! 🌟
New Peaks: Spot gold hit a record $3,527.5/oz on September 2, with analysts predicting a climb to $3,600-$3,900 this year, potentially surpassing $4,000 by 2026 if economic and geopolitical uncertainty persists. Reuters polls show 2025 average price forecasts rising from $2,756/oz (January) to $3,220/oz (July). 📈
Fed Rate Cut Buzz: Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged rising job market risks, boosting bets for a September rate cut. “A weakening USD, fueled by rate cut expectations, investor aversion to US assets, and tariff-related economic uncertainty, supports gold,” says Ricardo Evangelista from ActivTrades. Gold thrives in low-rate environments! 🏦
USD Weakness: The USD has lost nearly 11% since Trump’s return to the White House in January 2025, making gold more attractive to foreign currency holders. 📉
Fed Drama: Trump’s criticism of Powell and attempts to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook have raised fears about Fed independence, driving safe-haven gold demand. “Speculative bullishness stems from potential Fed interference and concerns over the USD’s safe status,” notes Carsten Menke from Julius Baer. ⚖️🇺🇸
Other Drivers: Middle East tensions, Russia-Ukraine conflict, and central bank buying (e.g., China’s PBOC added gold for the 9th consecutive month in July 2025). The World Gold Council (WGC) reports central banks plan to increase gold reserves while reducing USD holdings. “Rising gold prices and central bank accumulation are boosting gold’s share in reserves,” says Michael Hsueh from Deutsche Bank. Gold ETFs like SPDR Gold Trust saw holdings rise 12% YTD to 977.68 tons, the highest since August 2022.
Technical Analysis: Bullish Surge Continues, Prioritize BUY but Watch for Pullbacks! 📉
Gold keeps setting new highs, breaking through the round 3,500 level, dipping briefly to 3,469, then surging to 3,54x—near the Fibonacci extension 0.618. No clear reversal signals yet, so prioritize BUY if gold retraces to 3,52x or 3,51x. Bulls remain in control!
Key Resistance: 3,554 - 3,564 - 3,574
Key Support: 3,521 - 3,508 - 3,450 - 3,475
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp : 3,543 - 3,545
SL: 3,549
TP: 3,540 - 3,535 - 3,530
Sell Zone : 3,571 - 3,573
SL: 3,581
TP: 3,563 - 3,553 - 3,543 - 3,523
Buy Scalp: 3,510 - 3,508
SL: 3,504
TP: 3,513 - 3,518 - 3,528
Buy Zone: 3,475 - 3,473
SL: 3,465
TP: 3,483 - 3,493 - 3,503 - 3,513 - Open
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #Trump #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
Gold 01/09: FVG Retracement – Buy on Dips, Short near 3515SMC Market View – 01 September
Gold is continuing its bullish order flow, with clear BOS and ChoCH signals already confirmed. Price has formed an FVG (Fair Value Gap) near 3463, and is now showing momentum towards the 3515 supply zone.
✅ BUY Setups
Buy Zone 1: 3418 – 3422
Strong demand area with trendline support and liquidity sweep.
Stop Loss: 3410
Targets: 3430 – 3445 – 3455 – 3460+
Buy Scalp Zone: 3352 – 3350
Deeper liquidity grab area, suitable for quick scalps.
Stop Loss: 3344
Targets: 3360 – 3380 – 3400
👉 All buy zones are aligned with the dominant bullish structure. Best approach: wait for retracements to go long.
❌ SELL Setup
Sell Zone: 3515 – 3517
H1 supply area overlapping with resistance.
Stop Loss: 3522
Targets: 3500 – 3485 – 3475 – 3465 – 3450
👉 Short trades here are only meant for quick pullbacks. The bigger bias remains bullish unless a strong bearish ChoCH shows up.
📌 Conclusion
Main bias: Buy on dips at 3415–3422, 3442–3447, and scalp at 3352–3350.
Secondary play: Short at 3515–3520 targeting demand.
Key level: Watch the FVG at 3463 for market reaction.
Gold Plan 15/08 – Captain VincentBackground
Yesterday, Gold revisited the BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 (3332 – 3334) zone and bounced 140 pips.
This is the second consecutive day the zone has shown strong reaction, but today its support strength may weaken.
The main H1 trend is leaning bearish , so the priority is to look for sell setups at major resistance zones.
Zone 1 – Storm Gate 🚪 (Main Sell Zone – SMC Supply)
Entry: 3,355 – 3,357
SL: 3,361
TP: 3,351 → 3,347 → 3,342 → 33xx
Note: SMC Supply zone confluenced with Fibo 0.5 – 0.618. Wait for strong price reaction before entry.
Zone 2 – BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤
Entry : 3,332 – 3,334
SL: 3,327
TP: 3,336 → 3,339 → 3,342 → 33xx
Note: This zone has reacted twice in a row. Today, only use for quick scalps, avoid holding for long.
Zone 3 – Deep Harbor 🏝️ (Main Buy Zone – SMC Demand)
Entry: 3,290 – 3,292
SL : 3,284
TP: 3,296 → 3,300 → 3,304 → 33xx
Note: Deepest support of the day. Buy only if price drops sharply and clear reversal signals appear.
Today’s Scenarios
If price tests Storm Gate → Look for short-term sells in line with the downtrend.
If price breaks below BUY Scalp → Wait for a retest to sell further, as there’s a high chance of filling the previous Fair Value Gap.
If price reaches Deep Harbor → Attempt a bottom buy, but keep profit expectations short since the overall trend is bearish.
Captain’s Note:
"Today, the golden sea has strong waves and heavy winds. The captain will set sails at Storm Gate to catch the downwind move. Deep Harbor stays open, but will only anchor if the skies are clear. BUY Scalp is like a speedboat – fast, sharp, decisive." 🏴☠️📉
Captain’s Friday Warning ⚠️
"It’s Friday – the wildest day of the week. Trade carefully, manage capital tightly, and protect your treasure chest. The weekend is long; don’t let one impulsive move sink the ship." ⛵💰
High Timeframe Profit Taking? Caution for Bulls!
After a strong run-up, the 4H BTC chart is showing the first signs of bullish exhaustion. With news breaking of a legacy whale offloading 80k BTC through Galaxy Digital, caution is warranted. Volatility is likely. Short-term downside is possible, but watch for dips to be aggressively bought if broader market structure remains bullish.
Short-term Support: 115k–113k zone (recent consolidation/last swing lows).
Major Resistance: 125k+ (recent top, failed to close above).
Momentum: QQE MOD histogram has just flipped negative after a multi-week rally, and RSI is declining, but no panic selling yet.
Possible Plays
1. Short-Term Cautious Short
Entry: On a failed bounce to 119k–120k, or any bearish rejection candle on the 4H.
Targets: 115k, then 113k.
Stop: Above 121.5k (last minor high).
Rationale: Momentum fading, whale news, and risk of further distribution.
2. “Buy the Fear” Scalps
Entry: If price flushes quickly into 113k–115k support zone, look for reversal candles or positive divergence on RSI/QQE for quick scalps.
Targets: 117k, 119k (previous support becomes resistance).
Stop: Tight below 112.5k (clear break of structure = get out).
Rationale: Market has absorbed large unlocks before; panic drops often get bought in uptrends.
Risk Factors
If market interprets the news as old/unimpactful (OTC handled, already priced in), a fast bounce could occur.
If whales continue to dump or spot selling accelerates, deeper correction to 110k or lower is possible.
Watch US stock indexes and macro for correlation spikes (risk-off can accelerate BTC drops).
Gold’s Recent Movement and Market SentimentXAUUSD: Gold Bounces Strongly From the Bottom, Is This the Start of a New Uptrend?
🌍 Macro Overview – Gold’s Recent Movement and Market Sentiment
Gold recently experienced a strong bounce from the 3.282 USD/oz low, reaching up to 3.317 USD/oz. This move has sparked some optimism, but let’s take a look at the key macro factors that might be affecting gold:
📉 US bond yields have dropped, signaling that market risk aversion is starting to return
💵 The USD remains strong, but buying interest for gold in Asia is increasing, as confidence in fiat currencies begins to wane
🇪🇺 The EU is pushing ahead with negotiations with the US on tariffs before the August 1st deadline. If these talks break down, gold could benefit significantly
🏦 The Fed is maintaining interest rates, but the market is betting that cuts could come in September if inflation remains under control
📊 US unemployment data and the Fed’s speech tonight will be key, with the market waiting anxiously for clues on the Fed’s next move
📊 Technical Analysis – Gold Approaching Key Resistance Zones
Gold is trading within a descending channel, but signs of a breakout are emerging after a solid test of the bottom.
Key resistance levels are around 3330 – 3340, and these will be crucial in determining whether gold can continue its upward momentum.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) has appeared between 3310 – 3320, which suggests that if buying pressure remains, a breakout could be on the horizon.
🎯 Trading Strategy for Today – Focused on Clear Entry Points
🟢 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3310 – 3308
SL: 3304
TP: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330
🔵 BUY ZONE (safer entry points):
Entry: 3290 – 3288
SL: 3284
TP: 3294 → 3298 → 3302 → 3306 → 3310 → 3320 → 3330
🔴 SELL SCALP (if price hits resistance levels):
Entry: 3335 – 3337
SL: 3342
TP: 3330 → 3325 → 3320 → 3315 → 3310 → 3300
⚫ SELL ZONE (strong resistance at 3360-3362):
Entry: 3360 – 3362
SL: 3366
TP: 3356 → 3352 → 3348 → 3344 → 3340 → 3336 → 3330
📌 Note:
Always place SL and TP to protect your account, especially in a market that may experience significant volatility.
Monitor the volume from London and New York sessions for clearer market direction. A strong breakout above resistance could signal the start of a new uptrend.
💬 Gold has bounced strongly, but is this the start of a larger rally, or just a brief pullback? What do you think about today’s potential trend? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Nifty Intraday Levels | 25-OCT-2024This trading strategy focuses on scalping Nifty options based on institutional support and resistance zones and executing trades using order flow data. Here's a quick summary of the key points:
1️⃣ Zones to Focus on:
👉Green Zone: Represents institutional support.
👉Red Zone: Indicates institutional resistance.
👉Gap Between Zones: Typically ranges from 100-200 points.
👉Zone Creation: Uses pivot points and Fibonacci levels.
👉Price Action: An advanced version for refined entries and exits.
👉Chart Reference: Trades are executed based on the Nifty futures chart.
2️⃣ Trade Execution:
👉Order Flow Data: Trades are triggered by tracking the market's order flow.
👉Timeframes: Focus on the 1-minute and 5-minute charts for quick scalps.
👉Risk-Reward Ratio: Strict 1:2 (Risk 1 to gain 2).
👉Strike Price: Target at-the-money (ATM) or slightly in-the-money (ITM) options.
👉Position Sizing: Customize based on personal risk tolerance.
3️⃣ House Rules:
👉Sharp Execution: Be ready at 9:15 AM for market open.
👉Risk Management: Always a priority.
👉Quick Trades: Fast execution "morning breakfast".
👉Strict Stop-Loss: Set at 10 points to limit losses.
This method is well-structured for traders who prioritize risk management and quick scalping opportunities in the Nifty market.
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